Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Keeneland
Thursday - April 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

KEE-1   WIN (3/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $11.12 $3.12 39%
KEE-3   EXA (4/3/1/7)-(4/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-4 $17.41 $5.41 45%
KEE-4   WIN (6/10/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $9.26 $1.26 16%
    EXA (6/10/5/3)-(6/10/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-6 $20.12 $8.12 68%
    TRI (6/10/5/3)-(6/10/5/3)-(6/10/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-6-10 $19.33 $7.33 61%
    DD (4/3/1/7)-(6/10/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-3 $26.32 $10.32 65%
    PK3 (10/8/9/12/6)-(4/3/1/7)-(6/10/5/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00  9-3-3 $60.17 $20.17 50%
KEE-7   WIN (5/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $9.74 $1.74 22%
KEE-8   EXA (1/6/9/5/10)-(1/6/9/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00  5-9 $25.08 $5.08 25%
    DD (5/6/2/1)-(1/6/9/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00  5-5 $45.33 $25.33 127%

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/10/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:22 :452       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE TALKER 6 3 31     11 1 (ward a)FLORES R 119 4.00 22% 3.60 4.56 W
  (by HOOTENANNY out of VALENTINE'S NAY by NO NAY NEVER)
PUPIL 1 1 21     31 2 (wojczynski jus)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 6.00 7.36  
  (by TACITUS out of KANDY GINGER by KANTHAROS)
BAYTOWN DREAMER 7 5 5     45 35 (mcentee paul)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 8.00 25.57  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of COLERFUL BRIDE by MUNNINGS)
ASHKENAZI 3 2 11     21 4 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 116 0.80 34% 1.90 0.32  
  (by HOOTENANNY out of SHIVOO by INTO MISCHIEF)
BREA FROM THREE 4 4 4     5 512¼ (ennis jo)RODRIGUEZ A 119 15.00 5% 19.00 20.30  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MISSION FROM ELLE by NOBLE MISSION (GB))
SENSE OF FREEDOM 2 6 617¾     716¾ 614 (seglin e)RIQUELME J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 45.82  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of COMPLETE SENSE by STREET SENSE)
LA PACIFICA 5 7 718¼     616½ 714¾ (fern)FRANCA ERIELTUN 106 20.00 30.11  
  (by VIOLENCE out of CHOI by BERNARDINI)
SCR  BAYTOWN ANUBIS               (mcentee paul)SERPA ANGEL 119 12.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of PARTISAN POLITICS by MORE THAN READY)
 
KEE-2   04/10/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($49K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:221 :452 1:104     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO NO JOE 8 5 31 2nk   12 1 (claire alexis)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 19% 4.40 2.85 W
ANOTHER MONARCH 3 9 52 4   22 2 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 118 30.00 30.04  
10  METALHEAD 9 7 7 5   43 3 (molloy thoma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 6.00 28% 2.60 4.52 S
MENDELLO 6 8 8 7   5 4 (demeritte larry)SERPA ANGEL 118 30.00 42.77  
ZECA DIABO 1 10 10 8   76 55 (caramori eduar)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.50 4.96  
BAYTOWN BRUISER 7 4 2nk 32   65 6 (wismer s)LANERIE J 124 5.00 20% 4.00 16.31  
12  VIA DELLA SPIGA 10 1 4 6   87 78 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 124 10.00 8% 11.60 4.34  
CANAVERO 2 6 1nk 1nk   3 8 (salas ma)RODRIGUEZ A 126 20.00 20.95  
ON MY HONOR 4 3 9 10   912½ 918½ (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 124 10.00 6.08  
JIMMY THE HAT 5 2 6 9   1014 1024¾ (catalano )HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 5% 19.00 9.41  
SCR  AMERICAN CITY               (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00    
SCR  BAIE LONGUE               (toye kar)RODRIGUEZ A 124 12.00    
SCR  FACENDA               (o'neill do)CORRALES GERARDO 124 15.00    
 
KEE-3   04/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:22 :453 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON BREEZE 2 7 6 65   35 11 (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 25% 2.90 2.14 W
SOMBRA DORADA 3 2 1½ 1½   2nk 21 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 124 3.50 29% 2.50 4.97 P
CAROLINA CANDY 7 1 3 2½   1nk 3 (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.50 4.75  
BEACH BUNNY 6 6 7 76   5 4 (habeeb donal)MONCADA IRVING 119 20.00 5% 19.00 13.85  
OPEN SOUL AUTISM 1 5 4 54   46 5 (miller peter)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 10% 8.70 4.53  
BEELIEVE HER 5 4 5 44   6 615 (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 124 2.00 2.96  
GOLD DEL MAR 4 3 2½ 3   710½ 718¾ (salas marcel)CALLEJA ANDRES 124 30.00 31.38  
SCR  LYLAH RENEE               (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 118 20.00    
 
