Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - April 26, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (5/8/1/11/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $6.54  
CD-2   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.18 $3.18  
CD-3   Win (3/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $14.62  
CD-4   Win (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $13.56 $13.56 7.56
CD-5   Win (4/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.02 $4.02  
CD-6   Win (10/4/11/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $10.42  
CD-7   Win (8/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $7.08 $7.08  
CD-8   Win (1/3/9/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $14.98 $14.98 4.98
CD-9   Win (6/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $10.06  
CD-10   Win (10/8/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $6.72 $6.72  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   04/26/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:112 1:24   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  METATRON'S MUSE 8 7 5 5 4 1 1 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 2.27  
HOODLUM 6 4 3.2 2nk 1nk 2 2 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 20% 4.00 1.77 P
11  NOAHS ARK (IRE) 9 5 4 4 3 3 3 (norris mike)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00 6% 16.30 32.92 S
TIBERIUS MERCURIUS 1 9 98 9 66 5 4 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 19% 4.30 3.35  
PERUVIAN LUCKY 4 1 1nk 1nk 2nk 4 5 (cook b)MONCADA IRVING 113 5.00 29% 2.40 3.92  
READY PURSUIT 3 8 8 8 79 7 617¼ (gonzalez re)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 15.00 52.93  
IMPROBABLE STORY 5 6 6 6 810 813¾ 723¼ (king barr)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 5% 19.00 47.20  
I AM THE GAME 7 3 2nk 3½ 54 6 824¾ (chavez manue)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 15.00 42.18  
WHERE IS LISA 2 2 7 7 912 914¼ 926¾ (antonuik)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00 43.57  
SCR  COYOTE ROAD               (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 118 8.00    
SCR  SYNTHESIS               (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
 
CD-2   04/26/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:28
See original race card.
:242 :494 1:134 1:25   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSION OF JOY 4 1 4 53 42 31 11 (motion grah)ORTIZ JR 123 1.80 49% 1.00 0.59 W
LUCKY SPEECH 3 3 21 21 2½ 1nk 21 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 123 5.00 17% 4.80 2.74 P
NEVERWALKALONE (BRZ) 2 4 32 32 32 4 3 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 123 10.00 12% 7.20 3.23 S
JILL JITTERBUG 1 2 11 11 1½ 2nk 4 (walsh ryan)CORRALES GERARDO 123 20.00 22.70  
VINOS ANGEL 5 5 53 4 5 5 5 (bahena ismae)CALLEJA ANDRES 123 30.00 24.98  
SCR  JUSTIFIABLE BELLE               (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00    
SCR  NO MO CANDY               (joseph sa)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 2.00    
 
CD-3   04/26/2025 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:56
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:102     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLT ON THE ROCKS 2 2 1 11   1 1 (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 124 5.00 6.31  
NEXT UP 3 1 7 8   58 2 (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50 48% 1.10 3.48 P
CREATIVE QUALITY 7 6 3 3   2 3 (foster eric)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 2.20  
BIG DIG 8 5 5 43   4 46 (bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 124 4.00 7.57  
CERVARO DELLA SALA (GB) 1 7 2 21   3 5 (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 21% 3.70 5.84  
BEACH BUNNY 6 8 8 5   6 611¾ (habeeb donal)MONCADA IRVING 119 15.00 6.41  
ASK AMANDA 5 3 6 65   713¼ 719¼ (bahena ism)CORRALES GERARDO 124 20.00 7% 12.50 23.53  
LOU ANNA 4 4 4 7   815¼ 832¾ (mccutchen jas)CANNON DECLAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 8.75  
 
CD-4   04/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:26
See original race card.
:22 :45 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWIRL AROUND 3 1 11 1   13 1 (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 12% 7.50 5.78 W
SUNDANCE FEATURE 4 3 21 4   44 2 (drury jr)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.00 55% 0.80 0.49 P
OUR KEEPSAKE 1 4 3 3   33 3 (lukas wayne)JUAREZ NIK 124 4.50 5.28  
LORD I WONDER 5 2 4 2   23 4 (stall albert)GEROUX FLORENT 124 6.00 5% 19.00 4.48  
LAURIE'S SECRET 2 5 5 5   510 516¼ (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00 17.31  
SCR  OUTRAGEOUSLY               (blair jordan)MACHADO LUAN 124 12.00    
SCR  SAM'S TREASURE               (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.00    
 
