Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Saturday - May 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (11/2/3/6/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $18.00 $8.00 80%
CD-3   WIN (4/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $7.96 $1.96 33%
    EXA (4/6/8)-(4/6/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00  8-4 $18.68 $6.68 56%
CD-6   WIN (1/2/3/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $10.62 $0.62 6%
    EXA (1/2/3/4/5)-(1/2/3/4/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00  2-5 $67.54 $27.54 69%
CD-7   WIN (4/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $10.98 $2.98 37%
    EXA (4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-4 $30.76 $6.76 28%
    DD (1/2/3/4/5)-(4/5/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  2-5 $26.81 $6.81 34%
    PK3 (1/3/5/6)-(1/2/3/4/5)-(4/5/2/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00  1-2-5 $44.89 $4.89 12%
CD-9   EXA (6/3/9/4/5)-(6/3/9/4/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00  6-5 $59.70 $19.70 49%
CD-11   TRI (1/4/7/12/2)-(1/4/7/12/2)-(1/4/7/12/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00  1-7-12 $51.69 $21.69 72%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/17/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:22 :444 :563     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MEAN EILEEN 6 1 53½ 51¼   22 1hd (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 8.00 9% 9.60 8.00 W
5  LA FORET 5 7 97¼ 95¼   43½ 2hd (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 123 12.00 5.55  
2  OBSTREPEROUS 2 8 63¾ 62¼   32½ 3½ (d'angelo jos)GEROUX FLORENT 123 6.00 23% 3.30 3.16 S
4  ANTIQUE SILVER 4 6 41½ 1nk   12 41¼ (jacobson dav)MONCADA IRVING 118 12.00 20.80  
10  CAVATELLI 10 5 86¼ 73¾   55½ 53¾ (foster er)TORRES A 118 20.00 26.85  
9  MODERN SOUND 9 12 1110¾ 1210¼   1010½ 66 (maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 123 12.00 24.81  
12  THANKFULLY 12 4 31 3½   67 77¼ (delgado gustav)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 6% 16.90 13.16  
1  MISS SUSAN B 1 10 107¾ 105¾   88½ 87½ (labra rogeli)BURGOS ALBERTO 123 20.00 29.60  
8  I'M A COOKIE LOVER 8 11 1211¼ 118¾   910 97½ (kerrick lac)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 30.00 46.79  
3  MISO SPICY (FR) 3 3 1nk 2nk   78 1012 (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 120 5.00 10% 8.80 3.88  
11  LAMORNA 11 9 75¼ 84¾   1113 1112½ (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 123 3.00 28% 2.60 5.54  
7  BROOKLYNN DREW 7 2 2nk 4¾   1214½ 1216½ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 123 4.00 8.38  
SCR  BUNDCHEN               (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 125 4.00    
 
CD-2   05/17/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:103     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BECK'S SPIRIT 2 1 22 21   13 1½ (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 15.00 26.09  
9  BIG SALT LICK 8 6 77½ 64½   43¼ 2½ (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 124 2.50 33% 2.10 0.73 P
6  PHENOMENAL DREAM 5 8 914 911¼   23 31½ (shorter aaron)GRAHAM J 124 6.00 9.07  
8  MOVING TO KENTUCKY 7 4 54 53   33 42¾ (davis ch)RODRIGUEZ A 124 5.00 23% 3.40 4.36  
3  PYROMANIA 3 9 89½ 86¼   89¼ 59½ (desormeaux j)TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00 24.96  
5  NASTINATE 4 7 66 74¾   68¼ 612¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.50 6.00  
1  BOURBON STREET BOY 1 2 12 11   55¼ 712¾ (catalano way)MONCADA IRVING 113 20.00 27.69  
7  BOTE 6 5 32 43   78¾ 814½ (pomier ch)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 12% 7.70 21.97  
11  SILENT BREEZE 9 3 43 31½   910¼ 919¼ (hancock j)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 8.00 6% 14.50 18.05  
SCR  ROSENOW               (heitzman eric)ROCCO S 124 30.00    
SCR  ZOHERE               (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 118 8.00    
 
