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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Churchill Downs
Saturday - April 26, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CD-4			WIN	(6/5/7)						3	$2.00	$6.00	5		$13.56			$7.56				126%
			EXA	(6/5/7)-(6/5/7)						6	$2.00	$12.00	5-6		$26.40			$14.40				120%
CD-5			DD	(6/5/7)-(4/2/5/1)						12	$1.00	$12.00	5-4		$19.01			$7.01				58%
CD-7			EXA	(8/5/6/1)-(8/5/6/1)						12	$2.00	$24.00	8-1		$56.64			$32.64				136%
CD-8			WIN	(1/3/9/4/5)						5	$2.00	$10.00	4		$14.98			$4.98				50%
			EXA	(1/3/9/4/5)-(1/3/9/4/5)						20	$2.00	$40.00	4-9		$65.86			$25.86				65%
			DD	(8/5/6/1)-(1/3/9/4/5)						20	$1.00	$20.00	8-4		$27.94			$7.94				40%
CD-10			EXA	(10/8/9/7)-(10/8/9/7/1)						16	$2.00	$32.00	8-9		$38.98			$6.98				22%
			TRI	(10/8/9/7)-(10/8/9/7/1)-(10/8/9/7/1)						48	$0.50	$24.00	8-9-1		$58.75			$34.75				145%
			SFT	(10/8/9/7)-(10/8/9/7/1)-(10/8/9/7/1)-(10/8/9/7/1)						96	$0.10	$9.60	8-9-1-7		$45.54			$35.94				374%

Simulator Race results


CD-1			04/26/2025		5280ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($12.5K)					Purse ($45K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 5:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
10	METATRON'S MUSE									(sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118						8.00						2.27
8	HOODLUM									(stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118						3.00		20%		4.00		1.77	P
11	NOAHS ARK (IRE)									(norris mike)SAEZ GABRIEL 118						20.00		6%		16.30		32.92	S
1	TIBERIUS MERCURIUS									(esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 118						4.00		19%		4.30		3.35
5	PERUVIAN LUCKY									(cook b)MONCADA IRVING 113						5.00		29%		2.40		3.92
4	READY PURSUIT									(gonzalez re)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118						15.00						52.93
6	IMPROBABLE STORY									(king barr)LEPAROUX R 118						20.00		5%		19.00		47.20
9	I AM THE GAME									(chavez manue)BARBOSA CARLOS 118						15.00						42.18
2	WHERE IS LISA									(antonuik)RODRIGUEZ A 118						30.00						43.57
SCR	COYOTE ROAD									(hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 118						8.00
SCR	SYNTHESIS									(jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 118						3.50

CD-2			04/26/2025		5280ft	TURF	RC3	FIRM	Alw Opt Clm ($100K)					Purse ($141K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 5:28
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	MISSION OF JOY									(motion grah)ORTIZ JR 123						1.80		49%		1.00		0.59	W
3	LUCKY SPEECH									(sharp joe)ORTIZ L 123						5.00		17%		4.80		2.74	P
2	NEVERWALKALONE (BRZ)									(lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 123						10.00		12%		7.20		3.23	S
1	JILL JITTERBUG									(walsh ryan)CORRALES GERARDO 123						20.00						22.70
6	VINOS ANGEL									(bahena ismae)CALLEJA ANDRES 123						30.00						24.98
SCR	JUSTIFIABLE BELLE									(wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 123						3.00
SCR	NO MO CANDY									(joseph sa)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123						2.00

CD-3			04/26/2025		4620ft	DIRT	RC9	FAST	Starter Allowance ($30K)					Purse ($62K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 5:56
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	BOLT ON THE ROCKS									(hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 124						5.00						6.31
3	NEXT UP									(sims p)MACHADO LUAN 118						3.50		48%		1.10		3.48	P
7	CREATIVE QUALITY									(foster eric)ORTIZ JR 124						2.50						2.20
8	BIG DIG									(bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 124						4.00						7.57
1	CERVARO DELLA SALA (GB)									(meah m)SAEZ LUIS 124						3.00		21%		3.70		5.84
6	BEACH BUNNY									(habeeb donal)MONCADA IRVING 119						15.00						6.41
5	ASK AMANDA									(bahena ism)CORRALES GERARDO 124						20.00		7%		12.50		23.53
4	LOU ANNA									(mccutchen jas)CANNON DECLAN 124						15.00		5%		19.00		8.75

