Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Friday - May 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   EXA (2/8/7/1)-(2/8/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  8-7 $58.26 $34.26 143%
CD-5   WIN (7/5/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $9.28 $1.28 16%
    EXA (7/5/10/6)-(7/5/10/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-6 $64.18 $40.18 167%
    TRI (7/5/10/6)-(7/5/10/6)-(7/5/10/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-6-10 $125.21 $113.21 943%
CD-6   WIN (1/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $10.90 $2.90 36%
    EXA (1/3/2/5)-(1/3/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-5 $79.44 $55.44 231%
    DD (7/5/10/6)-(1/3/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-1 $48.19 $32.19 201%
CD-7   EXA (3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-5 $29.72 $5.72 24%
    TRI (3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-5-6 $38.53 $26.53 221%
    DD (1/3/2/5)-(3/5/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-2 $18.01 $2.01 13%
    PK3 (7/5/10/6)-(1/3/2/5)-(3/5/2/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00  7-1-2 $60.33 $28.33 89%
CD-9   PK5 (7/5/10/6)-(1/3/2/5)-(3/5/2/6)-(5/2/10/11/3)-(4/2/5/7/6) 1600 $0.50 $800  7-1-2/8-5/12/13-2 $942.40 $142.40 18%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/16/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($67K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:104     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SCYTHIA 8 2 4¾ 1nk   15 13½ (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 33% 2.00 1.51 W
7  EMPLOYEEOFTHEMONTH 7 5 73¼ 52¼   35½ 23½ (summers chad)MONCADA IRVING 113 8.00 5% 19.00 9.52 P
4  SWIFT KELCE 4 3 3½ 2nk   25 34¼ (moger jr)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 11.45  
2  ROCKAWAY REEF 2 1 1nk 3.2   46½ 49¼ (miller kenny)ROMAN A 124 3.50 39% 1.50 7.41  
6  DANCING EYES 6 7 62¾ 72¾   69 59¾ (schultz lindsa)CEDILLO ABEL 118 5.00 5.05  
5  THEPRINCESSFACTOR 5 6 52¾ 62¼   57 610¼ (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 6.00 5.12  
3  MOTOWN HONEY 3 4 2nk 4¾   712 721½ (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.00 10.36  
1  EXPLOSIVE WHISPER 1 8 819¼ 820¾   831 845¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.58  
 
CD-2   05/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:134 1:393   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ASIAN MATRIARCH 4 3 31½ 31 31 1nk 1¾ (moger jr)BEJARANO R 124 6.00 16% 5.20 2.49 W
6  I HAD THAT ONE TOO 6 7 64½ 43½ 42½ 31½ 2¾ (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 124 3.50 22% 3.50 2.70 P
1  LADAN 1 2 21½ 21 1½ 2nk 33¼ (bogle fergus)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 5.00 9.06  
7  TAVRIA 7 4 43 53¾ 53½ 44½ 46¾ (morey william)GARCIA MARTIN 120 5.00 6.89  
2  FOURFIFTYSEVEN 2 5 76 77¾ 79 68½ 59 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 124 2.50 3.25  
5  CURLS NITE OUT 5 6 54 64¼ 68½ 78¾ 69¼ (block chri)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.26  
3  QUEEN OF SALSA 3 1 11½ 11 2½ 56 716¼ (shorter aaro)TORRES A 124 4.50 35% 1.90 12.58  
 
CD-3   05/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($64K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:102     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OUTLIER 5 3 43 52   22 11 (hiles rick)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 4.00 18.59  
6  DAZZLEMESILVER 6 2 53 3½   12 21 (shirer ma)TORRES A 118 15.00 5.81  
4  MIACOMET 4 4 32 41   43 34¾ (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 5.76 S
7  SANTOS DUMONT 7 6 64 63   53¼ 44¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 2.50 7% 13.20 2.52  
2  REFUAH 2 7 76½ 75½   75¼ 55 (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50 5% 18.00 10.58  
3  EASTSIDE COOL 3 5 21 1½   32 65 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 7.32  
1  FAVORITE OUTLAW 1 1 11 2½   64¼ 711½ (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 118 1.80 62% 0.60 1.65  
 