KEE-4   04/10/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:222 :46 :58     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TROUBLESHOOTING 2 2 21 3   1nk 11 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 5% 19.00 3.63 W
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of INTO TROUBLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
BRIGHT SKITTLE 5 1 11 11   2nk 21 (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 48% 1.10 2.85 P
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of HARBOR LIGHTS by SHACKLEFORD)
10  BEER RUN 6 3 31 21   3 3 (ward a)ORTIZ L 125 3.00 30% 2.30 1.47 S
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SUDDEN HEAT by CONGRATS)
12  NATURAL RIGHTS 8 8 65 54   45 4 (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 10.43  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of THYME FOR ROSES by REDOUTE'S CHOICE)
11  CORTINA (IRE) 7 6 43 4   5 5 (riefenberg eri)ASHTON GAVIN 125 30.00 41.32  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of BEATRIX POTTER by CADEAUX GENEREUX)
GIBRAN 1 5 7 77   610 611¾ (danner do)CORREA L 125 20.00 44.50  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of I'VE GOT GRACE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
FLING READY 3 4 54 6   711½ 715¾ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 7.69  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MOONLIGHT ROMANCE by LIAISON)
SUSTAINABILITY 4 7 8 8   812 816¼ (toner j)GRAHAM J 125 10.00 5% 19.00 14.85  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of DARK MISSION by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  BRAVELY               (delacour arnau)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of OKEEHEELEE by DANSILI (GB))
SCR  GEARING UP               (arnold george )ORTIZ L 118 4.50    
  (by BRAVAZO out of SWITCHING GEARS by TAPIT)
SCR  INSUBORDINATION (IRE)               (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
  (by BUNGLE INTHEJUNGLE out of CHABELITA by LAWMAN)
SCR  PROTON SPIRIT               (giddings melan)DOYLE SOPHIE 125 15.00    
  (by PROTONICO out of BEHAVIORAL FINANCE by TOUCH GOLD)
SCR  VELOCIRAPTOR               (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 125 4.50    
  (by ACCELERATE out of LETS DANCE CHARLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  WINDTALKER               (wojc)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 30.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of AMERICA'S SURPRISE by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
 
KEE-5   04/10/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:111 1:37   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  MO HOPE 8 1 2nk 1nk 2nk 1nk 1nk (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 125 12.00 9.50  
INDY CHARGES ON 1 3 1nk 2nk 1nk 2nk 2nk (davis christop)DOYLE SOPHIE 118 12.00 15.25  
SMART MO 5 6 3½ 3½ 3½ 33 33 (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 6.00 45% 1.20 0.67 S
11  GOLDEN ICE 7 5 5 52 5 55 4 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 16% 5.10 7.89  
GOLDEN PLATE 4 2 42 4 4 4 56 (ortiz ale)ORTIZ L 125 4.50 10% 8.80 5.33  
14  SPEED INSTITUTE 9 9 6 6 6 68 68 (salas marcelino)ACHARD ALEX 125 30.00 49.95  
KISTLER 2 7 8 8 8 7 7 (king l)ROCCO S 127 20.00 22.43  
STRADIVARIAN 3 4 7 7 7 913¾ 820 (forster t)GRAHAM J 125 20.00 33.19  
10  MUGATU 6 8 9 9 9 811¾ 920¾ (engler jeff)LANERIE J 125 10.00 6% 16.00 12.22  
SCR  ALWAYS ABOVE               (nihei michelle)DOYLE SOPHIE 125 5.00    
SCR  DIOMEDES               (dixon jr)LANERIE J 125 20.00    
SCR  HOPE JOE'S RIGHT               (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 125 10.00    
SCR  NOBLE GENTLEMAN               (labra rogeli)RAMOS D 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RAGUEL               (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00    
SCR  TANGO MIKE MIKE               (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
SCR  WISTUCKY               (romans da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 125 3.50    
 
