Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - June 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (9/7/1/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/1/2/8)-(9/7/1/2/8) 20 $2.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/8/9)-(1/2/7/8/9)-(1/2/7/8/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (9/7/1/2/8)-(1/6/7/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
MNR-2   WIN (1/6/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/10)-(1/6/7/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/10)-(1/6/7/10)-(1/6/7/10) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/7/10)-(7/2/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/10)-(7/2/3/6)-(7/6/3/2) 64 $2.00 $128 
MNR-3   WIN (7/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/6)-(7/2/3/6) 12 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/7)-(2/3/6/7)-(2/3/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/3/6)-(7/6/3/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-4   WIN (7/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/3/2)-(1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7)-(7/1/2/4)-(7/5/1/9) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-7   WIN (7/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4) 12 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/2/4)-(7/5/1/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-8   WIN (7/5/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/9)-(7/5/1/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/9)-(7/5/1/9)-(7/5/1/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   06/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZ FIRED UP May22 May07 Aug22 Aug10 Jul27 (mcgaffic gre)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of A LITTLE GOLD by LORD CARSON)
ARISTA THE CAT May30 Jan13 Dec30 Dec01 Nov01 (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOURIST out of SWEET CAT O LINE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
I'VE BEEN THINKIN May07 Apr05 Nov23     (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SOFT KISS by BERNARDINI)
FREEDOM'S ALLURE Jun07 May29 May03 Aug20 Aug01 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 3.50    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of MAJESTIC ROSETTE by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
PARISIAN SUMMER May25 Mar01 Jan27 Jan18 Oct03 (pizzurro jessica)WHITACRE B 116 4.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of HUNTER'S MARK by TITUS LIVIUS (FR))
SCR  LUCKY VAN HEMEL Mar01 Feb08       (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 20.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of INHONOROFJOHNNIE by DOUBLE HONOR)
ONE MORE NIGHT Jun05         (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 5.00 28% 2.60    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG (JPN) out of SUMMERTIME BLONDE by BENCHMARK)
ORCHARD ROAD May15         (acevedo i)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CIGAR STREET out of LIWA OASIS by MIDAS TOUCH (GB))
QUICK AND DIRTY         (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 123 3.00 47% 1.10    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of NAUGHTYNAUGHTYGIRL by BERNARDINI)
 
MNR-2   06/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEAD OFF May28 May08 Mar07 Feb11 Jan24 (eidschu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 5.00 66% 0.50    
SUPPLY CHAIN Mar05 Feb10 Jan15 Jan07 Dec04 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 120 8.00    
SEE SPOT RUN May30 May16 Feb19 Feb04 Jan08 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 4.00    
RUM ON THE ROCKS Nov29 Oct09 Sep18 Aug23 Aug08 (mcdonald willi)JURADO EDDIE 120 20.00    
SCR  MONGOLIAN HERO Jun09 May20 Jan27 Jan12 Dec10 (jones e)HO WESLEY 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
BLUEBANK Jun06 May30 May08 Apr11 Dec27 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 5.00 7% 12.70    
LIGHTNING JACK May14 Dec14 Nov22 Oct25 Sep25 (ko)DA FAUSTO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ERIC THE SALESMAN Jun06 May30 Oct04 Sep18 Aug23 (zook j)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00    
SCR  BLOODPROF Aug31 Aug10 Jul14 Jun25 Jun04 (stanoszek s)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 10.00    
10  WHISKYFORBREAKFAST Dec14 Nov16 Nov08 Oct04 Sep13 (ramgeet tina)WHITACRE B 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRIAR JUMPER May30 Oct23 Oct09 Sep27 Sep06 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00    
 
MNR-3   06/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY TO HAVE ME May22 May02 Mar07 Feb16 Feb06 (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 4.50    
ICE FLOE May29 May14 May08 Dec13 Nov22 (bayley randy)YARANGA Y 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
SWEET BELEN Jun04 May23 Apr30 Mar07 Feb09 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 5.00 18% 4.50    
SUGAR BRITCHES May30 May15 May01 Dec12 Nov27 (hernandez ricard)CCAMAQUE M 120 15.00    
SILVER STICK STAIR Jun04 May02 Apr15 Mar30 Mar15 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 5.00    
CASSIE'S RAINBOW May30 May16 May09 May02 Jan11 (gomez aleja)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
WAY TO FIRE Jun05 May23 Feb18 Feb09 Jan19 (poole c)RAMGEET R 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
 
