Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Keeneland
Saturday - April 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

KEE-1   EXA (6/5/1/4)-(6/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-1 $50.63 $38.63 322%
    TRI (6/5/1/4)-(6/5/1/4)-(6/5/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-1-6 $137.57 $125.57 1046%
KEE-2   EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-2 $7.22 $1.22 20%
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-2-1 $8.43 $5.43 181%
KEE-3   WIN (9/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $10.54 $2.54 32%

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($58K) 3 F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:22 :462 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAYS PRACTICAL 5 7 711½ 57   3 1 (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 15% 5.50 2.34 W
BELLA VITTORIA 1 6 14 12   12 2 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 8.00 14% 6.00 15.06 P
DIGITAL SALE 6 3 36 22   22 3 (orseno jos)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.00 36% 1.80 4.77 S
MY BOSSY LADY 3 1 47 46   44 4 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 3.86  
DELICATE 2 2 24 3   55 5 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 118 3.50 5.31  
ROSE RITA 7 4 69 6   68 612½ (cline robert)RAMOS D 118 4.50 4.50  
LYLAH RENEE 4 5 59 7   7 730½ (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 118 12.00 6% 15.20 8.00  
 
KEE-2   04/19/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:123     1:282   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRUDO 4 1 11 11   1 1 (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 120 0.80 49% 1.00 0.44 W
  (by JUSTIFY out of BLOSSOMED by DEPUTY MINISTER)
DIXIE DEVIL 2 4 6 6   2 2 (humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00 21.58 P
  (by DAREDEVIL out of JULIE FROM DIXIE by DIXIE UNION)
NIGHT AGENT 1 2 4 4   59 315 (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.50 28% 2.60 4.56 S
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of POWER MOVE by MORE THAN READY)
HOMER'S ODYSSEY 6 6 5 52   37 415 (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 120 4.50 4.45  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CONQUEST DYNASTY by COURT VISION)
YOU BELONG HERE 5 3 31 3   6 518 (nihei michelle)DOYLE SOPHIE 120 8.00 15.24  
  (by CUPID out of TIME FOR HARLAN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
C MAC DA BOSS 3 5 21 21   48 619 (barnett c)GRAHAM J 120 20.00 31.07  
  (by CARACARO out of MALIBU SONG by POWER BROKER)
 
KEE-3   04/19/2025 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:244 :50 1:144 1:40   1:532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMBER 1 2 11 1nk 1nk 1nk 1¾ (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 4.27 W
EXECUTIVE ACTION 4 1 21 2nk 2nk 2nk 1¾ (jacobson d)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 3.72 DH
PROVEN HOPE 2 3 3 31 3 32 3¾ (diodoro robert)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 3.00 20% 4.00 6.34 S
COPPERLITE 8 4 64 7 7 44 4¾ (ramsey nolan)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 43% 1.30 0.46  
ENGLISH CHALLENGE 6 8 8 8 8 611 514½ (estvanko richa)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 11% 8.40 16.90  
LIAM THE BRAVE 7 7 7 6 5 5 615 (esquivel gus)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 20.00 41.87  
COOL RAGS 3 6 5 5 6 711¼ 721 (salas marcel)MONCADA IRVING 113 30.00 42.75  
BOITANO 5 5 4 4 44 814¼ 837½ (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 13.41  
SCR  MONTAUK POINT               (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00    
 
KEE-4   04/19/2025 6270ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 3 F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:134 1:383   1:563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIXIN TO BEE 6 6 53 5 5 2 1nk (arnold george)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.60 5.03  
GOLDEN SUNSHINE 3 2 2 21 2½ 1 2nk (harty eoi)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 4.00 49% 1.00 1.96 P
EL JOURY 4 4 32 3 31 34 37 (walsh brendan )ORTIZ L 118 12.00 5% 19.00 6.41 S
WHAT IF 2 5 65 6 6 4 411½ (bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00 35.82  
CALMATE 1 1 43 4 4 6 516½ (mccarthy mic)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 6.45  
GOOD TEMPER 5 3 1 11 1½ 5 617¼ (walden william)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 18% 4.60 1.55  
SCR  JALILA               (delgado gustav)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00    
 
