Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - March 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(1/2/4)-(1/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(1/6/5)-(5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(5/2)-(3/6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-4   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(3/6/1)-(8/9/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-5   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/7/1)-(3/6/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(8/9/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(8/9/1)-(1/7/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (8/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/9/1)-(8/9/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/1)-(8/9/1/5/4)-(8/9/1/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/9/1)-(1/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/9/1)-(1/7/5/3)-(5/6/4/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (1/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/3)-(1/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/3)-(1/7/5/3)-(1/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/5/3)-(5/6/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-8   WIN (5/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/1)-(5/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/1)-(5/6/4/1)-(5/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAME CINCO Feb02 Jan05 Dec31 Nov26 Oct27 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 6% 16.60    
2  PORTAGE Feb10 Feb04 Oct05 Aug16 Jul20 (rice adam)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 17% 4.80    
3  PROUD FOOT Feb04 Dec31 Nov18 Oct22 Sep22 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 43% 1.30    
4  STARSHIP DEFIANT Mar09 Jan28 Jan11 Dec14 Oct04 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 2.00    
5  LEAVE NO TRACE Jan27 Dec03 Oct14 Aug30 Mar04 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00    
 
AQU-2   03/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILKEN DOLLAR Feb29 Jan26 Dec02 Nov11 Jun25 (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 41% 1.50    
2  TRUE EMPRESS Feb17 Jan12 Dec29 Nov14 Oct24 (martin car)RIVERA R 123 6.00 22% 3.50    
3  JACKSON'S DIXIE Mar02 Feb11 Dec29 Dec15 Nov24 (rice adam)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50    
4  HARLAN'S BOND Feb29 Feb03 Jan12 Dec29 Dec17 (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  BANK ON ANNA Jan11 Oct29 Aug11 Jun25 May12 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.80    
 
AQU-3   03/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE WATER FLOW Mar08 Feb17 Jan14 Dec03 Nov11 (reynolds pa)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 2.00 66% 0.50    
SCR  BEARY FUNNY Feb11 Jan04 Dec14 Nov16 Oct28 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.60    
3  PAPI ON ICE Mar08 Jan14 Oct04 Aug10 Jul19 (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 120 8.00    
4  CONNECT THE BROCKS Feb17 Dec28 Oct31 Oct02 Jul25 (barrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
5  SORPRESO Feb29 Feb10 Feb03 Jan14 Dec28 (delauro edwa)HOWELL TALBERT 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  GOLDEN PURCHASE Feb29 Feb11 Jan18 Dec15 Dec01 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 8.00 5% 18.50    
 
AQU-4   03/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Damon Runyon Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AELFGAR Mar10 Feb25 Feb03     (sells rac)CAMACHO JR 118 15.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of STAR ORCHID by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
2  ANTONIO OF VENICE Jan28 Dec16 Sep25 Aug18 Jul20 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 22% 3.60    
  (by LAOBAN out of STELLA PERFORMANCE by TRAPPE SHOT)
3  MAD BANKER Mar10 Feb19 Jan05 Dec08 Nov11 (potts )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of MIZ SHUGINA by SHARP HUMOR)
SCR  HEAVYWEIGHT CHAMPS Feb25 Feb03 Dec16     (rodriguez rudy )CARMOUCHE K 118 1.60    
  (by SOLOMINI out of MISS BONNIE by OFFICER)
5  MISCHIEF JOKE Jan28 Dec15 Oct29 Oct16 Sep21 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 1.80 55% 0.80    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SHESABITDISTORTED by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
AQU-5   03/17/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHOEBE'S FROSTY Feb10 Jan21 Jan05 Nov25 Aug18 (arenas)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  HANG TIGHT Feb23 Jan27 Jan04 Dec01 Nov04 (romero jes)RIVERA R 118 15.00    
3  COLLOQUY Feb17 Dec30 Dec03 Nov04 Oct04 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.20 40% 1.50    
4  DATESFREEDOM Feb23 Jan26 Jan05 Nov30 Nov04 (delauro e)CAMACHO JR 118 20.00    
5  LORD GATLING Feb09 Jan27 Jan01 Dec01 Nov04 (potts wayne)PAREDES JHOVANY 111 6.00    
6  CANDY TYCOON Feb03 Aug13 Jul02 Jun04 May14 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 36% 1.80    
7  MAJESTIC FRONTIER Feb18 Jan26 Oct23 Sep25 Sep04 (d'alessandr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.50 ★    
 