CD-4			04/26/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($127K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 6:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	TWIRL AROUND									(foley greg)ORTIZ JR 124						3.50		12%		7.50		5.78	W
6	SUNDANCE FEATURE									(drury jr)SAEZ LUIS 124						2.00		55%		0.80		0.49	P
1	OUR KEEPSAKE									(lukas wayne)JUAREZ NIK 124						4.50						5.28
7	LORD I WONDER									(stall albert)GEROUX FLORENT 124						6.00		5%		19.00		4.48
2	LAURIE'S SECRET									(stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 124						15.00						17.31
SCR	OUTRAGEOUSLY									(blair jordan)MACHADO LUAN 124						12.00
SCR	SAM'S TREASURE									(ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 124						3.00

CD-5			04/26/2025		5610ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($20K)					Purse ($58K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 6:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	CAROLO RAPIDO									(maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 125						2.50		30%		2.30		1.01	W
7	EVENING NEWS									(spicer ja)HERNANDEZ J 125						5.00						8.77
2	MUCHO MOJO									(blair jordan)SAEZ LUIS 125						4.00		17%		4.80		4.13	S
3	OUR DREAM RYE'D									(asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 125						5.00						8.15
1	REDFIELD									(watkins m)MCKEE J 125						15.00		5%		19.00		31.37
6	FORGE IN FIRE									(bahena ism)CORRALES GERARDO 125						3.50						4.45
5	PATROLMAN									(esquivel jes)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125						8.00		16%		5.50		15.47
8	CRIMINAL DEFENSE									(barnett c)GRAHAM J 125						20.00						27.30
SCR	SUCCESSION GOLD									(orantes jo)HERNANDEZ N 125						20.00

CD-6			04/26/2025		4290ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($50K)					Purse ($67K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 8:04
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	HOLSTER									(johnston lane )SAEZ GABRIEL 125						4.50						4.21
10	SINISTER SMILE									(puhich mike)CANNON DECLAN 118						3.50		57%		0.80		4.18	P
2	SHADOW COAST									(stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 118						5.00						4.70
4	TAPAKENA									(lynch brian )MONCADA IRVING 120						4.00		12%		7.20		3.05
9	DAIQUIRI SOMMELIER									(stall m)MACHADO LUAN 118						10.00						5.06
11	CLASSY WAR									(casse mark)ORTIZ L 118						5.00		8%		11.90		10.89
6	SKYNET									(barrett rod)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118						20.00						32.60
7	DEMAND									(medina robert)ROSARIO JOEL 118						20.00						44.97
12	STRATEGIST									(romero grego)CALLEJA ANDRES 118						30.00						62.74
5	LEMON SOHN									(schultz l)HERNANDEZ J 118						12.00		5%		19.00		14.95
8	TUN TAVERN									(vosler s)SERPA ANGEL 118						30.00		5%		19.00		36.34
SCR	POP PAUL									(hess b)LEPAROUX R 118						15.00

CD-7			04/26/2025		6600ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($92K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 8:37
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	VINO TIEMPO									(vance d)LANERIE J 118						5.00		26%		2.90		2.54	W
		(by VINO ROSSO out of ROKSANA by ESKENDEREYA)
1	ANTONIA'S FLOWERS									(sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118						8.00		5%		19.00		8.25	P
		(by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of PARIS AMOUR by FROSTED)
4	CHURNING BERNI									(jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 126						4.00						2.05
		(by BERNARDINI out of ABUNDANT FLURRY by MIDSHIPMAN)
6	ASHES AND DIAMONDS									(sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118						4.50		15%		5.70		4.12
		(by HONOR A. P. out of REGAL PASSAGE by VIOLENCE)
7	MADDIENLIZZYSHONOR									(ortiz joh)LEPAROUX R 118						12.00						17.02
		(by HONOR A. P. out of BUSY LISTENING by DEHERE)
5	KISS ME AGAIN									(blair jordan)MONCADA IRVING 121						3.50		20%		4.10		3.82
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of FUHRIOUSLY KISSED by LANGFUHR)
3	HALFIN									(humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 118						15.00						26.61
		(by FLATTER out of SPLASH HIT by FLOWER ALLEY)
SCR	PLAZA CUE									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118						2.50
		(by SKY MESA out of SAMBA BREEZE by SUPER SAVER)