CD-4   05/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:131 1:393   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TWIRLING TROILLET 4 1 3½ 21½ 1½ 14 15½ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 2.50  
2  W W CRAZY 2 8 65½ 63¾ 42½ 24 25½ (calhoun willia)CEDILLO ABEL 118 8.00 6.52  
9  LIAM THE BRAVE 8 7 53½ 43 32 55½ 35½ (esquivel gu)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 10.00 12% 7.70 14.58 S
1  SOUTHERN SUNSET 1 3 1nk 31½ 52½ 34½ 48 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 29% 2.50 4.06  
7  READY TO ROLL (IRE) 6 4 2nk 11½ 2½ 45½ 59 (van berg )BEALMEAR C 113 12.00 16% 5.30 16.27  
8  SANT' ANTIMO 7 5 88¼ 88¼ 77¾ 68 612½ (esquivel jesus)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 3.50 3.29  
3  IMPROBABLE STORY 3 2 42½ 53¼ 810¾ 814 719½ (king l)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00 8% 11.70 29.55  
6  PAYNTER'S CANVAS 5 6 75¾ 75¾ 67½ 712½ 820 (lauer michael)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 3.79  
SCR  SYNTHESIS               (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 118 3.00    
 
CD-5   05/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:13 1:40   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LOVE PACK 6 3 32 31½ 1nk 1nk 12¾ (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 5.00 43% 1.30 3.64 W
6  FLICKER (GB) 5 8 87¼ 76½ 53 52½ 22¾ (beckman whitwo)CURTIS BEN 124 20.00 5% 19.00 6.38 P
10  FARLEY HALL 8 4 2½ 1½ 2nk 31 35 (miller peter)CEDILLO ABEL 118 4.50 13% 6.50 5.04 S
4  DANCING NOAH 3 1 1½ 2½ 3½ 2nk 45¼ (taylor brent)BEJARANO R 124 20.00 15.16  
1  HIGH ENOUGH 1 6 65 64½ 74 63 57¼ (habeeb donald)MORALES EDGAR 124 8.00 3.51  
8  KEENO 7 5 77 89½ 88½ 85¾ 67½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 6.00 11.64  
3  STRADIVARIAN 2 7 42 41½ 41½ 42 77¾ (forster gr)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 8.00 7.45  
5  WICKED MELODY 4 2 53 53 63½ 75½ 87¾ (santamaria car)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 4.00 19% 4.20 3.65  
SCR  RIGHT SPOT               (scherer maria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00    
SCR  STORMIN LOVE               (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.00    
 
CD-6   05/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($175K) Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:092     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROLL ON BIG JOE 1 3 2nk 1nk   11½ 11½ (hess b)LEPAROUX R 125 3.00 28% 2.60 4.45 W
5  CARAMEL CHIP 5 2 62¼ 41¼   21½ 21½ (david car)TORRES A 121 10.00 5% 19.00 8.08 P
4  DURANTE 4 4 31 3.2   31½ 32¾ (jacobson dav)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 15.00 13.62  
6  GOLD LUCK 6 6 41½ 51¾   52½ 44¼ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00 27.99  
7  OTTO THE CONQUEROR 7 1 1nk 2nk   42 56 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 6.00 4.66  
3  TEJANO TWIST 3 7 711¼ 76¼   66 68¼ (hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 125 1.80 24% 3.20 1.52  
2  TOP GUNNER 2 5 51¾ 62¼   76½ 712¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 2.00 20% 3.90 3.10  
 
