Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont At The Big A
Friday - October 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-1   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(3/4/2)-(5/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(5/4/3)-(7/1/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(7/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(7/1/3/6)-(3/5/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (7/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/3/6)-(3/5/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3/6)-(3/5/6/7)-(1/3/5/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (3/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/6/7)-(1/3/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6/7)-(1/3/5/2)-(1/6/7/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (1/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/2)-(1/3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/2)-(1/3/5/2)-(1/3/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/5/2)-(1/6/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/2)-(1/6/7/4)-(1/8/4/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (1/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/7/4)-(1/8/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/4)-(1/8/4/6)-(7/1/9/3/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (1/8/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/4/6)-(1/8/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/4/6)-(1/8/4/6)-(1/8/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/4/6)-(7/1/9/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (7/1/9/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/9/3/5)-(7/1/9/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/9/3/5)-(7/1/9/3/5)-(7/1/9/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BAQ-1   10/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1a  PHONECALLTOHEAVEN         (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of RAINBOW'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  WILDCAT ANNIE         (miceli michael)LUZZI J 119 8.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of PERFECT FIT by ONE IN A MIL)
PRINCESS MISCHIEF Sep23 Aug22       (englehart chri)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of PRINCESS CONSORT by DIXIELAND BAND)
MISCHIEF LADY Sep23 Aug14       (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of MISS BUFF by FRIEND OR FOE)
DYNAMITENDIAMONDS Sep19         (sanchez-piner)SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00 14% 6.10    
  (by GORMLEY out of LITERARY LADY by BIRDSTONE)
USHA Aug31 Aug18 Jul27     (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K 119 1.00 36% 1.70    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of ANIMAL APPEAL by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
UNWOKE         (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.00 18% 4.60    
  (by LORD NELSON out of TIME WARP by CAIRO PRINCE)
 
BAQ-2   10/25/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAW PROFESSOR May05 Feb23 Jan26 Dec23 Oct28 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 126 1.80    
INSTANT COFFEE Sep26 Aug17 Apr20 Feb17 Mar25 (summers chad)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
BENDOOG Sep19 Aug23 Jun08 Apr28 Apr06 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 126 1.60 47% 1.10    
TABEGUACHE Sep26 Aug15 May09 Mar21 Jan26 (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 16% 5.40    
CLASSIC CATCH Jul11 Jun12 May11 Apr13 Nov18 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRANADILLA Aug02 Jun16 May11 Apr06 Sep28 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 2.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of GRACILIA by MR. GREELEY)
TIZALLMINE Sep21 Aug24       (metivi)GRISALES DANILO 121 20.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of TIZALLHEART by LION HEART)
IN ALL MY DREAMS Sep21 Aug25 Jun08 Apr26   (dutrow anthony )CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of HADRIANA by BODEMEISTER)
EMPIRE MAGIC Aug24 Jul07 May24     (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00 14% 6.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of MAJESTIC HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
SCR  GALLANT GRETA Sep21 Aug25 Aug02     (maker mi)SANTANA JR 121 1.80 55% 0.80    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TULIPMANIA by EMPIRE MAKER)
PURPOSE Jul15 Apr21       (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 3.50    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of BRANDINI by E DUBAI)
 
BAQ-4   10/25/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER IN ERIN Aug29         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of ERIN ROSE by PURGE)
CHOU CHOU D'AVEN (FR) Sep29         (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00    
  (by ALMANZOR out of SAGARIYA by SHAMARDAL)
GENERAL AGENT Sep26         (clemen)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of BLAMEITONTHEBADBOY by BLAME)
VAN VOLLENHOVEN         (duggan dav)RIVERA R 121 10.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of DUCASA by DISCREET CAT)
FATHER DALTON         (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of AMERICIUM by BRILLIANT SPEED)
ESCONDIDO Sep01 Jul13 Jun07     (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of ONE TOO MANY by NUMEROUS)
SCARLET POPPY (IRE) Aug31 Jul27 Jun28 Apr13   (ward wes)SANTANA JR 118 1.60 45% 1.20    
  (by NIGHT OF THUNDER out of BULRUSHES by BYRON)
SCR  GLINT Oct03 Aug24 Jul31 Apr21 Mar24 (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 5.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of CLASSIC POINT by FLATTER)
 
