Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - July 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (2/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/7/3)-(6/4/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7/3)-(6/4/5/1)-(1/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TDN-2   WIN (6/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/1)-(6/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/1)-(6/4/5/1)-(6/4/5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/1)-(1/3)-(8/7/3/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TDN-3   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(8/7/3/5)-(3/2/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-4   WIN (8/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/3/5)-(8/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/3/5)-(8/7/3/5)-(8/7/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/7/3/5)-(3/2/5)-(5/3/2/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(5/3/2/7)-(8/2/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/7)-(5/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/7)-(5/3/2/7)-(5/3/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2/7)-(8/2/3/5)-(6/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-7   WIN (8/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/5)-(8/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/5)-(8/2/3/5)-(8/2/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (8/2/3/5)-(6/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/8)-(6/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/8)-(6/4/8)-(6/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REANIMATE May15 Apr13 Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
2  SPIN DOCTOR Jun27 Jun10 May24 May15 Apr26 (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 3.50 49% 1.00    
3  FOREIGN Jun13 Feb02 Jan16 Dec20 Nov17 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 119 10.00 7% 14.10    
4  RONNI'S STORM Jun13 May24 May09 Apr06 Mar23 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 2.50 14% 6.30    
5  THE MAN CAN Jun13 May24 May08 Apr13 Mar14 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 10.00    
6  TIGER TRAIL Jun13 May09 Apr13 Nov03 Oct10 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 119 3.00    
7  HANSENATION Jun10 May24 May16 Apr27 Apr11 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 119 5.00 9% 9.80    
8  BOOT LEGGER Mar14 Mar01 Feb21 Feb02 Jan04 (londono odin )BRACHO A 119 15.00    
 
TDN-2   07/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUDE'S MIST DATE Jun26 Jan09 Dec22     (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  ANGEL'S DESTINY Jul03 Jun20 Jun01 Dec01 Nov15 (flores israel)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00    
3  KRISTIN Jun19 Jun10 May30 Oct25   (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 4.00    
4  SAUNTER Jun19 May30 May02 Apr05   (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 25% 3.00    
5  INSIDE GIRL Jun26 Jun14 May11 Mar18 Feb23 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 12.00 7% 12.60    
6  SOLDAT TEMPTATION Jun26 Jun10 May25 May03 Mar29 (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 41% 1.50    
7  JUMP INTO SANITY Jun10 May25 Jan09 Dec13 Nov21 (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 119 2.50    
 
TDN-3   07/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VILLAGE CAT Jun14 May11 Apr25     (jackson james )GONZALEZ A 115 2.50 12% 7.00    
2  TV TIZ GORGEOUS Jul05 May23 May06 Mar20 Feb16 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
3  LADY ITCH Jul03 Jun20 Jun01 May21 Jul18 (blackhu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 8% 11.40    
4  STARLITESLEW Jul05 Jun01 May16 May06 Apr05 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00    
SCR  ROARING GINGER Jul03 Jun01 May23 Mar09 Feb06 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 1.80 54% 0.90    
6  FRIENDLY MERGER Jun14         (syed riaz)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 15.00    
 
TDN-4   07/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTHINLASTSFOREVER Nov12 Oct14 Sep14 Aug30 Jul25 (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00    
SCR  TRAITOR AMONGST US May20 Sep29 Aug30 Aug17 Jul13 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50    
3  TIDE RISING Jun20 May23 May08 Apr26 Apr04 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 4.50 13% 6.80    
SCR  MA MOO POWER May20 Nov22 Nov10 Oct31 Oct10 (hernandez ri)HALDAR J 119 15.00    
5  WEEKEND BUZZ Nov12 Aug30 Jul28 Jul13 Jun03 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 11% 8.40    
6  PLATE IT UP Jun26 Jun01 May24 May15 May08 (tumblin a)GONZALES J 114 15.00    
7  ACCURATE Jun13 May24 May03 Apr06 Mar22 (yoder d)TORREALBA JG 116 6.00 18% 4.70    
8  BABA LOOEY Jun07 May25 May08 Nov22 Oct14 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 5.00 39% 1.60    
9  KARAMEL CORN Jun07 Nov12 Oct12 Aug15 Jul13 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 12.00    
 
TDN-5   07/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDY LITES Jul04 Jun12 May20 May02 Oct10 (londono o)BRICENO M 114 12.00    
2  TURBIE Jul04 Jun06 May16 Apr24 Mar18 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00 14% 6.40    
3  DREAM MUSIC Jul04 Oct04 Sep14 Sep07 Aug04 (urieta joha)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 2.00 56% 0.80    
4  UNDERCOVER LADY Jun12 May20 May03 Apr24 Mar13 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 2.50    
5  PLAYFUL SUMMER Jul04 Jun10 May20 May03 Apr05 (fl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  VAVITE Jul04 Jun12 May29 May06 Apr24 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 4.00    
 
TDN-6   07/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORTHY OPPONENT Jun10 Jun01 Nov28 Nov12 Oct24 (miller ariz)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 10.00    
2  CANDY EXCHANGE Oct27 Oct14 Sep21 Aug31 Aug17 (romero o)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 6% 17.00    
3  ROYAL'D Jun15 May24 Dec03 Oct04 Aug18 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 24% 3.20    
4  CONDEMNATION Jul06 Jun10 Feb01 Jan05 Dec06 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50    
5  GOLDEN MONEY Jun27 Jun15 May20 May08 Mar23 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 2.50 46% 1.20    
6  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Jul05 Jun24 Jun02 May20 May06 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 2.00    
7  FU ROO Dec12 Nov22 Oct31 Oct04 Sep14 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  JACK BE FAST Jun07 May24 May09 Mar23 Mar01 (hernandez rica)TORREALBA JG 114 15.00    
 
TDN-7   07/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATIO PARTY Jun14 May22 May02 Apr11 Mar20 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
2  SAMMY'S SMILE Jun19 Jun01 Nov12 Oct29 Sep15 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 6.00 26% 2.80    
3  SEE SPOT RUN Jun20 May30 May16 Feb19 Feb04 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 4.50 5% 18.00    
4  MUGSY MALONE Jun10 Jun02 May12 Mar11 Dec30 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 121 6.00    
5  MY BROTHER CAM Jun14 May22 May02 Apr12 Mar14 (ray kev)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 5% 18.00    
6  ACROSS THE AISLE Jun13 Mar02 Feb07 Jan30 Jan02 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
7  DISTORTED LIMITS Jul05 Jun13 Feb07 Jan05 Dec13 (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00    
8  FAIR AND SQUARE Jun24 Jun02 May05 Aug13 Jul22 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50 41% 1.50    
 
TDN-8   07/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VALHALLA AIR BASE Jun27 Jun01 May15 Apr27 Mar30 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 123 12.00    
SCR  EXONERATED PREZ Jun12 May31 May03 Mar08 Feb20 (genovese richa)HOUGHTON D 123 12.00    
3  DEBDURITE Apr15 Apr03 Mar07 Feb21 Jan16 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 12.00    
4  LAZARUS PROJECT Jul05 Jun21 Jun13 May31 May16 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 4.50 16% 5.40    
5  BREEZY MONEY Jun21 Jun05 Dec20 Nov28 Oct22 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 2.50    
6  MORE THAN GOOD Jun27 Jun07 May17 Nov08 Oct18 (poole m)BRACHO A 123 6.00 38% 1.60    
7  JACK'S ADVANTAGE Jun27 Apr03 Mar09 Feb20 Jan26 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 4.00    
8  HAPPILEA Jun27 Jun07 Mar23 Feb28 Feb08 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 123 3.00 13% 6.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.