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Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Wednesday - April 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CD-2			SFT	(7/5/3/4/12)-(7/5/3/4/12)-(7/5/3/4/12)-(7/5/3/4/12)						120	$0.10	$12.00	7-4-5-12		$15.74			$3.74				31%
			SHF	(7/5/3/4/12)-(7/5/3/4/12)-(7/5/3/4/12)-(7/5/3/4/12)-(7/5/3/4/12)						120	$1.00	$120	7-4-5-12-3		$192.47			$72.47				60%
CD-5			EXA	(9/10/1/6)-(9/10/1/6)						12	$2.00	$24.00	10-6		$78.00			$54.00				225%
CD-9			WIN	(11/6/1/3)						4	$2.00	$8.00	3		$20.22			$12.22				153%
			EXA	(11/6/1/3)-(11/6/1/3)						12	$2.00	$24.00	3-1		$95.86			$71.86				299%
			TRI	(11/6/1/3)-(11/6/1/3)-(11/6/1/3)						24	$0.50	$12.00	3-1-11		$64.90			$52.90				441%
CD-10			EXA	(7/6/3/8/11)-(7/6/3/8/11)						20	$2.00	$40.00	7-8		$43.18			$3.18				8%
			TRI	(7/6/3/8/11)-(7/6/3/8/11)-(7/6/3/8/11)						60	$0.50	$30.00	7-8-3		$77.82			$47.82				159%
			SFT	(7/6/3/8/11)-(7/6/3/8/11)-(7/6/3/8/11)-(7/6/3/8/11)						120	$0.10	$12.00	7-8-3-6		$44.94			$32.94				275%
			DD	(11/6/1/3)-(7/6/3/8/11)						20	$1.00	$20.00	3-7		$40.36			$20.36				102%

Simulator Race results


CD-1			04/30/2025		4290ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($50K)					Purse ($86K)			4UP		M/F		PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	MARMALADE SKYE									(jacobson dav)MONCADA IRVING 113						2.50		71%		0.40		1.21	W
6	READY FOR TROUBLE									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118						5.00						6.86
7	ALWAYS ANGELS									(sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118						8.00		5%		19.00		2.78	S
3	STORY HOUR									(medina robert)ROSARIO JOEL 118						4.00						4.80
2	THESE APPLES									(foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 118						3.00						6.88
5	PROGENY									(garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118						6.00		5%		19.00		13.08
SCR	SANDRA D									(anderson s)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118						10.00

CD-2			04/30/2025		2970ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		F		PT- 1:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	SASSY C W									(rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119						3.50		37%		1.70		1.30	W
		(by YAUPON out of SASSY MISS SUE by TIZNOW)
4	WAKUDA									(asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 119						10.00		5%		19.00		3.22	P
		(by GUN RUNNER out of SIMPLY SOVEREIGN by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
5	BAFFLE									(pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119						4.50		31%		2.20		3.19	S
		(by VIOLENCE out of PLEASE FLATTER ME by MUNNINGS)
12	STARDIALED									(o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 119						10.00		5%		19.00		15.89
		(by DIALED IN out of FLY TO THE STARS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3	GIVEMETHEBEAT									(hancock a)LANERIE J 119						12.00		9%		10.00		8.83
		(by BEAU LIAM out of DRIFT AWAY by CONGRATS)
9	GOLDEN KEEN									(pomier chase)MAGNON H 119						20.00						37.78
		(by GOLDENCENTS out of ISLAND QUEEN by SUPER SAVER)
8	RED BERETTA									(douaihy michel)SERPA ANGEL 119						15.00						22.16
		(by CATALINA CRUISER out of DONTGETINMYWAY by MACHIAVELLIAN)
14	WOODALL PASS									(pomier ch)HERNANDEZ J 119						20.00						57.70
		(by PASS THE BUCK out of WOODALL LANE by BROKEN VOW)
10	VALIANT WAR GIRL									(ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119						12.00						17.04
		(by RUNHAPPY out of STARLIKE by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR	CELESTIAL HARMONY									(torres eri)HERNANDEZ N 119						20.00
		(by TAPWRIT out of HUMBLE STREET by STREET SENSE)
SCR	KABOOM									(lauer michae)TORRES A 119						12.00
		(by TAPITURE out of IMALLABOUTTHATBASS by INCLUDE)
SCR	LITTLE SAM'S									(acevedo isra)CALLEJA ANDRES 119						20.00
		(by GOLDENCENTS out of SAM'S STONE by DISCREET CAT)
SCR	MOONLIGHT BEAUTY									(ward wesley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119						4.00
		(by HOOTENANNY out of LOST IN CONFUSION by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
SCR	SHE REIGNS									(casse mark)ORTIZ JR 119						4.50
		(by COMPLEXITY out of REINA DIAMANTE by PULPIT)

