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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Churchill Downs
Sunday - May 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CD-2			WIN	(2/10/6/3/4)						5	$2.00	$10.00	10		$13.24			$3.24				32%
CD-3			DD	(2/10/6/3/4)-(7/3/2)						15	$1.00	$15.00	10-7		$21.76			$6.76				45%
CD-4			WIN	(1/4/5)						3	$2.00	$6.00	4		$7.58			$1.58				26%
			EXA	(1/4/5)-(1/4/5)						6	$2.00	$12.00	4-1		$29.12			$17.12				143%
			DD	(7/3/2)-(1/4/5)						9	$1.00	$9.00	7-4		$10.54			$1.54				17%
			PK3	(2/10/6/3/4)-(7/3/2)-(1/4/5)						45	$0.50	$22.50	10-7-4		$48.44			$25.94				115%
CD-6			EXA	(3/7/4)-(3/7/4)						6	$2.00	$12.00	7-4		$14.78			$2.78				23%
			TRI	(3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4)						6	$0.50	$3.00	7-4-3		$11.02			$8.02				267%
CD-7			WIN	(6/3/8/7)						4	$2.00	$8.00	8		$30.06			$22.06				276%
			DD	(3/7/4)-(6/3/8/7)						12	$1.00	$12.00	7-8		$17.86			$5.86				49%

Simulator Race results


CD-1			05/18/2025		5610ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($16K)					Purse ($55K)			4UP		ALL		PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	PAPA YO									(davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 118						5.00						3.04
4	TIGER MOON									(schultz lindsa)ORTIZ L 118						3.00		27%		2.70		1.87	P
5	SWISS SLANG									(mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 118						2.00		26%		2.80		4.07	S
1	ETHEREAL ROAD									(maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 118						2.50						2.57
6	HOODLUM									(foster er)TORRES A 118						12.00		14%		6.10		10.00
3	BIG PAPER									(van berg )BEALMEAR C 113						10.00						19.54
SCR	MASTER GAME									(sweezey ken)MORALES EDGAR 118						12.00

CD-2			05/18/2025		5610ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($12.5K)					Purse ($35K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
10	JUDY'S FLYER									(garcia gena)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118						5.00		9%		10.00		5.62	W
7	TIZ SALTY									(thompson mic)MONCADA IRVING 120						20.00						25.22
2	RED ROYALTY									(tomlinson mi)TORRES A 118						6.00		49%		1.00		5.52	S
5	MY SEXY BLONDE									(taylor brent)BEJARANO R 125						15.00						3.50
1	TIP TAP									(drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118						8.00						7.93
3	UNION DAME									(santamari)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 125						6.00		6%		15.30		11.90
6	FIFTH OF MAY									(colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 125						3.00		9%		10.70		1.65
4	SWEET SIB									(morey william )CEDILLO ABEL 118						8.00		5%		19.00		16.76
9	MALICE MAMA									(pittman bonn)BARBOSA CARLOS 125						15.00						37.90
SCR	PURE BREEZE									(sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118						4.00

CD-3			05/18/2025		5610ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($50K)					Purse ($78K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	DAI VERNON									(casse w)SAEZ LUIS 124						2.50		62%		0.60		1.44	W
6	NEON NIGHTS									(blair jordan)TORRES A 124						10.00						15.27
4	WINTERS LION									(sharp joe)ORTIZ L 124						3.00						1.76
3	SPECIAL DISPATCH									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124						6.00		10%		9.30		10.48
5	REALIGNMENT									(block chris)CURTIS BEN 124						4.00						6.65
2	MO HOPE									(mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 124						6.00		5%		19.00		5.12
SCR	KIGALI									(bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 124						12.00

CD-4			05/18/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($40K)					Purse ($78K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	BIG HAT WILLIE									(garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118						4.00		26%		2.90		2.79	W
1	GUNNER BAY									(lovell mich)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						6.00		27%		2.60		2.17	P
2	CHASING TIME									(asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118						2.50						3.26
6	CAN'T HUSH THIS									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118						3.50						2.10
5	SWIFT AS I AM									(jacobson dav)MONCADA IRVING 113						10.00		5%		19.00		21.07
7	HOCUS (GB)									(thompson mich)CANNON DECLAN 118						12.00						30.02
SCR	SINNER'S SIN									(moquett e)BEJARANO R 118						3.00

CD-5			05/18/2025		5280ft	DIRT	RC9	FAST	Starter Allowance ($20K)					Purse ($76K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	GILMORE									(sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118						3.00						2.73
4	KEEN CAT									(morse rand)HERNANDEZ J 118						1.60		53%		0.90		0.66	P
8	GREERS FERRY									(santamaria carlo)BEJARANO R 118						30.00						32.19
7	DANCE SOME MO									(van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 118						15.00		5%		19.00		10.27
6	SYSTEMIC CHANGE									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120						5.00		22%		3.50		10.54
1	AMERICAN LAW									(morse l)LANERIE J 118						4.50						9.00
3	SHIPMAN									(green troy)MORALES EDGAR 118						20.00		5%		19.00		26.36
SCR	EDDIE M									(rivera nestor )DIAZ I 120						3.50

