Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 01, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-2   EXA (10/7/5/3)-(10/7/5/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-3 $40.34 $16.34 68%
CD-4   WIN (6/9/7/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $29.78 $19.78 198%
    DD (1/3/4)-(6/9/7/1/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00  1-3 $56.12 $41.12 274%
    PK3 (10/7/5/3)-(1/3/4)-(6/9/7/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  7-1-3 $43.47 $13.47 45%
CD-6   EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-2 $17.76 $5.76 48%
CD-7   WIN (1/12/2/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  12 $12.72 $2.72 27%
    EXA (1/12/2/4/3)-(1/12/2/4/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00  12-4 $179.04 $139.04 348%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MARMO   (foley greg)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 1.47  
3  TEMPTING LADY   (newton tr)LEPAROUX R 124 6.00 44% 1.30 3.49 P
7  WARM DAYS   (lauer michae)TORRES A 118 20.00 32.39  
6  SPERRY CHALET   (ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 12.11  
1  CAN I GET AWITNESS   (delacruz meji)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 13% 6.70 5.55  
9  SR. MARY MARGARET   (newton t)RODRIGUEZ A 118 15.00 18.76  
8  BIG LEAP   (thomas jonath)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 9% 10.50 4.10  
2  STEPPIN TOTHE BEAT   (catalano m)CURTIS BEN 118 12.00 6% 15.10 11.54  
SCR  IMAGE OF ME   (foster eric)MONCADA IRVING 113 6.00    
 
CD-2   05/01/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MERCILESANIHILATOR   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00 26% 2.80 1.17 W
  (by AUDIBLE out of GADABOUT by WHEATLY HALL)
3  CAPTAIN GABE   (mccarthy michael )SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 6% 16.80 13.56 P
  (by INSTAGRAND out of OLD VALYRIA by OLD FORESTER)
1  BLINGING IT BACK   (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 6.63  
  (by VOLATILE out of IMA THREE BLINGER by TOO MUCH BLING)
6  DISTORTED SONG   (pomier chase)MAGNON H 119 15.00 23.20  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of PINEY POINT by CURLIN)
5  TURIN   (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 9% 10.80 4.54  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of RIGOLETTA by CONCERTO)
9  BAYTOWN ANUBIS   (mcentee paul)SERPA ANGEL 119 20.00 19.31  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of PARTISAN POLITICS by MORE THAN READY)
10  MOONLIGHT BEAUTY   (ward wesley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 116 2.50 29% 2.50 2.56  
  (by HOOTENANNY out of LOST IN CONFUSION by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
SCR  MANS GRACE   (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 119 20.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of MIDSHIPMAN'S GRACE by MIDSHIPMAN)
SCR  MR AMERICAN PIE   (o'neill )RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SHAWKLIT CAKE by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
SCR  SIMONE   (caramori cai)MONCADA IRVING 111 10.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of DIAL TO WIN by DIALED IN)
 
CD-3   05/01/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($86K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO EAGLES RIVER   (maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.40 37% 1.70 1.18 W
7  BEYOND BEST   (garcia gena)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 10.00 8.75  
6  SCAT FREE   (wilson shane)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 2.74  
4  REFUAH   (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 19.05  
3  TAGLIATELLE   (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 118 3.50 36% 1.80 2.86  
5  REGAL REY   (antonuik)RODRIGUEZ A 118 15.00 12.05  
SCR  UNDERHILL'S TAB   (medina robert)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50    
 
CD-4   05/01/2025 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:17
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PAYNT YA LATER   (moger jr)BEJARANO R 121 20.00 5% 19.00 13.89 W
12  NIKI NINE DOORS   (davis christo)ORTIZ JR 121 5.00 2.67  
1  READY TO JAM   (casse mark)ORTIZ L 121 8.00 5% 19.00 8.28 S
7  OUT TOO LATE (GB)   (maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 5% 19.00 17.51  
2  HIGH FASHION KATE   (salas mar)LEPAROUX R 121 20.00 10.22  
6  TOP GUN GIRL   (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 2.50 40% 1.50 3.10  
8  HIDEKI   (walsh ryan)CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00 39.16  
9  CART GIRL SAM   (crichton rohan)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 32% 2.10 6.19  
11  NUMERO SEIS   (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 27.71  
5  RUE LALA   (wilson shane)CURTIS BEN 123 4.50 8.94  
4  MAY MAY STRONG   (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 121 12.00 24.68  
13  HURRY UP HANNAH   (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00 24.10  
SCR  BEST CUPCAKE   (lauer michael)DAVIS DYLAN 121 20.00    
SCR  BUSTIN BULLET   (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 121 10.00    
SCR  ERVADEAN   (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00    
SCR  GIRLS WEEKEND   (beckman whi)CANNON DECLAN 121 12.00    
 
