Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Saturday - March 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (9/1/2/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/2/6/5)-(9/1/2/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/2/6/5)-(9/1/2/6/5)-(9/1/2/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/2/6/5)-(1/8/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/1/2/6/5)-(1/8/3/4)-(1/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-2   WIN (1/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/4)-(1/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/4)-(1/8/3/4)-(1/8/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/3/4)-(1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/3/4)-(1/6/3)-(4/7/3/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-3   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/7/3)-(1/6/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(4/7/3/5/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(4/7/3/5/1)-(1/3/4/6/8) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
HAW-4   WIN (4/7/3/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/3/5/1)-(4/7/3/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/3/5/1)-(4/7/3/5/1)-(4/7/3/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/7/3/5/1)-(1/3/4/6/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3/5/1)-(1/3/4/6/8)-(6/8/5/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
HAW-5   WIN (1/3/4/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/6/8)-(1/3/4/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/6/8)-(1/3/4/6/8)-(1/3/4/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/4/6/8)-(6/8/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4/6/8)-(6/8/5/7)-(10/1/4/11/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
HAW-6   WIN (6/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/7)-(6/8/5/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/7)-(6/8/5/7/2)-(6/8/5/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/8/5/7)-(10/1/4/11/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/5/7)-(10/1/4/11/5)-(1/3) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
HAW-7   WIN (10/1/4/11/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/4/11/5)-(10/1/4/11/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/1/4/11/5)-(10/1/4/11/5)-(10/1/4/11/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/1/4/11/5)-(1/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (10/1/4/11/5)-(1/3)-(9/4/3/12) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
HAW-8   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/6/4/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/6/4/8)-(1/3/6/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3)-(9/4/3/12) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
HAW-9   WIN (9/4/3/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/3/12)-(9/4/3/12/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/4/3/12)-(9/4/3/12/11)-(9/4/3/12/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   03/23/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISKY BOY Nov01 Oct09 Sep23 Aug30 Aug13 (spagnola id)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 4.50 10% 8.80    
2  UPBEAT MELODY Oct21 Sep12 Aug26 Aug01 Jul19 (manley steve)BAIRD T 122 2.50 7% 13.90    
3  ONE LAST HAND Jan18 Sep12 Aug26 Jul14 Jun15 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 8.00    
4  SON OF GRACE Nov04 Oct24 Oct04 Aug30 Aug09 (hughes earl )GILES EMMANUEL 122 30.00    
5  BREAKING NEWS (GB) Jan21 Dec30 Dec02 Nov18 Oct30 (rodriguez hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  DYNABLUE Oct03 Aug27 Aug09 Jul20 Jun29 (poulos dee)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  ALPINE GHOST Jan22 Jan11 Dec16 Dec06 Jul01 (rodriguez jose )REYES FRANK 122 30.00    
SCR  RUSSIAN TO WIN Jun18 May14 Apr27 Mar25 Feb18 (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 122 20.00    
9  LYRICAL POET Dec17 Nov24 Oct18 Sep03 Aug02 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 3.50 57% 0.80    
SCR  CHRISTMAS PRESENT Jan13 Dec05 Aug27 Aug20 Aug09 (cook brian)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00    
11  HINK'S PALADIN Feb14 Dec30 Dec15 Nov22 Nov08 (johnston rebecca)ORM CORY 122 30.00    
12  GREELEYS ICE Sep03 Aug10 Jul16 Jul05 Jun25 (reyes martin)NAVAS YOEL 115 15.00    
SCR  ALYANAABI Mar09 Dec14 Nov01 Sep25 Aug07 (arnett g)EMIGH A 122 6.00    
SCR  FEROCITY Feb21 Jan27 Dec28 Dec08 Nov18 (arnett g)EMIGH A 122 4.00    
 
HAW-2   03/23/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROWN ROYAL KID         (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 124 2.50 61% 0.60    
2  SAN RONIN Nov16 Oct31 Oct11 Oct03 Sep11 (reyes mart)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00    
3  MINING CAMP Feb10 Jan10 Dec20 Nov29 Oct26 (slager mike)ORM CORY 124 6.00 6% 15.50    
4  GOD GUNS N GUTS Dec03 Nov11 Oct21 Sep16 Aug17 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  LATE BLACKSMITH Nov11         (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
SCR  SENDEMDOWNTHEROAD         (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 118 3.50    
7  FIRE WIRE Feb14 Feb01 Jan04 Dec20 Nov30 (roberson d)GALLARDO EDUARDO 118 8.00    
8  MY TENNIS SHOES Mar02 Feb09 Dec10 Nov18 Oct28 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 124 5.00 11% 8.40    
9  PONCHO ATTACK Oct21 Sep23 Sep03 Aug17 Jun07 (childers vance)NAVAS YOEL 117 20.00    
 
