Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Wednesday - April 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.42 $4.42  
CD-2   Win (7/5/3/4/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
CD-3   Win (3/4/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $9.32  
CD-4   Win (4/11/1/9/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $13.22  
CD-5   Win (9/10/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $5.32 $5.32  
CD-6   Win (5/3/6/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $11.54  
CD-7   Win (4/5/3/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $7.86 $7.86  
CD-8   Win (5/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $13.60  
CD-9   Win (11/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $20.22 $20.22 12.22
CD-10   Win (7/6/3/8/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $9.60 $9.60  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   04/30/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($86K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:092     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARMALADE SKYE 1 3 2 21   2nk 1 (jacobson dav)MONCADA IRVING 113 2.50 71% 0.40 1.21 W
READY FOR TROUBLE 5 4 6 4   32 2 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 6.86  
ALWAYS ANGELS 6 1 1 11   1nk 3 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5% 19.00 2.78 S
STORY HOUR 3 2 34 53   5 4 (medina robert)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 4.80  
THESE APPLES 2 5 44 3   4 510½ (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 118 3.00 6.88  
PROGENY 4 6 5 64   66 613¼ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 5% 19.00 13.08  
SCR  SANDRA D               (anderson s)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00    
 
CD-2   04/30/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:22 :444       :512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SASSY C W 4 1 16     1 1 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.50 37% 1.70 1.30 W
  (by YAUPON out of SASSY MISS SUE by TIZNOW)
WAKUDA 2 4 26     2 2 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 5% 19.00 3.22 P
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SIMPLY SOVEREIGN by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
BAFFLE 3 2 714¾     614 310 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 31% 2.20 3.19 S
  (by VIOLENCE out of PLEASE FLATTER ME by MUNNINGS)
12  STARDIALED 8 5 410½     310½ 411 (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 15.89  
  (by DIALED IN out of FLY TO THE STARS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
GIVEMETHEBEAT 1 3 310½     411½ 511¼ (hancock a)LANERIE J 119 12.00 9% 10.00 8.83  
  (by BEAU LIAM out of DRIFT AWAY by CONGRATS)
GOLDEN KEEN 6 6 512     513 612¼ (pomier chase)MAGNON H 119 20.00 37.78  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ISLAND QUEEN by SUPER SAVER)
RED BERETTA 5 8 917¾     917½ 715¼ (douaihy michel)SERPA ANGEL 119 15.00 22.16  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of DONTGETINMYWAY by MACHIAVELLIAN)
14  WOODALL PASS 9 7 614½     817 819 (pomier ch)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 57.70  
  (by PASS THE BUCK out of WOODALL LANE by BROKEN VOW)
10  VALIANT WAR GIRL 7 9 815¾     716½ 919 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 17.04  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of STARLIKE by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR  CELESTIAL HARMONY               (torres eri)HERNANDEZ N 119 20.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of HUMBLE STREET by STREET SENSE)
SCR  KABOOM               (lauer michae)TORRES A 119 12.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of IMALLABOUTTHATBASS by INCLUDE)
SCR  LITTLE SAM'S               (acevedo isra)CALLEJA ANDRES 119 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SAM'S STONE by DISCREET CAT)
SCR  MOONLIGHT BEAUTY               (ward wesley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00    
  (by HOOTENANNY out of LOST IN CONFUSION by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
SCR  SHE REIGNS               (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of REINA DIAMANTE by PULPIT)
 
CD-3   04/30/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:133 1:39   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE MOR STORY 7 4 22 21 2nk 12 11 (ortiz ale)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 3.66  
MO MOE MOW 1 7 6 6 7 32 21 (lynch brian )MONCADA IRVING 121 12.00 14% 6.00 9.71 P
PAVED IN GOLD 2 2 33 3 3 22 3 (forster g)HERNANDEZ J 126 2.50 45% 1.20 2.09 S
WINNING SONG 6 6 813½ 811¼ 8 45 43 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 4.93  
OLD TRACE 4 8 79 7 6 7 513¼ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 3.83  
BOURBON STREET BOY 5 5 12 11 1nk 5 614½ (catalano wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00 18.85  
STRAIGHTAWAY 3 1 5 5 4 6 717¼ (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 15% 5.60 8.38  
FRIENDLY CHARLIE 8 3 4 4 5 811¼ 820½ (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 19.30  
SCR  TURNBUCKLE               (hancock dana)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
 
