Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Monday - April 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (1/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/3)-(4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-2   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(6/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(6/3/1)-(6/4/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-3   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(6/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(6/4/8)-(6/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-4   WIN (6/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/8)-(6/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/8)-(6/4/8)-(6/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/8)-(6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-5   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(10/7/6/1/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FL-6   WIN (10/7/6/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/7/6/1/9)-(10/7/6/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/7/6/1/9)-(10/7/6/1/9)-(10/7/6/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/7/6/1/9)-(4/7/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/7/6/1/9)-(4/7/1)-(4/1/7/5/9) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
FL-7   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/1)-(4/1/7/5/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FL-8   WIN (4/1/7/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/5/9)-(4/1/7/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/5/9)-(4/1/7/5/9)-(4/1/7/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   04/29/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY INSTEAD         (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 4.00 32% 2.10    
  (by LEOFRIC out of GOOD HABITS by HABITONY (IRE))
CENTRAL STATION Jun12 May14 Apr23 Mar17 Mar04 (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 124 6.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of FLOMAR by TWO PUNCH)
GO GRAD Mar28 Feb23 Feb04 Jan14 Dec29 (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of FLASHY NOTE by CATIENUS)
MISCHIEF EXPOSED Mar03 Jan07 Nov20 Oct11 Sep11 (caramori)DAVIS A 120 5.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of EXPOSURE by COLONEL JOHN)
SOX FOR DAUGHTERS         (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 120 12.00 11% 8.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of LITTLE BULLET by GREEK ANSWER)
TYRANNOSAURUS REX Jun19 May23 May02 Apr24 Feb26 (sells rach)DE EMANUEL 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of ROCK STAR ROYALTY by FIVE STAR DAY)
PROFITABILITY Feb23 Feb02 Jan07 Dec16 Nov20 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 2.50    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of VICKI T by STREET SENSE)
 
FL-2   04/29/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MRS BELL Apr17 Mar19 Mar08 Feb21 Feb08 (lucas bo)DAVIS A 122 2.50    
TRIVIA Nov22 Oct18 Oct04 Aug23 Aug09 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 122 2.00    
REMOANE Nov22 Nov08 Oct31 Oct18 Oct04 (lopez arca)DE EMANUEL 122 5.00 19% 4.30    
JACKIE B GOOD Mar13 Feb20 Jan29 Dec11 Nov15 (o'callahan c)BERRIOS C 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
THEFABULOUS MOOLAH Oct31 Oct16 Oct04 Sep11 Aug21 (mor)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 10.00    
ASTONISHING ANABEL Apr02 Mar13 Feb07 Jan24 Jan08 (o'callahan ca)ROJAS MARTINA 117 6.00 6% 15.60    
 
FL-3   04/29/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STONE GUITAR Nov21 Oct30 Oct17 Oct03 Aug08 (bireta donna)CRUZ JOEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
PERSISTENT DANGER Apr06 Mar24 Feb23 Jan25 Dec08 (sells rachel)DAVILA R 122 2.50    
TACONY ROAD Nov21 Oct31 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 122 5.00 26% 2.80    
FLOWING RIVER Jan27 Nov08 Oct03 Sep05 Aug21 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 4.00    
INTERSTATE Nov20 Nov08 Oct18 Oct10 Sep25 (lopez arca)DE EMANUEL 122 6.00    
SARATOGA BANKER Mar02 Jan31 Jan10 Dec22 Nov24 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 1.80 32% 2.20    
 
FL-4   04/29/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3 ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FINDANAME Mar20         (areche thalia)DIAZ J 115 12.00    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of SHALL TRY by ORIENTATE (GB))
MOR VALOR Nov20         (fung christo)HARKIE K 122 15.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of MAKOO by MAJORITY OF ONE)
THE DELAWARE BOYZ Mar21 Feb04 Jan14 Dec08 Nov11 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 122 3.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of WOODFORD TEA by STREET SENSE)
BOOM BOOM THUNDER Apr12         (lucas bonnie)OLVER MADISON 122 5.00 16% 5.10    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LIGHT THE DYNAMITE by INTO MISCHIEF)
STEWIE Apr01 Mar15 Nov20 Oct18 Sep06 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 2.50    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of UNIQUELY MINE by MINESHAFT)
BET THE PALACE Sep27 Sep11       (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.00 46% 1.20    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of LOVE TO GAMBLE by BRAHMS)
SCR  R CHELLO         (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 117 12.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of ABSOLUTE PACKAGE by PURE PRIZE)
STARS N STONES         (ferraro anth)COA J 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of ROCKIN EMMZY by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
FL-5   04/29/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROSSTALK Nov22 Nov08 Oct25 Oct04 Sep26 (sells rach)DE EMANUEL 122 15.00    
SCR  WEDONTBELIEVEHER Dec13 Oct18 Aug23 Jul05 Jun27 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.50    
RUN LAURA RUN Apr02 Mar14 Feb23 Feb09 Jan10 (lucas bo)DAVIS A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
CHRISTMAS DINNER Oct10 Sep20 Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 (breed deb)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 12.00    
THIN LEGS Nov08 Oct02 Sep20 Aug21 Jul12 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
DETERMINED LOVE Nov30 Oct16 Aug08 Jun18 Jun06 (johnston rob)BERRIOS C 122 4.00 34% 2.00    
SWEET SHALLOTS Oct16 Sep18 Aug21 Aug08 Jul05 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 122 3.00    
 
