Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Monday - December 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (6/3/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/8/9)-(6/3/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/8/9)-(5/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-2   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(2/6/3)-(6/3/4/10) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-3   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(6/3/4/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (6/3/4/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/10)-(6/3/4/1/10) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/10)-(6/3/4/1/10)-(6/3/4/1/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (6/3/4/10)-(7/3/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MNR-5   WIN (7/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/2)-(7/3/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/2)-(7/3/1/2)-(7/3/1/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MNR-6   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(6/8)-(6/1/10) 18 $2.00 $36.00 
MNR-7   WIN (6/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/8)-(6/8) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (6/8)-(6/1/10) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-8   WIN (6/1/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/10)-(6/1/5/10/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/1/10)-(6/1/5/10/3)-(6/1/5/10/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   12/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE NEWFIE EXPRESS Nov07 Oct18 Oct10 Sep26 Aug29 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 15.00    
2  PONTI PRIDE Dec05 Nov22 Oct29 Sep19 Aug17 (si)DA FAUSTO 118 1.80    
3  BRODYTHEOXMAN Dec05 Nov15 Nov07 Oct16 Oct02 (lopez carlos )BRACHO A 120 5.00 20% 4.10    
4  GENERAL DIRECTION Oct16 Aug27 Aug09 Jul23 Jun26 (conto kevin)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 12.00    
SCR  TAINO Dec05 Nov26 Nov13 Nov06 Oct29 (gomez alejan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 30.00    
6  LAUTREC Nov21 Oct23 Sep26 Sep04 Aug20 (walker ch)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
7  PARADE GRAND Nov15 Nov02 Oct11 Oct02 Sep19 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00    
8  GAMBLER Nov29 Oct25 Oct07 Sep16 Aug15 (cline c)YARANGA Y 120 6.00 17% 5.00    
9  BACK ALLEY CAT Dec05 Nov05 Oct23 Oct11 Sep26 (gomez alejandro)LEON A 120 12.00 15% 5.80    
 
MNR-2   12/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MATERS N TATERS Nov20 Oct17 Sep13 Aug23 Aug03 (godsey marshal)AVILES YAN 123 3.50    
2  MY MAE DAY Nov20 Aug22 Jul18 Jun20 May15 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 12.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  WIZARD WILLIE Nov06 Oct16 Sep10 Aug22 Jul26 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 6.00    
4  BE THE CHANGE Oct03 Sep05 Aug21 Aug08 Jul10 (robillard jos)NELSON TYRONE 123 6.00    
5  JAMMING CAMERON Mar23 Dec06 Nov15 Oct30 Aug30 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.40 48% 1.10    
6  AW ITE Dec05 Nov20 Nov06 Oct09 Sep26 (weymes andr)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 6.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  SHELTOWEE'S BALI Dec05 Nov15 Oct11 Oct01 Sep17 (larue steve)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 12.00    
8  SOMERSET BAY Nov27 Nov14 Oct09 Sep26 Sep13 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 30.00    
9  MACHO SMOKE Nov08 Oct29 Oct16 Jul19 Jun03 (montano wilfrid)REYES FRANK 123 30.00    
 
MNR-3   12/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 2 F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRSTY FOR LOVE Nov19 Sep27 Sep03 Jul27 Jul01 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 10.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of EMPRESS OF LOV by EMPIRE WAY)
2  LIL BUT DELICIOUS         (west m)AVILES YAN 118 1.40 46% 1.20    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of MALHAMA by TIZNOW)
3  DON'T B CRITICAL         (pease harry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 15.00 15% 5.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CRITIC'S CHOICE by SMART STRIKE)
4  MACI'S WORLD Oct10 Sep27 Sep11 Aug21 Jul20 (stanoszek sara)JURADO EDDIE 118 20.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of BLUE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
5  KAYLEIGH'S KITTEN Nov27 Jul20       (jackson d)YARANGA Y 118 4.00    
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of ROMACACA by RUNNING STAG)
6  LUPITA         (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 5.00 17% 4.90    
  (by PAVEL out of ASCRIPTION by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  BAYTOWN KITTY CAT Nov30 Nov05 Oct12 Oct03 Sep19 (mcentee paul)BRACHO A 118 3.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ELEMENTSOFHARMONY by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
MNR-4   12/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENOUGH ICE Nov29 Nov27 Nov01 Oct14 Sep27 (pease harry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 8.00 ★    
  (by KEEN ICE out of ADESTE by MONTBROOK)
2  CAB BEEF Nov29 Oct30 Oct17 Sep17   (barbaran hora)BARBARAN ERIK 123 10.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of OURNAUGHTYESCAPADE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  STUNNING HERO Nov29 Nov05 Oct18 Sep25 Aug23 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 1.80 21% 3.80    
  (by HERO OF ORDER out of SID'S KID by SMART STRIKE)
4  LIAM'S ROCKET MAN Jul22 Aug13 Jul12     (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 10.00 20% 4.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of GREAT DAY by ACTION THIS DAY)
5  PISTOL JERRY Nov29 Sep20 Aug23     (sanders melinda)VIGIL NOEL 123 30.00    
  (by EUROEARS out of DANCE SOMEWHERE by DANCE MASTER)
6  KNOCKOUT GUY Nov27 Nov12 Oct30 Oct23 Oct10 (fearon johnat)NELSON TYRONE 118 1.60 34% 2.00    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of KNOCKOUT BERTIE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
7  BRAZILIAN SEA Dec03 Nov27       (sipp k)LEON A 118 20.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of SEA SWIFT by HIGH CHAPARRAL)
8  BALLOT BOX Nov29 Nov21 Nov05 Oct18 Aug23 (pizzurro jessi)JURADO EDDIE 123 20.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SECRET BALLOT by COURAGEOUS CAT)
9  GUARDIANSOF AUTISM Nov29         (kocijan marcus)GILBERT KYLE 123 12.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FOR SURE FOR SURE by OLD TOPPER)
10  DESERT JUSTICE         (fiesman l)YARANGA Y 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of DESERT FOLLY by DESERT PARTY)
SCR  MY HOMBRE Nov22 Oct24 Jul20 Jul05 Jun19 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of ORIENTAL BELLA by CAPE TOWN)
SCR  WILLCAT         (moore t)PAUCAR E 123 12.00    
  (by WILBURN out of SHOW BABY by SIR CAT)
SCR  MR HARRY Dec03 Nov27 Nov14 Oct30 Oct18 (sipp k)VEGA L 118 15.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of ENGLISH CAT by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 
MNR-5   12/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANCIA (PER) Nov26 Nov08 Oct29 Oct22 Sep27 (pizzurr)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00 12% 7.40    
2  STORY CHANNEL Nov29 Nov08 Oct09 Jul09 Jun29 (monday kevin)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  MEMORIES ETERNAL Nov01 Oct23 Sep27 Sep23 Aug27 (deiter lyn)AVILES YAN 123 5.00 24% 3.20    
4  ICY RAIN Nov19 Oct23 Sep27 Aug17 Aug01 (ratliff gobel)LEON A 123 6.00    
5  LITTLEBITOFLASH Nov19 Nov08 Oct23 Sep20 Jul05 (clouston ed)WILLIAMS AJHARI 118 20.00    
6  STEPPINPERFECTION Nov29 Nov08 Oct09     (monday kevin)NELSON TYRONE 123 15.00    
7  GIO'S MY DAD Nov29 Nov19 Oct22 Oct10 Sep12 (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 123 3.00 36% 1.70    
8  TEST YOUR FAITH Nov22 Oct23 Oct11 Sep12 Sep06 (wade justin)VEGA L 123 1.60    
 