CD-4   04/30/2025 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:214 :434       :551   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEAR THE AIR 7 2 21 2nk   1 1 (walden william)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 5.61  
12  DHABAB (IRE) 11 12 11 10   7 2 (vaughan edward)LANERIE J 122 10.00 6% 16.80 14.27 P
BAD BEAT BRIAN 5 4 7 7   5 3 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 12.00 17.48  
B D VALESKI 2 6 12 12   11 4 (foley greg)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 14.60 DH
LET IT RIDE 8 9 8 8   64 4 (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 6% 15.00 5.31 DH
11  URBAN LEGEND 10 11 52 3½   2 6 (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 21% 3.70 1.74  
TEST FACTOR 4 1 31 4   4 7 (crichton rohan)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 25% 3.00 10.56  
EDGE TO EDGE 6 3 11 1nk   32 8 (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 33.19  
GILDED RULER 3 7 10 95   85 94 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 10.80  
10  EYE WITNESS 9 8 4 63   95 10 (caramori cai)TORRES A 122 20.00 62.69  
SHEFFLIN 1 5 9 116   12 116 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 14% 6.00 7.52  
13  FOXTROTANNA 12 10 6 5   10 1210¼ (wojczynsk)LEPAROUX R 122 30.00 47.07  
SCR  ALDER               (maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00    
SCR  ALL JOKES ASIDE               (meah m)SERPA ANGEL 122 30.00    
SCR  AMBIVALENT               (maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00    
SCR  FIVE O' SOMEWHERE               (spraggins )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 30.00    
 
CD-5   04/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:214 :443 :563     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  COMMITTEE OF ONE 8 1 2½ 1nk   1nk 1nk (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 10% 9.40 1.66 W
ILLINI 4 2 1½ 2nk   2nk 2nk (heath g)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00 18.37 P
FOCUSYN 5 7 63 4   46 33 (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 2.81  
PENROD 2 3 3 33   34 44 (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 124 5.00 4.73  
MIGHTY MO 3 6 85 69   5 5 (evans michael )MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 23.87  
ANOTHER MONARCH 1 5 42 5   69 612¾ (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 118 6.00 6% 14.60 11.41  
PERFECT PRANKSTER 7 8 7 810¾   712½ 719¼ (harty eoi)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 3.00 62% 0.60 4.58  
JACKSON'S ROAR 6 4 52 710½   813½ 819¾ (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 20.00 19.42  
SCR  BOTTOMS UP               (mccutchen jas)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
SCR  FARLEY HALL               (miller peter)CURTIS BEN 118 20.00    
 
CD-6   04/30/2025 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:092     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BADGEBALL 8 4 2½ 2½   1 1 (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 4.77  
SHIPMAN 7 5 52 63   3 2 (green troy)MORALES EDGAR 124 10.00 5% 19.00 20.40 P
MANABI 4 1 97 75   5 3 (king barr)LEPAROUX R 124 15.00 5% 19.00 17.84 S
EXPLOSIVELY 3 6 1½ 1½   2 4 (moger jr)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 14% 6.00 9.13  
NORWICH 6 8 63 5   66 510¼ (mcgee paul)CANNON DECLAN 124 5.00 8% 12.30 3.61  
SIR PISTOLERO 1 2 8 9   89 610½ (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 124 12.00 27.30  
VERTRAUEN 9 7 31 3   45 712 (diodoro rob)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 8.00 15.73  
GIFT CERTIFICATE 2 9 7 8   912 819¾ (garcia genaro)LANERIE J 118 20.00 31.43  
TIGER'S LEGACY 5 3 41 4   7 921¼ (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 56% 0.80 1.00  
 
CD-7   04/30/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:47
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:091 1:211   1:33   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC Q 4 1 4 46 2 1 1 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 38% 1.70 2.93 W
EXPATRIATE 7 7 8 99 6 4 2 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 4.50 5.82  
YES INDEED 2 6 67 57 4 2 3 (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 125 12.00 5.49  
STORM MIAMI (IRE) 3 10 910 1010½ 9 67 46 (walsh brendan )ROSARIO JOEL 125 6.00 15% 5.80 7.36  
HOPE MISSION 9 9 7 7 7 56 5 (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 127 3.50 5% 19.00 2.02  
LIKELY PERSPECTIVE (IRE) 1 2 11 11 1 3 610¼ (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 48.82  
10  HAY STACK 10 11 1110¼ 89 8 7 712½ (beckman whitwo)CURTIS BEN 125 15.00 5% 19.00 24.94  
CANDY CAUSE 8 8 1010 1110¾ 11 99 812¾ (rice linda)MONCADA IRVING 120 30.00 41.36  
11  TAKE SHAPE 11 4 5 6 10 1111¾ 921¼ (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 125 20.00 42.95  
DREAM ON STORMY 6 5 33 33 54 8 1021½ (winston )RODRIGUEZ A 125 20.00 70.52  
NEW ROME 5 3 21 21 33 1011½ 1122¼ (antonucci )HERNANDEZ J 127 4.00 23% 3.40 10.28  
 
