Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - March 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (7/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/8)-(7/3/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/8)-(7/3/8/6)-(7/3/8/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/8)-(1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/3/8)-(1/2)-(5/2/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-2   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/3/6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/3/6/4)-(1/2/3/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2)-(5/2/8/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(5/2/8/1)-(4/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-3   WIN (5/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/1)-(5/2/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/1)-(5/2/8/1)-(5/2/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/8/1)-(4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/8/1)-(4/6/2)-(6/2/8/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2/1/5)-(4/6/2/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(6/2/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
MVR-5   WIN (6/2/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/8/9)-(6/2/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/8/9)-(6/2/8/9)-(6/2/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
MVR-6   WIN NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
MVR-7   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5/3/2)-(1/6/5/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(1/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MVR-8   WIN (1/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/9)-(1/9/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/9)-(1/9/5/3)-(1/9/5/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS HEART Mar01 Jan25 Jan13 Dec10 Nov18 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
2  FLECK Mar01 Feb14 Jan30 Jan10 Dec22 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
3  ALL AMERICAN JEWEL Feb22 Jan28 Jan03 Dec12 Nov30 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 3.50 9% 9.90    
4  NO SNIVELING Feb28 Feb14 Jan30 Jan04 Oct11 (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00    
SCR  TURN TO ME SUCREE Feb21 Jan30 Jan10 Dec22 Nov14 (west m)BRACHO A 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
6  VIVE EL MOMENTO Mar01 Feb18 Jan28 Jan06 Dec11 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 ★    
7  DESIGNATE Mar01 Dec11 Nov14 Nov01 Sep14 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 6.00 15% 5.60    
8  PRINCESS MORO Mar07 Feb23 Feb09 Jan30 Jan03 (buttigieg kev)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.50 7% 13.00    
 
MVR-2   03/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VISUAL MISSION Mar09 Feb23 Jan09 Dec21 Dec06 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 1.60 61% 0.60    
1A  LITTLE BLAKER Feb20 Feb02 Dec27 Dec12 Jan04 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 1.60 ★    
2  NICK CAN FIX Feb23 Nov21 Oct29 Oct13 Apr05 (trevino stephen )RIVERA R 124 5.00 16% 5.30    
3  CHIEF RANDEL Mar13 Feb23 Jan10 Dec22 Dec12 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 124 4.50 ★    
4  IT'S YOUR CALL Feb28 Jan23 Jan09 Dec12 Nov23 (urieta johan)AYALA J 124 3.50 ★    
5  MISTER MOBIL Oct04 Sep06 Aug17 Aug02 Jul14 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00    
6  MUTINY Jan30 Jan11 Dec20 Nov29 Nov07 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-3   03/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEYOND MY DREAMS Feb13 Feb01 Jan19 Jan12 Dec09 (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 10% 9.50    
2  PATIO PARTY Mar01 Jan30 Jan11 Dec20 Dec03 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 22% 3.60    
3  MASTER OF WAR Mar01 Feb13 Jan23 Jan13 Dec13 (sondej amy)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00    
4  FIGHTVILLE Mar01 Jan30 Jan07 Oct10 Sep21 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 10.00    
5  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF Mar01 Feb21 Jan18 Dec27 Dec03 (clouston edward)RIVERA R 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
6  WINWITHJIMMY Mar01 Sep08 Aug31 Aug15 Jul28 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00    
SCR  NOT A GAME Mar08 Feb20 Jan23 Jan03 Dec19 (bernardini ja)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 ★    
8  BIG FRANK Mar01 Feb07 Jan19 Jan02 Dec03 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 6.00 11% 8.40    
 