CD-5   04/26/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:131 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAROLO RAPIDO 4 7 6 6 6 35 1hd (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 125 2.50 30% 2.30 1.01 W
EVENING NEWS 7 3 2 1 1 13 2hd (spicer ja)HERNANDEZ J 125 5.00 8.77  
MUCHO MOJO 2 4 4 44 2 23 3 (blair jordan)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.00 17% 4.80 4.13 S
OUR DREAM RYE'D 3 5 5 5 4 45 44 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 125 5.00 8.15  
REDFIELD 1 1 1 2 3 5 514½ (watkins m)MCKEE J 125 15.00 5% 19.00 31.37  
FORGE IN FIRE 6 2 3 34 54 611 614¾ (bahena ism)CORRALES GERARDO 125 3.50 4.45  
PATROLMAN 5 6 77 7 76 711¼ 715½ (esquivel jes)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 8.00 16% 5.50 15.47  
CRIMINAL DEFENSE 8 8 8 813¾ 814½ 815¼ 822¼ (barnett c)GRAHAM J 125 20.00 27.30  
SCR  SUCCESSION GOLD               (orantes jo)HERNANDEZ N 125 20.00    
 
CD-6   04/26/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($67K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:04
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLSTER 2 2 21 21   1 15 (johnston lane )SAEZ GABRIEL 125 4.50 4.21  
10  SINISTER SMILE 9 4 53 65   35 25 (puhich mike)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.50 57% 0.80 4.18 P
SHADOW COAST 1 1 11 11   2 3 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 4.70  
TAPAKENA 3 10 106 98   78 4 (lynch brian )MONCADA IRVING 120 4.00 12% 7.20 3.05  
DAIQUIRI SOMMELIER 8 8 7 5   68 59 (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 5.06  
11  CLASSY WAR 10 3 42 4   46 611½ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 8% 11.90 10.89  
SKYNET 5 7 9 7   8 711½ (barrett rod)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 20.00 32.60  
DEMAND 6 5 3 3   5 813¼ (medina robert)ROSARIO JOEL 118 20.00 44.97  
12  STRATEGIST 11 9 6 87   1016½ 924½ (romero grego)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 30.00 62.74  
LEMON SOHN 4 6 8 108   914½ 1027¾ (schultz l)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 14.95  
TUN TAVERN 7 11 1112 1114½   1122½ 1133 (vosler s)SERPA ANGEL 118 30.00 5% 19.00 36.34  
SCR  POP PAUL               (hess b)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
 
CD-7   04/26/2025 6600ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:37
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:15 1:402   2:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINO TIEMPO 7 65 6 4 32 1nk 1 (vance d)LANERIE J 118 5.00 26% 2.90 2.54 W
  (by VINO ROSSO out of ROKSANA by ESKENDEREYA)
ANTONIA'S FLOWERS 1 32 3 32 1½ 2nk 2 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.25 P
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of PARIS AMOUR by FROSTED)
CHURNING BERNI 3 54 4 6 5 5 3 (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 126 4.00 2.05  
  (by BERNARDINI out of ABUNDANT FLURRY by MIDSHIPMAN)
ASHES AND DIAMONDS 5 1 1 11 2½ 3 4 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 15% 5.70 4.12  
  (by HONOR A. P. out of REGAL PASSAGE by VIOLENCE)
MADDIENLIZZYSHONOR 6 2 2 21 6 6 59 (ortiz joh)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 17.02  
  (by HONOR A. P. out of BUSY LISTENING by DEHERE)
KISS ME AGAIN 4 44 5 5 4 45 6 (blair jordan)MONCADA IRVING 121 3.50 20% 4.10 3.82  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FUHRIOUSLY KISSED by LANGFUHR)
HALFIN 2 7 7 74 7 7 717½ (humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 26.61  
  (by FLATTER out of SPLASH HIT by FLOWER ALLEY)
SCR  PLAZA CUE               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50    
  (by SKY MESA out of SAMBA BREEZE by SUPER SAVER)
 
