Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - February 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(4/2/1)-(3/4/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(3/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(3/4/8)-(4/5/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-3   WIN (3/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/8)-(3/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/8)-(3/4/8)-(3/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/8)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/8)-(4/5/1)-(1/3/5/2/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-4   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(1/3/5/2/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(1/3/5/2/7)-(6/4/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-5   WIN (1/3/5/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/2/7)-(1/3/5/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/2/7)-(1/3/5/2/7)-(1/3/5/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/5/2/7)-(6/4/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/2/7)-(6/4/3/8)-(3/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-6   WIN (6/4/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/8)-(6/4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/8)-(6/4/3/8)-(6/4/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/3/8)-(3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3/8)-(3/1/2)-(8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-7   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MVR-8   WIN (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/6)-(8/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RUNAWAY RUSSELL Feb07 Jan23 Jan10 Dec21 Nov22 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 4.00    
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of RUN DON'T HIDE by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
2  SOL OF VAQUERO Jan23 Jan08 Dec21 May25 May10 (campbell anthon)VEGA L 126 3.50 35% 1.80    
  (by VAQUERO out of SHE'S SO HAPPY by YOUR ABC'S)
3  RAISE YOU ONE Dec12 Nov22 Oct05 Aug28 Aug08 (doering ma)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of FRANCIE MAE by LAC OUIMET)
4  REDDEN Feb07 Jan23 Dec21     (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 1.20 38% 1.70    
  (by DA BIG HOSS out of POMMETTE by POMEROY)
5  FORMYBOYS Feb07 Jan08 Dec21 Dec13 Nov22 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 3.00    
  (by TAPIDOR out of NIPPY'S VENTURE by MAUK FOUR)
6  MY TICKET Feb07 Jan23 Dec21 Nov22 Nov08 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 15.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
 
MVR-2   02/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWGIRL KIMMIE Feb05 Jan22 Dec30 Nov08 Oct16 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROSE RING Feb05 Sep28 Sep14 Aug16 Jun15 (haehn terr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 8.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  REMEMBEROLDTYMES Feb08 Jan25 Dec03 Oct16 Oct09 (robillard jos)CEDILLO MAURO 126 2.00    
4  LILAC LACE Nov14 Sep25 Sep10 Aug21 Jul27 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 44% 1.30    
5  GO STELLAIRE Feb07 Dec27 Dec13 Nov21 Nov07 (vickers richar)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00    
6  OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY Feb05 Jan22 Dec27 Oct03 Sep16 (haehn r)REYES FRANK 126 3.50    
 
MVR-3   02/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LIL BUT DELICIOUS Jan03 Dec11       (west m)AVILES YAN 116 1.60    
2  JUMP INTO SANITY Jan25 Jan11 Dec13 Nov07 Oct23 (skerrett j)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00    
3  CONSTITUTIONALIST Feb07 Jan25 Jan09 Dec27 Dec04 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 2.50 49% 1.10    
4  CANTHO Feb07 Jan25 Jan04 Dec10 Nov26 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00 12% 7.50    
5  BIG BANG BLUE Jan25 Dec28 Dec13 Nov21 Oct31 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50    
6  BEING CREATIVE Feb14 Jan25 Jan03 Nov14 Nov04 (zawitz joel)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
SCR  MY GIRL GABBY Jan11 Dec05 Nov01 Oct23 Sep26 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00    
8  C C'S WORLD Feb07 Jan25 Jan03 Dec03 Nov22 (gonzalez a)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00 10% 8.70    
 
MVR-4   02/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAUTREC Jan08 Dec11 Nov21 Oct23 Sep26 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 8.00 8% 11.40    
2  LAUDA SPEED Feb05 Jan03 Dec26 Nov01 Oct10 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00    
SCR  RUNABOUT Nov21 Nov06 Oct25 Sep26 Aug02 (englehart jeff)HOUGHTON D 124 4.50    
4  FUEGO CALIENTE Feb08 Jan23 Jan08 May06 Apr13 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
5  FRANCO (MEX) Feb08 Jan23 Jan01 Dec26 Dec06 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
6  GAMBLER Jan23 Dec26 Dec11 Nov29 Oct25 (cline c)YARANGA Y 124 15.00    
7  HE'S A SHOOTER Feb01 Dec27 Dec12 Nov29 Oct26 (sullivan ellio)DIAZ I 124 3.50    
 
