Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Saturday - February 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (2/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/5/7)-(3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/7)-(3/5/2)-(5/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-2   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(5/2/3)-(4/7/8/3/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-3   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(4/7/8/3/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(4/7/8/3/6)-(6/3/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-4   WIN (4/7/8/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/8/3/6)-(4/7/8/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/8/3/6)-(4/7/8/3/6)-(4/7/8/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/7/8/3/6)-(6/3/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/7/8/3/6)-(6/3/1)-(4/6/5/2/7) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
FG-5   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(4/6/5/2/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(4/6/5/2/7)-(6/2/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-6   WIN (4/6/5/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/2/7)-(4/6/5/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/2/7)-(4/6/5/2/7)-(4/6/5/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/5/2/7)-(6/2/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/2/7)-(6/2/1/8)-(7/9/2/5/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-7   WIN (6/2/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/8)-(6/2/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/8)-(6/2/1/8)-(6/2/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/1/8)-(7/9/2/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1/8)-(7/9/2/5/4)-(3/1/8/10/11) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-8   WIN (7/9/2/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/2/5/4)-(7/9/2/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/2/5/4)-(7/9/2/5/4)-(7/9/2/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/9/2/5/4)-(3/1/8/10/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
FG-9   WIN (3/1/8/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/10/11)-(3/1/8/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/10/11)-(3/1/8/10/11)-(3/1/8/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A MISS DEAMEANOR Jan09 Dec15 Nov24 Sep10 Aug17 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00    
2  THE PRETTY SISTER Feb01 Jan09 Dec07 Oct29 Aug10 (amoss thomas)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 2.50 31% 2.30    
3  TAP GALORE Jan12 Dec22 Nov30 Jul19 Jul06 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 121 3.00 23% 3.40    
4  CUSTOM PUNCH Jan09 Nov24 Nov09 Jul06 May18 (bourgeois keith)CURTIS BEN 121 6.00    
5  SISTER ELLA Feb01 Dec26 Oct31 Oct16 Sep19 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 14% 6.00    
6  GUITAR WOMAN Jan09 Dec08 Sep04 Feb29 Feb08 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.00    
7  COUNTRY BELLE Jan12 Dec21 Dec08 Sep10 Aug12 (duke steve)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-2   02/22/2025 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($29K) 3 ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN ICE Jan09 Dec07 Nov21 Oct22 Sep18 (amoss thomas)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 8.00    
2  LOVE PACK Jan10 Oct06 Aug24     (diodoro robe)TORRES A 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  PASSION RULES Jan27         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 1.60 38% 1.60    
4  PORCHES Jan26 Oct23       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50    
5  FULLY VOLATILE Jan31 Jan12 Nov29     (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 119 6.00 29% 2.50    
6  CONSECRATED Jan20 Dec29 Dec06 Nov24 Nov08 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00    
 
FG-3   02/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWEET SHILD O MINE Jun07 May18 Apr13 Mar03 Feb03 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 3.00    
2  HARBOR SPRINGS Nov24 Oct16 Sep15 Aug17 Jun26 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 9% 9.60    
3  EASY RED Jan02 Nov27 Jan25 Sep29 Aug13 (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  SALLY'S SUPRISE Jan04 Dec12 Oct19 Oct03 Aug22 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00    
5  KAELY'S SISTER Dec12 Oct03 Sep08 Jul08 Jun15 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.00 62% 0.60    
6  ERVADEAN Jan02 Nov14 Sep21 Apr24 Mar02 (stewart d)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50    
 
FG-4   02/22/2025 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPICY MUSTARD Feb06 Jan10 Dec18     (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 125 6.00    
  (by MY PAL CHARLIE out of MUSTARD by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
2  MALLORY UNBRIDLED Dec20 Nov21 Sep14 Aug22 Jul05 (zenon she)HERNANDEZ J 125 6.00    
  (by TIME BANDIT out of UNBRIDLED ACTION by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  CLEARLY BELLA Jan16 Dec06 Nov16 Oct25   (flugence h)WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of BELLA CANZONE by GIO PONTI)
4  MO DIVA Jan16 Nov29 Mar21 Feb09 Jan19 (david sam )MURRILL MITCHELL 125 3.00 39% 1.60    
  (by MO TOM out of DISTINCT DIVA by WITH DISTINCTION)
SCR  REESE'S WORLD Jan16 Dec29       (zeringue w )ASTUDILLO FELIX 112 20.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of CASANOVA KIDDO by LANGFUHR)
6  INSTASPEED Jan18 Jan01 Oct30 Sep25 Jul14 (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of UP TO SPEED by GOLD FEVER)
7  AWREE Feb06 Jan12 Mar20 Feb03   (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 4.00 28% 2.60    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of OH BETTE by AWESOME AGAIN)
8  JUS EVELYN Jan12 Jul15 Jun02 Mar02   (cohn g)TORRES A 125 5.00 10% 8.60    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of JUS WOW by DUNKIRK)
9  JUS MAKES CENTS Feb06 Jan12       (cohn alice)ROWLAND MADELINE 125 6.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GIMME YO NUMBER by YONAGUSKA)
10  PERFECT DIXIE LADY Jan16 Jan01 Dec12 Oct25   (duhon joseph)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 20.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of PERFECT SOUTHERNER by DIXIELAND BAND)
 
FG-5   02/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEER DISTRICT Feb07 Oct19 Sep22 Jul20 Jun19 (stewart d)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  SCAT FREE Jan12 Dec26 Nov30 Oct04 Aug12 (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 122 8.00    
3  LEGALIZE Feb03 Dec23 Nov25 Oct22   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 12% 7.60    
4  LUDWIG Jun30 May27 Apr21 Sep02 Aug04 (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00    
5  VITEMENT Feb10 Dec22 Nov25 Jun11 May03 (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 120 8.00    
6  MONTALCINO (IRE) Nov28 Oct04 Sep01     (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 0.60 57% 0.80    
 