CD-5   05/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($83K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GAMBLERS TAIL   (ortiz john )RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 3.50 3.72  
6  BAYTOWN BRUISER   (king l)GARCIA MARTIN 124 20.00 23.67  
7  CURLIN'S GESTURE   (scherer mari)GEROUX FLORENT 124 4.00 43% 1.30 2.37 S
9  GOOGOL JOKE   (medina robe)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 10.00 5% 19.00 10.57  
2  BOLT AT MIDNIGHT   (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 124 3.00 24% 3.10 1.68  
8  SHORTSTOP   (colebrook ben)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00 6% 16.60 7.27  
3  TANGO MIKE MIKE   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 10.97  
SCR  LURED AWAY   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
SCR  RIDDLE SOLVER   (mckeever andr)CANNON DECLAN 124 10.00    
 
CD-6   05/01/2025 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Kentucky Juvenile Purse ($250K) 2 ALL PT- 3:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PINKY FINGER   (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 117 1.60 31% 2.20 0.51 W
  (by ARMY MULE out of BIRD MAP by LIAM'S MAP)
2  MAXIMUS PRIME   (demeritt)RODRIGUEZ A 118 15.00 5% 19.00 10.65 P
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SWEET ALTERNATIVE by ALTERNATION)
7  DOUBLE TALKER   (ward a)FLORES R 120 2.00 4.07  
  (by HOOTENANNY out of VALENTINE'S NAY by NO NAY NEVER)
3  HAPPYHAPPYBOY   (torres marce)MONCADA IRVING 118 15.00 28% 2.60 15.23  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CHORUS LINE by PARADING)
1  DARING MOVE   (hancock a)PRAT FLAVIEN 115 15.00 16.95  
  (by DAREDEVIL out of NASHINDY by A.P. INDY)
6  MONSTER   (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 5.60  
  (by LEINSTER out of DIENDA by KANTHAROS)
SCR  BARSTOOL   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of HOLLYWOOD HOOPLA by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
SCR  DIBLASI   (ward wesley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of ONE MORE MINUTE by ISTAN)
 
CD-7   05/01/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  OH REALLY   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 124 4.50 14% 6.00 5.36 W
4  MULTITASK   (harty eoi)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 12.00 5% 19.00 18.09 P
11  PRESIDER   (russell bri)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 5.00 7.06  
7  WARHOL   (beckman w)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 15.00 15.53  
6  DOMINGO   (oliver victor)VELAZQUEZ R 124 6.00 8.19  
1  ROTTERDAM   (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 58% 0.70 1.40  
8  PUBLICITY   (londono genevi)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 20.00 41.10  
3  TRANSCENDENTAL   (foster eric)RAMOS D 124 15.00 5% 19.00 37.94  
2  MEGA MAGIC   (stall albe)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 5% 19.00 16.13  
14  GAME POINT   (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 124 20.00 46.14  
5  MASAYOSHI   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 5.05  
SCR  BROWN LIQUOR MAN   (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 124 10.00    
SCR  FOOTPRINT   (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00    
SCR  MUGATU   (bogle fergus)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 30.00    
SCR  SIMOVIC   (von don)GARCIA MARTIN 124 20.00    
SCR  THRILLA   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
 
CD-8   05/01/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CLASSIC LEGACY   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 3.00 50% 1.00 1.33 W
8  HAILSTORM   (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 123 4.00 4.31  
3  LUDWIG   (bauer philip )ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 2.70  
5  BEBEDOURO   (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 123 8.00 5% 19.00 11.61  
2  VITEMENT   (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 123 10.00 18% 4.70 6.73  
6  SPANISH WELLS   (forster gr)HERNANDEZ J 123 12.00 12.66  
1  POLSTER   (brown h)SERPA ANGEL 125 10.00 5% 19.00 22.00  
SCR  EL DANDI   (acevedo isra)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 12.00    
SCR  KIGALI   (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 123 8.00    
 
CD-9   05/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WORLD RECORD   (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 2.50 48% 1.10 1.15 W
7  NASH   (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 123 2.00 2.69  
4  TRACK PHANTOM   (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00 15% 5.60 3.47 S
1  ARRO SMASH   (bauer philip)TORRES A 121 6.00 13.97  
3  PETCOFF   (russell br)HERNANDEZ J 123 10.00 11.58  
6  CARAMEL CHIP   (david carlo)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00 6% 16.30 8.25  
SCR  NAUTICAL STAR   (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 121 5.00    
 
