Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fair Grounds
Thursday - January 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-6   TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-2-4 $5.25 $2.25 75%
FG-7   EXA (1/9/2/7/4)-(1/9/2/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-4 $24.00 $4.00 20%
    TRI (1/9/2/7/4)-(1/9/2/7/4)-(1/9/2/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00  1-4-9 $58.75 $28.75 96%
FG-8   TRI (8/10/11/5/2)-(8/10/11/5/2)-(8/10/11/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00  10-11-5 $43.25 $13.25 44%
    SFT (8/10/11/5/2)-(8/10/11/5/2)-(8/10/11/5/2)-(8/10/11/5/2) 120 $0.10 $12.00  10-11-5-8 $40.68 $28.68 239%

Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   01/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:151 1:284   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS KENNEDY 3 2 1nk 11 1½ 1 1¾ (duke steve)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00 3.20  
AVERI EVER AFTER 1 7 6 6 6 32 2¾ (duke steven)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 5% 19.00 26.30 P
FITTS N STARTS 2 5 5 53 4 5 3¾ (peterson j)ALBERT S 121 8.00 5% 19.00 10.80 S
OUR LITTLE GIRL 6 6 77 7 5 2 41 (schwandt e)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 5.00 9.70  
STRAWBERRY SUNDAE 5 1 2nk 21 2½ 4 5 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 1.80 47% 1.10 2.30  
SHE'S GONE D'WILD 4 3 31 32 33 6 6 (gibson jonas)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 25% 3.00 2.10  
REALITOS 7 4 42 43 7 711 717¼ (savoie sherman)SINGH R 121 6.00 6.10  
 
FG-2   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:221 :46 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL ABOUT TONITE 1 2 1½ 1½   14 1 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.50 27% 2.70 1.50 W
WHISKEY AND EASY 6 1 3 3   24 2 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.00 4.40  
ITZCOATL 2 6 45 4   4 36 (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 3.00 17% 4.80 2.40 S
MANNY'S KAT 3 4 2½ 2½   34 46 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00 23% 3.30 5.40  
LOVE A FIGHTER 4 5 56 59   511 513 (morrell cy)ALBERT S 122 15.00 90.80  
CORKED 7 3 7 612½   614 613½ (thompson kevin)RIQUELME J 122 10.00 5% 19.00 35.50  
COME ON COME ON 8 7 8 713   718 726 (hirdes john)ASTUDILLO FELIX 117 20.00 ######  
SHAMAN SEZ 5 8 69 814   820½ 830¾ (robertson mc)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 8.00 5.80  
 
FG-3   01/16/2025 5490ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:14 1:404   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDYBELLE 5 1 1nk 1½ 1nk 1 1¼ (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.00 4.20  
AMADORA'S EMPIRE 2 2 4 3 31 2 2¼ (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.00 37% 1.70 1.80 P
FUN TO RUN 6 5 2nk 2½ 2nk 33 36 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 3.10  
CAROLINA SMOKESHOW 4 3 5 55 4 4 411¼ (beckman wh)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 32% 2.10 1.90  
TALKSALOT 3 4 32 4 5 59 512 (desormeau)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 38.10  
MIDNIGHT BLAZE 1 6 610¼ 611½ 611¾ 612 612½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 16.30  
 
FG-4   01/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:154 1:44   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WALKSONWATER 4 6 65 65 42 32 1 (devaux adriann)GREEN AUBRIE 125 5.00 7.60  
  (by TRUST FACTOR out of AQUALANE SHORES by FRIENDS LAKE)
GOLDZONE 1 1 3½ 2 2nk 1nk 2 (delhomme )PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 2.50 31% 2.20 2.40 P
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TUJUACAGOFAST by BWANA CHARLIE)
MO DIVA 6 4 5 4 3½ 2nk 35 (david sam )MURRILL MITCHELL 125 3.00 43% 1.40 0.90 S
  (by MO TOM out of DISTINCT DIVA by WITH DISTINCTION)
CLEARLY BELLA 2 7 710 7 53 43 4 (flugen)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 12.00 5% 19.00 38.40  
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of BELLA CANZONE by GIO PONTI)
WILLIAM'S LEGACY 5 3 1½ 1 1nk 5 519 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 125 3.00 5% 19.00 3.60  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MISS MATZOBALL by SMOKE GLACKEN)
PERFECT DIXIE LADY 7 2 2½ 32 68 636½ 672½ (duhon o)RIQUELME J 117 20.00 32.00  
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of PERFECT SOUTHERNER by DIXIELAND BAND)
REESE'S WORLD 3 5 41 54 714 752½ 7100 (zeringue j)JOURNET JARRED 117 20.00 59.70  
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of CASANOVA KIDDO by LANGFUHR)
SCR  MALLORY UNBRIDLED               (zenon she)HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00    
  (by TIME BANDIT out of UNBRIDLED ACTION by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
FG-5   01/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($61K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:114 1:382   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENCINO 3 1 11 1½ 1½ 1½ 11 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.20 39% 1.60 0.10 W
ACCRETIVE 4 4 21 2½ 2½ 2½ 21 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 32% 2.10 6.80 P
CONFIDENCE GAME 2 3 4 42 32 33 3 (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 120 10.00 6.30  
LOVE ME NOT 1 2 3 3 4 411 419¾ (diodoro robe)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00 5% 19.00 20.80  
SCR  CALL ME FAST               (sharp joe)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.00    
SCR  GIANT GAME               (eurton peter)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
 
