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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Churchill Downs
Sunday - May 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CD-8			WIN	(1/3)						2	$2.00	$4.00	1		$4.96			$0.96				24%
CD-9			WIN	(3/6/2/4/1)						5	$2.00	$10.00	6		$11.72			$1.72				17%
			TRI	(3/6/2/4/1)-(3/6/2/4/1)-(3/6/2/4/1)						60	$0.50	$30.00	6-3-4		$63.19			$33.19				111%
			SFT	(3/6/2/4/1)-(3/6/2/4/1)-(3/6/2/4/1)-(3/6/2/4/1)						120	$0.10	$12.00	6-3-4-1		$63.64			$51.64				430%
			SHF	(3/6/2/4/1)-(3/6/2/4/1)-(3/6/2/4/1)-(3/6/2/4/1)-(3/6/2/4/1)						120	$1.00	$120	6-3-4-1-2		$3745			$3625				3021%
			DD	(1/3)-(3/6/2/4/1)						10	$1.00	$10.00	1-6		$11.90			$1.90				19%
CD-10			DD	(3/6/2/4/1)-(4/10/8/6/7)						25	$1.00	$25.00	6-10		$25.60			$0.60				2%
			PK3	(1/3)-(3/6/2/4/1)-(4/10/8/6/7)						50	$0.50	$25.00	1-6-10		$26.39			$1.39				6%

Simulator Race results


CD-1			05/11/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($50K)					Purse ($76K)			3UP		ALL		PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	TRUST ISSUES									(lovell michelle)SAEZ LUIS 123						1.40		19%		4.20		0.71	W
3	CHANCE									(drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 123						1.80		54%		0.80		2.75	P
1	SUMMONYOURCOURAGE									(esquivel jesus)BEJARANO R 123						2.50						3.87
5	COLORADO CRUISER									(shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 123						8.00						9.60
4	ANDY'S CANDY									(begley greg)DOYLE SOPHIE 123						12.00		5%		19.00		14.92

CD-2			05/11/2025		5940ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($127K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	SAVE TIME									(joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 124						1.20		48%		1.10		1.04	W
2	FORESEEN									(arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 124						2.00						1.53
5	FAIRE PLAISIR									(king barr)LEPAROUX R 124						15.00		6%		14.70		15.57	S
3	CONDONE									(oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 124						5.00						12.17
6	MIZMALICE									(hiles rick)BEJARANO R 118						15.00						8.64
4	HEART SPIN									(navarrete anna)SANJUR SANTO 124						4.00		18%		4.70		10.12

CD-3			05/11/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($50K)					Purse ($78K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	CANDY LOVER									(mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 124						4.00						2.69
3	BOURBON SERENGETI									(hiles rick)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124						3.00						4.27
1	WON HAPPY MAMA									(cunningham j)SAEZ GABRIEL 124						4.50		20%		4.10		3.08	S
2	JUST AN OPINION									(asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 124						2.50		34%		2.00		2.26
4	COPPER EM									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124						3.50		17%		5.00		5.18
6	ELLE'S DANCER									(brownfield c)RAMOS D 124						12.00						24.39
SCR	LOOKATMYBUCKLE									(miller f)BEJARANO R 118						15.00		5%		19.00

CD-4			05/11/2025		5940ft	TURF	RC3	FIRM	Alw Opt Clm ($80K)					Purse ($134K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	ADRASTEIA									(bogle fergus)ORTIZ L 122						4.00						9.22
7	JUST BETTER									(asmussen )DETTORI LANFRANCO 122						4.00						4.60
3	RANDOM HARVEST (IRE)									(toner j)SAEZ LUIS 122						3.00		69%		0.40		1.45	S
8	SANCTIFY									(holsapple )HERNANDEZ J 122						15.00						20.56
2	BREEZING ALONG									(meah m)MORALES EDGAR 122						30.00		5%		19.00		16.31
5	WAVES OF MISCHIEF									(walsh p)CURTIS BEN 122						2.50		7%		13.10		1.95
6	CATMINT									(hiles rick)GRAHAM J 122						20.00						46.39
9	PAINT ME PERFECT									(lovell mich)CONCEPCION AXEL 122						10.00		5%		19.00		14.30
SCR	GHOSTLY GAL									(catalano )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122						6.00		★