CD-3			04/30/2025		5610ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($20K)					Purse ($48K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	ONE MOR STORY									(ortiz ale)ROSARIO JOEL 118						4.00						3.66
1	MO MOE MOW									(lynch brian )MONCADA IRVING 121						12.00		14%		6.00		9.71	P
3	PAVED IN GOLD									(forster g)HERNANDEZ J 126						2.50		45%		1.20		2.09	S
7	WINNING SONG									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118						6.00						4.93
5	OLD TRACE									(sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118						3.50						3.83
6	BOURBON STREET BOY									(catalano wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118						15.00						18.85
4	STRAIGHTAWAY									(walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118						5.00		15%		5.60		8.38
9	FRIENDLY CHARLIE									(calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						15.00		5%		19.00		19.30
SCR	TURNBUCKLE									(hancock dana)BEJARANO R 118						10.00

CD-4			04/30/2025		3300ft	TURF	RC3	FIRM	Alw Opt Clm ($80K)					Purse ($134K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	CLEAR THE AIR									(walden william)ROSARIO JOEL 122						8.00						5.61
12	DHABAB (IRE)									(vaughan edward)LANERIE J 122						10.00		6%		16.80		14.27	P
5	BAD BEAT BRIAN									(vanden britt)EMIGH A 122						12.00						17.48
2	B D VALESKI									(foley greg)ORTIZ L 122						10.00						14.60	DH
9	LET IT RIDE									(weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 122						6.00		6%		15.00		5.31	DH
11	URBAN LEGEND									(d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 122						3.50		21%		3.70		1.74
4	TEST FACTOR									(crichton rohan)SAEZ LUIS 122						6.00		25%		3.00		10.56
6	EDGE TO EDGE									(hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 122						15.00						33.19
3	GILDED RULER									(sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122						4.50						10.80
10	EYE WITNESS									(caramori cai)TORRES A 122						20.00						62.69
1	SHEFFLIN									(morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 122						8.00		14%		6.00		7.52
13	FOXTROTANNA									(wojczynsk)LEPAROUX R 122						30.00						47.07
SCR	ALDER									(maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 122						20.00
SCR	ALL JOKES ASIDE									(meah m)SERPA ANGEL 122						30.00
SCR	AMBIVALENT									(maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 124						4.00
SCR	FIVE O' SOMEWHERE									(spraggins )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122						30.00

CD-5			04/30/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($20K)					Purse ($57K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
10	COMMITTEE OF ONE									(asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 124						2.50		10%		9.40		1.66	W
6	ILLINI									(heath g)SAEZ GABRIEL 124						12.00		5%		19.00		18.37	P
7	FOCUSYN									(joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 124						3.50						2.81
2	PENROD									(moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 124						5.00						4.73
4	MIGHTY MO									(evans michael )MACHADO LUAN 118						20.00						23.87
1	ANOTHER MONARCH									(foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 118						6.00		6%		14.60		11.41
9	PERFECT PRANKSTER									(harty eoi)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124						3.00		62%		0.60		4.58
8	JACKSON'S ROAR									(hiles a)LANERIE J 118						20.00						19.42
SCR	BOTTOMS UP									(mccutchen jas)CANNON DECLAN 118						20.00
SCR	FARLEY HALL									(miller peter)CURTIS BEN 118						20.00

CD-6			04/30/2025		4620ft	DIRT	RC9	FAST	Starter Allowance ($30K)					Purse ($62K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:16
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	BADGEBALL									(foley greg)ORTIZ JR 124						3.00						4.77
7	SHIPMAN									(green troy)MORALES EDGAR 124						10.00		5%		19.00		20.40	P
4	MANABI									(king barr)LEPAROUX R 124						15.00		5%		19.00		17.84	S
3	EXPLOSIVELY									(moger jr)ROSARIO JOEL 124						4.00		14%		6.00		9.13
6	NORWICH									(mcgee paul)CANNON DECLAN 124						5.00		8%		12.30		3.61
1	SIR PISTOLERO									(jacobson david)ORTIZ L 124						12.00						27.30
9	VERTRAUEN									(diodoro rob)CONCEPCION AXEL 124						8.00						15.73
2	GIFT CERTIFICATE									(garcia genaro)LANERIE J 118						20.00						31.43
5	TIGER'S LEGACY									(davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 124						2.50		56%		0.80		1.00

CD-7			04/30/2025		5280ft	TURF	RC10	FIRM	Allowance					Purse ($127K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:47
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	CLASSIC Q									(casse mark)ORTIZ L 118						3.00		38%		1.70		2.93	W
7	EXPATRIATE									(brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 125						4.50						5.82
2	YES INDEED									(devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 125						12.00						5.49
3	STORM MIAMI (IRE)									(walsh brendan )ROSARIO JOEL 125						6.00		15%		5.80		7.36
9	HOPE MISSION									(walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 127						3.50		5%		19.00		2.02
1	LIKELY PERSPECTIVE (IRE)									(stall m)MACHADO LUAN 118						20.00						48.82
10	HAY STACK									(beckman whitwo)CURTIS BEN 125						15.00		5%		19.00		24.94
8	CANDY CAUSE									(rice linda)MONCADA IRVING 120						30.00						41.36
11	TAKE SHAPE									(sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 125						20.00						42.95
6	DREAM ON STORMY									(winston )RODRIGUEZ A 125						20.00						70.52
5	NEW ROME									(antonucci )HERNANDEZ J 127						4.00		23%		3.40		10.28