HAW-3   03/23/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROBUST Feb16 Dec15 Nov04 Sep25 Aug26 (arnett g)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 1.40 58% 0.70    
2  DESERT HIGHWAY Dec12 Nov08 Oct06 Sep28 Sep13 (ramos francisc)COLON H 122 3.50    
3  DASTARDLY DEEDS Sep04 Aug24 Aug13 Jul23 Jul06 (flores j)REYES FRANK 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  BLEEDING BLUE Oct31 Aug01 Jul11 May27 Apr29 (higgin)BAILON JADHIR 122 20.00    
5  MINNESOTA MOON Jan11 Nov18 Nov02 Sep23 Sep09 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
6  INSIDE THE CIRCLE May02 Apr22 Mar26 Mar09 Dec31 (lynch harry)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 5.00 11% 7.90    
7  MCVICKER Dec10 Sep11 Jul30     (vanden britt)EMIGH A 116 4.50 ★    
 
HAW-4   03/23/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIGGER ATTACK Nov07 Oct28 Sep30 Aug29 Aug15 (childers van)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of PIONEERING CAT by PIONEERING)
2  WOLF HUNTER Sep09 Jul23 Jun25 Jun08 May11 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 124 4.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of QUEEN DIDO by THUNDER GULCH)
3  GIANNO Nov24         (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 118 3.50 8% 11.50    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SETHNA by DISCREET CAT)
4  DEFIANT MALICE Feb17 Dec08 Nov24 Nov15 Oct07 (arnett g)FELIX E 118 5.00 42% 1.40    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of YOU FLATTER ME by FLATTER)
5  RUNWITHHEART Feb09 Dec22       (berndt joe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of MAGIC JOAN by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
6  PERFORMANCE PLUS Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 Dec22 Nov30 (lopez elias)COLON H 118 8.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of LADY'S QUEST by RAINBOW QUEST)
7  ELECTRIC CHARGE Jan12 Nov29 Nov14 Oct28 Sep20 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 6.00 20% 4.10    
  (by HONOR CODE out of BEAT TO QUARTERS by WAR FRONT)
8  WICKED GUS Feb24 Nov14       (straub marve)GILES EMMANUEL 124 12.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of YANKEE GLIDER by QUIET AMERICAN)
9  REGIMENTAL Mar15 Feb22 Feb01 Jan07 Aug31 (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 117 4.50    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SYNKROS by TAPIT)
10  MONEY AGENT Sep29 Aug31 Aug16 Jul23 Jun25 (perez manny)REYES FRANK 124 15.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of QUEST TO PEAK by DISTANT VIEW)
 
HAW-5   03/23/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHOLE LOTTA LUTE         (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 124 1.80 31% 2.30    
  (by UPSTART out of BURN THE LUTE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
2  DOUBLE DRIBBLE Dec08 Sep06 Aug27     (butler ge)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 8.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of DREAMOFJEAN E. by BRING THE HEAT)
3  TEMPLE FOOL Nov14 Oct28 Oct14 Sep16 Sep03 (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 124 4.50 24% 3.20    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of DUEL FOOL by U S RANGER)
4  HAND OVER MY HEART Nov11 Oct17       (essenpreis e)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 12.00 18% 4.50    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of HALO AT LAST by HOME AT LAST)
5  LONE RETURN Oct21 Sep30 Sep16 Sep03 Aug17 (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 124 30.00    
  (by RISK AND RETURN out of SLIGO ROSE by SHORE BREEZE)
6  STANCE Nov07 Oct17 Sep30 Sep12 Aug15 (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 118 15.00 6% 15.10    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of BYLIA by BANDINI)
7  BEST MAN SPEECH Feb23 Feb09 Jan06 Nov11 Oct17 (lynch harry)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 20.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of LOOKN EVEN FINER by POINT GIVEN)
8  SPAN Nov29 Nov11 Oct21 Oct07 Sep23 (wiese john)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of DEBU by BUDDHA)
9  GOOD APPLE Mar07         (block chris)MOJICA O 124 3.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of MISSALANEY by BADGE OF SILVER)
10  NAGY AND DA BEARS May21 Apr22 Mar09 Dec30 Dec10 (zawitz joel)NAVAS YOEL 117 30.00    
  (by RISK AND RETURN out of SHE'S INTOXICATED by BRING THE HEAT)
 
HAW-6   03/23/2024 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOROTA Oct14 Sep19 Aug15 Jul15 Jun17 (wainwright john)FELIX E 122 20.00    
2  MADELYN BELLE Jan13 Dec16 Nov07 Aug24 Jul20 (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 122 3.50 ★    
3  PALACE MAGIC Feb13 Dec12 Dec05 Nov18 Oct31 (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 122 10.00    
4  DESSERT FIRST Mar02 Feb02 Jul13 Jun08 Jun01 (lopez elias)COLON H 122 6.00    
5  SMOOTH JUSTICE Jan31 Jan11 Dec22 Dec08 Nov15 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00 7% 14.40    
6  FIRST KITTEN Nov15 Nov01 Oct11 Sep30 Sep03 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
7  APRIL'S GEM Oct23 Sep28 Sep18 Sep03 Aug23 (rosas rigo)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  AWESOME SUNDAY Feb07 Jan23 Dec12 Dec03 Nov14 (zawitz joel)NAVAS YOEL 115 4.50 25% 3.00    
9  ICY RIVER Nov18 Sep30 Sep09 Aug05 Jul22 (butler ge)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
 
