Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - May 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-8   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $4.96 $0.96 24%
CD-9   WIN (3/6/2/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $11.72 $1.72 17%
    TRI (3/6/2/4/1)-(3/6/2/4/1)-(3/6/2/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00  6-3-4 $63.19 $33.19 111%
    SFT (3/6/2/4/1)-(3/6/2/4/1)-(3/6/2/4/1)-(3/6/2/4/1) 120 $0.10 $12.00  6-3-4-1 $63.64 $51.64 430%
    SHF (3/6/2/4/1)-(3/6/2/4/1)-(3/6/2/4/1)-(3/6/2/4/1)-(3/6/2/4/1) 120 $1.00 $120  6-3-4-1-2 $3745 $3625 3021%
    DD (1/3)-(3/6/2/4/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00  1-6 $11.90 $1.90 19%
CD-10   DD (3/6/2/4/1)-(4/10/8/6/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00  6-10 $25.60 $0.60 2%
    PK3 (1/3)-(3/6/2/4/1)-(4/10/8/6/7) 50 $0.50 $25.00  1-6-10 $26.39 $1.39 6%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:221 :451 :564     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TRUST ISSUES 2 5 41¼ 11½   12 11½ (lovell michelle)SAEZ LUIS 123 1.40 19% 4.20 0.71 W
3  CHANCE 3 2 3.2 31½   22 21½ (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 123 1.80 54% 0.80 2.75 P
1  SUMMONYOURCOURAGE 1 3 1nk 21½   33 36¾ (esquivel jesus)BEJARANO R 123 2.50 3.87  
5  COLORADO CRUISER 5 4 2nk 42½   46 47¼ (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 8.00 9.60  
4  ANDY'S CANDY 4 1 53¼ 55½   511 520½ (begley greg)DOYLE SOPHIE 123 12.00 5% 19.00 14.92  
 
CD-2   05/11/2025 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:122 1:371   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAVE TIME 1 5 32 31½ 41½ 2nk 1¾ (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 124 1.20 48% 1.10 1.04 W
2  FORESEEN 2 1 11½ 11 1½ 1nk 2¾ (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.00 1.53  
5  FAIRE PLAISIR 5 2 55½ 55 55½ 33½ 35¾ (king barr)LEPAROUX R 124 15.00 6% 14.70 15.57 S
3  CONDONE 3 6 42½ 41½ 31 47 414¼ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 124 5.00 12.17  
6  MIZMALICE 6 3 21½ 21 2½ 57¼ 515¼ (hiles rick)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 8.64  
4  HEART SPIN 4 4 68 68½ 69 612¼ 621 (navarrete anna)SANJUR SANTO 124 4.00 18% 4.70 10.12  
 
CD-3   05/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:22 :452 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CANDY LOVER 5 2 2½ 1nk   1½ 11¾ (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 2.69  
3  BOURBON SERENGETI 3 5 32 32½   33 21¾ (hiles rick)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 3.00 4.27  
1  WON HAPPY MAMA 1 1 1½ 2nk   2½ 32¼ (cunningham j)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 4.50 20% 4.10 3.08 S
2  JUST AN OPINION 2 4 43½ 44½   44½ 43½ (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 34% 2.00 2.26  
4  COPPER EM 4 6 55 55   55 54 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 3.50 17% 5.00 5.18  
6  ELLE'S DANCER 6 3 66 66   67 69 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 124 12.00 24.39  
SCR  LOOKATMYBUCKLE               (miller f)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-4   05/11/2025 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:12 1:35   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ADRASTEIA 3 8 89½ 810½ 75¾ 54 1hd (bogle fergus)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 9.22  
7  JUST BETTER 6 1 11½ 11½ 1½ 12½ 2hd (asmussen )DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 4.00 4.60  
3  RANDOM HARVEST (IRE) 2 2 43 44 41½ 22½ 31¾ (toner j)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 69% 0.40 1.45 S
8  SANCTIFY 7 4 32 33½ 31½ 43 42¾ (holsapple )HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 20.56  
2  BREEZING ALONG 1 6 21½ 21½ 2½ 32½ 53¼ (meah m)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00 5% 19.00 16.31  
5  WAVES OF MISCHIEF 4 3 64½ 66 53½ 65½ 66¼ (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 122 2.50 7% 13.10 1.95  
6  CATMINT 5 7 77 79 87¾ 89½ 79¾ (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 122 20.00 46.39  
9  PAINT ME PERFECT 8 5 54 55½ 63¾ 77½ 810¼ (lovell mich)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 14.30  
SCR  GHOSTLY GAL               (catalano )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 6.00 ★    
 