BAQ-5   10/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONNIVING Oct10 Sep27 Aug31 Jul24 May12 (romero j)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 113 15.00    
GOLDEN PURCHASE Oct13 Sep07 Aug18 Aug03 Jul24 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 15.00    
BOLD AMBITION Sep15 Jul31 Jun13 Apr14 Nov24 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.20 36% 1.80    
COUNTER ATTACK Sep28 Sep14 Aug04 May30 May04 (bernardi)SANTANA JR 120 4.00    
BEARY FUNNY Oct12 Sep21 Aug21 Aug04 Jul14 (figueroa carlo)LUZZI J 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
ICE ROAD Sep21 Aug21 Jun28 Apr19 Apr05 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00 17% 5.00    
MASTERWORK Sep29 Sep01 Jul25 Apr25 Mar02 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
VINSANITY Sep27 Sep15 Aug31 Aug23 Jul27 (arriaga antonio)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/25/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPETITIVE MARKET Sep15         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 1.40 57% 0.80    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of CAJUN DELTA DAWN by KANTHAROS)
FREEDOM FOREVER         (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FIFTY FOOT WOMAN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
DIVINE ROSE         (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 16% 5.20    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of WILDWOOD ROSE by GALILEO (ARG))
MORE FOR SURE (IRE)         (dutrow a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00    
  (by CRACKSMAN out of CASCELLA by IFFRAAJ)
AVISO         (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of OFF THE ROAD by QUICK ROAD)
COMPLEX GAL Sep15 Aug18       (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 10.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of DEEDEEZEE by CONGRATS)
CABALETTA         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of BALLETTO by TIMBER COUNTRY)
WANDERING KIRBY         (brown c)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of MISS HANNA JO by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  ACOUSTICAT Sep27         (atras ro)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of BONITA CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  PIONUS Oct03         (barrera oscar )LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of BEACH WALTZ by TREASURE BEACH (GB))
SCR  PRETTY LIZA Oct03 Aug28       (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of AMURMAR by GALILEO (ARG))
SCR  GOOD LONG CRY Oct06 Sep01 Jul28 Jun21 May11 (weaver george)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.50    
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of HIGH CRY by STREET CRY)
SCR  ABUNDANT LOVE Aug29 Aug02       (trombetta mich)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of TSUNAMI OF LOVE by BERNARDINI)
SCR  AERIALIST         (reynolds patrick )RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of STARSHIP GUSSIE by HIGH COTTON)
 
BAQ-7   10/25/2024 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALACIOUS Oct18 Sep14 Aug17 Jul31 Apr20 (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 120 2.00 32% 2.10    
TAPARINO Sep28 Aug30 Aug02 Jun30 Jun09 (antonucci jena)LUZZI J 120 6.00    
TRIPLE WORD SCORE Sep22 Sep01 Aug11 Jul24 May19 (bernardi)SANTANA JR 120 10.00    
COMANCHE PEAK (GB) Oct05 Sep01 Jul12 Jun21 Jun06 (bernardini ju)SILVERA RUBEN 124 8.00 7% 13.80    
THIS TIME YES Feb11 Jan18 Oct20     (jimenez jose )CASTILLO AMIN 120 15.00    
HOURS IN A DAY Sep28 Aug17 Jul24 Jul07 Jun28 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 1.40 20% 4.10    
FIRE BARON Oct05 Sep01 Aug07 Jul12 Jun06 (paragal)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 15.00 12% 7.60    
MIGHTY GLORY Sep28 Aug04 Jun06 Dec10 Oct26 (schettin)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 20.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/25/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET A JOB Sep29 Aug28 Aug08     (asmussen steven)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 62% 0.60    
SCR  LAND D'ORO Sep14 Jun06 Apr21 Mar24 Feb11 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
BOYS CODE Sep29 Aug29 Jul31 Jun29 May25 (dixon li)DAVIS A 122 30.00    
HEY TOBY Sep16 Aug06 Jul18 Jun14 Apr20 (englehart )RIVERA R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
LIBERTY CENTRAL Sep29 Aug25 Aug16 Mar24 Feb25 (quick patrick )LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50    
BAD LARRY Sep29 Aug29 Jul31 Jul20 Jun29 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
NOONZIO Sep29 Aug29 Jul27     (giangiul)SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
SCR  JUST STEP ON IT Sep21 Aug24 Jul20 Jun24 May22 (linder louis )SILVERA RUBEN 120 2.00 7% 12.90    
 
BAQ-9   10/25/2024 3960ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAUCI Sep14 Aug24 Jul26 Jul06 Oct21 (antonacci phili)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00 20% 4.00    
1A  CADAMOSTO (IRE) Aug06 Jul01 May21 Apr21 Oct08 (antonacci p)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 5.00    
IMAGE OF QUALITY Aug23 Jul24 Jun23 Apr21 Nov11 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 121 20.00    
NEUSCHWANSTEIN Oct13 Sep14 Aug30 Aug07 Jun29 (handal ra)VARGAS A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
AIR INVASION Mar27 Feb24 Jan28 Dec09 Nov09 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00    
FEATHERS ROAD Oct05 Sep19 Aug14 Jul13 May26 (jacobson davi)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
PLAYGROUND LEGEND Sep14 Jul13 Jun16 Aug26 Jul22 (sacco greg)RIVERA R 121 15.00    
JAVA BUZZ Sep15 Aug14 Jul21 Mar18 Feb24 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 40% 1.50    
KREESA Oct05 Aug31 Jul21 Jun22 May25 (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00    
HILARIOUS AFFAIR Sep15 Aug14 Jun27 May25 Apr21 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00 18% 4.60    
10  KING MOONRACER Aug14 Jul13 Jun23 May18 Apr28 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 20.00    
11  MY LIFE STORY Oct17 Sep19 Aug28 Jul25 Jun14 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.