HAW-7   03/23/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOCELYN Feb16 Jan26 Jan11 Dec21 Nov30 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 118 4.50 17% 4.90    
2  MADELYN ATTACK Nov14 Nov07 Sep26 Aug27 Aug02 (childers vance)MOJICA O 124 15.00    
3  HARPER BRIANA Nov14 Oct24 Oct14 Sep05 Aug08 (zawitz joel)NAVAS YOEL 117 6.00    
4  GOLD OAK Dec02 Nov08 Sep04 Aug24 Aug13 (lynch )BAILON JADHIR 124 3.50 12% 7.10    
5  ARRINGTON Sep15 Sep03 Aug27 Jul20 Jun29 (meraz antonio)LOPEZ A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  HOLY STAR Aug27 Aug09 Jul23 Jul09 Jun22 (weir george )GILES EMMANUEL 124 30.00    
7  ANNA AFTER MIDNITE Jan31 Dec09 Nov07 Oct25 Sep27 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 6.00    
8  BABAS GAL Mar10 Mar01 Feb18 Feb04 Jan01 (bahena fe)ULLOA JOAN 118 20.00    
9  ECHO DREAMER Nov07 Sep18 Aug26 Aug02   (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
10  MAGGIE E Jan27 Jan05 Dec26 Nov16 Nov01 (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 5.00 36% 1.80    
11  GLITTER BOMB Feb14 Jan20 Dec23     (schlenk jad)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 15.00 11% 8.50    
 
HAW-8   03/23/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LILY'S WOOFY Feb29 Feb03 Jan12 Nov07 Sep30 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 2.50 73% 0.40    
SCR  CANT BE TOUCHED Mar14 Nov10 Oct23 Jan01 Nov25 (garcia genaro)MOJICA O 122 12.00    
3  PALAGO Nov14 Oct14 Sep26 Sep16 Aug27 (martinez ra)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  PLAY TWENTY Aug29 Aug13 Jul26 Jun22 Jun11 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 4.50 ★    
5  MISS WINDY SLEW Mar03 Feb04 Dec29 Oct10 Sep19 (bahena fe)ULLOA JOAN 122 20.00    
6  TIMELESS GLORY Oct07 Sep18 Aug31 Aug10 Jul12 (rosas rigo)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 8.00 ★    
7  SMILE AT THE STORM Oct31 Oct03 Aug15 May25 May07 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
8  MY LADY SLEW Oct03 Sep16 Aug16 Jul30 Jul16 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  BALI BABY Oct24 Sep21 Aug31 Aug23 Aug09 (zawitz)BAILON JADHIR 122 12.00    
10  LADY ATLANTIC Mar23 Oct29 Oct15 Sep25 Aug17 (ryan a)NAVAS YOEL 115 30.00    
11  CAIRO SUMMER Sep03 Aug10 Jul16 Jun25 Jun07 (hughes w)REYES FRANK 122 20.00    
12  AUNT STELLA Nov14 Oct31 Sep26 Sep09 Aug29 (castro isidr)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 30.00    
 
HAW-9   03/23/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAQAMAT Jan13 Dec21 Oct26 Oct09 Sep14 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 15.00    
2  MAC PANDOWDY Jan12 Nov18 Oct31 Oct14 Sep26 (wiese )BAILON JADHIR 122 12.00    
3  CRANKSHAFT Dec02 Nov11 Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  LAKE MILLS Aug30 Jul26 Jul05 Jun15 Apr30 (kirby fran)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00 7% 13.00    
5  GREENSFELDER Jan02 Dec10 Nov19 Nov06 Oct06 (ramos franci)GILES EMMANUEL 122 20.00    
SCR  TAPIT SAM Nov18 Nov04 Oct21 Oct03 Sep19 (randazzo fr)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 12.00    
7  BOURBON TEDDY Nov13 Nov01 Sep04 Aug23 Jul26 (reyes martin)FELIX E 122 15.00    
8  MKAR THE FAST Mar07 Feb09 Jan05 Nov04 Oct21 (lynch e)ORM CORY 122 20.00    
9  BASEBALL POLITICS Aug26 Aug01 May09 Apr22 Apr06 (manley steve)BAIRD T 122 3.50 62% 0.60    
10  NOT AGAIN JACKIE Feb15 Oct21 Sep30 Aug29 Aug19 (eubanks richar)COLON H 122 10.00    
11  BERNIE LOMAX Nov26 Oct28 Oct17 Aug23 Jul26 (childers vance)REYES FRANK 122 4.00 ★    
12  JRUE BREEZE Feb13 Jan25 Dec21 Dec07 Nov18 (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.