Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - November 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/5/1)-(3/2/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5/1)-(3/2/5/4)-(2/1/7/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-2   WIN (3/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/4)-(3/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/4)-(3/2/5/4)-(3/2/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/5/4)-(2/1/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5/4)-(2/1/7/4)-(4/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (2/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/7/4)-(4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/4)-(4/3/6)-(4/11/6/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(4/11/6/3/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(4/11/6/3/10)-(5/8/3/10/6) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
MVR-5   WIN (4/11/6/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/11/6/3/10)-(4/11/6/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/11/6/3/10)-(4/11/6/3/10)-(4/11/6/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/11/6/3/10)-(5/8/3/10/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/11/6/3/10)-(5/8/3/10/6)-(1/6/5) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
MVR-6   WIN (5/8/3/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/10/6)-(5/8/3/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/10/6)-(5/8/3/10/6)-(5/8/3/10/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/8/3/10/6)-(1/6/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/8/3/10/6)-(1/6/5)-(2/7/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-7   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(2/7/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (2/7/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/8)-(2/7/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/8)-(2/7/1/8)-(2/7/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET LEMON DROP Oct30 Oct19 Oct08 Sep18 Aug29 (haehn r)REYES FRANK 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  NEBULOSA Oct26 Oct11 Sep18 Aug27 Aug06 (johnson gar)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 6.00    
3  PLAY BALL Oct21 Oct07 Sep23 Sep11 Aug12 (castillo jabd)ZONETT KEYNER 124 4.00 14% 6.00    
4  REINVESTEDINTEREST Oct26 Oct11 Aug06 Jul17 Jun25 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 1.60 53% 0.90    
5  WEEKEND BUZZ Oct30 Oct11 Sep19 Aug26 Aug06 (calder)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 11% 8.30    
6  VICTORY DIVISION Oct08 Sep10 Aug29 Aug06 Jul18 (schuster robin)PEREZ A 124 15.00    
7  SHOW SLIDING HOME Aug29 Aug06 Jun25 Jun04 May15 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00    
 
MVR-2   11/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROADWAY JONES Oct22 Sep09 Aug13 Jul08 Jun17 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 124 6.00    
2  KOSCIUSZKO Nov02 Oct09 Sep12 Aug29 Aug05 (brown gle)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 3.50 6% 17.20    
3  AMIGO'S AFFAIR Oct07 Sep16 Jul23 Jun24 May13 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 1.60 68% 0.50    
4  BEACH FRONT Nov02 Oct05 Sep13 Aug21 Aug03 (haehn r)REYES FRANK 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  BLACK CANDY Nov03 Oct21 Oct09 Sep24 Aug28 (tomczak ma)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  VENETIAN DREAM Nov11 Oct19 Oct01 Sep16 Sep02 (bailey ricard)ZONETT KEYNER 124 5.00    
7  HURTS SO BAD Oct24 Oct06 Aug29 Aug04 Jul21 (meraz )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50    
 
MVR-3   11/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARGARET'S LADY Oct19 Sep04 Aug09 Mar29 Dec20 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
2  QUICK RECOVERY Nov02 Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 Dec09 (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
3  POSITIVELY Oct02 Sep11 Sep03 Aug19 Jul22 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00    
4  LIME TREE Nov02 Oct02 Sep11 Sep02 Aug12 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  GARDEN SECRETS Nov02 Sep23 Aug12 Jun10 May27 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 124 20.00    
6  QUEEN TATIANA Sep22 Aug24 Aug16 Jul07 May10 (wolochuk davi)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00    
7  KATELYN'S MESS Aug25 Aug12 Jul20 Apr21   (clay pat)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  ZULLY BELLA Nov02 Sep11 Sep02 Jun10 May20 (faulkner rod)AYALA J 126 20.00    
 
MVR-4   11/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAUDA SPEED Nov04 Oct02 Aug26 Aug05 Jul09 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 15.00    
SCR  BOBBY G Oct23 Oct07 Jun05 May22 May05 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 3.50    
3  FRONTLINER Nov04 Oct19 Jul30 May06 Apr01 (johnson gar)BLANCHE RISHAWN 121 6.00 10% 8.70    
4  AL LOVES JOSIE Oct06 Aug23 Jul26 Oct14 Sep10 (farrior anth)BATISTA A 126 1.60 68% 0.50    
5  IF WE GET LUCKY Nov02 Oct09 Aug27 Aug20 Aug07 (sondej amy)ZONETT KEYNER 126 4.50    
6  CUGINE Oct22 Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 Jul09 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MALIGATOR Nov04 Sep15 Aug25 Aug08 Jul18 (reid davi)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 20.00    
SCR  APACHE Nov02 Oct10 Sep24 Sep02 Aug13 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 126 10.00    
SCR  ROCK ON KITTEN Oct22 Jun24 Jun05 May06 Apr08 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 20.00    
 