KEE-5   04/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:12     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOP GUN ROCKET 6 3 31 2½   1 1 (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 1.80 40% 1.50 0.82 W
TEEN IDOL 3 8 5 1½   2 2 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 124 15.00 16.48  
XAVI 7 2 1½ 3½   3 310¼ (martinez a)GRAHAM J 118 30.00 24.39  
COLORADO CRUISER 5 5 2½ 4   4 414¼ (o'neill d)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 4.50 3.13  
ASK ARTHUR 2 7 7 6   511 521¼ (wismer glenn)MONCADA IRVING 119 8.00 22% 3.60 8.43  
10  ONEOFTHEGOODGUYS 8 1 4 5   611½ 622¼ (cruz jesus)SERPA ANGEL 124 8.00 15% 5.70 11.29  
DIOMEDES 1 6 8 7   712½ 724½ (dixon jr)LANERIE J 124 10.00 5% 19.00 13.79  
BLUE ANGEL 4 4 6 810¼   824½ 858¼ (diodoro rob)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00 19.71  
SCR  ILLINI               (heath g)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 20.00    
SCR  LIAM'S JOURNEY               (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 124 3.50    
 
KEE-6   04/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($88K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:104     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAT ON TIME 2 4 42 4   12 1 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 2.57  
TWO EAGLES RIVER 3 5 5 5   32 2 (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 26% 2.90 3.11 P
LUGAN KNIGHT 4 1 31 2nk   22 3 (mccarthy mic)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 2.54  
HOW'S UR ATTITUDE 1 2 1½ 1nk   43 411½ (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.00 34% 1.90 4.27  
GILCREASE 5 3 2½ 3   58 523¼ (stall alb)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 5% 19.00 4.09  
SCR  HONKY TONK HIGHWAY               (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50    
 
KEE-7   04/19/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($140K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:213 :45 :563     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIPSY (IRE) 7 1 2 21   1nk 12 (walden william)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 2.59  
11  BLING 10 4 74 64   31 22 (oliver vict)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 30% 2.30 16.47 P
SIMPLY STATED 5 12 10 10   6 34 (trombetta m)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 30.00 56.50  
DANCING DUCHESS 2 6 4 4   4 4 (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 15.48  
CLOUDWALKER 3 11 116 11   7 5 (walsh brendan )ORTIZ L 123 6.00 3.99  
13  MOONLIT LADY 11 5 1 11   2nk 6 (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 123 20.00 12.28  
GIRL OF MY DREAMS 6 3 53 53   8 76 (meah m)CURTIS BEN 118 15.00 42.29  
10  BE MY SUNSHINE 9 10 12 12   11 8 (joseph saf)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 16% 5.10 6.77  
BANDONARUN 4 8 6 74   5 97 (clement c)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 3.50 15% 5.60 5.80  
B G WARRIOR 1 7 8 9   9 10 (brisset rodo)TORRES A 118 15.00 14% 6.00 8.66  
JULIAS DREAM 8 2 32 32   106 1112½ (mccarthy mic)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 31.95  
15  RUN FOR THE HILLS 12 9 95 8   12 1213 (casse mark)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 13.45  
SCR  JILL JITTERBUG               (walsh d)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
SCR  MISS ARLINGTON               (williamson b)TORRES A 118 30.00    
SCR  OEUVRE               (block chris)COHEN DAVID 118 15.00    
 
KEE-8   04/19/2025 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:13 1:374   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST A TOUCH 3 3 2½ 2nk 1 1 17 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.20 34% 2.00 0.48 W
PARCHMENT PARTY 1 8 89 89 7 37 27 (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 23.71  
GOULD'S GOLD 6 1 3 4 42 2 3 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 8.80  
SKINNER 7 4 53 54 3 47 412 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 30% 2.30 3.56  
GLEN AIRY 5 7 6 66 6 5 520¾ (mcgee pau)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 31.75  
SPENCER'S BOY LUNA 2 2 76 7 8 714½ 621 (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 118 30.00 43.65  
STRETCH RIDE 4 5 4 3 2 611½ 722½ (romans da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00 7% 14.40 14.56  
10  PASSING GAME 8 6 1½ 1nk 5 820½ 849¾ (eurton pe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 20.00 5% 19.00 26.18  
SCR  MOONLIGHT               (block chris)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00    
SCR  NATIVE LAND               (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00    
 