CD-5   05/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:121     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MOMBAYLA 4 11 116½ 106¾   43 11 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 124 4.50 38% 1.70 3.66 W
5  RUSH TO GLORY 5 5 83 54   1½ 21 (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 124 12.00 22.41  
2  MIDNIGHT MUSE 2 3 62¼ 64½   32½ 35 (gutierrez faus)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 9.54  
9  EVERMORE 9 7 93½ 85¼   64½ 45½ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 20.00 21.71  
7  JUSTTAKETHECANNOLI 7 1 11 12½   2½ 58¼ (mcgee paul)MONCADA IRVING 113 15.00 24.10  
10  MORINGA 10 9 104½ 95¾   86 68¾ (chavez manuel)BEJARANO R 124 15.00 6.93  
8  REIGN CHAMPAGNE 8 6 41¼ 22½   54½ 79¾ (scherer maria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00 9.61  
6  CRUISE MISSILE 6 4 21 44   75½ 812 (morse rand)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 25% 2.90 6.74  
12  TAKETHESILVER 12 10 72½ 117¼   99 914¼ (danner do)CORREA L 124 30.00 52.36  
11  CHANDON 11 8 52¼ 75   1011½ 1017½ (barker sco)HERNANDEZ A 118 30.00 5% 19.00 56.64  
1  ST. ALBANS RAID 1 2 31 33   1115 1128 (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00 9.82  
3  MINK STOLE 3 12 12100 12100   12100 12100 (ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.50 16% 5.10 2.35  
 
CD-6   05/11/2025 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:124 1:37   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RUNWITHHEART 3 4 22 21 1½ 11½ 11¼ (holsapple hutch)BOWEN ROCCO 120 15.00 15.60  
5  COPPERLITE 5 6 64½ 83¼ 53½ 42½ 21¼ (ramsey nolan)CURTIS BEN 118 3.00 56% 0.80 1.45 P
1  CASHMEUP 1 3 33 31½ 41½ 21½ 31¾ (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 1.46  
9  EXECUTIVE ACTION 8 1 43 42 31½ 32 43 (jacobson d)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 21% 3.80 8.57  
4  PROVEN HOPE 4 7 75 72¾ 63¾ 64½ 55½ (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 10.00 5% 19.00 7.71  
2  MIDNIGHT CHANNEL 2 8 86½ 52½ 84¾ 77 69 (van tho)TORRES A 118 20.00 39.05  
6  SIN PERMISO 6 5 12 11 2½ 54½ 710¼ (salazar marco)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 30.14  
7  ICARUS 7 2 54 62½ 74¾ 88½ 811¾ (van thoma)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 14.71  
SCR  EMBER               (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 8.00    
SCR  SWAGGISH               (cowans wil)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
 
CD-7   05/11/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :46 1:103 1:221   1:34   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  DIRECT CHANNEL 12 9 108½ 115 72¼ 21½ 1¾ (lynch bri)TORRES A 125 15.00 34.72  
  (by UNCLE MO out of ELOISA by TAPIT)
10  SWIRLING EIGHTS 10 4 33 41½ 1nk 11½ 2¾ (maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 ★ 12.73 P
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of HACHI by SEEKING THE DIA)
1  GEARING UP 1 1 43¼ 31 41½ 42 32 (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 6.00 7% 14.00 13.26 S
  (by BRAVAZO out of SWITCHING GEARS by TAPIT)
5  LEBOWSKI 5 7 97 62¾ 51¾ 32 42½ (asmussen )DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 13.61  
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of BECKY'S BEST by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  MARY'S LAD (IRE) 4 5 64¾ 72¾ 83¾ 74¾ 55¼ (beckman whitwo)CURTIS BEN 118 15.00 5.93  
  (by EARTHLIGHT out of GORGES by LE HAVRE)
6  SULLY 6 8 54¾ 52½ 61¾ 54½ 67¾ (eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 125 3.50 28% 2.60 1.79 DH
  (by UNCLE MO out of SCUSAMI by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
9  THE FED'S PLOT 9 12 128½ 104½ 94 85¾ 67¾ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00 67.47 DH
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of DEBASE THE DOLLAR by MALIBU MOON)
7  RULE SEVENTY SIX 7 10 118½ 125½ 126½ 97¾ 88¼ (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 25.63  
  (by NYQUIST out of BENVENUTTA by TAPIT)
2  FOLIGNO 2 3 1nk 21 2nk 64¾ 910¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 31% 2.20 3.76  
  (by NYQUIST out of CURUZU by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  WAR LEGEND 8 2 2nk 11 3½ 108¼ 1014 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 10% 8.70 5.02  
  (by WAR OF WILL out of RARE PERLE by SIYOUNI)
11  DR. NIKO 11 11 86¾ 94½ 105½ 1210 1114½ (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 44.63  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of NICKEL by NICHOLAS)
3  SOCK IT TO ME 3 6 76¼ 84¼ 116½ 119¾ 1216 (stephen ant)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 30.00 47.29  
  (by VIOLENCE out of NOBLE READY by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  ITS BOURBON THIRTY               (o'dwyer jeremi)MACHADO LUAN 125 15.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SEATTLE ARTIST by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  PEDIATRICIAN               (salazar marco)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of CORDEROSA by ALDEBARAN)
SCR  STEEL VENOM               (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of SHES SO SAVVY by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  ZAP D'ETAT               (house g)DE CRUZ 118 20.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of SHOVALLA by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
CD-8   05/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($76K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:22 :443 :561     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMEDY TOWN 1 4 11 1nk   11 11¼ (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 118 2.50 37% 1.70 1.48 W
7  PAYNE 4 1 32 42¾   33 21¼ (ramsey nolan)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 1.80  
3  LUNAR MODULE 3 2 21 2nk   21 32 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 15% 5.60 5.67 S
2  PINFIRE 2 3 42 32½   43 42 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 118 4.50 2.29  
SCR  CHISELER               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 3.50    
SCR  REGAL REY               (antonuik)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00    
SCR  SUGA STEVE               (sweezey kent)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
 