CD-8   04/26/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:09
See original race card.
:23 :474 1:121 1:36   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREAD TO RUN 3 6 64 7 7 31 1½ (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 8% 11.40 6.49 W
LIFE ADVICE 8 3 1½ 1 1 1½ 2½ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 125 5.00 19% 4.20 3.40 P
ANGEL OF FAITH 7 1 2½ 2 2 2½ 3 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 125 4.00 6.72  
10  HOLD MY HALO 9 7 74 64 32 4 4 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 125 15.00 20.35  
SWEET VOYAGE 4 8 8 8 8 64 57 (hiles a)LANERIE J 125 15.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
FAIRE PLAISIR 2 10 1010½ 1010 1010¼ 8 67 (king barr)LEPAROUX R 125 8.00 25% 3.00 10.23  
SMOOTH WAVES 1 2 4 43 53 53 7 (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50 26% 2.80 2.07  
CHOATE 5 9 97 98 9 9 89 (nihei michelle)ACHARD ALEX 125 15.00 23.59  
11  TIZNTSHELOVELY 10 4 32 3 6 109 912¼ (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 13.65  
CHEYENNE MOON 6 5 53 5 42 7 1012¾ (wiggins lon)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 15.00 15.16  
SCR  MALIBU SMART               (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 125 5.00    
SCR  TACO CAT BACKWARDS               (troiani niccol)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
SCR  TALENT SHOW               (garcia gena)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 6.00    
SCR  WHAT IF               (bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00    
 
CD-9   04/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Roxelana Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:40
See original race card.
:214 :444 :564     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINK'S PALACE 7 1 3 2½   1½ 1½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 4.03  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of SCATTERING MINK by SCAT DADDY)
TRIPOLINA 4 4 76 7   6 2½ (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 26% 2.90 16.20 P
  (by CONSTITUTION out of BALLYKISS by STREET BOSS)
HARBOR SPRINGS 5 5 6 4   32 32 (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 44% 1.30 1.32 S
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of NORTHERN MICHIGAN by BROKEN VOW)
LADY MOSCATO 3 3 52 5   43 4 (lukas wayne)JUAREZ NIK 118 10.00 5% 19.00 15.69  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of THEYCALLMELADYLUCK by DIXIE UNION)
SANDY BOTTOM 2 7 11 1½   2½ 5 (mccarthy micha)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 2.42  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of STARLIT DAYDREAM by CAN THE MAN)
GIRLS WEEKEND 6 2 21 31   53 610 (beckman whi)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 14.78  
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of ISLAND LOVE SONG by DEHERE)
NON VIOLENCE 1 6 4 6   77 712¾ (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.50 8.01  
  (by VIOLENCE out of SINGAVICTORYSONG by HARD SPUN)
SCR  MIUCCIA               (delgado gu)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
  (by MITOLE out of BAY HARBOR by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
CD-10   04/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT-10:10
See original race card.
:221 :451 :572     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEPHERD 7 5 6 6   32 1 (mcpeek kenneth)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 25% 3.10 2.36 W
SERGEANT CAPPS 8 4 3 1nk   1nk 2 (capps st)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00 5% 19.00 11.69 P
STUDENY 1 2 11 2nk   2nk 34 (vance d)LANERIE J 118 6.00 8.34 S
WHERE Y'AT 6 3 21 3½   4 4 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 3.81  
OUTOFPI 5 7 5 43   55 5 (gonzalez re)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 12.00 34.64  
OUTDOOR CAT 2 9 9 7   6 610¼ (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 2.96  
BERNIEDOTT 4 1 88 910¼   7 710¾ (stewart d)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 24.00  
BIG ROG 3 8 7 8   912½ 817¾ (king barr)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 22.17  
10  VINO DOMINUS 9 6 42 54   811½ 929¾ (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 113 6.00 49% 1.00 5.32  
SCR  EVAN ON EARTH               (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 125 1.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.