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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Churchill Downs
Saturday - May 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CD-1			WIN	(11/2/3/6/12)						5	$2.00	$10.00	6		$18.00			$8.00				80%
CD-3			WIN	(4/6/8)						3	$2.00	$6.00	8		$7.96			$1.96				33%
			EXA	(4/6/8)-(4/6/8)						6	$2.00	$12.00	8-4		$18.68			$6.68				56%
CD-6			WIN	(1/2/3/4/5)						5	$2.00	$10.00	2		$10.62			$0.62				6%
			EXA	(1/2/3/4/5)-(1/2/3/4/5)						20	$2.00	$40.00	2-5		$67.54			$27.54				69%
CD-7			WIN	(4/5/2/3)						4	$2.00	$8.00	5		$10.98			$2.98				37%
			EXA	(4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3)						12	$2.00	$24.00	5-4		$30.76			$6.76				28%
			DD	(1/2/3/4/5)-(4/5/2/3)						20	$1.00	$20.00	2-5		$26.81			$6.81				34%
			PK3	(1/3/5/6)-(1/2/3/4/5)-(4/5/2/3)						80	$0.50	$40.00	1-2-5		$44.89			$4.89				12%
CD-9			EXA	(6/3/9/4/5)-(6/3/9/4/5)						20	$2.00	$40.00	6-5		$59.70			$19.70				49%
CD-11			TRI	(1/4/7/12/2)-(1/4/7/12/2)-(1/4/7/12/2)						60	$0.50	$30.00	1-7-12		$51.69			$21.69				72%

Simulator Race results


CD-1			05/17/2025		3630ft	TURF	RC10	FIRM	Allowance					Purse ($127K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 6:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	MEAN EILEEN									(sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118						8.00		9%		9.60		8.00	W
5	LA FORET									(catalano wayne )LANERIE J 123						12.00						5.55
2	OBSTREPEROUS									(d'angelo jos)GEROUX FLORENT 123						6.00		23%		3.30		3.16	S
4	ANTIQUE SILVER									(jacobson dav)MONCADA IRVING 118						12.00						20.80
10	CAVATELLI									(foster er)TORRES A 118						20.00						26.85
9	MODERN SOUND									(maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 123						12.00						24.81
12	THANKFULLY									(delgado gustav)MACHADO LUAN 118						8.00		6%		16.90		13.16
1	MISS SUSAN B									(labra rogeli)BURGOS ALBERTO 123						20.00						29.60
8	I'M A COOKIE LOVER									(kerrick lac)CONCEPCION AXEL 123						30.00						46.79
3	MISO SPICY (FR)									(walsh p)CURTIS BEN 120						5.00		10%		8.80		3.88
11	LAMORNA									(ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 123						3.00		28%		2.60		5.54
7	BROOKLYNN DREW									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 123						4.00						8.38
SCR	BUNDCHEN									(ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 125						4.00

CD-2			05/17/2025		4620ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($12.5K)					Purse ($35K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 6:28
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	BECK'S SPIRIT									(romans dale)LANERIE J 118						15.00						26.09
9	BIG SALT LICK									(o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 124						2.50		33%		2.10		0.73	P
6	PHENOMENAL DREAM									(shorter aaron)GRAHAM J 124						6.00						9.07
8	MOVING TO KENTUCKY									(davis ch)RODRIGUEZ A 124						5.00		23%		3.40		4.36
3	PYROMANIA									(desormeaux j)TORRES A 118						12.00		5%		19.00		24.96
5	NASTINATE									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118						3.50						6.00
1	BOURBON STREET BOY									(catalano way)MONCADA IRVING 113						20.00						27.69
7	BOTE									(pomier ch)LEPAROUX R 118						15.00		12%		7.70		21.97
11	SILENT BREEZE									(hancock j)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118						8.00		6%		14.50		18.05
SCR	ROSENOW									(heitzman eric)ROCCO S 124						30.00
SCR	ZOHERE									(kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 118						8.00

CD-3			05/17/2025		5610ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($16K)					Purse ($36K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 6:56
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	MY BOSSY LADY									(sharp joe)TORRES A 118						5.00		12%		7.30		2.98	W
4	ADRIAN									(nihei michelle)DOYLE SOPHIE 118						4.00		32%		2.20		1.51	P
5	CHAMPAGNE ON ICE									(wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118						6.00						3.80
1	STARLIT SOFI									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124						6.00						4.29
6	HEARTS UNITED									(tomlinson micha)LANERIE J 118						8.00		29%		2.40		5.01
SCR	AIRFORCE LIGHTNING									(garcia gena)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118						15.00
SCR	DIVINE (IRE)									(brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 124						3.00
SCR	FROSTED MIRACLE									(mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118						5.00

