Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Tuesday - April 29, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (4/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $9.42  
CD-2   Win (3/7/2/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $5.32 $5.32  
CD-3   Win (2/10/1/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $3.84 $3.84  
CD-4   Win (13/2/1/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $6.26  
CD-5   Win (6/1/12/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $6.86 $6.86  
CD-6   Win (7/6/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $7.20 $7.20  
CD-7   Win (4/7/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $19.86 $19.86 11.86
CD-8   Win (1/6/11/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $16.52  
CD-9   Win (9/4/1/6/14) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $4.56 $4.56  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   04/29/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:10 1:22   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOW TIME 5 3 3½ 1½ 11 11 1¾ (cunningham j)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00 3.71  
COUPERIN 7 2 1½ 2½ 21 21 2¾ (kordenbrock matt)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 5% 19.00 10.04 P
BUSINESS MODEL 4 5 63 6 6 43 31 (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 46% 1.20 1.77 S
HARVARD 3 4 4 5 5 6 41 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 3.09  
PAYNTER'S CANVAS 2 7 5 4 4 53 5 (lauer michael)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 19.79  
TWIRLING TROILLET 6 1 2½ 31 3 3 6 (garcia gena)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.98  
NIKOLAOU 1 6 75 7 7 711¼ 731¼ (dixon jr)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50 23% 3.40 5.37  
 
CD-2   04/29/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:102 1:224   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READYTORISKITALL 3 6 1½ 1½ 1nk 12 1 (mccarthy mic)TORRES A 118 2.50 49% 1.10 1.66 W
HAND IT OVER 9 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 22 2 (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 126 20.00 8.67  
JUDY'S FLYER 8 10 9 96 66 46 3 (garcia gena)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 8.00 15.26  
12  UNION DAME 11 3 7 85 8 78 4 (santamaria c)GEROUX FLORENT 126 5.00 7.50  
RED ROYALTY 7 7 5 42 32 35 5 (tomlinson m)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00 13% 6.60 4.98  
SWEET SIB 1 8 6 6 5 6 6 (morey william)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 5% 17.90 8.89  
MISS COLLECTED 2 4 31 3 44 5 711 (mckeever andrew)CURTIS BEN 118 6.00 10% 9.30 7.30  
11  GENUINE ARTICLE 10 2 41 53 77 811 815¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 8.17  
NIGHT CRY 6 11 10 11 910 911½ 915½ (pittman )RODRIGUEZ A 126 30.00 72.49  
BOUJI IS A WORD 4 5 8 75 1010¼ 1013½ 1019¼ (schlenk jada )LEBRON VICTOR 118 30.00 44.23  
BETO'S BIRDIE 5 9 11 108 1115¾ 1122½ 1141¾ (heath g)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00 5% 19.00 45.25  
SCR  COOLNESS               (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
 
CD-3   04/29/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:092     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVALRY 2 6 21 2½   11 12 (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.00 63% 0.60 0.92 W
GOLD SEARCH 1 5 11 1½   21 22 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 124 4.50 6% 15.40 8.45 P
SPOONIE 8 4 65 64   4 3 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 126 2.50 4.99  
DANCING NOAH 6 1 5 5   34 4 (taylor brent)BEJARANO R 124 20.00 31.83  
10  MORE THAN FIVE 10 7 107 9   6 5 (garcia gena)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 5.00 9% 10.40 8.57  
MERLOTTI 7 8 9 8   7 69 (wainwright)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 15.00 39.75  
BEER WITH ICE 5 10 43 4   88 7 (kordenbrock m)LEBRON VICTOR 124 15.00 20.32  
QUEBRANCHO 4 2 33 3   57 813¾ (bahena isma)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00 11.57  
SACKETT 9 3 7 76   912½ 920¼ (mccutchen jas)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 46.52  
SON OF A GRAY 3 9 86 10   1014½ 1022½ (pittman )RODRIGUEZ A 124 15.00 5% 19.00 7.75  
 
