Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - May 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(2/10/6/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(2/10/6/3/4)-(7/3/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CD-2   WIN (2/10/6/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/6/3/4)-(2/10/6/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/6/3/4)-(2/10/6/3/4)-(2/10/6/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/10/6/3/4)-(7/3/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/10/6/3/4)-(7/3/2)-(1/4/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CD-3   WIN (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/2)-(7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/2)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2)-(1/4/5)-(4/6/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-4   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(4/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(4/6/7/3)-(3/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-5   WIN (4/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/3)-(4/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/3)-(4/6/7/3)-(4/6/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/7/3)-(3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/3)-(3/7/4)-(6/3/8/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-6   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(6/3/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4)-(6/3/8/7)-(9/10/3/2/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-7   WIN (6/3/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/8/7)-(6/3/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/8/7)-(6/3/8/7)-(6/3/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/8/7)-(9/10/3/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/3/8/7)-(9/10/3/2/4)-(4/6/14/2/11) 100 $1.00 $100 
CD-8   WIN (9/10/3/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/3/2/4)-(9/10/3/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/3/2/4)-(9/10/3/2/4)-(9/10/3/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/10/3/2/4)-(4/6/14/2/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CD-9   WIN (4/6/14/2/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/14/2/11)-(4/6/14/2/1/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (4/6/14/2/11)-(4/6/14/2/1/11)-(4/6/14/2/1/11) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   05/18/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ETHEREAL ROAD Apr13 Mar23 Mar08 Jan05 Dec21 (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 118 2.50    
SCR  MASTER GAME May09 Mar16 Feb15 Jul21 Jun19 (sweezey ken)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
3  BIG PAPER Feb24 Dec06 Oct18 Aug17 May05 (van berg )BEALMEAR C 113 10.00    
4  TIGER MOON Feb06 Jan11 Dec07 Oct18 Sep27 (schultz lindsa)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
5  SWISS SLANG Jan24 Dec28 Nov02 Apr26 Mar07 (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 118 2.00 26% 2.80    
6  HOODLUM Apr26 Feb17 Jan04 Nov16 Oct18 (foster er)TORRES A 118 12.00 14% 6.10    
7  PAPA YO Feb01 Dec29 Oct18 Sep13 Aug22 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
 
CD-2   05/18/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIP TAP Apr16 Mar12 Feb01     (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00    
2  RED ROYALTY Apr29 Apr16 Mar12 Feb14 Nov23 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 118 6.00 49% 1.00    
3  UNION DAME Apr29 Apr13 Mar22 Feb17 Jun19 (santamari)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 125 6.00 6% 15.30    
4  SWEET SIB Apr29 Feb28 Jan31 Jan04 Oct16 (morey william)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MY SEXY BLONDE Feb05 Sep07 Aug18 Jul21 Jul05 (taylor brent)BEJARANO R 125 15.00    
6  FIFTH OF MAY Apr16 Feb22 Jan17 Nov23 Oct09 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 125 3.00 9% 10.70    
7  TIZ SALTY Mar07 Feb15 Jan02 Dec05 Nov07 (thompson mic)MONCADA IRVING 120 20.00    
SCR  PURE BREEZE Apr29 Sep11 Sep01     (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00    
9  MALICE MAMA Mar20 Feb27 Feb15 Jan30 Jan17 (pittman bonn)BARBOSA CARLOS 125 15.00    
10  JUDY'S FLYER Apr29 Mar12 Jan29 Jan02 Nov17 (garcia gena)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 5.00 9% 10.00    
 
CD-3   05/18/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KIGALI Feb22 Feb07 May25 Apr27 Nov15 (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 124 12.00    
2  MO HOPE Apr10 Jan05 Nov22 Oct30 Sep12 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  SPECIAL DISPATCH Apr13 Feb12 Jan18 Dec14 Nov14 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00 10% 9.30    
4  WINTERS LION Apr07 Jan27 Jan05 Dec01 Oct18 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 124 3.00    
5  REALIGNMENT Apr24 Mar22 Dec28 Aug22 Jul27 (block chris)CURTIS BEN 124 4.00    
6  NEON NIGHTS Apr13 Mar02 Dec13 Nov10 Sep20 (blair jordan)TORRES A 124 10.00    
7  DAI VERNON Mar28 Jan27 Dec13 Nov09 Sep21 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 62% 0.60    
 
CD-4   05/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUNNER BAY Mar08 Feb13 Jan10 Nov16 Oct12 (lovell mich)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 27% 2.60    
2  CHASING TIME Apr19 Mar16 Feb14 Dec01 Apr07 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118 2.50    
SCR  SINNER'S SIN Mar22 Feb17 Nov19 Sep19 Jul11 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 3.00    
4  BIG HAT WILLIE Apr29 Jan23 Nov22 Oct16 Aug23 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 26% 2.90    
5  SWIFT AS I AM Apr29 Feb15 Jan18 Dec13 Oct13 (jacobson dav)MONCADA IRVING 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  CAN'T HUSH THIS Sep29 Aug24 Jul22 Jun29 May03 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50    
7  HOCUS (GB) Jun21 May10 Apr07 Nov10 Oct20 (thompson mich)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00    
 
CD-5   05/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($76K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN LAW Apr24 Mar23 Feb08 Jan24 Jan04 (morse l)LANERIE J 118 4.50    
2  GILMORE Apr16 Mar13 Feb06 Dec13 Nov02 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00    
3  SHIPMAN Apr30 Apr09 Mar15 Feb26 Jan26 (green troy)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  KEEN CAT Apr11 Feb14 Jan19 Dec22 Dec01 (morse rand)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.60 53% 0.90    
SCR  EDDIE M May05 Apr05 Mar24 Mar04 Feb11 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 120 3.50    
6  SYSTEMIC CHANGE May03 Apr13 Feb28 Jan26 Dec20 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 5.00 22% 3.50    
7  DANCE SOME MO Apr19 Mar29 Feb17 Jan04 Dec13 (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  GREERS FERRY Apr13 Jan23 Dec06 Oct01 Sep10 (santamaria carlo)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
 
