Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Friday - November 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-2   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-3   Win (6/4/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-4   Win (5/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-5   Win (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-6   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-7   Win (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-8   Win (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   11/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILTONYTWOPHONES Nov02 May26 May04 Mar31 Mar10 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 20.00    
SCR  ZAMBONI WARRIOR Oct26 Oct09 Sep15     (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 8.00    
KEEPING IT COUNTRY Nov02 Sep07 Aug02 Jul06 Jun16 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 17% 5.00    
TIZ SPEEDY Nov01 Oct10 Sep20 Aug02 Jul03 (crook-demasi )WOLFSONT ANDREW 119 4.50    
UNCLE DAR Oct24 Sep20 Aug22 Jul07 Jun14 (catalano m)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
TURNPIKE BOB Nov01 Sep13 Aug17 Jul28 Jul20 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
SUNSHINE HARRY Nov08 Aug30 Aug10 Jul06 Jun15 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 6.00    
SCR  YO NESSROUNDONKERN Nov01 Oct24 Sep13 Aug21 Aug13 (ramirez silvi)RAMOS C 120 6.00    
 
PEN-2   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETORIAN GOLD         (mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 121 8.00    
I KNOW MAP Oct26         (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 121 1.50 48% 1.10    
BELLS RUN Nov10         (arnold pamela)CORA D 121 3.00 25% 3.00    
MAX BARLEY         (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 121 8.00    
EAST AURORA Nov10         (stites w)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AURORA KUMA Nov10 Aug25 Aug05     (arnold pamela)INIRIO J 121 10.00    
LAWYER JOHN         (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 4.00    
 
PEN-3   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIPLE TITOS Oct18 Oct05 Sep20 Aug30 Aug10 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 8.00 10% 9.40    
DORSODURO Nov16 Oct18 Sep20 Sep03 Aug18 (lucas bonnie)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00    
HELLMAN Nov09 Oct19 Sep21 Aug19 Jul30 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50    
ONEHANDSOMEDUDE Nov09 Oct27 Sep29 Jul07 Oct05 (simoff andr)RODRIGUEZ R 124 6.00 12% 7.30    
AMICALOLA FALLS Nov09 Oct05 Aug24 Jul13 Jun03 (patterson kevi)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00    
SUMMER ASH Nov04 Oct14 Sep20 Sep06 Aug17 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  MR. TUTTLE Sep05 Aug04 Jul19 Jun12 May30 (pattershall m)RAMOS C 120 15.00    
I ONCE STOOD ALONE Sep28 Sep04 Aug27 Aug14 Jul26 (brooks gerald)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 10.00    
ECLIPTICALS BEAR Oct25 Sep22 Aug25 Jul19 Jul06 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  LARZ Nov17 Oct26 Oct16 Sep21 Sep06 (bobadilla j)VARGAS L 119 10.00    
 
PEN-4   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL GREEN MACHINE Oct09 Sep26 Aug13 Jul31 Jul16 (cooper stacey)ROJAS MARTINA 117 6.00    
POCOPSON STATION Nov15 Oct25 Sep15 Sep07 Aug16 (ippolito)SMITH DANIEL 117 50.00    
SCR  MERU Oct26 Oct09 Sep22 Sep07 Aug24 (flores-coba f)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 10.00    
SCR  SATCHEL DE RITCHES Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 Aug30 Jun07 (hamilton s)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 5.00    
I SEE THE STARS Nov02 Sep20 Jul20 Jun30 May17 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 34% 1.90    
STANHOPE Oct16 Sep15 Aug30 Aug23 Aug08 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  EMPIRE'S SCORE Oct25 Sep27 Sep19 Aug30 Jul26 (brown howard )WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 8.00    
CHARGING LION Oct25 Sep01 Aug16 Jul14 Jun21 (mcclellan c)CORA D 122 4.00 16% 5.20    
VIOLENT PASS Oct25 Sep20 Aug30 Aug04 Jul12 (moreno-barban)INIRIO J 122 12.00    
 
PEN-5   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEARCH FOR HOPE         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 123 4.00 20% 4.10    
BROKENHEARTED Nov03 May03 Apr14 Mar17 Feb11 (kreiser timot)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 1.60    
HOUGHTON SHUFFLE         (arnold pamela)CORA D 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
BOOK RUNNER Nov03 Sep15 Aug23 Aug02 Jul21 (salinas jose)BEATO INOEL 123 15.00    
NECCO Nov03 May19 Apr21 Mar24 Feb08 (murtough step)INIRIO J 122 5.00    
SCR  UNCLE GEORGY Nov03         (meister william )TORRES JOMAR 123 12.00    
GOTTA HAVE HEART         (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 123 8.00 19% 4.10    
 
PEN-6   11/24/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  A BIT BAD N BOUJEE Oct30 Oct10 Sep12 Aug05 Jun27 (brown howard )WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 4.00    
ALWAJD Oct26 Sep13 Aug24 Jun22 Jun01 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 35% 1.90    
DANCE A LITTLE JIG Nov10 Oct26 Sep13 Aug24 Aug08 (salvaggio v)CORA D 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  MISS LOYALTY Nov13 Oct26 Oct11 Aug30 Aug05 (pattershall m)RAMOS C 122 6.00    
BLIND SIGHT Oct06 Sep14 Sep01 Aug17 Aug05 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 2.50    
JUSTIN TIME Nov08 Aug18 Jul14 Jun28 May25 (moreno tito)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00    
 
PEN-7   11/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAMBOO GARDEN Oct11 Sep13 Sep02 Jul09 Aug06 (graci a)TORRES JOMAR 124 10.00    
ARCTICA Aug18 Jul14 Jun16 May25 May04 (flores l)FLORES E 124 20.00    
SCR  TEACHER DRAMA Nov08 Sep08 Aug24 Jul21 Jun16 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00    
SCR  CIRCLE OF COURAGE Nov02 Oct19 Oct05 Sep07 Aug05 (lawrence ja)HERNANDEZ A 124 5.00    
RAINBOW TROUT Nov10 Oct06 Aug25 Jul16 Jun02 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 2.00 47% 1.20    
SERENE WARRIOR Sep14 Aug30 Aug18 Jun28 Jun14 (rideout ronald)CORA D 124 2.50 11% 8.10    
MIKEY'S JEWEL Nov08 Oct26 Oct12 Sep13 Aug31 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 124 4.50 16% 5.20    
 
PEN-8   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY CITY Nov09 Oct26 Oct04 Sep18 Jun24 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  STEERAGE Nov06 Oct16 Sep18 Aug21 Jul21 (kirby t)OCASIO M 122 3.50    
WICKED IRISHMAN Nov09 Sep20 Aug31 Aug17 Aug04 (wolfe jr)INIRIO J 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
OUR RONNY ALAN Oct27 Jun29 Jun03 May11 Apr17 (allard edwa)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00    
BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Oct26 Sep30 Sep20 Aug04 Jul20 (bobadilla j)VARGAS L 122 10.00    
LOOKIN BACK LUCKY Oct26 Sep06 Aug04 Jul20 Jun29 (crane clovis)AGUILAR M 121 10.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  NOTORIOUS REY Nov09 Oct26 Sep20 Sep06 Aug04 (ippolito)SMITH DANIEL 117 20.00    
OVER THE BORDER Oct25 Oct08 Sep08 Aug25 Jul21 (allen fer)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00    
SCR  COUNTRY CHARLIE Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 Aug17 Jul27 (deiter kelly)MENDOZA JHONATAN 121 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.