CD-7   05/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($83K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:213 :442 :563     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NORTHERN CHILL 2 4 2½ 1½   13 12¼ (shirer ma)TORRES A 123 5.00 16% 5.10 2.05 W
5  PROTEGE 5 2 42 33   23 22¼ (wilensky sam)CURTIS BEN 123 8.00 17% 4.80 5.30 P
6  MORUNNING 6 7 52½ 44   44½ 33¼ (davis chri)HERNANDEZ J 123 15.00 5% 17.50 10.11 S
9  BAYTOWN BRUISER 8 5 63½ 54½   55½ 43¾ (king l)GARCIA MARTIN 123 20.00 14.07  
7  EXPRESS LINE (FR) 7 6 73¾ 65   65¾ 54¾ (forster gr)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 20.00 29.64  
4  UNCLE WILLIAM 4 8 85¾ 77   75¾ 65¼ (guida e)LANERIE J 123 15.00 6.60  
3  TURN UP THE TREES 3 3 1½ 2½   34½ 711¼ (jacobson dav)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 2.00 41% 1.50 2.06  
1  COMMITTEE OF ONE 1 1 32 89½   810¼ 815¼ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 5.00 11.63  
SCR  BACKTRACK               (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 2.50    
 
CD-8   05/16/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:22 :441 :553     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GO CAPTAIN 5 1 12 11½   11½ 11½ (briley lonnie)LANERIE J 123 3.50 26% 2.90 2.04 W
2  TROUBLESHOOTING 2 4 22 21½   21½ 21½ (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 25% 3.10 3.95 P
4  AFTER TAXES (IRE) 4 6 54¼ 54   33 33¾ (ward wesley )TORRES A 118 8.00 9.00  
10  HIT THAT REVIEW (IRE) 10 7 74½ 64½   67 45½ (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 118 4.50 17% 5.00 5.57  
6  MOON SNIPER 6 5 32 32   45 56¾ (miller darri)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 30.00 18.11  
9  THE WARDEN 9 8 119 1110½   910 67½ (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00 31.65  
14  SIDE EYE 12 3 42¼ 42½   56½ 78¼ (maker mic)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 8.00 15.24  
1  ELEGANT TRIP 1 9 97 108   89½ 88¼ (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 123 10.00 13.80  
3  TOWN BARBER 3 10 86 86   79 98½ (mott rile)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 15.00 5% 19.00 8.02  
7  ALEXIS ZORBA (GB) 7 2 64¼ 75½   1010 1010¼ (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 123 8.00 17.42  
8  STASHU 8 12 1211 1212½   1111 1111½ (wainwright joh)CEDILLO ABEL 118 30.00 59.62  
11  ZARTOWNIS 11 11 107 98   1214 1218½ (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 123 15.00 10% 9.10 26.82  
SCR  MISCHIEF RIVER               (caramori caio)CURTIS BEN 118 8.00    
SCR  ROWDY RIOT               (morse l)BEJARANO R 123 5.00    
 
CD-9   05/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:223 :45 1:093 1:222   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DEVELOPMENT FEE 2 3 52½ 42½ 31 1nk 13½ (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 2.50 15% 5.50 1.68 W
10  COLONEL CALIENTE 10 4 2nk 2½ 1½ 2nk 23½ (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 13.91  
9  TOM CAT TUESDAY 9 5 31 32 41½ 42¾ 34¼ (von donn)CEDILLO ABEL 118 6.00 5.38  
11  STORMY PASSAGE 11 6 42 54½ 54 55¾ 49½ (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 125 8.00 6.86  
6  HELM PLACE 6 2 1nk 1½ 2½ 32½ 510¾ (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 4.92  
1  PENEI 1 11 1114¼ 1111 77 67¼ 610¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 26.89  
7  ARTICLE 7 7 85¾ 65½ 66 77¼ 714½ (catalano wayn)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 19.08  
5  PERSONAL JET 5 10 96¾ 88½ 88 810¼ 815½ (pomier ch)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 6% 15.20 10.97  
3  TROJAN PRIDE 3 1 75½ 1010½ 1012½ 912¾ 919¾ (vance d)ELLIOTT JANE 118 20.00 80.36  
8  OLD TRACE 8 8 63½ 75½ 910 1017¾ 1039¾ (warpool shane)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00 73.92  
4  SEVEN TAYLORS 4 9 107¼ 910 1118½ 1129¾ 1164¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 125 3.50 54% 0.90 6.94  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.