Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Keeneland
Thursday - April 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

KEE-2   TRI (7/4/5/11/1)-(7/4/5/8/11/1)-(7/4/5/8/11/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00  7-4-1 $64.34 $14.34 29%

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/17/2025 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:133 1:394   1:532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COPPER MISSILE 4 5 4 44 4 21 11 (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 125 3.50 2.27  
FIRST OF HIS NAME 3 3 1 12 12 11 21 (cowans wil)HERNANDEZ J 125 3.00 10% 8.60 2.49 P
NATIONAL ECLIPSE 5 2 2 22 22 31 3 (williamson b)TORRES A 125 2.00 57% 0.80 2.33 S
SCHIFTY'S HALOID 1 1 32 32 3 5 47 (mccarthy micha)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 4.00 4.56  
GORILLA TREK 2 4 54 5 54 45 5 (claire alexis)ORTIZ L 125 5.00 7.38  
SCR  FALK               (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPRINT OUT PASS               (medina robert)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
 
KEE-2   04/17/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:231 :491 1:142 1:38   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATARAH 7 2 1 1½ 11 1½ 1½ (walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 44% 1.30 3.70 W
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SKY O' BLUE by HENNY HUGHES)
DOUBLE JEOPARDY 4 3 7 7 42 2½ 2½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 25% 3.00 1.12 P
  (by UNCLE MO out of AVENGE by WAR FRONT)
SNIPSNIPPITYSNIP 1 10 9 8 7 43 32 (walsh brendan )ORTIZ L 120 10.00 5% 19.00 20.63 S
  (by GIRVIN out of SHE'S NOT LAZY by TIZNOW)
GOLDENAGEACTRESS 9 6 2 41 3 32 4 (block chris)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00 62.85  
  (by STREET SENSE out of APPEALING AUDREY by MALIBU MOON)
THAMES 2 12 12 11 10 7 5 (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 20.00 20.59  
  (by GIFT BOX out of HENLEY by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
PRETTY TAPIT 3 11 11 9 9 8 6 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00 14.02  
  (by TAPIT out of PRETTY AT WAR by WAR FRONT)
LES IS BEST 5 8 8 6 6 54 7 (foster er)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 12.00 10% 9.40 10.78  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of UNFOLD THE ROSE by CATIENUS)
RATHER DISTINCT 8 5 53 2½ 21 6 8 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00 5.62  
  (by JUSTIFY out of RATHER SPECIAL by GALILEO)
11  SWEET MACKENZIE 11 7 6 3½ 5 99 912½ (antonucci )HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 5% 19.00 27.37  
  (by NYQUIST out of ICE CREAM by BERNARDINI)
12  KANAZAWA 12 9 10 12 1110¼ 1013 1017½ (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00 62.95  
  (by ACCELERATE out of OCEAN ROAD by WAR FRONT)
PERFECT UNION 6 1 4 52 8 1113½ 1126½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 20.00 32.78  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of SUPERNATURAL by GHOSTZAPPER)
10  ITZA KITTY 10 4 3 10 1216¾ 1221½ 1232½ (handal ray)CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00 61.40  
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of BITTY KITTY by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  ACCEPTANCE SPEECH               (lynch brian )MONCADA IRVING 115 15.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of MENDING WALL by BROKEN VOW)
 
KEE-3   04/17/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:121     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLOFTHEBLUEGRASS 5 2 1nk 1½   16 1 (mott rile)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 4.50 31% 2.30 1.48 W
PRINCESS KALAMOH 6 1 4 31   36 2 (matthews ran)RAMOS D 124 6.00 12.33  
MILA JUNES 7 3 2nk 2½   26 311¼ (van thoma)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50 23% 3.30 1.54 S
CANDY CAUSE 3 6 6 4   4 412¼ (kenneally eddi)MACHADO LUAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00 9.09  
MIDNIGHT BLAZE 4 7 7 8   612½ 515½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 11.36  
ELOPER 1 4 3 5   5 617¼ (radosevich)HERNANDEZ J 124 20.00 28.42  
MARIPOSA DE PISTA 2 5 5 77   816¼ 723¾ (pinzon maria)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 8.00 22% 3.50 10.06  
10  NO SHOW 8 8 8 6   716 824¼ (esquivel gus)BARBOSA CARLOS 124 30.00 63.27  
SCR  BAYTOWN BOUJEE               (forster gran)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 15.00    
SCR  WHERE'S THE WINE               (catalano way)GEROUX FLORENT 124 2.50    
 