CD-6			05/18/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($50K)					Purse ($86K)			3		ALL		PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	GARDINER									(sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118						3.00		21%		3.80		1.21	W
4	SHAN									(moger jr)BEJARANO R 118						8.00		5%		19.00		2.58	P
3	GETTINBY									(morse l)SAEZ LUIS 118						4.50		45%		1.20		5.11	S
8	MEGASTAR									(moquett ronald)ROMAN A 118						20.00						20.53
6	MO HAIR SAM									(hancock j)TORRES A 118						5.00						10.72
2	COMPLEX MUSIC									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118						3.50						4.35
SCR	CHARBONNAY									(ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120						5.00
SCR	PUTTING EAGLE									(von donn)CEDILLO ABEL 120						6.00

CD-7			05/18/2025		5940ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($80K)					Purse ($134K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	WINDY WALK									(davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 122						3.50		7%		12.40		14.03	W
5	SULTRY LASS									(lovell miche)TORRES A 122						15.00						17.24
7	BA DEE YAH									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122						10.00		5%		19.00		15.39	S
4	AMBER CASCADE									(devaux ch)TORRES A 122						4.00						7.78
6	IMPEL									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122						3.00		40%		1.50		2.56
3	SUDDEN SWITCH									(mott riley)ORTIZ L 124						2.50		32%		2.20		1.61
2	INDY LABEL									(shirer mat)HERNANDEZ J 122						12.00						6.18
1	AYRA STARK (ARG)									(correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122						10.00						7.75

CD-8			05/18/2025		5940ft	TURF	RC10	FIRM	Allowance					Purse ($127K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	MOUNT RUNDLE									(nihei michelle)ACHARD ALEX 124						15.00						20.84
3	PRESIDER									(russell brittany)CURTIS BEN 124						8.00		12%		7.30		6.91	P
8	TICKLED QUIST									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120						4.00						5.18
10	NAVY SEAL (IRE)									(ward a)MACHADO LUAN 124						4.00		22%		3.50		2.26
9	MY BOY TONY									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 124						3.00		34%		2.00		2.59
4	FORT THOMAS									(arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 124						12.00		5%		19.00		6.97
2	ASKARI									(davis christop)DOYLE SOPHIE 124						15.00		6%		16.30		7.44
1	WARNING SIGNS									(danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124						20.00						64.18
6	THICK AS THIEVES									(beckman d )HERNANDEZ J 124						15.00						27.98
SCR	STEADFAST RESOLVE									(weaver george)ORTIZ L 124						3.50

CD-9			05/18/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	CAMP HALE									(wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118						3.00		46%		1.20		0.87	W
		(by MO TOWN out of MAGIC HOUR by AWESOME AGAIN)
6	VALIANT HUMOR									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118						4.00		17%		4.80		7.31	P
		(by PRACTICAL JOKE out of VALIANT EMILIA by PEGASUS WIND)
2	EVAN ON EARTH									(foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 124						4.50		7%		12.60		5.85	S
		(by CONGRATS out of JOSAKA by SMART STRIKE)
13	SHALLUS									(labra rogeli)BURGOS ALBERTO 124						20.00						63.92
		(by CONSTITUTION out of STRIKE FREE by CONCERN)
1	SHIP SHIP HOORAY									(danner kelsey)MACHADO LUAN 118						6.00		★				14.41
		(by MIDSHIPMAN out of RITHM AND RAP by ALGORITHMS)
10	NU WHAT'S NEW									(divito p)CEDILLO ABEL 118						10.00						27.86
		(by MUNNINGS out of HEAVENLY SCAT by SCAT DADDY)
5	PREPOSITION									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118						15.00						35.25
		(by TAPIT out of MODIFY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
12	TAYLOR'S VERSION									(romans dale)LANERIE J 118						12.00						8.29
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of TAYLOR S by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
14	BOB'S CARROT									(asmussen )TORRES A 118						5.00		9%		10.00		16.50
		(by DAREDEVIL out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
9	LIAM'S LAGOON									(ortiz alexa)BEJARANO R 118						15.00						37.73
		(by LIAM'S MAP out of MAGNIFICENT SHIRL by HEATSEEKER)
3	HIGH WATER									(arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 118						20.00						55.98
		(by HIGHTAIL out of ISOCLONE by LONHRO (AUS))
11	REACTION									(sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118						8.00		5%		19.00		15.05
		(by UNCLE MO out of LASTOFTHSUMMERWINE by SKY MESA)
SCR	FLY GUY MICK									(romans dale)LANERIE J 118						12.00
		(by MCKINZIE out of RISE ABOVE by VIOLENCE)
SCR	STUDENY									(vance thomas)TORRES A 118						20.00
		(by FROSTED out of RACE HUNTER by DIXIE UNION)
SCR	VEX									(sims matt)TORRES A 118						30.00
		(by FROSTED out of ALL ACES by GRAND SLAM)
SCR	WHITE WHALE									(arnold georg)MONCADA IRVING 113						8.00
		(by HIGHTAIL out of ELUSIVE DIVA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.