CD-8			04/26/2025		5610ft	TURF	RC7	FIRM	Claiming ($50K)					Purse ($76K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 9:09
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	BREAD TO RUN									(brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118						4.50		8%		11.40		6.49	W
9	LIFE ADVICE									(sharp joe)ORTIZ L 125						5.00		19%		4.20		3.40	P
8	ANGEL OF FAITH									(asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 125						4.00						6.72
10	HOLD MY HALO									(miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 125						15.00						20.35
5	SWEET VOYAGE									(hiles a)LANERIE J 125						15.00		5%		19.00		10.10
3	FAIRE PLAISIR									(king barr)LEPAROUX R 125						8.00		25%		3.00		10.23
1	SMOOTH WAVES									(foley greg)ORTIZ JR 125						3.50		26%		2.80		2.07
6	CHOATE									(nihei michelle)ACHARD ALEX 125						15.00						23.59
11	TIZNTSHELOVELY									(stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118						15.00						13.65
7	CHEYENNE MOON									(wiggins lon)SAEZ GABRIEL 125						15.00						15.16
SCR	MALIBU SMART									(hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 125						5.00
SCR	TACO CAT BACKWARDS									(troiani niccol)MACHADO LUAN 118						20.00
SCR	TALENT SHOW									(garcia gena)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118						6.00
SCR	WHAT IF									(bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 118						20.00

CD-9			04/26/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC11	FAST	Roxelana					Purse ($200K)			4UP		M/F		PT- 9:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	MINK'S PALACE									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118						4.00						4.03
		(by PALACE MALICE out of SCATTERING MINK by SCAT DADDY)
4	TRIPOLINA									(hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 118						10.00		26%		2.90		16.20	P
		(by CONSTITUTION out of BALLYKISS by STREET BOSS)
6	HARBOR SPRINGS									(foley greg)ORTIZ JR 118						3.00		44%		1.30		1.32	S
		(by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of NORTHERN MICHIGAN by BROKEN VOW)
3	LADY MOSCATO									(lukas wayne)JUAREZ NIK 118						10.00		5%		19.00		15.69
		(by QUALITY ROAD out of THEYCALLMELADYLUCK by DIXIE UNION)
2	SANDY BOTTOM									(mccarthy micha)ROSARIO JOEL 118						2.50						2.42
		(by OMAHA BEACH out of STARLIT DAYDREAM by CAN THE MAN)
7	GIRLS WEEKEND									(beckman whi)CANNON DECLAN 118						12.00		5%		19.00		14.78
		(by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of ISLAND LOVE SONG by DEHERE)
1	NON VIOLENCE									(calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 118						4.50						8.01
		(by VIOLENCE out of SINGAVICTORYSONG by HARD SPUN)
SCR	MIUCCIA									(delgado gu)HERNANDEZ J 118						8.00
		(by MITOLE out of BAY HARBOR by SPEIGHTSTOWN)

CD-10			04/26/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($100K)					Purse ($72K)			3UP		ALL		PT-10:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	SHEPHERD									(mcpeek kenneth)ORTIZ L 118						4.50		25%		3.10		2.36	W
9	SERGEANT CAPPS									(capps st)RODRIGUEZ A 118						8.00		5%		19.00		11.69	P
1	STUDENY									(vance d)LANERIE J 118						6.00		★				8.34	S
7	WHERE Y'AT									(stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118						15.00		5%		19.00		3.81
6	OUTOFPI									(gonzalez re)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118						12.00						34.64
2	OUTDOOR CAT									(brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118						12.00						2.96
5	BERNIEDOTT									(stewart d)HERNANDEZ J 118						15.00						24.00
4	BIG ROG									(king barr)LEPAROUX R 118						20.00						22.17
10	VINO DOMINUS									(drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 113						6.00		49%		1.00		5.32
SCR	EVAN ON EARTH									(foley greg)ORTIZ JR 125						1.40



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.