AQU-6   03/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRIKING SPEED Mar01 Jan06 Dec17 Nov11 Nov03 (david carlos )FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
2  CHARLIE FIVE O Feb25 Feb10 Jan31 Jan01 Nov02 (rodriguez r)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 12.00    
3  HONORARY DEGREE Mar10 Mar01 Jan31 Nov08 Oct18 (persaud ran)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 12.00    
4  F F ROCKET Jan18 Nov11 Nov03 Oct14 Mar26 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00 ★    
5  FIRST DEPUTY Feb25 Jan18 Jan06 Dec09 Nov21 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 ★    
6  ANYTHING PAZIBLE Feb25 Feb10 Jan26 Jan18 Dec12 (jones ed)DAVIS A 118 30.00    
7  MR PHIL Feb19 Jan06 Nov18 Oct22 Sep30 (chichakly)CAMACHO JR 118 15.00    
8  COLONEL VARGO Jan18 Jan08 Dec15 Nov24 Nov09 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 1.80 66% 0.50    
9  DYNAMITE KARMA Feb29 Feb02 Jan11 Dec13 Nov17 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00 10% 9.10    
 
AQU-7   03/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST East View Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALDWELL LUVS GOLD Dec02 Oct29 Sep24 Aug27 Jul27 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.20 45% 1.20    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SNOW by QUALITY ROAD)
2  SWEET BROWN SUGAR Mar03 Feb09 Jan14 Nov06 Oct18 (barrow paul)LEZCANO JOSE 122 5.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of RACHEL'S BLUE MOON by BODEMEISTER)
3  SOLOSHOT Mar03 Feb09 Dec16 Nov18 Sep25 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of SWEET QUEEN by TWIRLING CANDY)
4  BUSTIN TIME Feb18 Feb09 Oct28     (davis robb)RIVERA R 118 30.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of MYAKKA CITY by CITY PLACE)
5  THIRTEEN RED FLAGS Mar03 Feb09 Jan28 Jan06 Dec28 (chichakly am)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of COVE by PINE BLUFF)
6  RUMINT Feb18 Jan14       (brion keri)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of HUMINT by MUTAKDDIM)
7  BERNIETAKESCHARGE Feb18 Jan14 Dec14 Oct29 Aug16 (schettino d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 1.60 25% 3.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of BERNING ROSE by FREUD)
 
AQU-8   03/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY LAWRENCE Feb03 Jan11       (progno mich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  DACTILOGRAFA Feb16 Jan18 Dec28 Dec16 Nov19 (jimenez l)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
SCR  WAR TERMINATRIX Mar01         (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00    
4  STONEY LONESOME         (sells rac)CAMACHO JR 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  NECESSARYANDPROPER Feb19 Jan11 Dec03 Nov09 Oct01 (dutrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.00 43% 1.30    
6  KNIGHT TRAIL         (serpe philip)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00 28% 2.60    
7  MISS BOURBON Feb19 Jan28 Nov16 Oct21   (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
8  JEN'S KISS Jan18         (quick patrick )LUZZI J 120 10.00    
9  ZHEN LOU Feb19 Feb03 Jan14 Dec31 Dec01 (d'alessandro )FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
SCR  WICKED REYA         (persaud ran)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 30.00    
SCR  WILD MAGIC Feb16 Feb03       (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 120 20.00    
SCR  MANGIA Feb19 Feb10 Jan05 Dec16 Nov09 (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.