CD-4			05/17/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($32K)					Purse ($71K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 7:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	SHAPE NOTE									(maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 118						4.00						4.46
3	GOODASIWONSWAS									(shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118						2.50		20%		4.10		1.59	P
7	BIG EFFECT									(crichton r)CORRALES GERARDO 118						15.00		5%		19.00		3.77	S
4	SHEFFLIN									(morey willia)RAMOS D 118						3.00		54%		0.90		5.15
2	M B'S MUNNING									(sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118						4.50						4.33
6	WILLTORUN									(hamm timothy)TORRES A 118						12.00						10.84
SCR	TOP GUN TOMMY									(jacobson dav)MONCADA IRVING 113						3.50

CD-5			05/17/2025		4290ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($80K)					Purse ($82K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 7:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	HOLSTER									(maker michael )SAEZ GABRIEL 125						3.00		31%		2.20		2.59	W
2	BOURBON'S FAULT									(shorter aaro)TORRES A 123						8.00						6.81
5	PINELAND									(schultz l)LEPAROUX R 123						3.50		13%		6.90		4.08	S
6	LOU'S LEGACY									(andrade hu)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118						15.00		5%		19.00		16.44
8	AJAAYB									(esquivel gus)BARBOSA CARLOS 123						20.00						11.11
4	STRUMMIN									(hancock j)TORRES A 118						10.00						11.85
7	FROSTY INDULGENCE									(davis chri)HERNANDEZ J 123						2.50						2.52
3	HESPER									(foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 118						4.00		31%		2.20		8.29

CD-6			05/17/2025		5940ft	TURF	RC10	FIRM	Allowance					Purse ($127K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 8:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	PARISH LANE									(kenneally eddi)MACHADO LUAN 124						3.00		13%		6.50		4.31	W
5	QUIETLY									(mott riley)TORRES A 124						10.00		8%		12.20		6.16	P
9	SY B									(devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 124						2.50						5.36
1	SPANISH EYES (GER)									(walsh p)CURTIS BEN 124						3.50		28%		2.50		1.31
4	POPPY THE PRINCESS									(newton troy)MONCADA IRVING 113						15.00		8%		11.40		24.41
11	EUNOMIA									(oliver victor)MORALES EDGAR 118						15.00						6.47
7	PRECIOUS MEDLEY									(danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118						20.00						69.29
3	MISSY BEE									(foster eric)RAMOS D 124						10.00		13%		6.80		23.82
12	SISTER CARLIE									(humphries tho)CANNON DECLAN 118						30.00						70.18
6	FREAK CITY									(jacobs )DE CRUZ 124						20.00						46.58
10	VINO TIEMPO									(vance d)LANERIE J 118						12.00						30.35
SCR	PURRING									(pomier ch)LEPAROUX R 124						30.00
SCR	SARAH'S DREAM									(d'angelo jos)GEROUX FLORENT 124						15.00

CD-7			05/17/2025		5610ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($30K)					Purse ($63K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 9:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	NORWICH									(mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 124						3.50		19%		4.30		4.49	W
4	REDEMPTION TIME									(sweezey k)CONCEPCION AXEL 124						2.50		38%		1.60		1.39	P
6	SCHIFTY'S HALOID									(mccarthy mic)TORRES A 124						4.00						11.57
3	CANDY NUN									(lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 124						10.00		5%		19.00		4.00
1	EVENING NEWS									(spicer t)SAEZ GABRIEL 124						6.00						7.82
2	MUCHO MOJO									(habeeb j)BEJARANO R 124						8.00		18%		4.60		16.38
8	COACH CAMPBELL									(miller kenny)BURGOS ALBERTO 124						12.00						38.47
7	CASCADE CRUISER									(simpson daniel)CURTIS BEN 124						5.00						6.33

CD-8			05/17/2025		5610ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($50K)					Purse ($67K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 9:39
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	FEVER NIGHT									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118						2.50		25%		3.00		0.94	W
2	ABBI FEDE									(ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118						10.00						13.52
5	WHERE Y'AT									(stewart dalla)MORALES EDGAR 118						4.00		24%		3.20		11.55	S
7	CHACHACHING									(williams colby)ROMAN A 125						8.00		5%		19.00		19.27
1	SHOGUN (IRE)									(romans dale)LANERIE J 118						6.00						6.52
4	FREEDOM MAKER									(thomas jo)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 125						6.00						5.83
9	CINISTER CIX									(brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 118						12.00						8.11
8	C MAC DA BOSS									(barnett c)GRAHAM J 118						15.00						35.32
6	COME TO PAPA									(von donn)CEDILLO ABEL 125						8.00		5%		19.00		19.25
10	JOHNSON									(king l)SAEZ GABRIEL 125						10.00		24%		3.20		28.89