MNR-4   06/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLO GIRL GLO May23 May07 Dec07 Oct11 Sep07 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 116 4.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of TIZ GROUND SPEED by TIZNOW)
HELLO PERFECT         (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 10.00 7% 12.60    
  (by PERFECT CIRCLE out of HELLO HANNAH by TRIPPI)
MYRA FLEENER Dec06 Nov13 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 (montano)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00 9% 10.40    
  (by MUNNINGS out of FIRSTTOTHELINE by FIRST SAMURAI)
DETAILED May23 Jun21 Jun06 May20   (bell brenda)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 10.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of BRITTNEY BRAT by PIKEPASS)
STELLAR LEGACY May15 Apr29 Apr15 Mar30 Mar15 (gerich frank)WHITACRE B 116 8.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of LOVE IN PARIS by NOT FOR LOVE)
LUNA MIA May22 May08 Apr13 Feb06 Dec07 (montano wilf)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 3.50 29% 2.40    
  (by GLOBAL RESPONSE out of ULTRA EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
EVENING BIRD Jun05 May22       (ewell devan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.50 32% 2.10    
  (by BIRD SONG out of EVENING PRIZE by PURE PRIZE)
SCR  GHOSTLY REVIVAL Jun10 May31 May11 Apr24 Mar16 (crago )BATISTA ALBERTO 116 8.00    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of HOT TUB HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
MNR-5   06/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKECHARGEJUSTICE Jun01 May06 Nov22 Nov08 Oct26 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 5.00 48% 1.10    
EXECUTIVE PRIZE Jun05 May16 Jan07 Dec13 Dec04 (johnso)ENRIQUEZ JR 120 20.00    
HAPPY YEARS Apr22 Nov23 Nov02 Oct14 Sep08 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 10.00 8% 11.90    
SCR  CRYPTIC CODE May15 Apr22 Mar09 Feb15 Jan25 (shanle)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 12.00    
SCR  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Jun05 Apr26 Apr08 Mar12 Feb25 (shanyfelt doug)GONZALEZ A 120 1.40    
AGADOR SPARTACUS Jun05 Apr04 Mar12 Feb20 Jan30 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 12.00 12% 7.20    
MANCHESTER May22 Apr27 Mar16 Mar02 Feb16 (bright derr)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.00    
SCR  SECRET SANCTUARY May30 May08 Apr14 Mar19 Mar09 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 15.00    
ROSE'S PEPINO Jun05 May22 Mar06 Feb23 Dec22 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 116 10.00    
 
MNR-6   06/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONNA LIRICA Apr26 Apr01 Mar15 Mar01 Feb15 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 120 3.50    
LADY ITCH Jun01 May21 Jul18 Jun29 Jun06 (blackh)ENRIQUEZ JR 120 15.00    
RED ROSEBUSH May17 May02 Nov11 Oct26 Sep27 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 10.00    
SCR  KITTEN CALLS May29 Mar11 Feb18 Jan28 Jan06 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 2.50    
ELIANAGRACE May12 Apr21 Mar18 Feb08 Jan19 (joy kev)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 4.50 9% 9.90    
BALLYKEEN May28 May07 Apr15 Nov11 Sep22 (nixon )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.80 65% 0.50    
IRON WILMA Jun06 May16 Apr30 Apr06 Mar27 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-7   06/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACCOLADES GALORE May22 Apr30 Jan09 Dec06 Nov01 (walker ch)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
PETTIGO GIRL May22 Mar07 Feb15 Jan31 Jan12 (norris step)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00 13% 6.80    
SASSY JUSTICE May09 Mar15 Nov01 Oct18 Sep13 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 5.00    
POLYESTER BRIDE Jun06 May02 Nov23 Nov01 Oct10 (poole c)RAMGEET R 120 4.50 10% 9.50    
MYRRH May23 May02 Apr25 Apr15 Mar30 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 4.00    
MISS FORT May18 Nov23 Oct31 Oct18 Oct04 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 12.00    
COACH RUBE Jun03 May13 May02 Mar11 Feb01 (jones e)HO WESLEY 120 3.00 28% 2.50    
 
MNR-8   06/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAR'S ESTATE May20 Mar10 Feb02 Jan12 Dec14 (knoblauch-perez )CCAMAQUE M 120 5.00 11% 7.90    
ALLABOUTBIZ May29 May23       (gerich frank)WHITACRE B 120 30.00    
ELUSIVE MOTION Jun05 May21 May07 Dec12 Nov30 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 10.00    
OVERSEAS LETTER Jun13 May21 May08 Jul13 Jun22 (eidschun gr)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 30.00    
PITMAN May21 May01 Nov30 Oct11 Sep26 (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 120 8.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  AMERICAN CHAOS May22 Oct12 Oct03 Sep19 Aug30 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.50    
COMMUNICATION FAIL May19 Mar08 Feb02 Jan20 Dec30 (silva)MONSERRATE A 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
A B G GUERRERO Jun13         (gilbert timoth)JURADO EDDIE 120 30.00    
BORN FOR VICTORY May30 Mar24 Feb23 Feb10 Nov20 (cordero-lop)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 5.00 9% 9.80    
10  CRACK THE MOON May16 May01 Mar15 Feb22 Feb02 (comi ra)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 4.50    
SCR  SOUPER PRONTO Jun06 Mar06 Feb07 Jan30 Jan02 (spiess shane)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  BAILEY COFFEE Jun02 May19 Apr19 Feb23 Feb15 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.