Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-2   WIN (4/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $17.42 $9.42 118%
    EXA (4/6/3/2)-(4/6/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-6 $82.76 $58.76 245%
    DD (2/4/6)-(4/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-3 $13.44 $1.44 12%
CD-4   WIN (1/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $12.02 $4.02 50%
CD-6   WIN (4/7/6/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $14.84 $4.84 48%
    DD (4/7/8/2)-(4/7/6/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-5 $32.49 $12.49 62%
    PK3 (1/7/5/4)-(4/7/8/2)-(4/7/6/9/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00  5-7-5 $160.69 $120.69 302%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:10     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WHERE'S THE WINE 2 4 1½ 1½   12½ 14½ (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 2.50 46% 1.20 0.75 W
1  BALLADRY 1 3 31 31½   22½ 24½ (pitts helen)ROCCO S 123 3.50 2.39  
3  PRINCESS POM POM 3 5 44 55   47 37¼ (forster t)LANERIE J 123 3.00 3.00  
4  ASK AMANDA 4 2 2½ 2½   36 48 (bahena ism)CORRALES GERARDO 123 6.00 16% 5.30 12.43  
6  ITSABLINGTHING 5 1 54½ 44   58½ 514½ (barrett roddin)MILLER CHASE 123 20.00 5% 19.00 41.39  
SCR  SPIRIT RULES               (santamaria car)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 2.00    
 
CD-2   05/15/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:222 :452       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  COLOR COMIN' IN 3 7 31 11½   14½ 13 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 6% 15.30 7.71 W
  (by ROCK YOUR WORLD out of SLEEPLESS DIXIE by DIXIE UNION)
6  AMERICATHEGREAT 6 8 811 810   57½ 23 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 22% 3.60 4.90 P
  (by CURLIN out of AMERICA by A.P. INDY)
8  NANZIG 8 3 21 21½   24½ 39 (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 23.00  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of COUNT TO ELEVEN by GRAND SLAM)
5  RATHER LATE 5 4 67½ 68   69½ 410¾ (hancock jo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 14.15  
  (by VOLATILE out of RATHER BEAUTIFUL by MALIBU MOON)
2  SWIFTLIKETAYLOR 2 5 79 79   811 511¾ (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 6% 16.20 30.16  
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of SWIFTERTHANTAYLOR by MY GOLDEN SONG)
4  SHEZ TWISTED 4 2 11 31½   35 612½ (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 2.50 35% 1.80 0.77  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of LIMITED VIEW by FREEDOM CHILD)
7  MI AMIGA 7 6 42 42   46 716¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 3.79  
  (by YAUPON out of IS THAT A THING by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
1  CHIQUITA'S WAY 1 1 54½ 56   711 818 (esquivel jesus)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 57.90  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CARRIE by GONE ASTRAY)
 
CD-3   05/15/2025 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:22 :434       :554   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  SOMETHING STRONGER 12 6 54½ 46   34½ 1½ (stall m)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 3.67  
  (by JUSTIFY out of LORA PADORA by FRANKEL)
3  SHE WANTS WAR 3 2 11½ 11½   12 2½ (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 ★ 5.99 P
  (by WAR OF WILL out of PLEDGE PIN by CHATAIN)
1  LUCY MCGEE 1 1 21½ 21½   22 3¾ (lovell michell)DOYLE SOPHIE 118 30.00 41.96  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TIZANILLUSION by TIZWAY)
7  RUNNING GAME 7 4 33½ 34½   44½ 43¼ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 5% 19.00 25.70  
  (by I AM THE GAME out of RUNABOUT by OXBOW)
5  DEBT FREE 5 3 43½ 56½   56 53½ (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 5% 19.00 3.66  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BREAK EVEN by COUNTRY DAY)
4  BOUJEE BEACH 4 7 64¾ 78½   67½ 63¾ (miller pe)TORRES A 118 10.00 14.38  
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of DYNA'S DESTINY by DYNAFORMER)
9  DIVINE WIND 9 10 74¾ 67½   78½ 77¼ (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 51.04  
  (by DAREDEVIL out of EAST MOON by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  GREY MATTER 8 11 118½ 1112½   810½ 87½ (baltas richard)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 10.99  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of NOBLE GREY by FORESTRY)
11  FORBIDDEN FRIEND 11 5 85 810½   911 98 (oliver victo)TORRES A 118 30.00 53.30  
  (by MCKINZIE out of TABOO by FORESTRY)
2  CLAIRE'S RUN 2 8 107½ 1012½   1011½ 1010¼ (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00 10% 9.00 3.24  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of BALLYKISS by STREET BOSS)
10  SYCAMORE SHOALS 10 9 96½ 912   1114½ 1116¼ (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 118 3.50 63% 0.60 8.96  
  (by STREET SENSE out of SPACY TRACY by AWESOME AGAIN)
6  PARTY PAULINE 6 12 1211½ 1221   1222½ 1224¼ (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00 16.21  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LADY PAULINE by MUNNINGS)
SCR  MACLEAN'S LULLABY               (matejka )RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of JOYFUL HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  MAERDAMA               (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 124 3.50    
  (by GIRVIN out of ROSE OF CAIRO by CAIRO PRINCE)
SCR  SPINNING GLORY               (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of JADED GLORY by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  STAGE PRESENCE               (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 124 12.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of MARQUEE by GOLD REGENT)
 