CD-5			05/11/2025		4620ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($30K)					Purse ($57K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	MOMBAYLA									(tomlinson mi)TORRES A 124						4.50		38%		1.70		3.66	W
5	RUSH TO GLORY									(hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 124						12.00						22.41
2	MIDNIGHT MUSE									(gutierrez faus)ORTIZ L 118						5.00						9.54
9	EVERMORE									(correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124						20.00						21.71
7	JUSTTAKETHECANNOLI									(mcgee paul)MONCADA IRVING 113						15.00						24.10
10	MORINGA									(chavez manuel)BEJARANO R 124						15.00						6.93
8	REIGN CHAMPAGNE									(scherer maria)GARCIA MARTIN 118						6.00						9.61
6	CRUISE MISSILE									(morse rand)HERNANDEZ J 124						4.00		25%		2.90		6.74
12	TAKETHESILVER									(danner do)CORREA L 124						30.00						52.36
11	CHANDON									(barker sco)HERNANDEZ A 118						30.00		5%		19.00		56.64
1	ST. ALBANS RAID									(shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118						10.00		5%		19.00		9.82
3	MINK STOLE									(ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 124						3.50		16%		5.10		2.35

CD-6			05/11/2025		5610ft	DIRT	RC9	FAST	Starter Allowance ($10K)					Purse ($60K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	RUNWITHHEART									(holsapple hutch)BOWEN ROCCO 120						15.00						15.60
5	COPPERLITE									(ramsey nolan)CURTIS BEN 118						3.00		56%		0.80		1.45	P
1	CASHMEUP									(casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118						2.50						1.46
9	EXECUTIVE ACTION									(jacobson d)CORRALES GERARDO 120						8.00		21%		3.80		8.57
4	PROVEN HOPE									(diodoro r)TORRES A 118						10.00		5%		19.00		7.71
2	MIDNIGHT CHANNEL									(van tho)TORRES A 118						20.00						39.05
6	SIN PERMISO									(salazar marco)BEJARANO R 118						15.00						30.14
7	ICARUS									(van thoma)MACHADO LUAN 118						8.00		5%		19.00		14.71
SCR	EMBER									(sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120						8.00
SCR	SWAGGISH									(cowans wil)HERNANDEZ J 118						6.00

CD-7			05/11/2025		5280ft	TURF	RC5	FIRM	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
13	DIRECT CHANNEL									(lynch bri)TORRES A 125						15.00						34.72
		(by UNCLE MO out of ELOISA by TAPIT)
10	SWIRLING EIGHTS									(maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 118						8.00		★				12.73	P
		(by TWIRLING CANDY out of HACHI by SEEKING THE DIA)
1	GEARING UP									(arnold r)LANERIE J 118						6.00		7%		14.00		13.26	S
		(by BRAVAZO out of SWITCHING GEARS by TAPIT)
5	LEBOWSKI									(asmussen )DETTORI LANFRANCO 118						8.00		5%		19.00		13.61
		(by CARAVAGGIO out of BECKY'S BEST by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4	MARY'S LAD (IRE)									(beckman whitwo)CURTIS BEN 118						15.00						5.93
		(by EARTHLIGHT out of GORGES by LE HAVRE)
6	SULLY									(eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 125						3.50		28%		2.60		1.79	DH
		(by UNCLE MO out of SCUSAMI by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
9	THE FED'S PLOT									(danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118						30.00						67.47	DH
		(by LIAM'S MAP out of DEBASE THE DOLLAR by MALIBU MOON)
7	RULE SEVENTY SIX									(walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 118						12.00						25.63
		(by NYQUIST out of BENVENUTTA by TAPIT)
2	FOLIGNO									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118						3.00		31%		2.20		3.76
		(by NYQUIST out of CURUZU by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8	WAR LEGEND									(casse mark)ORTIZ L 118						4.50		10%		8.70		5.02
		(by WAR OF WILL out of RARE PERLE by SIYOUNI)
11	DR. NIKO									(bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						15.00						44.63
		(by CONSTITUTION out of NICKEL by NICHOLAS)
3	SOCK IT TO ME									(stephen ant)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118						30.00						47.29
		(by VIOLENCE out of NOBLE READY by MORE THAN READY)
SCR	ITS BOURBON THIRTY									(o'dwyer jeremi)MACHADO LUAN 125						15.00
		(by OUTWORK out of SEATTLE ARTIST by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR	PEDIATRICIAN									(salazar marco)BEJARANO R 118						20.00
		(by UNCLE MO out of CORDEROSA by ALDEBARAN)
SCR	STEEL VENOM									(sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118						10.00
		(by VEKOMA out of SHES SO SAVVY by BODEMEISTER)
SCR	ZAP D'ETAT									(house g)DE CRUZ 118						20.00
		(by TOM'S D'ETAT out of SHOVALLA by GHOSTZAPPER)