MNR-6   12/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA SMOOCHIE Nov21 Oct23 Aug12 Jun21 May29 (melancon pa)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 30.00    
2  TIME FOR CUPID Oct24 Oct15 Sep27 Sep11 Aug29 (norris step)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 12.00 8% 12.20    
3  MISS SHADY Dec03 Oct17 Sep24 Sep11 Aug27 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.00 35% 1.80    
4  STELLAR LEGACY Nov27 Nov12 Oct22 Jun20 May15 (gerich frank)GONZALEZ KEVIN 121 5.00    
5  MIMI'S HOLIDAY Nov20 Aug15 Jul25 Jul16 Jul04 (robillard jos)CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.50 34% 2.00    
6  ZIPPIN PIPPIN Nov10 Oct31 Oct17 Sep05 Aug15 (si)DA FAUSTO 118 3.00    
SCR  BONNIE BLUETOOTH Dec01 Nov10 Oct27 Oct05 Sep14 (shanle)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.50    
 
MNR-7   12/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICKANDME Nov21 Nov05 Jun09     (cuttino m)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 5.00    
SCR  BEYOND TALENTED Nov21 Nov07 Oct17 Oct09 Sep11 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 4.50    
3  FAST FALL Oct26 Sep27 Sep10 Aug16 Jul27 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 3.50    
SCR  RAGING WHIRLWIND Nov12 Oct03 Sep20 Aug31 Aug16 (chain pearl)VEGA L 123 20.00    
5  TOBI WAN KENOBI Dec05 Nov07 Oct31 Mar31 Feb16 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 118 15.00    
6  TIMESATAPPIN Nov01 Oct06 Aug24 Aug06 Jul24 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 118 2.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  LOW COUNTRY DUDE Nov06 Aug06 Jul25 May14 Apr22 (cuttino mar)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 8.00    
8  BLUNDER Nov01 Oct24 Jul26 Jul05 May29 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 120 4.00 24% 3.10    
 
MNR-8   12/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHN'S KID Dec03 Nov21 Nov13 Nov05 Oct10 (silva pabl)LEON A 118 4.00 28% 2.60    
2  SHAKIN IT BIG TIME Nov22 Sep28 Sep07 Aug19 Jul27 (shanle)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00    
3  VAPORIZED Nov26 Nov13 Mar04 Feb05 Jan13 (montano wilfrid)REYES FRANK 120 20.00 ★    
4  BOURBON MOMENT Nov26 May17       (kocijan marcus)GILBERT KYLE 120 20.00    
5  RESVALON Dec04 Nov15 Oct25 Oct10 Aug14 (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 118 3.50 ★    
6  TIMBERRY TIDDLER Nov06 Oct18 Oct08 Sep12 Aug06 (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 1.20 49% 1.10    
7  BARELYSTILLCOUNTS Sep06 Aug14 Aug07 Jul19 Jun11 (noland a)VEGA L 120 30.00    
8  ANGELUS DIAMOND Dec04 Nov07 Oct29 Oct10 Aug29 (sanders melinda)VIGIL NOEL 120 8.00    
9  OXBOW'S RIDE Nov06 Oct23 Sep28 Sep18 Aug24 (santillo tho)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 30.00    
10  IN THE GOSPEL Nov13 Oct23 Oct10 Sep27 Aug27 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OMEGA GOLD Dec05 Nov15 Nov06 Oct03 Aug29 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 120 4.50    
SCR  FAST AS FAST CAN B Sep28 Sep18 Jul27 Jul06 Apr25 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 113 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.