MVR-5   02/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPGRADE AL Jan31 Dec14 Sep06 Jul14 Jun21 (sm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 32% 2.10    
2  EL MARRO Jan02 Dec13 Dec04 Nov20 Oct30 (romero jose )BERRIOS HECTOR 124 3.50 10% 9.50    
3  HOPPY GILMORE Jan31 Jan02 Dec13 Nov21 Oct30 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.00 18% 4.40    
4  TIGER TRAIL Jan22 Dec26 Dec12 Nov20 Oct28 (farrio)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
5  MUTINY Jan24 Dec14 Sep25 Aug30 Aug03 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 5.00 14% 6.10    
6  JOSH'N Jan31 Jan22 Dec26 Dec07 Nov06 (murillo-rodrig)DIAZ I 124 12.00    
7  MISTER MOBIL Jan24 Jan02 Dec04 Sep25 Aug21 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  PECKS NOT BAD Feb06 Jan22 Dec26 Nov08 Aug30 (juarez l)MARTINEZ A 126 8.00    
9  ROSCO P. COLTRANE Jan02 Dec12 Nov20 Oct28 Oct11 (romero jos)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 8.00    
 
MVR-6   02/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO MAS CERVEZA Jan09 Dec28 Dec13 Nov22   (brown glenroy)SIMPSON JASON 124 5.00    
2  HEIDI'S SINATRA Feb06 Dec26 Dec04 Oct30 Sep30 (haehn terr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 20.00    
3  ANIMO ROBERTO Dec30 Dec14 Nov29 Oct30 Sep07 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 10.00 12% 7.20    
4  RED HOT POWER Feb06 Jan15 Dec19 Dec12 Nov21 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 19% 4.30    
5  GOOD MUSIC Feb06 Dec28 Dec11 Nov16 Sep18 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 3.50    
6  SMOOCHER Dec30 Dec14 Nov29 Oct30 Aug10 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
7  NOSEY POWER Feb08 Jan24 Dec11 Nov16 Oct24 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 8.00    
8  RED COMET Feb06 Jan30 Jan15 Jan02 Dec26 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-7   02/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET MOBILTEE Feb07 Jan22 Jun22 Jun07 May24 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 2.00 26% 2.90    
2  HISTORYINTHEMAKING Feb07 Dec28 Dec13 Nov28 Nov13 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  AMY'S STAR Feb05 Jan11       (pappada julie)BRACHO A 118 1.20 49% 1.00    
4  GHOSTLY REVIVAL Jan04 Dec21 Dec05 Nov21 Nov06 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 124 12.00    
5  SPUNKY ONE Feb07 Feb01 Dec28     (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 6.00    
6  MY TWO JAKES Feb07 Jan22 Jan04 Dec21 Dec05 (gonzalez d)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 15.00    
 
MVR-8   02/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONE RIDGE         (acevedo israe)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00    
  (by CIGAR STREET out of UNBRIDLED RIDGE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  DONT CROSS BOUDICA Jan01 Nov17 Oct24     (reed r)HALDAR J 126 3.50    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SMOOTH STRIDE by CASTLEDALE (IRE))
SCR  AVA'S STORM Jan31 Dec22 Jul04 Jun02 May12 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 3.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of AVA G by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
SCR  HIGH SISU Dec13 Nov07 Oct16 Sep27   (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 10.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of DIXIE DEAR by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  FAITHFUL STEPS Jan31 Jan01 Dec19 Nov27   (preston rand)TAPARA BRANDON 126 6.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of THIRTY EIGHT PLUS by CATIENUS)
6  FOUR BLESSINGS         (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CIGAR STREET out of SANDRINGHAM SIERRA by SILIC (FR))
7  DELOVELY Jan17 Dec23 Jun23 May24 Apr01 (quartarolo an)BRACHO A 126 12.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of DELIGHTFUL by BERNARDINI)
8  OUTSPOKEN Jan03 Nov23 Sep24 Aug13   (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 118 2.50 70% 0.40    
  (by VIOLENCE out of MELODY LADY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.