Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - March 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/4/1/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/4/1/2)-(5/3/4/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3)-(1/3/6/4/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(1/3/6/4/2)-(9/8) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
MVR-2   WIN (1/3/6/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/4/2)-(1/3/6/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/4/2)-(1/3/6/4/2)-(1/3/6/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/6/4/2)-(9/8) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/4/2)-(9/8)-(5/4/6/2/3) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
MVR-3   WIN (9/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/8)-(9/8/5/6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (9/8)-(9/8/5/6/3)-(9/8/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8)-(5/4/6/2/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (9/8)-(5/4/6/2/3)-(7/5/6/1) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/4/6/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/2/3)-(5/4/6/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/2/3)-(5/4/6/2/3)-(5/4/6/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/6/2/3)-(7/5/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/2/3)-(7/5/6/1)-(7/8/3/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-5   WIN (7/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/1)-(7/5/6/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/1)-(7/5/6/1/4)-(7/5/6/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/6/1)-(7/8/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6/1)-(7/8/3/4)-(8/10/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (7/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/4)-(7/8/3/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/4)-(7/8/3/4/1)-(7/8/3/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/8/3/4)-(8/10/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/3/4)-(8/10/7)-(7/8/3/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-7   WIN (8/10/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/10/7)-(8/10/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/10/7)-(8/10/7/2/5)-(8/10/7/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/10/7)-(7/8/3/4/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
MVR-8   WIN (7/8/3/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/4/1)-(7/8/3/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/4/1)-(7/8/3/4/1)-(7/8/3/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTIFUL LASS Feb16 Feb01 Jan18 Jan05 Dec21 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 ★    
2  LATE DATE Feb01 Jan18 Jan05 Nov08 Oct22 (lopez carlos )BRACHO A 124 10.00 ★    
3  DANES LAST SONG Dec13 Nov30       (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 116 4.00 15% 5.70    
4  WILLIAMSBEACHBABE Feb16 Feb01 Jan18 Dec27 Dec13 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 2.50 ★    
5  LEMON MOUSSE Sep14 Aug31 Aug15 Jul28 Jul05 (gorham m)DIAZ R 116 2.00 52% 0.90    
6  GIMME CLEARANCE Feb01 Jan18 Jan05 Nov21 Nov07 (silva f)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-2   03/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BODE'S ROSE Jan03 Nov28 Oct26 Oct05 Sep07 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
2  CAN I GO TOO Feb15 Jan23 May25 Apr25 Feb26 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 7% 12.90    
3  MOBIL CHIC Feb15 Jan17 Dec30 Dec20 Dec03 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 4.00 15% 5.50    
4  DIAMONDS N DEW Apr12 Mar26 Mar10 Jan05   (meyers shane)PEREZ E 124 6.00 10% 8.60    
5  MY PIE Jan31 Dec30 Nov23 Jun13 May09 (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00    
6  RUNLIKEJACKIEO Jan31 Jan03 Dec20 Dec03 Nov12 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 124 2.50 11% 8.30    
7  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT Feb15 Jan31 Dec20 Nov16 Oct26 (huffman canda)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00    
 
MVR-3   03/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOSHY JAK Jan18 Dec28 Dec11 Nov07 Oct30 (bayley randy)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00    
SCR  MASAI MAN Feb18 Feb07 Jan27 Jan19 Jan09 (cash l)AVILES YAN 126 3.00    
3  TRIGZ TOO Jan30 Jan05 Dec20 Nov29 Nov14 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 ★    
4  SLIPPY Feb07 Oct15 Sep24 Sep03 Aug15 (cordero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00    
5  ELLE'SBIGSEACRET Feb07 Jan14 Dec14 Nov28 Nov12 (shifflett ch)MARCANO Y 119 4.00 ★    
6  MAS CHIKILIN Feb07 Jan09 Nov07 Oct22 Oct10 (murillo rodrigu)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 ★    
7  LIMIT UP Feb07 Jan18 Dec14 Nov21 Oct30 (andrade)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 12.00    
8  FRONTLINER Feb07 Jan18 Dec28 Dec15 Nov28 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 12% 7.40    
9  MONTAUK COVE Feb07 Jan03 Dec15 Nov08 Sep15 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 2.50 58% 0.70    
 
MVR-4   03/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIERRA DIAMOND Feb02 Jan04 Dec06 Nov19 Nov09 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00    
2  AUNT BEE Jan18 Dec30 Dec20 Nov28 Nov12 (cash l)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 11% 7.90    
3  WINE ME UP BABY Jan18 Jan04 Dec20 Dec06 Nov17 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 8% 11.60    
4  CASCADE PARK Dec22 Sep28 Sep06 Aug17 Jul27 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 1.80 13% 6.90    
5  RED HOT LASS Feb08 Jan10 Dec15 Sep24 Jul29 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 32% 2.10    
6  RADIANTRITHYM Feb08 Jan28 Jan09 Nov09 Oct25 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 12% 7.40    
 