CD-8			05/11/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC9	FAST	Starter Allowance ($25K)					Purse ($76K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	COMEDY TOWN									(joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 118						2.50		37%		1.70		1.48	W
7	PAYNE									(ramsey nolan)SAEZ LUIS 120						3.00						1.80
3	LUNAR MODULE									(blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118						4.00		15%		5.60		5.67	S
2	PINFIRE									(tomlinson mi)TORRES A 118						4.50						2.29
SCR	CHISELER									(vanden britt)EMIGH A 120						3.50
SCR	REGAL REY									(antonuik)RODRIGUEZ A 118						30.00
SCR	SUGA STEVE									(sweezey kent)SAEZ GABRIEL 118						20.00

CD-9			05/11/2025		5940ft	TURF	RC3	FIRM	Alw Opt Clm ($80K)					Purse ($134K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	LORD BULLINGDON									(mccarthy michael)CURTIS BEN 122						3.00		8%		11.30		4.86	W
3	ECHO LANE									(crichton rohan)SAEZ LUIS 122						4.00		64%		0.60		1.35	P
4	BIG BLUE LINE									(walden wil)CORRALES GERARDO 122						12.00		5%		19.00		8.63	S
1	LIPS SAY BLISS									(medina ro)TORRES A 122						12.00		5%		19.00		7.17
2	TOUGH LITTLE NUT									(block chri)HERNANDEZ J 122						8.00		5%		19.00		9.18
10	BETTER BET									(sweezey kent)ORTIZ L 122						5.00						14.27
9	MOOGIE SON									(moger jr)BEJARANO R 122						20.00						50.39
13	QUADRA ISLAND									(richard tobi)MONCADA IRVING 117						8.00						34.54
7	EL KABONG									(esquivel jesus)SAEZ GABRIEL 122						15.00						44.90
5	BIG TO DO									(wismer )DE CRUZ 122						30.00						61.64
11	GRAND ASPEN									(thomas jo)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122						10.00						7.64
8	RED RUN									(moquett r)LEPAROUX R 122						15.00						36.17
SCR	ARMY OFFICER									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122						6.00
SCR	YAMATO									(esquivel jesus)SAEZ GABRIEL 122						10.00

CD-10			05/11/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($92K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 5:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
10	TRUE PASSION									(briley lonnie)LANERIE J 118						4.00		23%		3.40		2.94	W
		(by AUDIBLE out of FORTUNE PEARL by MINESHAFT)
4	ORDER RESTORED									(ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 118						3.50		27%		2.70		2.41	P
		(by TOM'S D'ETAT out of GRAMMAJO by STREET SENSE)
3	MACLEAN'S LULLABY									(matejka )RODRIGUEZ A 118						5.00						10.63
		(by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of JOYFUL HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7	INNOCENT NYGHT									(michael)DE CRUZ 124						15.00		5%		19.00		36.04
		(by NYQUIST out of INNOCENT LOVE by GRAND SLAM)
8	KISSIN RICHES									(sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118						4.50		21%		3.70		7.58
		(by MUNNINGS out of KISS N SCAT by SCAT DADDY)
2	TOOLBELT									(caramori caio)CURTIS BEN 118						15.00						27.55
		(by RAISON D'ETAT out of CABLEKNIT by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6	HI'IAKA									(salas felipe)MONCADA IRVING 119						12.00		6%		16.60		21.21
		(by MUNNINGS out of HUA MULAN by MALIBU MOON)
5	FLIRTY GIRL									(navarrete anna)SANJUR SANTO 118						20.00						22.14
		(by WOLF POWER (SAF) out of SHEZA RUBY by RUBIANO)
9	COOL LUCKY LADY									(calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						12.00						12.36
		(by HIGHER POWER out of LUCKY BE A LADY by ITSMYLUCKYDAY)
1	CRACKLE (GB)									(holsapple hutc)SAEZ GABRIEL 118						20.00						50.39
		(by FROSTED out of MEDIA TONE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
12	LADY OF LIGHT									(garcia gena)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118						6.00		★				3.57
		(by CITY OF LIGHT out of D J'S FAVORITE by UNION RAGS)
SCR	MYSIDEHUSTLE									(hiles rick)BEJARANO R 124						15.00
		(by UNION RAGS out of CROWNING AFFAIR by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR	SUPER BETTY									(stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118						12.00
		(by ALWAYS DREAMING out of PINK KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

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	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.