CD-10   05/01/2025 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Opening Verse Purse ($350K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:47
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  BRILLIANT BERTI   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 1.87  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of BELIEVE IN BERTIE by LANGFUHR)
10  LAGYNOS   (asmussen steve)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 ★ 4.36 P
  (by KANTHAROS out of STEAMY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  MAJOR DUDE   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 65% 0.50 2.41 S
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MARY RITA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
1  PIPER'S FACTOR   (vassilieva k)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 20.00 19.05  
  (by THE FACTOR out of PIPERS FUTURE by NIIGON)
2  SKYRO   (drexler marti)VELAZQUEZ R 120 20.00 5% 19.00 30.86  
  (by VERRAZANO out of TIZ RO by HARD SPUN)
4  MONEY SUPPLY   (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 12.00 11.07  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of EVITA'S SISTER by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
5  PORTOFINO   (orseno josep)ZAYAS J 120 10.00 9% 10.50 20.63  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of LOVE CO by NOT FOR LOVE)
8  GEORGIE W   (walden william)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00 8.26  
  (by TAPITURE out of AVIE'S TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
3  TUT'S REVENGE   (maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 13.89  
  (by ESKENDEREYA out of CAT FIVE' O by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
SCR  MERCANTE   (knippenberg )RAMOS D 120 4.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CARESSING by HONOUR AND GLORY)
 
CD-11   05/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST St. Matthews Overnight Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FORT BRAGG   (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 6.27  
  (by TAPIT out of MARCH X PRESS by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
8  CHAMPLIN   (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00 4.28 P
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of NOW I KNOW by PURE PRIZE)
4  HAPPY IS A CHOICE   (ortiz alexan)SMITH E 120 4.00 9% 10.00 6.42 S
  (by RUNHAPPY out of FAST ALEXIA by AFLEET ALEX)
6  RED FLAG   (hess b)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 5% 19.00 24.93  
  (by TAMARKUZ out of SURRENDER by STORMY ATLANTIC)
10  VALENTINE CANDY   (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 23% 3.40 5.23  
  (by JUSTIFY out of TASTE LIKE CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  MILES AHEAD   (mcgee pau)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 24.81  
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of JENNIE R. by AWESOME AGAIN)
1  HENRO   (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120 15.00 28.46  
  (by COLLECTED out of STREET MINSTREL by STREET CRY (IRE))
7  BANGO   (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 11.97  
  (by CONGRATS out of JOSAKA by SMART STRIKE)
9  HAPPY AMERICAN   (jacobson david)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00 30.42  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of QUEEN OF AMERICA by QUIET AMERICAN)
3  SPEED BOAT BEACH   (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 36% 1.80 1.70  
  (by BAYERN out of SOPHIA MIA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
CD-12   05/01/2025 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:47
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  STELLIFY   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 125 3.00 48% 1.10 2.53 W
  (by JUSTIFY out of SAVVY STAR by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
10  FLEETINGLY   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 3.50 28% 2.60 1.18 P
  (by JUSTIFY out of ALICE SPRINGS by GALILEO)
6  HELLO BEAUTY   (sisterson jack)ROSARIO JOEL 125 15.00 9.39  
  (by STREET SENSE out of MAXIMOVA by DANEHILL DANCER (IRE))
14  MASSARAT   (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.70  
  (by CURLIN out of AYAADY by TAPIT)
3  ACHIEVE   (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00 17.95  
  (by JUSTIFY out of DREAMS ARE MADE by TAPIT)
4  ROYAL SUITE   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 15.07  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of PRINCESS MARIAH by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
11  MY GAL   (thomas jonath)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.32  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of ZIA by MUNNINGS)
2  BEE CAT   (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 20.00 33.17  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of EVIL KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
8  KENTUCKY FLAME   (mott riley)TORRES A 118 15.00 38.37  
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of MY SISTER SANDY by MONTBROOK)
SCR  HIDEAWAY   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
  (by CURLIN out of TAPPING PEARL by TAPIT)
SCR  MORINGA   (chavez manuel)BEJARANO R 125 30.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of LADY SIPHONICA by SIPHON (BRZ))
SCR  PACIFIC FRONT   (toner j)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of TREASURE TRAIL by PULPIT)
SCR  SOMETHING STRONGER   (stall m)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of LORA PADORA by FRANKEL)
SCR  STRIVE FOR HONOR   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 ★    
  (by CURLIN out of STRIVE by CONGRATS)
SCR  TURMALINA   (campos paulo)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of DIAVOLA by DUKE OF MARMALADE (IRE))
SCR  VICE   (medina robert)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00    
  (by TAPIT out of MY BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.