MVR-4   03/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESTILO ELEGANTE Feb20 Jan24 Jan03 Dec15 Sep27 (dacost)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 ★    
2  CAUSE OF LOVE Feb23 Feb06 Jan19 Dec30 Dec07 (haehn r)HOUGHTON D 126 3.50 11% 8.50    
3  QUEEN HIGH (NZ) Feb06 Dec20 Nov16 Oct05 Aug25 (galloway khad)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
4  SCOOP THERE IT IS Feb28 Jan03 Nov30 Oct19 Oct05 (pappada julie )GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
5  DATTTSAFANCYFOX Mar07 Feb22 Jan07 Dec14 Nov25 (suarez )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 ★    
6  SACRED BEAUTY Feb10 Jan15 Jan02 Dec10 Oct28 (wong jonathan)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 2.00 25% 3.10    
7  CHORIST Feb28 Feb07 Jan05 Dec22 Nov30 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-5   03/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLD FORTY FIVE Mar02 Feb21 Feb06 Jan11 Dec13 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
2  CAJUN BAYOU Feb09 Jan11 Dec07 Sep04 Aug06 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 9% 10.60    
SCR  INGERSOLL Mar06 Feb16 Jan12 Dec02 Nov17 (vickers richa)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 15.00 6% 15.40    
4  BAYOU SHACK Mar07 Feb21 Jan16 Jan02 Dec08 (zook jeff)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 10.00    
5  WHEN IN ROME Feb07 Jan30 Jan23 Jan02 Dec08 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00    
6  THE COACHMAN Mar07 Feb07 Jan30 Jan11 Dec19 (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 124 1.80 52% 0.90    
7  THE EQUINEST Mar07 Feb21 Feb07 Jan30 Dec20 (brown g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00    
8  JOYRIDE Dec14 Nov09 Oct26 Mar05 Feb12 (castillo ja)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 15.00 6% 17.20    
9  MANUKA BOBBY Mar01 Jan31 Jan16 Jan04 Oct25 (sondej amy)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-6   03/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOCK ON Aug09 Jul26 Jun24 Apr12 Apr05 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 10.00 ★    
2  KEYED ON TOP Feb15 Jan31 Jan03 Dec21 Nov17 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 8.00    
3  PLATINUM MAC Feb02 Dec17 Oct07 Aug26 Aug02 (schuster rob)ROSARIO L 126 20.00    
4  BALTIC FLEET Feb21 Feb15 Jan23 Sep05 Aug14 (gomez alejan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00    
5  LORD OF LEGENDS Feb04 Jan15 Nov10 May13 Feb06 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00 ★    
SCR  SPECTACULAR ROAD Feb15 Jul20 Jun29 Jun08 May17 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 ★    
7  O CIGANO Mar02 Jan18 Dec21 Sep27 Sep01 (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 126 20.00    
8  DONNELS CREEK Mar02 Aug03 Jul26 Jun28 Apr19 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 6.00 ★    
SCR  ACT OF BOB May31 Apr05 Jan31     (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 126 1.80 75% 0.30    
 
MVR-7   03/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEEKENDER Jan11 Dec21 Dec01 Aug23 Jul21 (smith larry)FELICIANO R 124 1.20 43% 1.30    
2  CHOCOLATE PHILLING Mar06 Feb13 Nov17 Oct06 Sep15 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 ★    
3  TURNING PAGES Mar06 Feb15 Jan17 Dec14 Nov22 (trevino ste)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 2.50 ★    
4  STREAKY Dec20 Nov28 Nov17 Aug30 Aug10 (bennett robert)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
5  INTO GOLD Feb15 Jan31 Jan16 Dec19 Dec01 (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 5.00 11% 7.90    
6  LOTSA MATCHA Feb21 Jan19       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 6.00 18% 4.60    
7  TEQUILA FLATS Feb15 Jan17 Dec22 Oct07 Sep23 (ramos )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
 
MVR-8   03/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEMON MOUSSE Mar02 Sep14 Aug31 Aug15 Jul28 (gorham m)DIAZ R 116 3.00 22% 3.50    
1A  EXPRESS FASHION Dec30 Dec03 Nov15 Oct06 Sep29 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 116 3.00    
2  ANIMO STAR Feb16 Feb01 Jul01 Jun27 Jun07 (gonz)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 20.00    
3  SEEKING THE MONEY Feb16 Feb01 Jan18 Jan05 Dec12 (faulkner rodn)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00 ★    
4  DANES LAST SONG Mar02 Dec13 Nov30     (vazquez ivan)GONZALEZ A 116 10.00    
5  TV TIZ GORGEOUS Feb16 Jan18 Dec12 Nov23 Nov07 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 6.00 ★    
6  STARLITESLEW Oct25 Sep26 Sep14 Aug30 Jul26 (yoder d)RIVERA R 124 8.00    
SCR  CREME DE MAIS Feb06         (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
8  BEAUTIFUL LASS Mar02 Feb16 Feb01 Jan18 Jan05 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00    
9  KERRI'S MIRACLE Feb16 Feb01 Jan24 Jan10 Dec21 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 10.00 12% 7.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.