Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fair Grounds
Saturday - February 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-1   WIN (2/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $9.00 $1.00 13%
FG-5   TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  6-1-3 $4.15 $1.15 38%
FG-9   WIN (3/1/8/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $11.40 $1.40 14%

Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   02/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:221 :46 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP GALORE 3 4 21 3   1 14 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 121 3.00 23% 3.40 3.50 W
THE PRETTY SISTER 2 1 5 53   34 24 (amoss thomas)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 2.50 31% 2.30 1.30 P
A MISS DEAMEANOR 1 5 64 6   5 3 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00 14.70  
CUSTOM PUNCH 4 3 11 1   2 4 (bourgeois keith)CURTIS BEN 121 6.00 5.30  
SISTER ELLA 5 2 31 42   44 5 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 14% 6.00 3.30  
GUITAR WOMAN 6 7 7 75   7 6 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.00 12.20  
COUNTRY BELLE 7 6 42 2   66 713¾ (duke steve)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 5% 19.00 29.60  
 
FG-2   02/22/2025 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($29K) 3 ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:13 1:382   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PASSION RULES 3 6 6 53 32 22 1½ (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 1.60 38% 1.60 1.10 W
CONSECRATED 6 1 11 11 11 12 2½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 3.90  
GOLDEN ICE 1 4 5 63 6 4 3 (amoss thomas)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 8.00 19.30  
PORCHES 4 3 21 21 21 3 4 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50 2.60  
LOVE PACK 2 5 3 3 5 5 5 (diodoro robe)TORRES A 119 6.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
FULLY VOLATILE 5 2 43 42 42 68 613 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 119 6.00 29% 2.50 7.50  
 
FG-3   02/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:222 :453 :571     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARBOR SPRINGS 1 2 31 32   2nk 11 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 9% 9.60 1.00 W
EASY RED 2 3 1½ 2½   3.2 21 (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 122 5.00 5% 19.00 3.50 P
ERVADEAN 5 1 2½ 1½   1nk 32 (stewart d)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 4.00  
SALLY'S SUPRISE 3 4 5 5   5 4 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00 36.30  
KAELY'S SISTER 4 5 4 4   4 514¾ (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.00 62% 0.60 2.70  
SCR  SWEET SHILD O MINE               (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 3.00    
 
FG-4   02/22/2025 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:154     1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUS EVELYN 7 2 2 22   11 11 (cohn g)TORRES A 125 5.00 10% 8.60 2.90 W
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of JUS WOW by DUNKIRK)
AWREE 6 6 8 8   5 21 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 4.00 28% 2.60 2.80 P
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of OH BETTE by AWESOME AGAIN)
SPICY MUSTARD 1 1 1 12   21 3 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 125 6.00 5.30  
  (by MY PAL CHARLIE out of MUSTARD by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
MO DIVA 4 8 4 44   3 4 (david sam )MURRILL MITCHELL 125 3.00 39% 1.60 2.40  
  (by MO TOM out of DISTINCT DIVA by WITH DISTINCTION)
JUS MAKES CENTS 8 5 54 65   4 5 (cohn alice)ROWLAND MADELINE 125 6.00 11.70  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GIMME YO NUMBER by YONAGUSKA)
INSTASPEED 5 4 33 3   66 6 (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 117 20.00 5% 19.00 25.60  
  (by INSTAGRAND out of UP TO SPEED by GOLD FEVER)
10  PERFECT DIXIE LADY 9 7 75 75   8 7 (duhon joseph)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 20.00 22.10  
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of PERFECT SOUTHERNER by DIXIELAND BAND)
CLEARLY BELLA 3 9 9 9   9 810¾ (flugence h)WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 10.00 5% 19.00 23.60  
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of BELLA CANZONE by GIO PONTI)
MALLORY UNBRIDLED 2 3 6 5   78 912¾ (zenon she)HERNANDEZ J 125 6.00 22.70  
  (by TIME BANDIT out of UNBRIDLED ACTION by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  REESE'S WORLD               (zeringue w )ASTUDILLO FELIX 112 20.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of CASANOVA KIDDO by LANGFUHR)
 
FG-5   02/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:214 :444 :562     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONTALCINO (IRE) 5 1 11 12   15 1 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 0.60 57% 0.80 0.20 W
DEER DISTRICT 1 3 43 3   25 2 (stewart d)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 9% 10.50 16.90 P
LEGALIZE 2 2 57 5   410 38 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 12% 7.60 3.50 S
LUDWIG 3 5 21 22   3 411¼ (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00 12.40  
VITEMENT 4 4 3 4   514½ 524¾ (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 120 8.00 12.30  
SCR  SCAT FREE               (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 122 8.00    
 