KEE-9   04/19/2025 7920ft TURF RC13 FIRM VisitLEX Elkhorn Purse ($400K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:241 :50 1:142 1:393 2:05 2:294   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UTAH BEACH 5 7 8 6 32 21 1nk (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 20.00 11.70  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MY OWN STORY by LASTING APPROVAL)
LIMITED LIABILITY 6 8 3 11 1 11 2nk (mcgaughey)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 1.60 44% 1.30 3.42 P
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of HOLD HARMLESS by BLAME)
ANGLOPHILE 7 9 10 10 7 44 3 (lynch a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00 13.74  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of TRUSTMORE LOVEMORE by KITTEN'S JOY)
REBEL RED (GB) 1 1010 11 11 97 8 4 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5.78  
  (by FRANKEL out of WITHOUT YOU BABE by LEMON DROP KID)
VERSTAPPEN 4 4 4 5 4 3 5 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 16.92  
  (by WAR FRONT out of ANDROMEDA GALAXY by PEINTRE CELEBRE)
GRAND SONATA 2 6 7 9 8 95 6 (pletcher to)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 23% 3.30 5.03  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of A. P. SONATA by A.P. INDY)
OLE CRAZY BONE 8 34 6 8 65 6 7 (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 5% 19.00 52.31  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SOUTHERN GEM by SMART STRIKE)
MISSED THE CUT (IRE) 9 5 5 32 53 7 8 (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 3.30  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of BEAULY by SEA THE STARS)
12  BALNIKHOV (IRE) 12 1211¼ 12 12 119 106 9 (damato phili)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
  (by ADAAY out of LEEWARD by FIRST DEFENCE)
11  IDRATHERBEBLESSED 11 11 11 21 2 54 10 (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 118 20.00 29.50  
  (by UNIFIED out of CELESTIAL SMILE by TIZNOW)
DEAN MARTINI 3 21 21 4 10 1110 1121¼ (eurton peter)GRAHAM J 118 30.00 76.23  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SOUNDWAVE by FRIENDS LAKE)
10  STARTING OVER 10 1111 9 7 12 1216 1238¼ (russell brit)TORRES A 118 20.00 33.42  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of VANISHING by TAMMANY)
SCR  NATIVE SHAMAN               (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 30.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of NATIVE TALENT by A.P. INDY)
 
KEE-10   04/19/2025 6270ft DIRT RC12 FAST Ben Ali Purse ($350K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:123 1:383   1:59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TENNESSEE LAMB 3 4 2½ 2nk 1nk 2nk 1 (arnold george )ORTIZ L 118 8.00 3.87  
  (by TONALIST out of TENNESSEE WHISKEY by PERSIAN TURBAN (IRE))
SAN SIRO 1 7 3 4 3 31 2 (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 16% 5.20 3.11 P
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of CATENARIA by BERNARDINI)
UNO MAS BOURBON 7 3 5 5 42 1nk 3 (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 26% 2.90 3.08 S
  (by MACHO UNO out of CAMIELEE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
TIME FOR TROUBLE 4 2 65 6 6 45 4 (hiles jeff )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.00 16% 5.30 15.23  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of STARSTRUCK by GALILEO)
PIROLI 5 6 7 7 7 56 512 (mccarthy mic)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 6.67  
  (by BATTLE OF MIDWAY out of PHONYBOOKSNRECORDS by TAPIT)
PRINCE OF POWER 2 1 1½ 1nk 2nk 6 619¼ (esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 9.67  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of DEMIGODDESS by FIRST DUDE)
DUKE OF LOVE 6 5 42 3 5 725½ 771½ (carroll josie)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50 3.72  
  (by CUPID out of TELL THE DUCHESS by SMART STRIKE)
 
KEE-11   04/19/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:233 :483 1:133 1:37   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENGLISH CHUNNEL 2 3 32 42 21 2nk 1¾ (catalano m)CURTIS BEN 123 6.00 14.83  
ROCKY JOY 4 1 12 1 11 1nk 2¾ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 13.55 P
THEN 8 12 11 10 9 6 3 (antonacci p)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.50 25% 3.10 2.66 S
11  BEACH GOLD 10 5 22 2 31 31 4 (biancone )DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 8.00 7.66  
ASKARI 9 11 9 8 53 5 5 (davis christop)DOYLE SOPHIE 118 10.00 11% 7.90 17.93  
ROTHSCHILD 7 8 5 5 6 7 6 (toner j)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 15% 5.60 2.51  
12  CIRO DI MARZIO 11 6 43 32 4 4 7 (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 21% 3.80 8.67  
ACCIDENT 6 9 1210¾ 1210¼ 1210¼ 12 8 (short thomas)RAMOS D 118 30.00 87.91  
ROYAL SPIRIT 1 2 8 9 10 107 9 (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 118 30.00 91.77  
15  WARRIOR RICHARD 12 10 7 74 8 9 10 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 6.71  
GOOD BALI 3 7 6 6 7 8 11 (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 41.71  
THOMAS AQUINAS 5 4 10 11 11 119 127 (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 17.12  
SCR  NANTASKET BEACH               (robson lauren)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00    
SCR  NOAHS ARK (IRE)               (norris mike)GRAHAM J 118 30.00    
SCR  OMNI KING               (kelly bla)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00    
SCR  REYNOLDS CHANNEL               (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.