KEE-4   04/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:224 :462 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BACKTRACK 8 2 11 1nk   1nk 1¼ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 60% 0.70 1.19 W
  (by KHOZAN out of EPHYRA by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
12  REDACTED 10 1 21 2nk   2nk 2¼ (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 3.47 P
  (by HONOR CODE out of DELICATUS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
FLICK (GB) 7 10 64 4   36 311¼ (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 120 12.00 56.01  
  (by ARMY MULE out of RUN CARRIE RUN by ORIENTATE (GB))
FREE SPIN 2 5 42 3   4 411¼ (mott riley)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00 5.17  
  (by HARD SPUN out of KATHERINE'SKADENCE by MR. GREELEY)
PYROMANIA 6 9 10 1011¾   812¼ 514½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 20.00 37.32  
  (by DAREDEVIL out of LONDON MIST by AFLEET ALEX)
VAYA JEFFE 3 4 52 5   610¼ 615¼ (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00 21.10  
  (by STREET BOSS out of GOTTA HAVE HER by ROYAL ACADEMY)
11  LOVE THAT SYMPHONY 9 3 75 7   712¼ 715½ (oliver victoria)CURTIS BEN 120 10.00 15% 5.70 33.62  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of LOVE CO by NOT FOR LOVE)
VIX 1 7 3 6   510 816¾ (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 5% 19.00 8.11  
  (by VOLATILE out of SWEET FACTORY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
OH PLEASE 4 6 8 8   912¾ 919¾ (elliott)DE CRUZ 120 15.00 22.50  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of PLEASE by LIAM'S MAP)
BLACK HILLS 5 8 9 910¾   1019¾ 1036¼ (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 11.58  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of LIMITED VIEW by FREEDOM CHILD)
SCR  ARAUCANO               (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50    
  (by MCKINZIE out of WAVERLY PLACE by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  DAY MONEY DEEGAN               (puhich mike)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 20.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of I BET TONI KNOWS by SUNRIVER)
 
KEE-5   04/17/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:213 :444 :563     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  SURF CITY 8 8 97 9   61 1nk (oliver victor)VELAZQUEZ R 124 15.00 26.13  
DEVIL IN DISGUISE 6 9 75 7   3.2 2nk (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 9.80  
CREDITWORTHY 3 5 43 42   4¼ 3.15 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 47% 1.10 1.97 S
MOON SNIPER 2 6 54 54   5½ 4 (miller darri)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 30.00 60.80  
13  MONSIEUR CANDY 9 2 6 65   82 5 (cohn g)TORRES A 117 6.00 12% 7.70 5.28  
LET'S GO MARK 5 3 2½ 2½   1nk 6 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 15.00 5% 19.00 25.43  
UNCLE WILLIAM 1 10 109 10   9 74 (guida e)LANERIE J 124 30.00 53.77  
14  JOHNNY COME LATELY 10 7 86 87   10 8 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00 24.37  
10  ALEXIS ZORBA (GB) 7 1 3 3   72 9 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00 5% 19.00 13.51  
SEND CASH 4 4 1½ 1½   2nk 10 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 126 3.00 14% 6.30 1.59  
SCR  BOLT FROM ABOVE               (brinkman brett)CURTIS BEN 124 20.00    
SCR  BUCYK               (esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 124 15.00    
SCR  GO CAPTAIN               (briley lonnie)LANERIE J 124 8.00    
SCR  HESPER               (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
SCR  INTO DIAMONDS               (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00    
SCR  PIVOTAL MOMENT               (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00    
 
KEE-6   04/17/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:113     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLICQUOT 2 5 2nk 1nk   1 16 (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 1.42  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of ROYAL OBSESSION by ROYAL ACADEMY)
MAZAYAAT 3 2 1nk 2nk   2 26 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 15% 5.70 5.12 P
  (by BERNARDINI out of RUBIES ARE RED by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SHEWONTBUDGE 4 3 5 4   4 3 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.80 57% 0.80 2.30 S
  (by ARMY MULE out of JOYFUL FROLIC by CURLIN)
BUNDLE 5 4 31 31   35 4 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 5.48  
  (by VOLATILE out of LOVE AND PRIDE by A.P. INDY)
TEJANITA 8 1 7 7   515½ 521¼ (mcgaughey cla)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00 18.55  
  (by TAPIT out of TEJANA by CURLIN)
CROSSING JORDAN 1 6 4 5   616½ 630½ (pinzon maria)CALLEJA ANDRES 120 30.00 5% 19.00 75.12  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SPELLKER by CITY ZIP)
SHEILA 7 7 6 6   719½ 732¾ (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 34.14  
  (by DAREDEVIL out of STREET SONG by FLATTER)
CRIMSON SUN 6 8 8 8   823½ 849 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00 5% 19.00 14.16  
  (by CURLIN out of PROSPECTOR'S MOON by MALIBU MOON)
 