CD-4   04/29/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:233 :483 1:123 1:362   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAGUEL 3 1 5 52 4 4 11 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.50 2.13  
CONSECRATED 4 2 3 3 31 31 21 (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 118 6.00 15.22  
CHRIS'S REVENGE 7 4 1 1½ 1nk 1½ 31 (russell britt)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 5.95  
HOUSE UNITED 2 8 6 63 6 53 42 (stall alb)LEPAROUX R 125 5.00 16% 5.20 5.10  
FULL ARMOR 1 5 7 7 7 6 5 (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 120 5.00 5% 19.00 9.79  
10  WARRIOR WAYNE 8 3 2 2½ 2nk 2½ 6 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.92  
SPRINT OUT PASS 6 7 8 9 8 76 76 (medina robert)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 16.96  
DEVIL ANSE 5 9 9 8 9 9 8 (walsh d)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 14.81  
13  SMART MO 9 6 4 42 5 88 912 (sweezey ke)GEROUX FLORENT 125 3.00 56% 0.80 3.99  
SCR  CABERNAYDO               (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 125 4.50    
SCR  FUNNYFLAME               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 125 3.50    
SCR  INDY MAGIC               (casse mark)ORTIZ L 125 3.50    
SCR  KISTLER               (king l)ROCCO S 125 30.00    
SCR  RACHMAN               (waltz brian)MACHADO LUAN 125 5.00    
 
CD-5   04/29/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:10     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUN TO RUN 1 6 1½ 1½   1 16 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 14% 6.20 2.43 W
UNITED FOREVER 4 7 64 77   47 26 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.61 P
STARLIT SOFI 2 5 2½ 32   2 37 (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 7.18  
12  HEARTS UNITED 10 1 7 66   6 4 (tomlinson micha)LANERIE J 118 12.00 13% 6.80 14.28  
10  LADY RILEY 8 3 4 4   5 5 (garcia gena)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 15.00 6.67  
UP ON THE EDGE 5 8 3 2½   36 69 (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.50 26% 2.80 4.83  
YES TO CHAMPAGNE 7 4 98 9   911½ 712 (shorter aaron)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00 4.73  
STARCOURT 3 2 53 5   78 812¼ (roberson den)TORRES A 124 8.00 13% 6.80 22.26  
11  SWEET LILIBET 9 9 86 8   810 913½ (walsh d)MORALES EDGAR 124 30.00 44.36  
RED WINE LADY 6 10 1014 1016½   1014½ 1014 (demeritt)RODRIGUEZ A 124 20.00 23.32  
SCR  KRICKLE               (west m)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 5.00    
SCR  LADLE               (miller jerom)MURRAY M 124 30.00    
SCR  SHE STOPPED SHORT               (campbell jo)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00    
 
CD-6   04/29/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($67K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:221 :444 1:10     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARTINGALE 5 4 54 5   22 1¾ (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 125 2.50 36% 1.70 2.60 W
DIDN'T IT RAIN 2 1 22 21   12 2¾ (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 4.63  
CLOSING PRAYER 1 3 12 11   32 3 (baker james)MONCADA IRVING 120 15.00 5% 19.00 11.13 S
WELL AWARE 7 2 43 43   56 4 (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 14% 6.10 3.09  
POUR A LITTLE MORE 3 7 3 32   4 5 (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 125 6.00 6.31  
PURE BREEZE 6 6 65 6   67 614 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 3.16  
OCEAN RIPPLE 4 5 76 7   710½ 714¾ (jacobson d)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 26% 2.90 17.48  
SCR  CHANDON               (barker w)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00    
SCR  MY SEXY BLONDE               (taylor b)RODRIGUEZ A 125 30.00    
 