CD-9   05/11/2025 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:124 1:36   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LORD BULLINGDON 6 1 11 12 1½ 11 1¼ (mccarthy michael)CURTIS BEN 122 3.00 8% 11.30 4.86 W
3  ECHO LANE 3 2 32½ 33½ 31½ 21 2¼ (crichton rohan)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 64% 0.60 1.35 P
4  BIG BLUE LINE 4 7 84¾ 75¼ 42 31½ 31½ (walden wil)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 8.63 S
1  LIPS SAY BLISS 1 5 74¼ 65 73¼ 43 42½ (medina ro)TORRES A 122 12.00 5% 19.00 7.17  
2  TOUGH LITTLE NUT 2 11 106¼ 96¾ 93¾ 64½ 54¼ (block chri)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.18  
10  BETTER BET 10 10 117¾ 128¼ 115 85 65¼ (sweezey kent)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 14.27  
9  MOOGIE SON 9 6 21 22 2½ 53½ 75¼ (moger jr)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 50.39  
13  QUADRA ISLAND 12 9 95¾ 117¾ 126 106¼ 85½ (richard tobi)MONCADA IRVING 117 8.00 34.54  
7  EL KABONG 7 3 53 54 62¼ 75 96 (esquivel jesus)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 15.00 44.90  
5  BIG TO DO 5 12 128¼ 107¼ 104¾ 117¼ 107 (wismer )DE CRUZ 122 30.00 61.64  
11  GRAND ASPEN 11 8 64 85¾ 83¾ 96 1110 (thomas jo)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 10.00 7.64  
8  RED RUN 8 4 42½ 43½ 52 1219¼ 1234¾ (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00 36.17  
SCR  ARMY OFFICER               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00    
SCR  YAMATO               (esquivel jesus)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 10.00    
 
CD-10   05/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:22 :45 :564     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  TRUE PASSION 10 1 3½ 11   12½ 17½ (briley lonnie)LANERIE J 118 4.00 23% 3.40 2.94 W
  (by AUDIBLE out of FORTUNE PEARL by MINESHAFT)
4  ORDER RESTORED 4 3 1½ 21   22½ 27½ (ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 27% 2.70 2.41 P
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of GRAMMAJO by STREET SENSE)
3  MACLEAN'S LULLABY 3 4 63 56   48 310¼ (matejka )RODRIGUEZ A 118 5.00 10.63  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of JOYFUL HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  INNOCENT NYGHT 7 2 2½ 31½   35½ 412¾ (michael)DE CRUZ 124 15.00 5% 19.00 36.04  
  (by NYQUIST out of INNOCENT LOVE by GRAND SLAM)
8  KISSIN RICHES 8 6 41½ 45   510½ 515¼ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 21% 3.70 7.58  
  (by MUNNINGS out of KISS N SCAT by SCAT DADDY)
2  TOOLBELT 2 7 73½ 87½   612 615¼ (caramori caio)CURTIS BEN 118 15.00 27.55  
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of CABLEKNIT by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  HI'IAKA 6 8 84 77½   712½ 718¼ (salas felipe)MONCADA IRVING 119 12.00 6% 16.60 21.21  
  (by MUNNINGS out of HUA MULAN by MALIBU MOON)
5  FLIRTY GIRL 5 10 119½ 1112½   917½ 823¾ (navarrete anna)SANJUR SANTO 118 20.00 22.14  
  (by WOLF POWER (SAF) out of SHEZA RUBY by RUBIANO)
9  COOL LUCKY LADY 9 9 106 99   815½ 925¾ (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00 12.36  
  (by HIGHER POWER out of LUCKY BE A LADY by ITSMYLUCKYDAY)
1  CRACKLE (GB) 1 11 94½ 1011   1021½ 1035¼ (holsapple hutc)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00 50.39  
  (by FROSTED out of MEDIA TONE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
12  LADY OF LIGHT 11 5 52 67   1121½ 1140½ (garcia gena)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 6.00 ★ 3.57  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of D J'S FAVORITE by UNION RAGS)
SCR  MYSIDEHUSTLE               (hiles rick)BEJARANO R 124 15.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CROWNING AFFAIR by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  SUPER BETTY               (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of PINK KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.