KEE-6   04/10/2025 5610ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:121 1:373   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DBOOK 3 3 11 1½ 1½ 1nk 1½ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00 54.60  
10  CURLIN'S GESTURE 9 5 42 4 3½ 2nk 2½ (scherer mari)GEROUX FLORENT 125 6.00 15% 5.50 7.80 P
11  SWEETALKINGBOURBON 10 10 8 95 9 43 3 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 125 12.00 12% 7.70 8.16 S
DJANGO 8 9 9 8 7 3 42 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.50 2.87  
REDEMPTION TIME 2 7 5 52 6 8 5 (sweezey ken)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50 25% 2.90 2.34  
ITSINMYBLOOD 1 1 31 3 5 7 6 (mckeever andr)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 17.05  
ROUSSETTE 6 6 6 6 4 6 7 (roberson den)TORRES A 125 8.00 13.81  
MINISTERIAL 4 4 21 2½ 2½ 5 8 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 125 2.50 16% 5.30 4.42  
PRECISION STRIKE 5 8 10 106 10 9 99 (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 125 20.00 29.29  
PUBLICITY 7 2 7 73 8 10 1010¾ (londono gene)MONCADA IRVING 120 30.00 6% 14.80 18.17  
SCR  DESPERATE PROPOSAL               (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
 
KEE-7   04/10/2025 5610ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:112 1:362   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUDDEN SWITCH 5 1 11 11 11 13 1 (mott riley)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 45% 1.20 3.87 W
PRIDES CROSSING 3 2 3 4 42 23 2 (brown cha)TORRES A 118 6.00 4.57  
SAVE TIME 4 7 7 6 7 4 3 (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 4.26  
INTO AMORE 6 4 21 21 21 3 4 (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00 27% 2.70 3.17  
FORESEEN 2 3 5 5 5 5 5 (arnold george )ORTIZ L 118 10.00 5% 19.00 7.29  
CRAZY CAMI 7 6 4 3 3 6 610 (maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 4.14  
BETTE DAVIS 1 5 6 74 6 7 713½ (tomlinson m)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 20.00 5% 19.00 15.34  
SCR  FAIRE PLAISIR               (king barr)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
 
KEE-8   04/10/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:223 :462 :581     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROWN IMPERIAL 3 4 2nk 1nk   1½ 1nk (ortiz al)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 3.10 W
CREED'S GOLD 7 3 3½ 3½   2½ 2nk (casse mark)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 8% 11.10 3.85 P
HIGH FASHION KATE 2 8 7 7   32 32 (salas marce)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 12.45  
OUT TOO LATE (GB) 6 6 5 5   54 4 (maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 8.89  
ALWAYS WANTING 5 1 1nk 2nk   42 5 (elliott)DE CRUZ 118 12.00 28.53  
ULTIMATE READY 1 5 41 4   6 6 (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 43% 1.30 3.42  
GOLDEN HOSTESS (SAF) 4 9 8 8   8 7 (motion graham)CURTIS BEN 118 3.00 22% 3.60 4.07  
10  ZO LEE 8 2 62 6   7 8 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 5% 19.00 13.53  
11  ALWAYS ANGELS 9 7 9 9   9 915½ (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 15.00 24.17  
SCR  BEST CUPCAKE               (lauer michael)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
SCR  DON'T SAY IT               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50    
SCR  FOXXY CLEOPATRA               (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
SCR  HIDEKI               (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00    
SCR  MAY MAY STRONG               (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 118 20.00    
 
KEE-9   04/10/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:103     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTY LOVE 2 4 2nk 2nk   1nk 1½ (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 4.62  
MISTER BANDERAS 1 6 1nk 1nk   2nk 2½ (medina robert)VELAZQUEZ R 125 30.00 5% 19.00 16.68 P
SILVER ORE 7 9 9 8   57 3 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 8% 10.80 4.39 S
SKYNET 6 8 6 4   3 4 (barrett roddin)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00 56.27  
12  SEQUENTIAL 10 2 3 31   4 5 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50 10% 8.80 2.20  
ARMY HERO 3 10 108 7   6 6 (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 125 4.00 57% 0.70 4.42  
10  GENO'S MYTH 8 1 5 64   810¾ 7 (puhich mike)BARBOSA CARLOS 125 6.00 7.09  
ONE MOR STORY 4 3 4 5   7 8 (ortiz ale)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.64  
11  D'ORO BOY 9 7 8 9   915¾ 924 (esquivel jesus)SANJUR SANTO 118 30.00 52.15  
TOTAL GAS 5 5 7 10100   10100 10100 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 20.00 34.40  
SCR  CINISTER CIX               (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00    
SCR  KY THIRTY WON               (simms j)GEROUX FLORENT 125 10.00    
SCR  MOMENTUM FILES               (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 125 2.50    
SCR  NASH POTATOES               (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
SCR  ROMANTIC LEAD               (toner j)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00    
SCR  SPIELMAN               (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 125 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.