CD-8			04/30/2025		7920ft	DIRT	RC11	FAST	Isaac Murphy Marathon					Purse ($200K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 4:19
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	HONOR MARIE									(beckman whitwo)CURTIS BEN 118						3.50						5.80
		(by HONOR CODE out of DAME MARIE by SMART STRIKE)
8	TIMEOUT									(mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118						8.00		5%		19.00		7.18	P
		(by CURLIN out of LULL by WAR FRONT)
2	GAME WARDEN									(casse w)ORTIZ JR 118						3.00		16%		5.40		3.52	S
		(by TAPIT out of GLORY AND POWER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5	LAMBETH									(sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118						2.00		48%		1.10		1.11
		(by ARROGATE out of SOUTH BANK by TAPIT)
6	LE GRIS									(stall m)ORTIZ L 118						20.00						23.88
		(by CITY OF LIGHT out of CHICA BOOM CHIC by TAPIT)
3	SPEED BIAS									(moquett ronald)PRAT FLAVIEN 118						4.00		9%		10.20		11.15
		(by UNCLE MO out of HOT SUMMER by MALIBU MOON)
4	WARRIOR JOHNY									(bauer a)ROSARIO JOEL 118						10.00						6.82
		(by CAIRO PRINCE out of WARRIOR GIRL by WAR CHANT)
SCR	BABA VOSS									(hess b)LEPAROUX R 118						30.00
		(by EMPIRE MAKER out of SIEMPRE MIA by SCAT DADDY)

CD-9			04/30/2025		3630ft	TURF	RC11	FIRM	William Walker					Purse ($300K)			3		ALL		PT- 4:52
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	BRIDLE A BUTTERFLY									(stall albert )VELAZQUEZ R 118						30.00		5%		19.00		9.11	W
		(by COUNTRY HOUSE out of SLY STORM by STORM CAT)
1	OUT ON BAIL									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118						3.50		19%		4.20		3.22	P
		(by TIZ THE LAW out of JUDGE LEE by STREET CRY)
11	GOVERNOR SAM									(weaver georg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120						1.60		32%		2.10		0.96	S
		(by IMPROBABLE out of I'M BETTY G by INTO MISCHIEF)
5	COMING IN HOT									(ennis joh)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118						12.00						18.71
		(by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ALLIANNA by FLAT OUT)
9	WARHEART									(brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 118						12.00						6.55
		(by OMAHA BEACH out of INSIDE OUT by COLONEL JOHN)
7	JET SWEEP JOE									(mcentee paul)SERPA ANGEL 118						20.00						38.35
		(by FROSTED out of SISTER BLUES by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
6	MAKEIT TO CHEYENNE									(orseno joseph)ORTIZ JR 118						4.00		25%		3.00		6.58
		(by LIAM'S MAP out of SPEIGHT'S COMETE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2	ALTOBELLI									(alvarez nery)ORANTES CESAR 118						30.00						35.60
		(by AUTHENTIC out of TRUE ELEGANCE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR	BIG VINCE									(rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 118						15.00
		(by CARAVAGGIO out of LITTLE JUDE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR	NORMANDY COAST									(kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 118						8.00
		(by OMAHA BEACH out of ALLITERATION by CONGRATS)
SCR	PERFECT FORCE									(lukas wayne)JUAREZ NIK 118						15.00
		(by GUN RUNNER out of CUABA by SMOKE GLACKEN)

CD-10			04/30/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($12.5K)					Purse ($35K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 5:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	HASTEN									(simms jr)ORTIZ L 118						3.00		22%		3.60		3.80	W
8	ACTIVITY									(mcgaughey clau)MACHADO LUAN 118						8.00		9%		9.70		4.17	P
3	ZOHERE									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118						15.00		20%		4.10		4.88	S
6	SILENT BREEZE									(hancock a)LANERIE J 118						6.00		20%		4.10		3.72
10	CAJUN CRUISER									(pomier chase)MAGNON H 125						12.00						5.96
9	BEEZER									(williamson b)BARBOSA CARLOS 125						20.00						8.26
1	BRIGHT LIGHTS JOE									(walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 118						4.50						7.98
2	MISTER WOODFORD									(demeritte la)CALLEJA ANDRES 118						20.00						32.38
11	CAUSE IMA BOSS									(pittman )RODRIGUEZ A 118						20.00		5%		19.00		26.64
SCR	CHADO									(mccutchen jas)CANNON DECLAN 118						5.00
SCR	GOOD NEWS ROCKET									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 125						4.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.