CD-6   05/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($86K) 3 ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHARBONNAY May08 Apr23 Mar15 Feb08 Jan25 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 5.00    
2  COMPLEX MUSIC Apr23 Jan26 Jan11 Dec13 Oct22 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.50    
3  GETTINBY Apr19 Apr06 Mar16 Jan23 Nov14 (morse l)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 45% 1.20    
4  SHAN May03 Mar22 Feb22 Jan18 Dec18 (moger jr)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PUTTING EAGLE May02 Apr06 Mar01 Feb07 Jan18 (von donn)CEDILLO ABEL 120 6.00    
6  MO HAIR SAM Apr06 Mar22 Mar07 Feb21 Aug29 (hancock )RODRIGUEZ A 118 5.00    
7  GARDINER Nov22 Nov01 Oct17 Sep12 Aug11 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 21% 3.80    
8  MEGASTAR May01 Jun23 Jun07     (moquett ronald)ROMAN A 118 20.00    
 
CD-7   05/18/2025 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AYRA STARK (ARG)         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 10.00    
2  INDY LABEL Apr23 Feb23 Jan19 Dec20 Nov16 (shirer mat)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
3  SUDDEN SWITCH Apr10 Jan25       (mott riley)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 32% 2.20    
4  AMBER CASCADE Apr07 Feb23 Jan17 Nov08 Sep20 (devaux ch)TORRES A 122 4.00    
5  SULTRY LASS Feb07 Dec27 Nov29 Nov08 Sep13 (lovell miche)TORRES A 122 15.00    
6  IMPEL Apr13 Aug24 Jul06 May03 Apr05 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
7  BA DEE YAH Mar07 Jan17 Dec22 Jul20 Jun08 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  WINDY WALK Apr24 Jan18 Dec26 Nov20 Oct26 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 7% 12.40    
 
CD-8   05/18/2025 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARNING SIGNS Oct24 Sep05 Jun18 May26 Sep10 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 20.00    
2  ASKARI Apr19 Mar29 Mar05 Jan29 Aug30 (davis christop)DOYLE SOPHIE 124 15.00 6% 16.30    
3  PRESIDER May01 Apr09 Feb28 Jan31 Jan05 (russell brittany)CURTIS BEN 124 8.00 12% 7.30    
4  FORT THOMAS Apr24 Nov03 Oct10 Sep08 Jul08 (arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  MOUNT RUNDLE Apr24 Mar22 Oct18 Aug06 Jul16 (nihei michelle)ACHARD ALEX 124 15.00    
6  THICK AS THIEVES Mar18 Dec15 Nov09 Oct11 Feb01 (beckman whi)CANNON DECLAN 124 15.00    
SCR  STEADFAST RESOLVE Apr24 Feb01 Nov02 Oct05 Aug29 (weaver george)ORTIZ L 124 3.50    
8  TICKLED QUIST Apr25 Mar21 Feb21 Dec01 Sep14 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00    
9  MY BOY TONY Apr24 Mar18 Feb15 Nov21 Oct25 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 34% 2.00    
10  NAVY SEAL (IRE) Apr25 Apr09 Mar29 Mar02 Feb07 (ward a)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.00 22% 3.50    
 
CD-9   05/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIP SHIP HOORAY Apr08 Feb08 Jan04 Dec01   (danner kelsey)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 ★    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of RITHM AND RAP by ALGORITHMS)
2  EVAN ON EARTH Nov22 Nov08 May04 Jan27 Dec30 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.50 7% 12.60    
  (by CONGRATS out of JOSAKA by SMART STRIKE)
3  HIGH WATER         (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of ISOCLONE by LONHRO (AUS))
4  CAMP HALE Apr08 Feb08 Jan11 Nov16 Oct11 (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 46% 1.20    
  (by MO TOWN out of MAGIC HOUR by AWESOME AGAIN)
5  PREPOSITION Sep28 Aug24       (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 15.00    
  (by TAPIT out of MODIFY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
6  VALIANT HUMOR Apr12 Feb15       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 17% 4.80    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of VALIANT EMILIA by PEGASUS WIND)
SCR  VEX Apr12         (sims matt)TORRES A 118 30.00    
  (by FROSTED out of ALL ACES by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  STUDENY Apr26 Apr13 Mar16 Dec07 Nov16 (vance thomas)TORRES A 118 20.00    
  (by FROSTED out of RACE HUNTER by DIXIE UNION)
9  LIAM'S LAGOON         (ortiz alexa)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MAGNIFICENT SHIRL by HEATSEEKER)
10  NU WHAT'S NEW         (divito p)CEDILLO ABEL 118 10.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of HEAVENLY SCAT by SCAT DADDY)
11  REACTION         (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of LASTOFTHSUMMERWINE by SKY MESA)
12  TAYLOR'S VERSION         (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TAYLOR S by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
13  SHALLUS May03 Apr09 Mar05 Nov22 Nov13 (labra rogeli)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 20.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of STRIKE FREE by CONCERN)
14  BOB'S CARROT Jun20 May16       (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 9% 10.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  WHITE WHALE Apr25 Mar09 Jan11 Dec01 Nov01 (arnold georg)MONCADA IRVING 113 8.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of ELUSIVE DIVA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  FLY GUY MICK         (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 12.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of RISE ABOVE by VIOLENCE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.