CD-4   05/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($83K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:21 :434 :562     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NO WHAT IFS 5 2 41½ 52½   1½ 16½ (forster gr)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00 16% 5.20 5.01 W
6  CAROLINA CANDY 6 5 52 21   31 26½ (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 123 6.00 8.40  
7  UP THE CREEK 7 1 64½ 64½   55 39½ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 3.00 21% 3.90 4.35 S
3  SWEET SCORECARD 3 4 11 11   2½ 410¾ (eggleston tim)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 2.58  
4  TENNESSEEHONEYBEE 4 3 31½ 42   65½ 513½ (sweezey kent)CURTIS BEN 123 12.00 5% 19.00 15.59  
1  INTERMITTENT FAST 1 6 21 32   43½ 613¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 1.80 30% 2.40 1.72  
2  I AM BEAUTIFUL 2 7 74¾ 79   712 728 (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 123 6.00 20.27  
 
CD-5   05/15/2025 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:12 1:373   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PAVED IN GOLD 6 1 11½ 12 11 11½ 11¾ (forster grant )ORTIZ L 125 3.00 33% 2.00 1.77 W
3  MIDNIGHT SURVIVOR 2 5 21½ 32 32 31½ 21¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 4.29  
8  KEVIN'S STRIKE 7 2 31½ 22 21 21½ 32¼ (amoss thomas)MONCADA IRVING 113 12.00 5% 19.00 5.43 S
6  STRATEGIST 5 4 43 43 42½ 45 45¼ (romero gregor)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 37.78  
4  BAOBAB 3 7 64¼ 64½ 66 57 56¾ (sweezey kent)CURTIS BEN 118 4.00 40% 1.50 4.10  
10  WINNING SONG 9 8 913¼ 917¼ 919 812¾ 611½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 6.71  
2  WINEGOLD 1 6 88¾ 89¼ 812 712½ 715 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 5% 19.00 17.83  
5  ROCKET NIGHT 4 3 53¼ 53½ 54 611 818 (jacobson )TORRES A 125 6.00 ★ 11.27  
9  GHOST PRINCE 8 9 74¾ 74¾ 710 919¾ 954½ (quartarolo ant)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 30.00 44.99  
SCR  THRACIAN               (fletcher kevin)SERPA ANGEL 118 30.00    
 