FL-6   04/29/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALATRONA Jan07 Nov10 Oct06 Aug16 May27 (bond harold )HARKIE K 124 4.00 6% 16.50    
  (by GET STORMY out of GATTINARA by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
JAYLA Mar29 Mar15 Feb15 Dec27 Nov30 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 12.00    
  (by TOURIST out of SUMIZOME by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
NORAH BOO Apr13         (lucas bonnie)OLVER MADISON 124 20.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of MS. BASNIGHT by SKY MESA)
DALE AVENUE Nov21         (breed ronald )DAVILA A 124 8.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of DEAN AVENUE by PURE PRIZE)
JOYFUL DEPARTURE Mar14 Feb22 Jan24 Dec28 Dec14 (grusmark karl)CRUZ JOEL 124 8.00    
  (by FREUD out of SKIPPIN' CHURCH by ARCHARCHARCH)
COZEE MAGIC Dec22 Dec07 Jun23 May24 May06 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 5.00 6% 15.90    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of COZZETTE by COZZENE)
KANTBECC         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 6.00 16% 5.30    
  (by MARKET RALLY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCHERZER Nov21 Nov08 Oct24 Oct06 Sep03 (d'alessandro )NAVARRO KEVIN 124 12.00    
  (by FROST GIANT out of WUNDAHOWIGOTHERE by BIG BROWN)
LINDSEY (GB) Feb21 Jan24 Jan10 Nov17 Oct21 (gutierrez l)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of LINDA by SCAT DADDY)
10  CALL ME PENNY Mar31 Mar17 Feb16 Jan18 Sep27 (caramori)DAVIS A 124 3.00 51% 1.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of EXPOSURE by COLONEL JOHN)
 
FL-7   04/29/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAN'T BEAT ME Mar22 Mar03 Jan06 Nov21 Nov06 (barrow paul)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN ARM Mar27 Mar21 Feb29 Feb09 Feb03 (smith l)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 6.00    
SCR  TUCKABUCKAWAY Oct11 Sep26 Sep05 Jul11 Jul03 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 122 20.00    
GRAYWING Apr06 Mar22 Feb24 Jan25 Sep05 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
PRODUCTION CREDIT Nov21 Nov07 Oct25 Oct09 Aug29 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 10.00    
POMPOUS PRINCE Nov14 Oct25 Oct03 Jul29 Jul02 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 4.00    
C J'S GRAND SLAM Oct09 Sep25 Sep05 Aug23 Jul31 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 2.50 15% 5.50    
 
FL-8   04/29/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3 F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TURNUPTHEMUSIC Apr14 Mar07       (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 4.00 11% 7.70    
  (by AUDIBLE out of THEYPLAYINGOURSONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
STONEY LONESOME Mar17         (sells rache)CAMILO D 122 15.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of FLAMING JUNE by SIR WHIMSEY)
MIAMI TWOFER Nov20 Oct18 Sep27 Aug28   (grusmark)DAVIS A 122 12.00    
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of SKIPPIN' CHURCH by ARCHARCHARCH)
DOLCE VELOCE Apr04 Mar22 Feb10 Jan05 Dec09 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.00 49% 1.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of TIZ MY LOVE by TIZ WONDERFUL)
MIA NIPOTINA Jan11 Dec28 Dec03 Oct22 Oct01 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 122 10.00 6% 15.30    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of YOUNG ANNA LEE by POSSE)
ZHEN LOU Apr04 Mar17 Feb19 Feb03 Jan14 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 5.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of LOUWALA CLOUGH by DON'T GET MAD)
MAMBAGIGI Mar01 Feb03       (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 3.50 10% 9.30    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of HECK by HECKLE)
BANKERS ROSE GOLD Mar29 Mar06 Feb09     (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 15.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of RUEDELAROSE by STREET SENSE)
MISS WOBBLES         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MARKET RALLY out of MAIZELOVESBROWNIES by BIG BROWN)
SCR  IMPERMANENCE Nov01         (breed deb)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 12.00    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of QUEEN BONNIE by BERNSTEIN)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.