CD-3   05/17/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:123 1:371   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MY BOSSY LADY 5 1 21½ 22 2½ 12 12¼ (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 5.00 12% 7.30 2.98 W
4  ADRIAN 2 4 33½ 43½ 31 22 22¼ (nihei michelle)DOYLE SOPHIE 118 4.00 32% 2.20 1.51 P
5  CHAMPAGNE ON ICE 3 3 44 32½ 42 47 37½ (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 3.80  
1  STARLIT SOFI 1 5 11½ 12 1½ 34½ 48¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 6.00 4.29  
6  HEARTS UNITED 4 2 54½ 55 55½ 512 517¼ (tomlinson micha)LANERIE J 118 8.00 29% 2.40 5.01  
SCR  AIRFORCE LIGHTNING               (garcia gena)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 15.00    
SCR  DIVINE (IRE)               (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.00    
SCR  FROSTED MIRACLE               (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 5.00    
 
CD-4   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($71K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:26
See original race card.
:212 :443 :562     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAPE NOTE 1 4 22 41¾   31½ 1½ (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 4.46  
3  GOODASIWONSWAS 3 6 43 2nk   2nk 2½ (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 2.50 20% 4.10 1.59 P
7  BIG EFFECT 6 3 12 1nk   1nk 31¾ (crichton r)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 3.77 S
4  SHEFFLIN 4 2 53½ 31½   53¾ 45 (morey willia)RAMOS D 118 3.00 54% 0.90 5.15  
2  M B'S MUNNING 2 5 32½ 53¼   43½ 55 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 4.33  
6  WILLTORUN 5 1 65 64¾   65¾ 610 (hamm timothy)TORRES A 118 12.00 10.84  
SCR  TOP GUN TOMMY               (jacobson dav)MONCADA IRVING 113 3.50    
 
CD-5   05/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($80K) Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:222 :443 1:083     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLSTER 1 5 1½ 1nk   1½ 1nk (maker michael )SAEZ GABRIEL 125 3.00 31% 2.20 2.59 W
2  BOURBON'S FAULT 2 4 2½ 2nk   2½ 2nk (shorter aaro)TORRES A 123 8.00 6.81  
5  PINELAND 5 3 31 3½   33½ 34¾ (schultz l)LEPAROUX R 123 3.50 13% 6.90 4.08 S
6  LOU'S LEGACY 6 8 88 75½   56½ 45¼ (andrade hu)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 15.00 5% 19.00 16.44  
8  AJAAYB 8 1 52½ 41   45 59 (esquivel gus)BARBOSA CARLOS 123 20.00 11.11  
4  STRUMMIN 4 2 75½ 87½   89½ 69½ (hancock j)TORRES A 118 10.00 11.85  
7  FROSTY INDULGENCE 7 7 63 51½   66½ 79¾ (davis chri)HERNANDEZ J 123 2.50 2.52  
3  HESPER 3 6 41½ 63   78 815¼ (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 31% 2.20 8.29  
 
CD-6   05/17/2025 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:231 :483 1:131 1:371   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PARISH LANE 2 1 63¾ 54¾ 53½ 51¾ 1½ (kenneally eddi)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.00 13% 6.50 4.31 W
5  QUIETLY 5 2 74¾ 76¼ 74¾ 62¾ 2½ (mott riley)TORRES A 124 10.00 8% 12.20 6.16 P
9  SY B 8 7 42¼ 42¾ 42 4¾ 3¾ (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 5.36  
1  SPANISH EYES (GER) 1 3 32 32½ 32 3½ 41¼ (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 124 3.50 28% 2.50 1.31  
4  POPPY THE PRINCESS 4 6 85¼ 86½ 85¼ 73¼ 51¼ (newton troy)MONCADA IRVING 113 15.00 8% 11.40 24.41  
11  EUNOMIA 10 5 2nk 2nk 2½ 1nk 62¼ (oliver victor)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 6.47  
7  PRECIOUS MEDLEY 7 4 1nk 1nk 1½ 2nk 73¼ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 69.29  
3  MISSY BEE 3 9 95¾ 98 107¼ 94¾ 84 (foster eric)RAMOS D 124 10.00 13% 6.80 23.82  
12  SISTER CARLIE 11 8 53¼ 64¾ 63¾ 83¼ 94½ (humphries tho)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00 70.18  
6  FREAK CITY 6 11 118¾ 109½ 97¼ 105¼ 104½ (jacobs )DE CRUZ 124 20.00 46.58  
10  VINO TIEMPO 9 10 105¾ 11100 11100 11100 11100 (vance d)LANERIE J 118 12.00 30.35  
SCR  PURRING               (pomier ch)LEPAROUX R 124 30.00    
SCR  SARAH'S DREAM               (d'angelo jos)GEROUX FLORENT 124 15.00    
 
