Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - January 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (5/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/1)-(5/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/1)-(5/4/2/1)-(5/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/2/1)-(1/3/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2/1)-(1/3/2/7)-(2/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-2   WIN (1/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/7)-(1/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/7)-(1/3/2/7)-(1/3/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/2/7)-(2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2/7)-(2/4/1)-(7/2/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-3   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(7/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(7/2/6/3)-(4/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-4   WIN (7/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/3)-(7/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/3)-(7/2/6/3)-(7/2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/6/3)-(4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6/3)-(4/5/2)-(1/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-5   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(1/2/4)-(1/9/2/7/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-6   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(1/9/2/7/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(1/9/2/7/4)-(8/10/11/5/2) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
FG-7   WIN (1/9/2/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/2/7/4)-(1/9/2/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/2/7/4)-(1/9/2/7/4)-(1/9/2/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/9/2/7/4)-(8/10/11/5/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/9/2/7/4)-(8/10/11/5/2)-(8/3/7/1/4) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
FG-8   WIN (8/10/11/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/11/5/2)-(8/10/11/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/11/5/2)-(8/10/11/5/2)-(8/10/11/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/10/11/5/2)-(8/3/7/1/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
FG-9   WIN (8/3/7/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/7/1/4)-(8/3/7/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/7/1/4)-(8/3/7/1/4)-(8/3/7/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AVERI EVER AFTER Dec12 Nov22 Sep17 Aug14 Jul03 (duke steven)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  FITTS N STARTS Dec12 Oct26 Aug14 Jul02 May15 (peterson j)ALBERT S 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  MISS KENNEDY Dec05 Sep24 Aug19 Jul16 Jun17 (duke steve)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00    
4  SHE'S GONE D'WILD Sep17 Aug14 Jul03 Jun04 Apr30 (gibson jonas)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 25% 3.00    
5  STRAWBERRY SUNDAE Sep17 Sep02 Aug14 Jul23 Jul01 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 1.80 47% 1.10    
6  OUR LITTLE GIRL Dec12 Oct23 Jul15 Jun05 May08 (schwandt e)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 5.00    
7  REALITOS Dec12 Sep09 Aug12 Jun17 May08 (savoie sherman)SINGH R 121 6.00    
 
FG-2   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL ABOUT TONITE Dec26 Dec05 Nov23 Nov02 Oct17 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
2  ITZCOATL Dec26 Nov23 Nov01 Aug24 Jul25 (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
3  MANNY'S KAT Dec26 Dec08 Sep11 Jul24 May20 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
4  LOVE A FIGHTER Dec27 Jun08 May15 Apr11 Feb16 (morrell cy)ALBERT S 122 15.00    
5  SHAMAN SEZ Dec20 Oct13 Sep02 Aug17 Jul11 (robertson mc)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 8.00    
6  WHISKEY AND EASY Dec26 Dec05 Aug22 Jul11 May09 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.00    
7  CORKED Oct16 Sep09 Aug13 Jul24 May04 (thompson kevin)RIQUELME J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  COME ON COME ON Dec26 Dec05 Sep24 Sep09 Aug19 (hirdes john)ASTUDILLO FELIX 117 20.00    
 
FG-3   01/16/2025 5490ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT BLAZE Dec06 Nov15 Aug12     (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  AMADORA'S EMPIRE Dec15         (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
3  TALKSALOT Jan02 Dec05 Nov24 Nov02 Sep28 (desormeau)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
4  CAROLINA SMOKESHOW Nov21 Oct27 Sep26     (beckman wh)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
5  CANDYBELLE Dec12         (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.00    
6  FUN TO RUN Nov27 Oct30 Oct02 Aug31 Jul27 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 3.50    
 
FG-4   01/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MALLORY UNBRIDLED Dec20 Nov21 Sep14 Aug22 Jul05 (zenon she)HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00    
  (by TIME BANDIT out of UNBRIDLED ACTION by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  GOLDZONE Dec20 Mar21 Feb29     (delhomme )PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TUJUACAGOFAST by BWANA CHARLIE)
3  CLEARLY BELLA Dec06 Nov16 Oct25     (flugen)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of BELLA CANZONE by GIO PONTI)
4  REESE'S WORLD Dec29         (zeringue j)JOURNET JARRED 117 20.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of CASANOVA KIDDO by LANGFUHR)
5  WALKSONWATER Mar20 Feb29       (devaux adriann)GREEN AUBRIE 125 5.00    
  (by TRUST FACTOR out of AQUALANE SHORES by FRIENDS LAKE)
6  WILLIAM'S LEGACY Dec20 Nov29 Oct16     (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 125 3.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MISS MATZOBALL by SMOKE GLACKEN)
7  MO DIVA Nov29 Mar21 Feb09 Jan19 Nov18 (david sam )MURRILL MITCHELL 125 3.00 43% 1.40    
  (by MO TOM out of DISTINCT DIVA by WITH DISTINCTION)
8  PERFECT DIXIE LADY Jan01 Dec12 Oct25     (duhon o)RIQUELME J 117 20.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of PERFECT SOUTHERNER by DIXIELAND BAND)
 