MVR-5   11/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OHIO STRONG Nov07 Oct08 May09 Mar25 Mar06 (rettele rich)HALDAR J 124 20.00    
2  HONOR THE D Sep21 Aug30 Aug01 Jul04 Jun12 (bates l)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 3.50    
3  LUNCHATTHELIZARD Oct29 Oct08 Sep26 Sep17 Sep04 (cline )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  OAKEN Oct30 Sep25 Aug30 Aug12 Jul18 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 56% 0.80    
5  BEAT THE DEALER Oct19 Sep19 Aug26 Jul18 Jun12 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 124 15.00    
6  UPGRADE AL Oct08 Aug27 Jul04 Feb21 Jan31 (johnson gar)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
7  GOOD MUSIC Oct29 Sep26 Aug28 Aug13 Jul16 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00    
8  STREAKY Oct29 Sep21 Aug30 Aug19 Aug01 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
9  DOUGS MORNING PICK Aug12 Jun26 Jun11 May23 May01 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00    
10  MUCHO PRIMO Oct29 Oct11 Oct02 Sep10 Aug27 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  MANNFORD Sep04 Aug21 Jun11 May23 May01 (castillo jabd)ZONETT KEYNER 124 8.00 18% 4.50    
12  WEEKENDER Oct19 Oct02 Jul26 Jun12 Apr08 (haehn ter)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 20.00    
 
MVR-6   11/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STACY ATTACK Nov02 Oct21 Sep10 Jul29 Jul02 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00    
2  QUARANTINA Oct21 Sep30 Sep09 Aug21 Aug13 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
3  A KISS FOR KHOZAN Oct07 Sep10 Aug19 Jul17 Jul02 (hetrick krist)BRACHO A 124 8.00 11% 8.20    
4  MALICED Oct23 Sep26 Aug15 Jul23 Jul08 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 124 4.50    
5  BLUSHING BETTY Nov06 Oct01 Aug21 Jul23 Jul02 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
6  TIZ INDEPENDENCE Sep26 Aug13 Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 (skerrett)MARTINEZ A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  THINK BLUE Oct22 Oct13 Sep22 Sep05 Jul06 (calder)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
8  TWILIGHT VISION Oct21 Sep26 Jul02 May01 Oct01 (jackson jam)NUNEZ Y 126 3.00 24% 3.20    
9  CEVICHE Oct21 Aug15 Jul30 Jul10 Jun22 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
10  RENO TOUCH Sep26 Aug13 Jul11 May30 May15 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 9% 9.90    
 
MVR-7   11/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOREAU Nov05 Sep26 Sep09 Aug19 Jul07 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 0.80 33% 2.00    
2  STIRDATPOT Aug07 Jun26 Jun08 May12 Apr11 (london)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 124 4.00    
3  HITSVILLE Oct30 Oct03 Sep09 Aug19 Jul30 (brown glenroy)REYES FRANK 124 5.00    
4  GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD Oct30 Oct03 Sep09 Aug19 Jul30 (skerrett je)NUNEZ Y 124 15.00    
5  READY FOR ACTION Oct29 Oct13 Sep26 Sep07 Jul24 (douaihy mic)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  REINVEST Nov06 Oct11 Aug20 Jul16 Jun18 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 124 6.00 31% 2.20    
 
MVR-8   11/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AZ WE SPEAK Nov04 Oct08 Sep02 Aug10 Jun18 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.50 8% 12.10    
2  MIESHA Nov04 Oct21 Sep30 Aug30 Aug12 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
3  ROCKY CHANNEL Nov06 Aug08 Jul25 Jul03 Jun13 (cline robert )ZONETT KEYNER 124 20.00    
4  HERE COMES DOLLY Nov04 Sep03 Jan09 Dec07 Nov21 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
5  SPUNKY ONE Nov06 Oct21 Sep18 Sep02 Aug22 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 20.00    
6  OFFICE CHATTER Nov06 Sep28 Aug31 Aug14 Jul03 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 122 15.00    
7  TIERNEY Oct21 Oct05 Sep18 Sep02 Aug03 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 122 1.60 26% 2.90    
8  BETTER HALF Nov04 Oct09 Sep11 Aug22 Jul27 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.