CD-8   04/30/2025 7920ft DIRT RC11 FAST Isaac Murphy Marathon Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:243 :48 1:132 1:382 2:04 2:303   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONOR MARIE 1 76 7 6 3 12 1nk (beckman whitwo)CURTIS BEN 118 3.50 5.80  
  (by HONOR CODE out of DAME MARIE by SMART STRIKE)
TIMEOUT 7 63 64 75 6 22 2nk (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.18 P
  (by CURLIN out of LULL by WAR FRONT)
GAME WARDEN 2 21 4 43 4 5 3 (casse w)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 16% 5.40 3.52 S
  (by TAPIT out of GLORY AND POWER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
LAMBETH 5 11 21 2½ 2½ 4 4 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.00 48% 1.10 1.11  
  (by ARROGATE out of SOUTH BANK by TAPIT)
LE GRIS 6 3 11 1½ 1½ 33 510½ (stall m)ORTIZ L 118 20.00 23.88  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CHICA BOOM CHIC by TAPIT)
SPEED BIAS 3 5 5 3 54 67 615¼ (moquett ronald)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 9% 10.20 11.15  
  (by UNCLE MO out of HOT SUMMER by MALIBU MOON)
WARRIOR JOHNY 4 4 32 5 7 739 7100 (bauer a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 6.82  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of WARRIOR GIRL by WAR CHANT)
SCR  BABA VOSS               (hess b)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SIEMPRE MIA by SCAT DADDY)
 
CD-9   04/30/2025 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM William Walker Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:221 :443 :554     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIDLE A BUTTERFLY 3 7 8 8   4 1½ (stall albert )VELAZQUEZ R 118 30.00 5% 19.00 9.11 W
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of SLY STORM by STORM CAT)
OUT ON BAIL 1 1 31 3   21 2½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 19% 4.20 3.22 P
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of JUDGE LEE by STREET CRY)
11  GOVERNOR SAM 8 2 1½ 1nk   11 3 (weaver georg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 1.60 32% 2.10 0.96 S
  (by IMPROBABLE out of I'M BETTY G by INTO MISCHIEF)
COMING IN HOT 4 5 7 7   33 4 (ennis joh)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 12.00 18.71  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ALLIANNA by FLAT OUT)
WARHEART 7 4 42 5   5 5 (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 6.55  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of INSIDE OUT by COLONEL JOHN)
JET SWEEP JOE 6 6 63 4   7 6 (mcentee paul)SERPA ANGEL 118 20.00 38.35  
  (by FROSTED out of SISTER BLUES by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
MAKEIT TO CHEYENNE 5 3 2½ 2nk   6 77 (orseno joseph)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 25% 3.00 6.58  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SPEIGHT'S COMETE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
ALTOBELLI 2 8 53 6   8 813 (alvarez nery)ORANTES CESAR 118 30.00 35.60  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of TRUE ELEGANCE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  BIG VINCE               (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of LITTLE JUDE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  NORMANDY COAST               (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 118 8.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of ALLITERATION by CONGRATS)
SCR  PERFECT FORCE               (lukas wayne)JUAREZ NIK 118 15.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CUABA by SMOKE GLACKEN)
 
CD-10   04/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:221 :462 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HASTEN 5 2 6 3½   1nk 1½ (simms jr)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 22% 3.60 3.80 W
ACTIVITY 6 5 5 2½   2nk 2½ (mcgaughey clau)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 9% 9.70 4.17 P
ZOHERE 3 4 42 52   33 38 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 20% 4.10 4.88 S
SILENT BREEZE 4 6 8 74   66 4 (hancock a)LANERIE J 118 6.00 20% 4.10 3.72  
10  CAJUN CRUISER 8 8 7 63   5 5 (pomier chase)MAGNON H 125 12.00 5.96  
BEEZER 7 3 2½ 1½   44 614 (williamson b)BARBOSA CARLOS 125 20.00 8.26  
BRIGHT LIGHTS JOE 1 7 9 9   711 723¼ (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 7.98  
MISTER WOODFORD 2 1 3½ 8   811¼ 826½ (demeritte la)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 20.00 32.38  
11  CAUSE IMA BOSS 9 9 1½ 41   911¾ 934 (pittman )RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00 5% 19.00 26.64  
SCR  CHADO               (mccutchen jas)CANNON DECLAN 118 5.00    
SCR  GOOD NEWS ROCKET               (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 125 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.