Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - January 07, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(3/2/6)-(9/7/5/6/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-2   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(9/7/5/6/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(9/7/5/6/3)-(5/3/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-3   WIN (9/7/5/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/5/6/3)-(9/7/5/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/5/6/3)-(9/7/5/6/3)-(9/7/5/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/7/5/6/3)-(5/3/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/7/5/6/3)-(5/3/1)-(8/3/9/7/2) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
MVR-4   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(8/3/9/7/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(8/3/9/7/2)-(4/8/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-5   WIN (8/3/9/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/9/7/2)-(8/3/9/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/9/7/2)-(8/3/9/7/2)-(8/3/9/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/3/9/7/2)-(4/8/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/3/9/7/2)-(4/8/9/7)-(3/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-6   WIN (4/8/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/9/7)-(4/8/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/9/7)-(4/8/9/7)-(4/8/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/9/7)-(3/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/9/7)-(3/8/7)-(4/3/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (3/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/7)-(3/1/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/7)-(3/1/8/7)-(3/1/8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/8/7)-(4/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (4/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/7)-(4/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/7)-(4/3/6/7)-(4/3/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   01/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY HOMBRE Aug19 Jul25 Jun26 Jun05 May21 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00    
GLOBAL HYSTERIA Nov26 Nov07 Oct21 Sep26 Sep16 (miller arizona)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00    
IVORY SKY Aug05 Jul15 Feb07 Dec16 Dec09 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 124 1.40 55% 0.80    
WHY KENNY WHY Nov12 Oct21 Sep26 Sep04 Aug19 (casalinova ti)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
RAY'S EMPIRE Dec12 Nov26 Nov12 Oct29 Aug21 (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 124 2.50 16% 5.40    
PLAYFULASITGETS Dec10 Nov11 Oct04 Sep20 Aug22 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 6.00    
 
MVR-2   01/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MO MOSCATO Dec07 Nov08 Oct10 Aug30 Jul12 (joy j)STANLEY O 124 6.00    
BUEHLER'S DAY OFF Dec12 Nov07 Jul25 Jun13 May21 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
FIERCE ASSAULT Dec20 Dec07 Nov04 Oct07 Aug22 (eggleston tim)AVILES YAN 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
GRAND DEAL Dec19 Nov07 Oct22 Oct01 Aug27 (juarez-mendo)HALDAR J 124 15.00    
MEXITEXAFORNIA Nov25 Nov07 Oct22 Oct07 Sep09 (crumley jev)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 8.00    
RANSEUR Aug21 Aug07 Jul17 Jul01 Jun01 (mcconville raymond)PAUCAR E 124 12.00 17% 4.90    
BAILAMOS Nov27 Oct02 Sep13 Apr27 Apr06 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50    
 
MVR-3   01/07/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED DELICIOUS Sep22 Jul29 Jul15 Jun25 Jun10 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 124 12.00    
MO TWILIGHT Dec12 Jul21 Jul11 Jun13 May17 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50    
YOUR TROPHY GIRL Dec23 Dec04 Nov10 Oct16 Sep23 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SAKURA SKY Dec16 Nov02 Sep25 Dec15 Nov02 (hamm timothy)BRACHO A 124 5.00    
MALI BALI Dec23 Nov27 Oct02 Sep12 Sep03 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
TOVIA Dec23 Dec03 Nov20 Nov10 Sep11 (ccamaque)FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
LOVE THE SAUCE Dec13 Nov16       (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 20% 4.00    
HEIROZAN Dec13 Nov23 Oct16 Sep07 Jul12 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 124 10.00    
HOLIDAY LIGHTS Dec23 Nov27 Nov04 Oct02 Jul09 (gorham m)PEREZ E 124 3.50 51% 1.00    
SCR  LIL TEMPTATION Dec23 Dec06 Oct16 Sep28 Mar14 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
 
MVR-4   01/07/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSSY LADY Dec19 Jul03 Jun19 May18 May04 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
THE MIRACLE KIUT Dec11 Nov18 Oct29 Oct01 Sep19 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00    
MOBIL LADY Dec28 Dec04 Nov14 Sep23 Aug27 (meyers shane)STOKES J 124 3.50 24% 3.30    
EXPRESS FASHION Dec18 Dec03 Nov14 Oct29 Oct07 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 2.50    
LADY JASPER Dec04 Oct26 Sep11 Aug21 Aug01 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 3.00 43% 1.30    
KETTLE KISS Dec19 Nov14 Nov04 Sep20 Jul31 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00    
 