FG-5   01/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($61K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CALL ME FAST Dec26 Dec01 Oct20 Aug31 Jul21 (sharp joe)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.00    
2  LOVE ME NOT Jul20 Jun22 May25 Mar10 Dec02 (diodoro robe)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  CONFIDENCE GAME Dec21 Sep12 Jul05 Jun14 May11 (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 120 10.00    
4  ENCINO Apr13 Mar02 Jan26 Dec29   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.20 39% 1.60    
5  ACCRETIVE Dec01 Nov09 Aug31 Jul26 Jun08 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  GIANT GAME Oct27 Sep15 Aug11 Jul27 Jun12 (eurton peter)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
 
FG-6   01/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($61K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEHEMAH STAR Dec14 Nov23 Aug31 Jun01 May03 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 1.80 43% 1.30    
2  HIGHLAND CREEK Dec14 Nov23 Oct18 Jun01 Apr13 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 121 4.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  HIGHLY WICKED Dec14 Nov23 Aug10 Jun08 Mar02 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 116 6.00    
4  BENOIT Dec14 Nov23 Sep25 Jul19 Jun01 (duhon o)GRAHAM J 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  WOODS N WATER Dec14 Nov15 Oct25 Oct02 Aug31 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 121 3.00    
SCR  MI SOLUTION Dec14 Nov22 Mar14 Feb29 Jan13 (bourgeois )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 15.00    
7  SONYA KNOWS BETTER Dec27 Dec14 Dec05 Oct11 Aug16 (breaux sa)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00    
 
FG-7   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($59K) 3 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWDERED SUGAR Dec14 Nov22 Sep26 Aug26   (beckman whitwo)CURTIS BEN 119 2.50 35% 1.90    
2  FAST FLAME Dec14 Nov22       (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 7% 14.30    
3  MAJESTIC RAGS Nov23 Oct26 Oct12     (gelner jayde)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00    
4  INCOGNITO BURRITO Dec29 Dec06       (landry r)THORNTON G 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MISCHIEF PRINCESS Dec29 Nov23 Sep24 Jul23   (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00    
6  BAYTOWN BOUJEE Nov14 Jul13 Jun09     (forster gr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00    
7  ELSIE NO NACK Dec12         (david b)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  HONOR HIS HALF Dec07         (rodriguez )WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 20.00    
9  BET TOWINIT Dec29 Dec06       (landry ray)FUSILIER C 119 4.50 34% 1.90    
 
FG-8   01/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REGAINED POWER         (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 120 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of REINA MARIA by SONGANDAPRAYER)
2  CROOKED BULLET Oct30 Oct06 Aug31     (scherer e)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of DISTORTED POINT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  ONE IMPROBABLE Dec19 Nov05 Oct19     (black d)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of REAL SISTER by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  RESTORE (FR) Dec19 Oct19 Aug31 Jul27   (stewart dallas)ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MOLLY CORBIN by WAR FRONT)
5  TODO MEN Dec19         (morley tho)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GOLDEN CROWN by T. H. APPROVAL)
SCR  MEGA MAGIC         (stall albe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of MAGICAL MOON by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  SPEEDINI         (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of ETSU by SMART STRIKE)
8  PROUDLY HAILED (GB)         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by MEHMAS out of SPANGLED by KRIS S.)
9  OUR SLICEOF HEAVEN         (mickelson j)ASTUDILLO FELIX 115 20.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of LET HER MONEY GO by WHYWHYWHY)
10  JOEJOE GO Dec19         (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 30% 2.30    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of MOON RAINBOW by SMART STRIKE)
11  MOTEL PATEL Dec14 Nov14       (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 120 6.00 8% 10.80    
  (by VOLATILE out of SCAT'S LASSIE by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  DUNE A VETTA Dec21         (west henr)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
  (by INSPEIGHTOFTHEDOG out of CLONTARF by BELLAMY ROAD)
13  THIS IS YOUR TIME         (foley greg)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SCONNIE by TIZNOW)
14  CAT FAST         (amoss thoma)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 5.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of QUICKEST by FOREST WILDCAT)
 
FG-9   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURE HICKORY Dec20 Oct03       (robertson mc)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 8.00 13% 6.90    
2  SHEHASANATTITUDE Dec04 Mar07 Feb21     (husak gary )ASTUDILLO FELIX 119 20.00    
3  MY SOUTHERN GIRL Aug23 Jul20 Jun15 Mar13 Feb18 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 124 3.50 15% 5.90    
4  NEVER WALK ALONE Dec26 Dec07 Aug10 Aug01 Jun15 (tillis)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  ACCELERATEDVICTORY Dec06 Sep26 Jul26 Jun29 Jun20 (peterson j)ALBERT S 124 20.00    
6  LYNNA Dec26 Dec06 Aug23 Jul29 Apr19 (cohn g)GRAHAM J 124 8.00    
7  ELODINE Dec26 Dec06 Oct17 Sep19 Aug25 (lopez elias)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 3.00 14% 6.20    
8  PRINCESS POM POM Jan04 Nov13 Oct24 Sep29 Sep04 (forster gr)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
9  OH I GIGGLE Dec26 Dec06       (tracy tanner)COHEN DAVID 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.