FG-6   02/22/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STELLIFY         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 125 4.50    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SAVVY STAR by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  PIONEER MISSION Jan04         (forster t)CURTIS BEN 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of MYTHICAL MISSION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  HIGH SHOT Jan31 Dec19 Nov23 Oct23 Sep27 (simms j)TORRES A 125 6.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of SMART SHOT by SKIPSHOT)
4  WHIMSICALLY Oct04 Sep02 Jul09     (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 125 2.50 35% 1.80    
  (by UNCLE MO out of COMING ATTRACTION by TAPIT)
5  TIME STONE Nov02 Sep15 Aug23 Mar15 Jan21 (devaux che)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 4.50 14% 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of WEEKDAY by DANSILI)
6  POSITIVE CARRY (IRE) Oct24 Jul19 Jun01 May04 Mar24 (gelner jayde)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 5.00 25% 2.90    
  (by SEA THE MOON out of VOLUTE by ROCK OF GIBRALTAR (IRE))
7  MACHIVA Oct10 Aug25 Aug08 Jul21 Jun30 (dorochenko)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of FOREVER AFTER by SADLER'S WELLS)
8  SOPHIE'S CRUISER Jan25 Nov30 Oct02 Aug28   (brinkman bre)BARBOSA JEIRON 125 6.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of CAUSEWAY CAROLYN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  CRANK IT UP Jan04 Dec07 Aug25 Jul27   (catalano wayn)CANNON DECLAN 125 20.00    
  (by FROSTED out of HERMAJESTYCOMMANDS by WAR FRONT)
 
FG-7   02/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCOOTERIA Jan01 Dec09 Nov18 Aug27 Jul14 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00 9% 9.60    
2  STOVALL Feb01 Jan08 Dec27 Nov22 Nov08 (breaux sa)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
3  CRAKEN JAX Feb01 Jan05 Dec05 Jun01 May10 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00    
4  COMANCHE WARRIOR Jan30 Jan01 Dec05 Aug09 Jul05 (terre davi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00    
5  RANCH BADGE Feb08 Jan11 Nov30 Nov08 Sep29 (gelner j)GRAHAM J 121 8.00    
6  F T W SLAM Jan25 Jan03 Nov24 Nov14 Oct16 (ducoing s)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
7  BIG BOO Feb01 Dec28 Dec14 Nov23 Sep25 (singh s)SINGH R 121 10.00    
8  STRONG PROMISE Jan08 Dec11 Nov22 Oct17 Jun01 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-8   02/22/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREATE TROUBLE Dec26 Nov23 Oct26 Sep28 Aug22 (atras rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 12.00    
2  TOUGH LITTLE NUT Dec28 Nov22 Oct25 Oct06 Sep05 (block chri)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
3  NO WHITE FLAGS Feb01 Dec26 Nov30 Oct17 Aug14 (woodley j)MCMAHON J 120 30.00    
4  EFF THIRTY FIVE Nov28 Nov02 Oct14 Sep25 Aug28 (russell t)GRAHAM J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  TOWERING STORM Dec26 Oct13 Aug25 Aug04 Jun30 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  FREEDOM'S WAY May31 May02 Apr19 Mar16 Feb17 (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 120 6.00    
7  STEADY ON Jan11 Nov28 Sep21 Sep01 Jul20 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 55% 0.80    
8  KIGALI Feb07 May25 Apr27 Nov15 Oct28 (bauer philip)TORRES A 120 20.00    
9  AMERICAN HOPE Dec21 Feb11 Dec29 Nov12 Oct08 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 8% 11.80    
10  LOVE ME NOT Jan16 Jul20 Jun22 May25 Mar10 (diodoro rob)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 20.00    
11  CAMARO Z Dec28 Jun01 Mar02 Feb03 Jan13 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00    
12  SMOKEY MANDATE Dec26 Nov28 Oct07 Dec23 Nov26 (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.50    
SCR  RISING EMPIRE Jan25 Jan03 Mar23 Feb17 Jan20 (ramirez-rodrigu)MCMAHON J 120 8.00    
 
FG-9   02/22/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BILLY'S GOT ISSUES Jan17 Oct05 Aug23 Jul14 May26 (handal raymond)CURTIS BEN 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
2  WHOLE LOTTA LUTE Feb13 Dec26 Oct13 Jun22 Apr13 (munoz yovani)PEREZ CARLOS 117 20.00    
3  TIVERTON (GB) Feb01 Feb01 Jan05 Jan02 Dec15 (delacruz meji)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
4  JOEYBONES Feb01 Jan05 Dec15 Nov23 Oct22 (carter ange)ASTUDILLO FELIX 117 15.00    
5  COUNTRY CUT Jan05 Dec15 Nov23 Sep16 Aug28 (burkes bobby)SMITH R 122 30.00    
6  CORKED Feb01 Jan16 Oct16 Sep09 Aug13 (thompson kev)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 30.00    
7  DAPPER DUDE Feb01 Dec07 Nov02 Jul21 Jun30 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00    
8  MOONOVERMONTGOMERY Feb01 Jan05 Dec15 Oct16 Aug10 (sanchez c)MCMAHON J 122 3.50 7% 12.90    
9  BOBBY MERLOT Jan30 Jan17 Jan02 Dec11 Nov27 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 122 10.00    
10  STARSTUDDED AFFAIR Sep24 Aug17 Jul05 Jun05 May14 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  MUNTALIQ Feb08 Jan10 Aug03 Jul06 Jun09 (flugence henry)GREEN AUBRIE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.