CD-9			05/17/2025		7920ft	TURF	RC12	FIRM	Louisville					Purse ($250K)			4UP		ALL		PT-10:11
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	UTAH BEACH									(correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123						3.00		29%		2.50		3.22	W
		(by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MY OWN STORY by LASTING APPROVAL)
5	VERSTAPPEN									(walsh bre)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118						8.00		5%		19.00		7.34	P
		(by WAR FRONT out of ANDROMEDA GALAXY by PEINTRE CELEBRE)
2	MISSED THE CUT (IRE)									(devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118						3.50						3.01
		(by QUALITY ROAD out of BEAULY by SEA THE STARS)
9	SUGOI									(maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 118						4.00		17%		5.00		4.17
		(by KARAKONTIE out of TIMELESS SPIRIT by DEVIL HIS DUE)
7	ROCK'N A HALO									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118						15.00						38.72
		(by CATHOLIC BOY out of SHE WILL ROCK by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
8	ACCREDIT									(matejka pav)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118						12.00						53.35
		(by FLATTER out of BERNCREDIT by BERNSTEIN)
1	IDRATHERBEBLESSED									(hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 120						10.00						21.30
		(by UNIFIED out of CELESTIAL SMILE by TIZNOW)
3	REBEL RED (GB)									(devaux cherie)CANNON DECLAN 118						5.00		21%		3.70		3.25
		(by FRANKEL out of WITHOUT YOU BABE by LEMON DROP KID)
4	TAPIT SHOES									(moger jr)BEJARANO R 118						8.00		7%		12.40		10.11
		(by TAPIT out of AWESOME FLOWER by FLOWER ALLEY)

CD-10			05/17/2025		5940ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($80K)					Purse ($134K)			3UP		ALL		PT-10:42
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	GOULD'S GOLD									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122						5.00						3.50
9	WILLY D'S									(maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 122						4.00						10.59
2	PARCHMENT PARTY									(mott i)GRAHAM J 122						5.00						7.21
3	MENA									(blair jordan)CURTIS BEN 122						12.00		5%		19.00		43.20
7	BULLARD									(mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 116						3.00		19%		4.20		3.22
6	BADDEST GOOD BOY									(casse nor)TORRES A 122						2.50		50%		1.00		1.09
4	SINGLE DOT YAHT									(drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122						15.00		5%		19.00		31.73
8	NATIONAL ECLIPSE									(williamson bri)CEDILLO ABEL 122						30.00						65.32
SCR	BOURBON RESOLVE									(wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 122						15.00

CD-11			05/17/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			3UP		M/F		PT-11:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	ME AND MOLLY MCGEE									(eurton pe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118						2.50		41%		1.40		0.84	W
		(by VEKOMA out of MOLLY MCGEE by QUALITY ROAD)
7	SPUN CANDY									(stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118						12.00		13%		6.60		15.34	P
		(by HARD SPUN out of SUGAR PLUM FAIRY by DROSSELMEYER)
12	CLIFFS									(devaux cheri)TORRES A 118						10.00		5%		19.00		16.00	S
		(by OMAHA BEACH out of PERFECT VIEW by ARCH)
5	TEMPERATE									(mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 118						12.00						6.60
		(by CONSTITUTION out of SPRING IN THE AIR by SPRING AT LAST)
6	ISLAND BARBIE									(walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 118						12.00						22.76
		(by GHOSTZAPPER out of FLASHPACKINBARBIE by MUNNINGS)
4	LEMON ZEST									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118						3.50		25%		2.90		2.33
		(by NYQUIST out of LARKIN by BERNARDINI)
13	GIRL'S NOT GREY									(blair jordan)MONCADA IRVING 113						12.00						47.29
		(by GOOD MAGIC out of RADIANT RUBY by TALE OF THE CAT)
2	HIGH SOUTH									(arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 118						15.00		5%		19.00		24.84
		(by HIGHTAIL out of SOUTHERN DYNAMO by DYNAFORMER)
3	LINDY CAN									(foley greg)CURTIS BEN 118						20.00						56.94
		(by KANTHAROS out of NORTHERN MICHIGAN by BROKEN VOW)
SCR	KELLY'S WAY BACK									(stall m)MACHADO LUAN 118						15.00
		(by OMAHA BEACH out of KELLY'S HUMOR by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR	LADY SCUDERIA									(mott i)GRAHAM J 118						8.00
		(by UNCLE MO out of STARSHIP WARPSPEED by CONGRATS)
SCR	PUTONAHAPPYFACE									(dutrow rich)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						10.00
		(by MO TOWN out of ACTING HAPPY by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR	SHESA CHERRY									(damato ph)TORRES A 124						8.00
		(by CURLIN out of CHERRY LODGE by BERNARDINI)



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.