CD-7   04/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:212 :434 :561     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORT SAM 1 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 1¾ (fawkes david)SAEZ LUIS 126 15.00 5% 19.00 8.93 W
G T FIVE HUNDRED 4 5 4 5   3 2¾ (maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 49% 1.00 2.12 P
RISK IT 5 4 6 42   42 3¾ (asmussen steve)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 3.57  
LIL MUGGS 7 1 1nk 2nk   2nk 4 (foley greg)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 5% 19.00 6.66  
ROCKETEER 6 3 31 31   53 5 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 124 4.00 22% 3.50 3.84  
PENTATHLON 2 6 5 7   7 6 (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00 4.05  
LOU'S LEGACY 3 7 7 6   6 7 (andrade hugo)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 20.00 25.12  
SCR  MARCH OF TIME               (baffert bob)ORTIZ JR 124 1.60    
 
CD-8   04/29/2025 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:092 1:332   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CALL PROTECTION 9 2 6 63 6 1nk 1 (maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 123 10.00 7.26  
EVENT DETAIL 8 10 9 98 9 5 2 (walden william)ROSARIO JOEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00 11.18 P
TALL BOY 2 9 10 10 10 7 3 (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 123 12.00 15.74  
TAPIT SHOES 3 8 7 74 7 8 4 (moger jr)BEJARANO R 123 8.00 18.36  
WEST HOLLYWOOD 1 7 1nk 1½ 1nk 3.2 5 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.50 35% 1.90 2.08  
OUT OF DEDUCTIONS 4 4 42 4 32 4¾ 64 (block chris)ORTIZ JR 123 5.00 7.59  
MIRANDA RIGHTS 5 5 8 8 8 6 7 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 123 5.00 13.02  
HIGGINS BOAT 6 6 2nk 2½ 2nk 2nk 85 (amoss thomas )CANNON DECLAN 123 3.50 30% 2.40 3.14  
NATIVE SHAMAN 7 3 5 5 5 9 914¾ (arnold r)LANERIE J 123 12.00 5% 19.00 8.92  
11  IN A JAM 10 1 3½ 31 4 1015¾ 1033 (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00 6% 15.20 21.66  
SCR  TIMEOUT               (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 15.00    
 
CD-9   04/29/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:101 1:231   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATALINA CAT 7 5 5 3 32 3 1¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 50% 1.00 1.28 W
DESERT AIRE 1 2 22 21 2nk 1nk 2¼ (puhich mike)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.00 7% 12.50 3.20 P
PROMISSIONE 5 3 12 11 1nk 2nk 3¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 8.00 6% 16.20 14.13 S
DAN D'ORO 4 1 12 127 11 4 44 (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 118 8.00 6.24  
HIGH FIVE SY 3 12 9 10 10 810 5 (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 126 6.00 12% 7.30 12.89  
HOTLINE BLINK 2 9 8 63 4 57 6 (chavez manue)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 6.00 23.73  
BOURBON STATE 6 11 107 9 8 69 7 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 118 15.00 32.57  
12  MARAVICH 10 4 43 53 55 7 814¼ (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 126 12.00 15.31  
11  GHOST PRINCE 9 10 11 11 12 1011¾ 916¼ (quartarolo an)GARCIA MARTIN 126 20.00 37.15  
14  TRAP LINE 11 6 64 7 6 911½ 1018¼ (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 126 20.00 5% 19.00 26.33  
16  PLAYING CUPID 12 7 75 8 7 1113¾ 1121¼ (navarrete ann)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 25.59  
10  JACK RABBIT 8 8 3 42 9 1214¾ 1224½ (williamson b)TORRES A 126 20.00 34.81  
SCR  BOURBON STREET BOY               (catalano m)CURTIS BEN 118 12.00    
SCR  EGYPTIAN QUEST               (adams nanc)VILLARREAL OSCAR 126 20.00    
SCR  MUBAREZ               (simms jr)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 12.00    
SCR  PURDY DARN GOOD               (matthews randy)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.