CD-6   05/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($71K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:232 :46 1:101 1:224   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BETTE DAVIS 5 2 61¾ 41¼ 41½ 31 1½ (tomlinson m)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 6.42 W
2  EAST SHORE 2 8 86¼ 84¼ 53 52½ 2½ (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 10.00 9.51  
3  STORY HOUR 3 1 1nk 2nk 1nk 2nk 31¼ (medina ro)BEALMEAR C 113 12.00 9.84  
9  TIFFANY TWIST 9 7 5¾ 31 2nk 1nk 41¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 9% 10.70 14.84  
6  LIUZZA 6 3 4¾ 61¾ 3½ 42 53 (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00 9% 10.50 3.53  
1  KLIMT'S MUSE 1 9 97¼ 96¾ 85½ 75 66½ (humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 52.09  
7  PENS STREET 7 4 73¼ 73¼ 63½ 64½ 78¾ (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 118 3.00 19% 4.20 2.11  
4  PHAROAH'S HEART 4 5 2nk 1nk 74½ 89½ 825¾ (jacobson dav)MONCADA IRVING 113 2.50 39% 1.60 3.32  
8  CORA'S LEGACY 8 6 3.2 51¼ 99½ 914½ 929¾ (wilson shane)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 27.13  
 
CD-7   05/15/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:22 :442 :561     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SATIN BLUE 1 10 115 105¼   43½ 11¼ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 123 5.00 4.50  
3  ROJO RITA 3 3 1nk 1nk   12½ 21¼ (joseph sa)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 4.00 47% 1.10 3.26 P
6  PERFECT FIGURE 6 12 51¾ 51½   54 33¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 16% 5.20 6.82 S
12  PONDERING 12 7 31 3½   22½ 44¾ (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 3.98  
11  COTILLARD 11 8 127 127¼   107½ 54¾ (seglin e)RIQUELME J 118 30.00 ######  
5  PROMISEMEANEMPIRE 5 9 93½ 83¾   86½ 65 (moger jr)BEJARANO R 123 20.00 5% 19.00 18.37  
8  ATOMIC CITY 8 6 72¾ 62   65 75¾ (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 118 15.00 24.09  
2  LAURIE'S SECRET 2 1 83¼ 94¼   75½ 86¾ (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 123 30.00 80.87  
7  STELLAR ASSET 7 4 2nk 2nk   33 98 (hamm timothy)TORRES A 120 10.00 37.04  
10  BLACKFOOT DAISY 10 11 61¾ 41   97 1010¾ (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 123 4.50 13% 6.50 4.04  
4  ELEGANT 4 5 41½ 73½   119 1111¾ (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 123 5.00 8.33  
9  UNHIDDEN GEM (IRE) 9 2 104 115¾   1212 1215 (stall albert )MORALES EDGAR 123 15.00 40.90  
SCR  BONNE FILLE               (oliver victori)DOYLE SOPHIE 118 20.00    
SCR  LA FORET               (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 123 15.00    
SCR  MYIYLA               (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 123 15.00    
SCR  OBSTREPEROUS               (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00    
 
CD-8   05/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($67K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:23
See original race card.
:222 :444 1:092     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SHOW MASTER 4 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 1hd (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00 12.12  
10  NYQUIST FREQUENCY 8 10 41½ 41½   3½ 2hd (blair jordan)TORRES A 124 5.00 20% 3.90 4.61 P
13  MO JACKSON 11 11 117½ 1011½   65 3¾ (tomlinson m)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 10.00 16.68  
9  GALLO DE FUEGO 7 4 31½ 31   52 41 (romans da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 12.00 5% 19.00 17.32  
6  AMBRIDGE 5 3 52 52   41½ 51¾ (forster gra)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 15.00 16.55  
12  TAPAKENA 10 7 83¾ 74   86 64 (lynch brian )MONCADA IRVING 119 3.50 13% 6.80 3.34  
1  SHADOW COAST 1 2 1½ 1nk   2½ 74¼ (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 5.56  
7  NASH POTATOES 6 8 63 63   75½ 87¾ (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00 50.92  
4  LOST IN THE SAUCE 3 9 93¾ 96   910½ 915¼ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 8.00 5% 19.00 9.41  
3  DELTA TAU CHI 2 5 73¼ 85½   1011 1017¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.50 43% 1.30 2.80  
11  ELECTIONEERING 9 6 104 1113   1116½ 1122¾ (devaux ch)TORRES A 118 15.00 33.40  
SCR  HELM PLACE               (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
SCR  PERSONAL JET               (pomier ch)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
SCR  WEEKEND REVEILLE               (gallaghe)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.