KEE-7   04/17/2025 7920ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:144 1:403 2:052 2:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUCSON 3 4 3 3 3 1nk 1 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 47% 1.10 2.01 W
10  FREEDOM'S WAY 9 2½ 2½ 2½ 1½ 2nk 2 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 14.80  
MUTAAWID 2 105 8 7 63 43 3 (maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 23% 3.40 5.60 S
SAFE TRIP HOME 4 11 11 11 10 8 4 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00 45.08  
VERBAL 6 52 52 53 52 54 57 (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 15.95  
QUATROCENTO 8 6 7 105 7 6 67 (gutierrez)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 6.00 7% 14.30 3.60  
TRES SOLES 5 1½ 1½ 1½ 2½ 3 7 (atras rob)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 24.18  
KING CURLIN 1 73 63 6 84 7 8 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 20.00 29.85  
11  RAPTOR'S (BRZ) 10 31 4 4 42 9 914 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.65  
12  AGENT CREED 11 94 10 8 11 1110¾ 1014¾ (troiani nicco)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 66.47  
LE GRIS 7 84 9 9 9 1010¼ 1115¾ (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 5.95  
SCR  DEUTERONOMY               (mcgaughey clau)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50    
 
KEE-8   04/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($120K) 3 F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:224 :464 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILA ROSE 1 3 42 5   4 11 (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 120 1.80 43% 1.40 1.48 W
WISCONSIN GAL 4 5 53 3.2   1½ 21 (mcentee paul)SERPA ANGEL 118 4.00 5.54  
MASCARA 6 2 3 4   5 33 (troiani nicco)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 5% 19.00 13.36 S
CARLISLE BAY 7 1 2½ 2nk   2½ 43 (foley greg)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 10.18  
CAVATELLI 5 7 6 6   6 56 (foster eric)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 10% 8.90 4.20  
EMPIRICAL MISCHIEF 3 4 1½ 1nk   3 6 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00 26% 2.80 3.17  
LA MARINERA 2 6 79 7   7 7 (fernandez kel)ORANTES CESAR 108 20.00 21.28  
 
KEE-9   04/17/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:222 :473 1:13 1:37   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE YOU ANYWAY 8 5 33 43 32 12 1 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 50% 1.00 1.12 W
  (by TAPIT out of PRINCESS LA QUINTA by QUALITY ROAD)
GUM 6 7 43 3 5 22 2 (motion grah)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 18% 4.70 3.23 P
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SPELLBIND by POINT GIVEN)
10  OAK ALLEY 9 6 5 64 6 33 3 (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 8.03 S
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of VAMO A GALUPIAR by PROUD CITIZEN)
11  MISS PHARAOH 10 9 10 10 118 4 4 (sims phil)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 20.00 5% 19.00 21.68  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MISS CHALLENGE by MORE THAN READY)
12  PEMAQUID 11 8 1110¼ 11 8 65 5 (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 120 15.00 17.18  
  (by CURLIN out of ONE WAY PASSAGE by WAR FRONT)
HUMBLED 5 3 6 5 7 55 6 (medina robe)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00 13.28  
  (by WAR OF WILL out of COLINA VERDE by KNOW HEIGHTS)
CHERE AMIA 2 2 8 8 96 7 7 (mott riley)TORRES A 120 15.00 21.17  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of D' ELEGANCE by EL CORREDOR)
RAINBOW RANIA 3 10 7 96 10 10 810¼ (matejka pav)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 30.00 ######  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of WRAITH by HERCULEAN)
HANDSINTHEAIR 4 4 2 22 4 9 911¼ (carroll josie)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00 8% 11.40 6.96  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of STARR OF QUALITY by FIRST DUDE)
TURMALINA 7 11 9 74 1nk 87 1012¼ (campos paulo)MEZA JJ 120 50.00 ######  
  (by MSHAWISH out of DIAVOLA by DUKE OF MARMALADE (IRE))
BIT OF FROST 1 1 1 12 2nk 1111½ 1122¾ (oliver victori)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00 60.23  
  (by FROSTED out of RARE BIT by ELTISH)
SCR  MY TULIP GAL               (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 120 20.00    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of MO SMOKE by UNCLE MO)
SCR  PORTFOLIO DURATION (GB)               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.80    
  (by NIGHT OF THUNDER out of SHEMYA by DANSILI)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.