Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - May 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-2   WIN (2/10/6/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  10 $13.24 $3.24 32%
CD-3   DD (2/10/6/3/4)-(7/3/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00  10-7 $21.76 $6.76 45%
CD-4   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $7.58 $1.58 26%
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-1 $29.12 $17.12 143%
    DD (7/3/2)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  7-4 $10.54 $1.54 17%
    PK3 (2/10/6/3/4)-(7/3/2)-(1/4/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50  10-7-4 $48.44 $25.94 115%
CD-6   EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  7-4 $14.78 $2.78 23%
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00  7-4-3 $11.02 $8.02 267%
CD-7   WIN (6/3/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $30.06 $22.06 276%
    DD (3/7/4)-(6/3/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-8 $17.86 $5.86 49%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/18/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:25 :492 1:131 1:37   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PAPA YO 6 5 21 21 2nk 1nk 1nk (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 3.04  
4  TIGER MOON 3 2 43½ 42½ 3.2 2nk 2nk (schultz lindsa)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 27% 2.70 1.87 P
5  SWISS SLANG 4 3 31½ 31½ 42¼ 51¾ 3½ (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 118 2.00 26% 2.80 4.07 S
1  ETHEREAL ROAD 1 6 55½ 54½ 52¾ 41¾ 41 (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 118 2.50 2.57  
6  HOODLUM 5 4 11 11 1nk 31½ 54¾ (foster er)TORRES A 118 12.00 14% 6.10 10.00  
3  BIG PAPER 2 1 66½ 67½ 611¾ 611¾ 616½ (van berg )BEALMEAR C 113 10.00 19.54  
SCR  MASTER GAME               (sweezey ken)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
 
CD-2   05/18/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:131 1:381   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  JUDY'S FLYER 9 2 31½ 31 1½ 12½ 12½ (garcia gena)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 5.00 9% 10.00 5.62 W
7  TIZ SALTY 7 4 86½ 96½ 65 35 22½ (thompson mic)MONCADA IRVING 120 20.00 25.22  
2  RED ROYALTY 2 5 42 41½ 42 22½ 34½ (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 118 6.00 49% 1.00 5.52 S
5  MY SEXY BLONDE 5 7 53 52½ 53 55¼ 46½ (taylor brent)BEJARANO R 125 15.00 3.50  
1  TIP TAP 1 6 11 1½ 31½ 65¾ 59½ (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 7.93  
3  UNION DAME 3 3 74½ 75 76½ 78¼ 69½ (santamari)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 125 6.00 6% 15.30 11.90  
6  FIFTH OF MAY 6 1 21 2½ 2½ 45 79¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 125 3.00 9% 10.70 1.65  
4  SWEET SIB 4 8 64½ 63½ 87½ 810¼ 814½ (morey william )CEDILLO ABEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 16.76  
9  MALICE MAMA 8 9 97 86 98 912¾ 918½ (pittman bonn)BARBOSA CARLOS 125 15.00 37.90  
SCR  PURE BREEZE               (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00    
 
CD-3   05/18/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:123 1:363   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DAI VERNON 6 5 53 31½ 31 31 11¼ (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 62% 0.60 1.44 W
6  NEON NIGHTS 5 4 11 11 1nk 2nk 21¼ (blair jordan)TORRES A 124 10.00 15.27  
4  WINTERS LION 3 6 63¼ 52 51¾ 41½ 32½ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 1.76  
3  SPECIAL DISPATCH 2 1 21 21 2nk 1nk 44¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00 10% 9.30 10.48  
5  REALIGNMENT 4 2 42½ 62½ 63¼ 63 56½ (block chris)CURTIS BEN 124 4.00 6.65  
2  MO HOPE 1 3 31 41½ 41½ 52 67¾ (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 5% 19.00 5.12  
SCR  KIGALI               (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 124 12.00    
 
CD-4   05/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:213 :441 :561     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BIG HAT WILLIE 3 4 52¾ 3½   11 13¼ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 26% 2.90 2.79 W
1  GUNNER BAY 1 6 42¼ 51½   42 23¼ (lovell mich)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 27% 2.60 2.17 P
2  CHASING TIME 2 5 3.2 1nk   21 33¾ (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 3.26  
6  CAN'T HUSH THIS 5 2 2nk 2nk   31½ 45¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 2.10  
5  SWIFT AS I AM 4 1 62¾ 65½   55½ 59¼ (jacobson dav)MONCADA IRVING 113 10.00 5% 19.00 21.07  
7  HOCUS (GB) 6 3 1nk 41   67 617¼ (thompson mich)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 30.02  
SCR  SINNER'S SIN               (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 3.00    
 
CD-5   05/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($76K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:232 :461 1:094 1:22   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GILMORE 2 3 41¼ 52½ 42½ 21 1hd (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 2.73  
4  KEEN CAT 4 4 31 31 1½ 11 2hd (morse rand)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.60 53% 0.90 0.66 P
8  GREERS FERRY 7 6 73¾ 62¾ 53½ 62¾ 33 (santamaria carlo)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 32.19  
7  DANCE SOME MO 6 5 52¾ 42½ 64½ 52½ 43½ (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 5% 19.00 10.27  
6  SYSTEMIC CHANGE 5 7 63¾ 74¼ 76½ 75¾ 55¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 5.00 22% 3.50 10.54  
1  AMERICAN LAW 1 1 1nk 1½ 31½ 42 67 (morse l)LANERIE J 118 4.50 9.00  
3  SHIPMAN 3 2 2nk 2½ 2½ 32 77¼ (green troy)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 5% 19.00 26.36  
SCR  EDDIE M               (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 120 3.50    
 