CD-7   05/17/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:112 1:36   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NORWICH 5 2 41½ 31½ 3.2 1nk 1hd (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 19% 4.30 4.49 W
4  REDEMPTION TIME 4 6 31½ 41¾ 41¾ 2nk 2hd (sweezey k)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 2.50 38% 1.60 1.39 P
6  SCHIFTY'S HALOID 6 7 85¾ 74¾ 74¼ 43¼ 33¾ (mccarthy mic)TORRES A 124 4.00 11.57  
3  CANDY NUN 3 4 53½ 63¾ 52¾ 65¼ 47¼ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 4.00  
1  EVENING NEWS 1 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 33 510 (spicer t)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 6.00 7.82  
2  MUCHO MOJO 2 3 2½ 2nk 2nk 55¼ 610½ (habeeb j)BEJARANO R 124 8.00 18% 4.60 16.38  
8  COACH CAMPBELL 8 5 75¼ 85¼ 63¼ 78¼ 713 (miller kenny)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 12.00 38.47  
7  CASCADE CRUISER 7 8 63¾ 53¾ 86¼ 814¼ 828¾ (simpson daniel)CURTIS BEN 124 5.00 6.33  
 
CD-8   05/17/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($67K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:39
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:133 1:373   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FEVER NIGHT 3 3 73½ 73¼ 63 21 1hd (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 25% 3.00 0.94 W
2  ABBI FEDE 2 4 1½ 1½ 1½ 11 2hd (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 13.52  
5  WHERE Y'AT 5 6 2½ 2½ 2½ 32 32½ (stewart dalla)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 24% 3.20 11.55 S
7  CHACHACHING 7 5 52½ 52½ 53 53½ 43½ (williams colby)ROMAN A 125 8.00 5% 19.00 19.27  
1  SHOGUN (IRE) 1 2 31½ 31½ 42 42½ 56½ (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 6.00 6.52  
4  FREEDOM MAKER 4 8 94¼ 84¼ 85 75½ 68 (thomas jo)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 125 6.00 5.83  
9  CINISTER CIX 9 1 41½ 41½ 31½ 64½ 79 (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 8.11  
8  C MAC DA BOSS 8 10 105¼ 106¾ 107½ 87 810 (barnett c)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 35.32  
6  COME TO PAPA 6 7 83¾ 94¼ 97 99½ 913½ (von donn)CEDILLO ABEL 125 8.00 5% 19.00 19.25  
10  JOHNSON 10 9 63 62¾ 73½ 1010½ 1017½ (king l)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 10.00 24% 3.20 28.89  
 
CD-9   05/17/2025 7920ft TURF RC12 FIRM Louisville Purse ($250K) 4UP ALL PT-10:11
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:133 1:391 2:031 2:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  UTAH BEACH 6 85 84½ 83½ 32 2nk 11½ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 3.00 29% 2.50 3.22 W
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MY OWN STORY by LASTING APPROVAL)
5  VERSTAPPEN 5 21 21 21 12 1nk 21½ (walsh bre)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.34 P
  (by WAR FRONT out of ANDROMEDA GALAXY by PEINTRE CELEBRE)
2  MISSED THE CUT (IRE) 2 42½ 42½ 42 54 33½ 34½ (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 3.01  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of BEAULY by SEA THE STARS)
9  SUGOI 9 63½ 63 52¼ 22 44 49½ (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 17% 5.00 4.17  
  (by KARAKONTIE out of TIMELESS SPIRIT by DEVIL HIS DUE)
7  ROCK'N A HALO 7 74½ 73½ 63¼ 68 69 516 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 38.72  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of SHE WILL ROCK by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
8  ACCREDIT 8 31½ 32 32 43 58 618 (matejka pav)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 12.00 53.35  
  (by FLATTER out of BERNCREDIT by BERNSTEIN)
1  IDRATHERBEBLESSED 1 11 11 11 711 719 753½ (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 120 10.00 21.30  
  (by UNIFIED out of CELESTIAL SMILE by TIZNOW)
3  REBEL RED (GB) 3 53½ 53 73¼ 8100 8100 8100 (devaux cherie)CANNON DECLAN 118 5.00 21% 3.70 3.25  
  (by FRANKEL out of WITHOUT YOU BABE by LEMON DROP KID)
4  TAPIT SHOES 4 96½ 95½ 95½ 9100 9100 9100 (moger jr)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 7% 12.40 10.11  
  (by TAPIT out of AWESOME FLOWER by FLOWER ALLEY)
 