MVR-5   03/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOM FIVE THOUSAND Feb22 Dec18 Nov18 Oct21 Oct07 (rodriquez regulo )HESS SARA 121 15.00 9% 10.40    
2  CALL WEST Feb09 Nov30 Oct11 Sep27 Sep14 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 126 12.00    
3  WISE KHOZAN Jan30 Jan03 Nov14 Nov03 Oct27 (brown g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 8.00    
4  DIAMONDS ENJOY Feb07 Jan18 Dec12 Nov07 Sep22 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 ★    
5  DONNELS CREEK Aug03 Jul26 Jun28 Apr19 Mar10 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 5.00 18% 4.60    
6  QIAN B C Jan19 Jan02 Nov26 Nov10 Jun17 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 121 6.00 11% 8.30    
7  KHALFANI Feb15 Jan31 Jan11 Nov22 Nov02 (pattah d)RIVERA R 126 3.00 38% 1.60    
8  O CIGANO Jan18 Dec21 Sep27 Sep01 Aug12 (andrade)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 15.00    
SCR  ARMY SCOUT Dec08 Oct24 Oct04 Sep14 Aug22 (esquivel jes)MARCANO Y 121 4.50    
 
MVR-6   03/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICTORY DIVISION Jan17 Nov22 Oct14 Oct03 Sep22 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 ★    
2  HEIDI'S SINATRA Feb09 Jan17 Dec14 Dec01 Nov12 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 15.00    
3  HONKY TONK MUSIC Feb15 Feb07 Nov22 Oct26 Sep20 (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 10% 9.20    
4  SERENDIPITOUS Feb15 Jan17 Oct22 Sep23 Aug30 (hamm timothy)DIAZ R 124 8.00 6% 16.50    
5  DEXQUIRE Feb15 Jan17 Dec14 Nov22 Nov12 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 12.00    
6  THANKSDAD Jan31 Jan17 Nov15 Oct22 Oct13 (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 3.50    
7  MUCHO PRIMO Feb15 Jan17 Dec14 Dec06 Oct22 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 1.60 30% 2.30    
8  THE PINK Z Feb15 Jan17 Dec14 Dec01 Nov22 (silva f)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 4.50 30% 2.30    
 
MVR-7   03/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST OTBO Sales Graduate Race Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUNCHATTHELIZARD Feb16 Jan26 Sep06 Aug03   (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 8.00    
  (by PALACE out of COQUINA DAY by THUNDER GULCH)
2  SWING STATE Feb16 Jan19 Dec19 Nov16 Nov01 (gorham robert)BRACHO A 121 8.00 ★    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of SOUTH BAY COVE by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
SCR  ROUGE TU RICHES Feb16 Jan26 Dec19 Nov16 Nov01 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 118 20.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of LA LUNA ROUGE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
4  BROWNIE Sep15 Sep01 Aug01 Jul07   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 116 8.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of WINNERCOASTTOCOAST by SUPER SAVER)
5  EMERSON JONES Feb23 Dec30 Dec15 Dec01 Nov15 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 6.00 ★    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of RELIABLE EMA by SMARTY JONES)
6  HOTROD BOBBY Feb16 Jan31 Dec30 Dec22 Dec03 (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 5.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of CYNTHIA'S NEW CAR by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  BRONZE KETTLE Feb14         (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 121 8.00 18% 4.50    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of PRINCESS CLAIRE by FREE THINKING)
8  WILDCAT PRIDE Dec30 Nov30 Nov16     (gorham robert )DIAZ I 121 4.00 40% 1.50    
  (by WILDCAT RED out of TOUGH GAL by MORNING LINE)
9  FACTISIMFLASHY Feb01 Jan18 Jan02 Dec03 Oct29 (poole m)AVILES YAN 118 8.00    
  (by CORFU out of LIGHTNING LUCY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
10  CHANEL SPIRIT Feb20 Dec15 Dec01 Nov15 Oct31 (cline c)PEREZ E 116 4.50 19% 4.20    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of LATIN TUDOR by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
MVR-8   03/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GILES Feb22 Feb02 Jan03 Nov14 Nov08 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 8.00 8% 12.20    
1A  NOT YET CHARLIE Feb07 Jan05 Dec20 Dec03 Nov03 (cline robert )BRACHO A 124 8.00    
2  BLAME IT ON EDDIE Feb21 Feb07 Jan17 Dec29 Dec21 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00    
3  VITALE Dec30 Dec10 Nov20 Nov06 Oct07 (reavis michae)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 12% 7.10    
4  JUSTIN'S QUEST Feb07 Jan05 Dec20 Dec03 Nov12 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 8% 11.80    
5  JR'S GIFT Feb17 Feb03 Jan20 Dec29 Oct27 (andrad)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00    
6  ACROSS THE AISLE Feb07 Jan30 Jan02 Dec11 Nov14 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
7  TO WIN Feb07 Jan11 Dec29 Dec14 Nov29 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 3.00 31% 2.30    
8  GIANT CRITIC Feb21 Feb07 Jan05 Dec15 Dec02 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 2.00 17% 4.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.