FG-6   01/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($61K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:13 1:39   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEHEMAH STAR 1 4 11 11 11 11 1¾ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 1.80 43% 1.30 1.00 W
HIGHLAND CREEK 2 2 32 3 32 21 2¾ (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 121 4.00 24% 3.10 3.80 P
BENOIT 3 5 21 21 21 3 3 (duhon o)GRAHAM J 121 6.00 5% 19.00 3.60 S
WOODS N WATER 4 1 5 5 56 5 413¾ (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 121 3.00 3.00  
SONYA KNOWS BETTER 5 3 44 4 44 4 513¾ (breaux sa)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 24.00  
SCR  HIGHLY WICKED               (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 116 6.00    
SCR  MI SOLUTION               (bourgeois )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 15.00    
 
FG-7   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($59K) 3 F PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:223 :471 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POWDERED SUGAR 1 6 5 2½   13 1 (beckman whitwo)CURTIS BEN 119 2.50 35% 1.90 0.70 W
INCOGNITO BURRITO 4 3 3 42   5 2 (landry r)THORNTON G 122 8.00 5% 19.00 30.30 P
BET TOWINIT 9 1 1nk 31   23 3 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 119 4.50 34% 1.90 6.70 S
BAYTOWN BOUJEE 6 8 7 7   7 4 (forster gr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00 28.00  
MAJESTIC RAGS 3 5 6 53   34 5 (gelner jayde)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 28.90  
HONOR HIS HALF 8 4 4 63   65 69 (rodriguez )WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 20.00 98.30  
MISCHIEF PRINCESS 5 2 2nk 1½   44 7 (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 10.00  
ELSIE NO NACK 7 7 8 812   831½ 850¾ (david b)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 35.00  
FAST FLAME 2 9 911 918   943½ 971¾ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 7% 14.30 2.40  
 
FG-8   01/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:23 :463 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  JOEJOE GO 6 1 4 4   1 1 (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 30% 2.30 1.60 W
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of MOON RAINBOW by SMART STRIKE)
11  MOTEL PATEL 7 2 2nk 1nk   2 2 (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 120 6.00 8% 10.80 4.70 P
  (by VOLATILE out of SCAT'S LASSIE by SCAT DADDY)
TODO MEN 3 5 7 6   44 37 (morley tho)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 5% 19.00 15.10 S
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GOLDEN CROWN by T. H. APPROVAL)
PROUDLY HAILED (GB) 4 9 9 8   7 47 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 32% 2.10 4.00  
  (by MEHMAS out of SPANGLED by KRIS S.)
14  CAT FAST 9 7 3½ 2nk   32 5 (amoss thoma)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 5.00 5.50  
  (by MCKINZIE out of QUICKEST by FOREST WILDCAT)
ONE IMPROBABLE 2 3 1nk 3½   5 69 (black d)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 47.00  
  (by IMPROBABLE out of REAL SISTER by INTO MISCHIEF)
13  THIS IS YOUR TIME 8 6 52 5   66 710 (foley greg)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.50 12.20  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SCONNIE by TIZNOW)
CROOKED BULLET 1 4 63 74   89 813 (scherer e)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of DISTORTED POINT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
OUR SLICEOF HEAVEN 5 8 8 9   915 924¾ (mickelson j)ASTUDILLO FELIX 115 20.00 92.60  
  (by GET STORMY out of LET HER MONEY GO by WHYWHYWHY)
SCR  DUNE A VETTA               (west henr)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
  (by INSPEIGHTOFTHEDOG out of CLONTARF by BELLAMY ROAD)
SCR  MEGA MAGIC               (stall albe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of MAGICAL MOON by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  REGAINED POWER               (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 120 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of REINA MARIA by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SCR  RESTORE (FR)               (stewart dallas)ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MOLLY CORBIN by WAR FRONT)
SCR  SPEEDINI               (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of ETSU by SMART STRIKE)
 
FG-9   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:223 :474 1:002     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS POM POM 8 4 34 2   13 1 (forster gr)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 2.50 37% 1.70 1.00 W
ELODINE 7 3 44 4   23 2 (lopez elias)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 3.00 14% 6.20 4.10 P
SHEHASANATTITUDE 2 2 2 3   34 3 (husak gary )ASTUDILLO FELIX 119 20.00 64.10  
LYNNA 6 8 910 6   6 4 (cohn g)GRAHAM J 124 8.00 24.30  
PURE HICKORY 1 9 77 5   5 5 (robertson mc)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 8.00 13% 6.90 6.00  
MY SOUTHERN GIRL 3 7 6 7   7 613 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 124 3.50 15% 5.90 3.30  
NEVER WALK ALONE 4 5 1 1   4 718½ (tillis)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 12.00 5% 19.00 14.10  
OH I GIGGLE 9 6 8 9   813½ 836¾ (tracy tanner)COHEN DAVID 124 8.00 33.00  
ACCELERATEDVICTORY 5 1 5 8   916 937¾ (peterson j)ALBERT S 124 20.00 ######  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.