CD-10   05/17/2025 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT-10:42
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:111 1:351   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOULD'S GOLD 1 4 31½ 32 44 21 1½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 3.50  
9  WILLY D'S 8 3 21 2½ 2nk 11 2½ (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00 10.59  
2  PARCHMENT PARTY 2 8 88½ 89 810 56½ 35¼ (mott i)GRAHAM J 122 5.00 7.21  
3  MENA 3 1 11 1½ 1nk 32 47¾ (blair jordan)CURTIS BEN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 43.20  
7  BULLARD 6 6 42 52½ 32 44 58¼ (mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 116 3.00 19% 4.20 3.22  
6  BADDEST GOOD BOY 5 5 74 74½ 55½ 67½ 611 (casse nor)TORRES A 122 2.50 50% 1.00 1.09  
4  SINGLE DOT YAHT 4 2 63½ 64 66½ 710 714½ (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00 5% 19.00 31.73  
8  NATIONAL ECLIPSE 7 7 53 42½ 77 815 821½ (williamson bri)CEDILLO ABEL 122 30.00 65.32  
SCR  BOURBON RESOLVE               (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00    
 
CD-11   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT-11:10
See original race card.
:21 :443 :563     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ME AND MOLLY MCGEE 1 1 12 12½   14 15 (eurton pe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 2.50 41% 1.40 0.84 W
  (by VEKOMA out of MOLLY MCGEE by QUALITY ROAD)
7  SPUN CANDY 7 2 54¼ 22½   24 25 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 13% 6.60 15.34 P
  (by HARD SPUN out of SUGAR PLUM FAIRY by DROSSELMEYER)
12  CLIFFS 8 6 65¼ 32½   34 35¼ (devaux cheri)TORRES A 118 10.00 5% 19.00 16.00 S
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of PERFECT VIEW by ARCH)
5  TEMPERATE 5 9 77¾ 64¼   46½ 46¾ (mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 6.60  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SPRING IN THE AIR by SPRING AT LAST)
6  ISLAND BARBIE 6 8 99¼ 86¾   69½ 511¼ (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 22.76  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of FLASHPACKINBARBIE by MUNNINGS)
4  LEMON ZEST 4 3 88¾ 99¼   812 612 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 25% 2.90 2.33  
  (by NYQUIST out of LARKIN by BERNARDINI)
13  GIRL'S NOT GREY 9 7 34 42¾   57 712¾ (blair jordan)MONCADA IRVING 113 12.00 47.29  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of RADIANT RUBY by TALE OF THE CAT)
2  HIGH SOUTH 2 5 44 74¾   711 815½ (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 5% 19.00 24.84  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of SOUTHERN DYNAMO by DYNAFORMER)
3  LINDY CAN 3 4 22 52¾   919 933¼ (foley greg)CURTIS BEN 118 20.00 56.94  
  (by KANTHAROS out of NORTHERN MICHIGAN by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  KELLY'S WAY BACK               (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of KELLY'S HUMOR by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  LADY SCUDERIA               (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 8.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of STARSHIP WARPSPEED by CONGRATS)
SCR  PUTONAHAPPYFACE               (dutrow rich)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of ACTING HAPPY by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  SHESA CHERRY               (damato ph)TORRES A 124 8.00    
  (by CURLIN out of CHERRY LODGE by BERNARDINI)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.