Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-2   WIN (4/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $17.42 $9.42 118%
    EXA (4/6/3/2)-(4/6/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-6 $82.76 $58.76 245%
    DD (2/4/6)-(4/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-3 $13.44 $1.44 12%
CD-4   WIN (1/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $12.02 $4.02 50%
CD-6   WIN (4/7/6/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $14.84 $4.84 48%
    DD (4/7/8/2)-(4/7/6/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-5 $32.49 $12.49 62%
    PK3 (1/7/5/4)-(4/7/8/2)-(4/7/6/9/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00  5-7-5 $160.69 $120.69 302%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WHERE'S THE WINE   (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 2.50 46% 1.20 0.75 W
1  BALLADRY   (pitts helen)ROCCO S 123 3.50 2.39  
3  PRINCESS POM POM   (forster t)LANERIE J 123 3.00 3.00  
4  ASK AMANDA   (bahena ism)CORRALES GERARDO 123 6.00 16% 5.30 12.43  
6  ITSABLINGTHING   (barrett roddin)MILLER CHASE 123 20.00 5% 19.00 41.39  
SCR  SPIRIT RULES   (santamaria car)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 2.00    
 
CD-2   05/15/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 5:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  COLOR COMIN' IN   (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 6% 15.30 7.71 W
  (by ROCK YOUR WORLD out of SLEEPLESS DIXIE by DIXIE UNION)
6  AMERICATHEGREAT   (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 22% 3.60 4.90 P
  (by CURLIN out of AMERICA by A.P. INDY)
8  NANZIG   (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 23.00  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of COUNT TO ELEVEN by GRAND SLAM)
5  RATHER LATE   (hancock jo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 14.15  
  (by VOLATILE out of RATHER BEAUTIFUL by MALIBU MOON)
2  SWIFTLIKETAYLOR   (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 6% 16.20 30.16  
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of SWIFTERTHANTAYLOR by MY GOLDEN SONG)
4  SHEZ TWISTED   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 2.50 35% 1.80 0.77  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of LIMITED VIEW by FREEDOM CHILD)
7  MI AMIGA   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 3.79  
  (by YAUPON out of IS THAT A THING by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
1  CHIQUITA'S WAY   (esquivel jesus)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 57.90  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CARRIE by GONE ASTRAY)
 
CD-3   05/15/2025 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  SOMETHING STRONGER   (stall m)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 3.67  
  (by JUSTIFY out of LORA PADORA by FRANKEL)
3  SHE WANTS WAR   (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 ★ 5.99 P
  (by WAR OF WILL out of PLEDGE PIN by CHATAIN)
1  LUCY MCGEE   (lovell michell)DOYLE SOPHIE 118 30.00 41.96  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TIZANILLUSION by TIZWAY)
7  RUNNING GAME   (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 5% 19.00 25.70  
  (by I AM THE GAME out of RUNABOUT by OXBOW)
5  DEBT FREE   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 5% 19.00 3.66  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BREAK EVEN by COUNTRY DAY)
4  BOUJEE BEACH   (miller pe)TORRES A 118 10.00 14.38  
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of DYNA'S DESTINY by DYNAFORMER)
9  DIVINE WIND   (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 51.04  
  (by DAREDEVIL out of EAST MOON by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  GREY MATTER   (baltas richard)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 10.99  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of NOBLE GREY by FORESTRY)
11  FORBIDDEN FRIEND   (oliver victo)TORRES A 118 30.00 53.30  
  (by MCKINZIE out of TABOO by FORESTRY)
2  CLAIRE'S RUN   (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00 10% 9.00 3.24  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of BALLYKISS by STREET BOSS)
10  SYCAMORE SHOALS   (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 118 3.50 63% 0.60 8.96  
  (by STREET SENSE out of SPACY TRACY by AWESOME AGAIN)
6  PARTY PAULINE   (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00 16.21  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LADY PAULINE by MUNNINGS)
SCR  MACLEAN'S LULLABY   (matejka )RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of JOYFUL HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  MAERDAMA   (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 124 3.50    
  (by GIRVIN out of ROSE OF CAIRO by CAIRO PRINCE)
SCR  SPINNING GLORY   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of JADED GLORY by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  STAGE PRESENCE   (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 124 12.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of MARQUEE by GOLD REGENT)
 