MVR-5   01/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STAVROS Dec10 Nov25 Nov11 Oct28 Jul17 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 126 6.00    
BACK TO REALITY Nov25 Nov11 Oct21 Oct15 Sep30 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
MILANO Dec04 Jun03 May11 Apr15 Mar20 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 26% 2.90    
DESTINO Nov26 Nov07 Oct20 Sep18 Aug19 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 10.00    
SMALL SAILOR Dec09 Nov21 Oct23 Oct10 Sep24 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00    
ALIBI IKE Dec10 Nov12 Oct10 Sep19 Jun22 (meraz )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 8.00    
SOLAR POWER Dec28 Sep26 Aug27 Aug08 Jul06 (eggleston tim)BRACHO A 126 4.50 11% 8.10    
NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO Dec12 Nov21 Oct30 Oct19 Sep23 (crumley jev)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 4.00 27% 2.70    
PANTHERA'S FATE Dec11 Nov25 Oct23 Oct07 Sep16 (rone penny)HOUGHTON D 126 5.00 11% 8.00    
10  CAMBIASO Jul01 Jun08 May23 May04 Apr25 (juarez-mendoza)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
SCR  TOYI Nov20 Nov02 Oct22 Oct10 Sep24 (brown gl)FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00    
12  VOORHEES Nov21 Nov02 Oct09 Sep18 Aug27 (galloway k)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   01/07/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUNG ELVIS Dec27 Nov27 Nov20 Oct21   (poole )RODRIGUEZ A 119 15.00    
TORREFACTOR Dec19 Dec04 Nov12 Oct22 Sep25 (musarro joseph)HOUGHTON D 124 3.50    
DOMI Dec27 Dec10 Nov20 Jun27 Jun08 (szczepan)MARTINEZ A 124 20.00    
BIG ELM Dec06 Oct06 Sep18 Sep03 Mar09 (donjua)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  TRUST FUND ROBBER Dec27 Dec03 Nov25 Nov13 Oct27 (lopez e)VEGA L 124 20.00    
SCR  RAMSEY Dec13 Nov22 Oct11 Sep12 Aug27 (joy j)STANLEY O 124 3.00    
CAPTAIN'S FLAG Dec21 Nov07 Oct24 Oct10 Sep22 (meraz ant)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
MASTER OF THE NITE Dec09 Nov21 Nov04 Oct22 Sep30 (juarez-mendoza)DIAZ I 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
GUARDIANSOF AUTISM Dec19 Nov20 Nov04 Oct07 Sep24 (kocijan mar)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 10.00 5% 18.00    
 
MVR-7   01/07/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAILOR'S CHANCE Dec23 Nov11 Nov05 Oct23 Oct13 (donjua)RODRIGUEZ A 119 4.00    
CENTSOFWANDER Oct21 Sep19 Aug29 Jul22 Jun26 (huffman canda)BRACHO A 124 3.00    
MY TWO AUNT JOANS Dec23 Dec02 Nov14 Nov02 Oct20 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 2.50 76% 0.30    
SCR  HARD ASTRAY Oct29 Oct15 Sep22 Sep11 Aug20 (fletcher jeff)TAPARA LUIS 124 12.00    
DEVIL VISION Dec11 Dec02 Nov19 Nov06 Oct10 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 124 6.00    
TWO COOKIE RULE Dec02 Nov06 Oct13 Sep29 Sep15 (zawitz joel)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
HE'S A SHOOTER Dec23 Dec11 Oct21 Sep23 Sep02 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
VISUAL ARTIST Dec11 Dec03 Nov19 Nov06 Sep27 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
MAMBA FOREVER Dec16 Nov27 Aug08 Jul10 Jun26 (haehn ter)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 15.00    
 
MVR-8   01/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE COMES DOLLY Dec23 Nov19 Nov04 Sep03 Jan09 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
BANANA PUDDING Dec27 Nov21 Nov06 Oct01 Sep09 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 126 2.00    
TIERNEY Dec04 Nov19 Oct21 Oct05 Sep18 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
KISS ME QUICK Dec04 Aug12 Jun07 May30 May04 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 41% 1.40    
HOT PRINCESS (GB) Apr24 Apr10 Mar19 Feb27 Feb19 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00    
KISS VALENTINA Dec23 Nov04 Aug22 Jul31 Jul10 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
MOBIL MEMORY May07 Apr24 Apr11 Feb08 Jan22 (radosevich jeff)AVILES YAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
PARLAY CHARLIE Dec23 Dec09 Nov26 Nov06 Feb28 (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.