FG-6   02/22/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:142 1:27   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHIMSICALLY 4 1 4 47 3 11 1 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 125 2.50 35% 1.80 1.10 W
  (by UNCLE MO out of COMING ATTRACTION by TAPIT)
SOPHIE'S CRUISER 8 3 1 1 12 21 2 (brinkman bre)BARBOSA JEIRON 125 6.00 18.70  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of CAUSEWAY CAROLYN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
STELLIFY 1 2 5 6 65 55 33 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 125 4.50 2.60  
  (by JUSTIFY out of SAVVY STAR by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
TIME STONE 5 7 810 811 8 45 44 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.50 14% 6.00 6.00  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of WEEKDAY by DANSILI)
HIGH SHOT 3 6 68 79 55 6 5 (simms j)TORRES A 125 6.00 9.30  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of SMART SHOT by SKIPSHOT)
CRANK IT UP 9 5 2 2 22 3 68 (catalano )PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 20.00 42.20  
  (by FROSTED out of HERMAJESTYCOMMANDS by WAR FRONT)
PIONEER MISSION 2 4 35 3 4 7 712 (forster t)CURTIS BEN 125 15.00 5% 19.00 15.50  
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of MYTHICAL MISSION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
POSITIVE CARRY (IRE) 6 9 7 5 76 8 813 (gelner jayde)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 5.00 25% 2.90 17.50  
  (by SEA THE MOON out of VOLUTE by ROCK OF GIBRALTAR (IRE))
MACHIVA 7 8 911½ 912 9 911½ 916 (dorochenko)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 10.00 5% 19.00 33.50  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of FOREVER AFTER by SADLER'S WELLS)
 
FG-7   02/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:221 :452 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RANCH BADGE 5 1 1½ 1   13 1 (gelner j)GRAHAM J 121 8.00 11.70  
SCOOTERIA 1 8 4 54   4 2 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00 9% 9.60 6.10 P
F T W SLAM 6 6 6 43   33 3 (ducoing s)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 3.00 37% 1.70 2.60 S
BIG BOO 7 7 8 89   8 4 (singh s)SINGH R 121 10.00 13.90  
COMANCHE WARRIOR 4 4 5 6   6 5 (terre david)CURTIS BEN 121 4.00 5.50  
STRONG PROMISE 8 2 7 77   7 6 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 121 8.00 5% 19.00 19.10  
CRAKEN JAX 3 3 2½ 2   23 77 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00 4.00  
STOVALL 2 5 31 33   5 8 (breaux sa)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 24% 3.20 3.00  
 
FG-8   02/22/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:123 1:374   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  SMOKEY MANDATE 12 7 2 46 4 1½ 1 (maker mic)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 6.00  
AMERICAN HOPE 9 12 1117 1118 9 5 2 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 8% 11.80 2.50 P
TOUGH LITTLE NUT 2 5 812½ 811½ 6 4 3 (block chri)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 5% 19.00 2.40 S
FREEDOM'S WAY 6 2 3 3 1nk 2½ 4 (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 120 6.00 10.10  
11  CAMARO Z 11 6 58 57 5 32 5 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00 15.30  
EFF THIRTY FIVE 4 11 1222 1223½ 1218 1111¾ 69 (russell t)GRAHAM J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 39.50  
STEADY ON 7 3 611½ 711 8 6 710½ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 55% 0.80 4.70  
10  LOVE ME NOT 10 8 712 610½ 7 75 811¾ (diodoro rob)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 20.00 76.80  
KIGALI 8 4 1 14 2nk 8 919¾ (bauer philip)TORRES A 120 20.00 66.00  
NO WHITE FLAGS 3 10 1016½ 1018 1112 1212¼ 1020¾ (woodley j)MCMAHON J 120 30.00 ######  
TOWERING STORM 5 9 914 915 10 1011¾ 1121 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 120 12.00 5% 19.00 26.30  
CREATE TROUBLE 1 1 4 24 32 910¾ 1228¾ (atras rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 12.00 12.20  
SCR  RISING EMPIRE               (ramirez-rodrigu)MCMAHON J 120 8.00    
 
FG-9   02/22/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:133 1:403   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIVERTON (GB) 3 4 4 37 2 2½ 1 (delacruz )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.00 37% 1.70 4.70 W
WHOLE LOTTA LUTE 2 5 14 1 1 1½ 2 (munoz yovani)CHAVEZ ORIEL 117 20.00 15.90  
BILLY'S GOT ISSUES 1 6 711 6 44 32 3 (handal raymond)CURTIS BEN 122 2.50 31% 2.20 0.80 S
JOEYBONES 4 1 610½ 7 8 55 46 (carter ange)ASTUDILLO FELIX 117 15.00 64.30  
MOONOVERMONTGOMERY 8 7 36 47 34 44 5 (sanchez c)MCMAHON J 122 3.50 7% 12.90 7.10  
DAPPER DUDE 7 8 811 810¼ 57 6 68 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00 14.30  
COUNTRY CUT 5 2 57 5 68 8 714¾ (burkes bobby)SMITH R 122 30.00 ######  
BOBBY MERLOT 9 11 1116¼ 913¼ 9 79 815 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 122 10.00 34.10  
CORKED 6 10 1013¾ 1113½ 1010¾ 911½ 920¾ (thompson kev)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 30.00 91.00  
11  MUNTALIQ 11 9 913½ 1013¼ 1111¼ 1016½ 1025 (flugence henry)GREEN AUBRIE 122 20.00 5% 19.00 44.30  
10  STARSTUDDED AFFAIR 10 3 24 2 7 1117 1126 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 10.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.