CD-4   05/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($83K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NO WHAT IFS   (forster gr)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00 16% 5.20 5.01 W
6  CAROLINA CANDY   (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 123 6.00 8.40  
7  UP THE CREEK   (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 3.00 21% 3.90 4.35 S
3  SWEET SCORECARD   (eggleston tim)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 2.58  
4  TENNESSEEHONEYBEE   (sweezey kent)CURTIS BEN 123 12.00 5% 19.00 15.59  
1  INTERMITTENT FAST   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 1.80 30% 2.40 1.72  
2  I AM BEAUTIFUL   (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 123 6.00 20.27  
 
CD-5   05/15/2025 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PAVED IN GOLD   (forster grant )ORTIZ L 125 3.00 33% 2.00 1.77 W
3  MIDNIGHT SURVIVOR   (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 4.29  
8  KEVIN'S STRIKE   (amoss thomas)MONCADA IRVING 113 12.00 5% 19.00 5.43 S
6  STRATEGIST   (romero gregor)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 37.78  
4  BAOBAB   (sweezey kent)CURTIS BEN 118 4.00 40% 1.50 4.10  
10  WINNING SONG   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 6.71  
2  WINEGOLD   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 5% 19.00 17.83  
5  ROCKET NIGHT   (jacobson )TORRES A 125 6.00 ★ 11.27  
9  GHOST PRINCE   (quartarolo ant)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 30.00 44.99  
SCR  THRACIAN   (fletcher kevin)SERPA ANGEL 118 30.00    
 
CD-6   05/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($71K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BETTE DAVIS   (tomlinson m)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 6.42 W
2  EAST SHORE   (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 10.00 9.51  
3  STORY HOUR   (medina ro)BEALMEAR C 113 12.00 9.84  
9  TIFFANY TWIST   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 9% 10.70 14.84  
6  LIUZZA   (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00 9% 10.50 3.53  
1  KLIMT'S MUSE   (humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 52.09  
7  PENS STREET   (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 118 3.00 19% 4.20 2.11  
4  PHAROAH'S HEART   (jacobson dav)MONCADA IRVING 113 2.50 39% 1.60 3.32  
8  CORA'S LEGACY   (wilson shane)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 27.13  
 
CD-7   05/15/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SATIN BLUE   (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 123 5.00 4.50  
3  ROJO RITA   (joseph sa)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 4.00 47% 1.10 3.26 P
6  PERFECT FIGURE   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 16% 5.20 6.82 S
12  PONDERING   (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 3.98  
11  COTILLARD   (seglin e)RIQUELME J 118 30.00 ######  
5  PROMISEMEANEMPIRE   (moger jr)BEJARANO R 123 20.00 5% 19.00 18.37  
8  ATOMIC CITY   (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 118 15.00 24.09  
2  LAURIE'S SECRET   (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 123 30.00 80.87  
7  STELLAR ASSET   (hamm timothy)TORRES A 120 10.00 37.04  
10  BLACKFOOT DAISY   (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 123 4.50 13% 6.50 4.04  
4  ELEGANT   (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 123 5.00 8.33  
9  UNHIDDEN GEM (IRE)   (stall albert )MORALES EDGAR 123 15.00 40.90  
SCR  BONNE FILLE   (oliver victori)DOYLE SOPHIE 118 20.00    
SCR  LA FORET   (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 123 15.00    
SCR  MYIYLA   (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 123 15.00    
SCR  OBSTREPEROUS   (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00    
 
CD-8   05/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($67K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:23
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SHOW MASTER   (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00 12.12  
10  NYQUIST FREQUENCY   (blair jordan)TORRES A 124 5.00 20% 3.90 4.61 P
13  MO JACKSON   (tomlinson m)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 10.00 16.68  
9  GALLO DE FUEGO   (romans da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 12.00 5% 19.00 17.32  
6  AMBRIDGE   (forster gra)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 15.00 16.55  
12  TAPAKENA   (lynch brian )MONCADA IRVING 119 3.50 13% 6.80 3.34  
1  SHADOW COAST   (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 5.56  
7  NASH POTATOES   (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00 50.92  
4  LOST IN THE SAUCE   (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 8.00 5% 19.00 9.41  
3  DELTA TAU CHI   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.50 43% 1.30 2.80  
11  ELECTIONEERING   (devaux ch)TORRES A 118 15.00 33.40  
SCR  HELM PLACE   (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
SCR  PERSONAL JET   (pomier ch)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
SCR  WEEKEND REVEILLE   (gallaghe)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.