CD-6   05/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($86K) 3 ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:212 :441 :56     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GARDINER 5 4 21½ 1½   12½ 12¾ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 21% 3.80 1.21 W
4  SHAN 3 2 33½ 33   34 22¾ (moger jr)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 5% 19.00 2.58 P
3  GETTINBY 2 3 11½ 2½   22½ 35 (morse l)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 45% 1.20 5.11 S
8  MEGASTAR 6 5 44 45   46½ 47½ (moquett ronald)ROMAN A 118 20.00 20.53  
6  MO HAIR SAM 4 1 55 57½   59 512¼ (hancock j)TORRES A 118 5.00 10.72  
2  COMPLEX MUSIC 1 6 65 67½   610 616¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.50 4.35  
SCR  CHARBONNAY               (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 5.00    
SCR  PUTTING EAGLE               (von donn)CEDILLO ABEL 120 6.00    
 
CD-7   05/18/2025 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:111 1:361   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  WINDY WALK 8 6 32 31½ 31½ 2nk 1nk (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 7% 12.40 14.03 W
5  SULTRY LASS 5 7 75½ 74½ 53½ 52¾ 2nk (lovell miche)TORRES A 122 15.00 17.24  
7  BA DEE YAH 7 1 63½ 52½ 42 42¼ 3.2 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 15.39 S
4  AMBER CASCADE 4 8 86½ 85 64½ 63¼ 4¼ (devaux ch)TORRES A 122 4.00 7.78  
6  IMPEL 6 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 1nk 51 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 40% 1.50 2.56  
3  SUDDEN SWITCH 3 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 3.2 63 (mott riley)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 32% 2.20 1.61  
2  INDY LABEL 2 4 53 63½ 75½ 710¼ 717 (shirer mat)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 6.18  
1  AYRA STARK (ARG) 1 5 42 42 86 814¾ 827½ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 10.00 7.75  
 
CD-8   05/18/2025 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:131 1:364   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MOUNT RUNDLE 5 4 53 53 52 2½ 11 (nihei michelle)ACHARD ALEX 124 15.00 20.84  
3  PRESIDER 3 5 41½ 41½ 31½ 31½ 21 (russell brittany)CURTIS BEN 124 8.00 12% 7.30 6.91 P
8  TICKLED QUIST 7 1 11 11 11 1½ 31 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 5.18  
10  NAVY SEAL (IRE) 9 8 74½ 85¼ 84¾ 75½ 43¼ (ward a)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.00 22% 3.50 2.26  
9  MY BOY TONY 8 6 31½ 31½ 21 43 53½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 34% 2.00 2.59  
4  FORT THOMAS 4 3 95¾ 75¼ 95¾ 96¼ 64½ (arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 124 12.00 5% 19.00 6.97  
2  ASKARI 2 9 85½ 96¾ 74½ 65 75 (davis christop)DOYLE SOPHIE 124 15.00 6% 16.30 7.44  
1  WARNING SIGNS 1 7 63½ 63¼ 63½ 55 86½ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 20.00 64.18  
6  THICK AS THIEVES 6 2 21 21 42 86 96¾ (beckman d )HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00 27.98  
SCR  STEADFAST RESOLVE               (weaver george)ORTIZ L 124 3.50    
 
CD-9   05/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:211 :44 :554     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CAMP HALE 4 1 31½ 3½   12 12¼ (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 46% 1.20 0.87 W
  (by MO TOWN out of MAGIC HOUR by AWESOME AGAIN)
6  VALIANT HUMOR 6 4 74 54   43 22¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 17% 4.80 7.31 P
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of VALIANT EMILIA by PEGASUS WIND)
2  EVAN ON EARTH 2 3 2½ 2½   22 34¼ (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.50 7% 12.60 5.85 S
  (by CONGRATS out of JOSAKA by SMART STRIKE)
13  SHALLUS 11 10 128¾ 97¾   67½ 45 (labra rogeli)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 20.00 63.92  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of STRIKE FREE by CONCERN)
1  SHIP SHIP HOORAY 1 5 1½ 1½   33 56¼ (danner kelsey)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 ★ 14.41  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of RITHM AND RAP by ALGORITHMS)
10  NU WHAT'S NEW 8 8 116¼ 1211   910¾ 69¾ (divito p)CEDILLO ABEL 118 10.00 27.86  
  (by MUNNINGS out of HEAVENLY SCAT by SCAT DADDY)
5  PREPOSITION 5 9 42 64¼   77¾ 710¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 15.00 35.25  
  (by TAPIT out of MODIFY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
12  TAYLOR'S VERSION 10 2 52½ 42   56 811¾ (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 12.00 8.29  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TAYLOR S by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
14  BOB'S CARROT 12 6 84½ 76¾   810¼ 913¼ (asmussen )TORRES A 118 5.00 9% 10.00 16.50  
  (by DAREDEVIL out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
9  LIAM'S LAGOON 7 7 94½ 86¾   1012¼ 1015½ (ortiz alexa)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 37.73  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MAGNIFICENT SHIRL by HEATSEEKER)
3  HIGH WATER 3 12 63½ 1010¼   1114¾ 1118¾ (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 55.98  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of ISOCLONE by LONHRO (AUS))
11  REACTION 9 11 106 1110½   1216¼ 1222¾ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5% 19.00 15.05  
  (by UNCLE MO out of LASTOFTHSUMMERWINE by SKY MESA)
SCR  FLY GUY MICK               (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 12.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of RISE ABOVE by VIOLENCE)
SCR  STUDENY               (vance thomas)TORRES A 118 20.00    
  (by FROSTED out of RACE HUNTER by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  VEX               (sims matt)TORRES A 118 30.00    
  (by FROSTED out of ALL ACES by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  WHITE WHALE               (arnold georg)MONCADA IRVING 113 8.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of ELUSIVE DIVA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.