Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Thursday - February 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (9/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/2)-(9/8/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/8/2)-(9/8/2/1)-(9/8/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/8/2)-(3/11/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/8/2)-(3/11/10/2)-(13/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TP-2   WIN (3/11/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/11/10/2)-(3/11/10/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/11/10/2)-(3/11/10/2/8)-(3/11/10/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/11/10/2)-(13/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/11/10/2)-(13/5)-(2/12/1/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TP-3   WIN (13/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (13/5)-(13/5/3/8/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (13/5)-(13/5/3/8/10)-(13/5/3/8/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (13/5)-(2/12/1/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (13/5)-(2/12/1/5)-(13/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TP-4   WIN (2/12/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/12/1/5)-(2/12/1/5/14) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/12/1/5)-(2/12/1/5/14)-(2/12/1/5/14) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/12/1/5)-(13/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/12/1/5)-(13/7/5)-(9/6/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-5   WIN (13/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (13/7/5)-(13/7/5/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (13/7/5)-(13/7/5/10)-(13/7/5/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (13/7/5)-(9/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (13/7/5)-(9/6/7/2)-(8/5/9/12/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-6   WIN (9/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/7/2)-(9/6/7/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/6/7/2)-(9/6/7/2/5)-(9/6/7/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/6/7/2)-(8/5/9/12/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/6/7/2)-(8/5/9/12/2)-(11/3/1/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-7   WIN (8/5/9/12/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/9/12/2)-(8/5/9/12/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/9/12/2)-(8/5/9/12/2)-(8/5/9/12/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/5/9/12/2)-(11/3/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TP-8   WIN (11/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/3/1/7)-(11/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/3/1/7)-(11/3/1/7)-(11/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   02/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEPAL UP Jan27 Dec08 Oct19 Sep28 Aug17 (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 4.00 ★    
2  GRACEFUL KITTEN Feb09 Jan18 Jan04 Dec08 Oct18 (short th)RODRIGUEZ A 115 6.00 7% 12.90    
3  CAROM Jan27 Jan14 Dec09 Nov12 Oct15 (antonuik )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 30.00    
4  HIDING THE BRICK Feb03 Jan02 Dec14 Dec05 Nov07 (short w)MACHADO LUAN 120 30.00    
5  TEXAS HEDGE Feb01 Jan25 Jan07 Dec22 Nov30 (barrett rod)BLANCHE RISHAWN 110 15.00    
SCR  C F V WICKED RED Feb01 Dec11 Nov18 Oct29 Sep20 (gonzalez lilia)SANJUR SANTO 120 8.00 ★    
7  IRISH DECLARATION Jan27 Dec04 Nov16 Oct28 Oct17 (mar)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 4.00    
8  HAPPY CAMPER Jan14 Dec14 Nov19 Nov04 May07 (manley steve)MOJICA O 120 2.50 7% 12.70    
9  SACRED RIDER Jan14 Jan01 Nov04 Oct09 Oct01 (girten ti)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.50 55% 0.80    
 
TP-2   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BATTLING BAILIFF Jan19 Jan01 Dec08 Jan21   (blair j)DE CRUZ 123 10.00    
2  MUTUAL CONFIDENCE Jan12 Sep20 Sep02 Jul21 Jun29 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  ETHAN'S ANIMAL Jan07 Dec14 Nov13 Oct23 Oct07 (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 123 3.00 36% 1.80    
4  SARGEANT BARGER Feb09 Jan06 Dec28 Dec07 Nov17 (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 10.00    
5  POUR ME A DOUBLE Jan23 Jan07 Dec14 Nov30 Nov07 (hae)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 20.00    
6  ENGLISH TIDE Feb02 Jan07 Dec14 Jun29 Apr28 (hester haley)MACHADO LUAN 123 20.00    
7  SPEED BOAT Dec14 Nov25 Nov03 Oct06 Sep16 (hugo jose)ULLOA JOAN 123 15.00    
8  MY BOY BLUE Feb16 Feb02 Oct25 Oct11 Oct03 (bogle fergus)HEARD TYLER 123 15.00 ★    
9  LAND REMEMBERED Feb02 Jan11 Dec29 Dec07 Sep12 (cannon steve)FELIX E 123 15.00    
10  TOHUI Jan01         (jurado luis)MOJICA O 123 15.00 12% 7.30    
11  LUCCI Jan14 May04 Mar26 Jan19   (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 118 1.60 26% 2.90    
12  THING Feb02 Dec01 Nov14 Oct31 Oct05 (howard john)PETERSON FERRIN 123 20.00    
SCR  CANTANKEROUS BOBBY Feb07 Jan28 Sep28 Sep12 Aug03 (alamo miguel)HALDAR J 123 50.00    
SCR  MISTER MAN Jan06 Dec08 Nov22 Oct31 Sep13 (blevins billy)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 123 20.00    
 
TP-3   02/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN TEXT Jan19 Dec30 Sep20 Sep07 Aug16 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 5.00    
2  J W RUCKUS Feb02 Dec29 Dec14 Dec01 Nov09 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 10.00    
3  ENGLISH CHALLENGE Feb01 Jan18 Dec16 Dec01 Sep28 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 123 3.00 ★    
4  HE TAKES CHARGE Feb01 Dec03 Nov16 Oct27 Sep26 (klopp r)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
5  SUN DADDY Feb01 Dec16 Oct18 Oct03 Sep19 (greenhill j)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 5.00 6% 16.40    
SCR  CAPPY HOUR Feb09 Jan11 Dec22 Sep07 Aug14 (adams l)FELIX E 120 30.00    
7  DUEL FUEL Feb01 Jan11 Nov30 Oct24 Oct04 (del)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 8.00    
8  CAN'T HIDE FROM ME Feb01 Jan18 Dec03 Nov16 Oct12 (stinson wi)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 ★    
9  BLUEMOON JUSTICE Jan30 Jan11 Nov21 Nov02 Oct13 (paquette )BERMUDEZ E 120 30.00    
10  THE BOSS FACTOR Feb03 Jan04 Nov13 Oct30 Oct21 (girten tim)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 ★    
11  WEAPON Dec07 Nov15 Oct27 Sep28 Sep22 (alessi ja)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 50.00    
12  MASETA Feb04 Jan21 Dec07 Nov05 Oct20 (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 120 15.00    
13  ENJOY THE MUSIC Feb09 Jan14 Dec14 Nov18 Oct16 (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 120 1.00 70% 0.40    
 
TP-4   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABITIBI Feb01 Jan05 Dec21 Dec03 Oct28 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 123 4.50 10% 8.80    
2  CHIPPEWA Jan18 Jul31 Jul17 Jun25   (stidham )RODRIGUEZ A 112 5.00 47% 1.10    
3  SCAPITURE Jan13 Jul01       (wells duane)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 30.00    
4  YOU'RE AVOIDING ME Dec30 Nov11 Oct13     (tomlinson m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 12.00    
5  ONLY TIME Feb01 Jan14 Dec28 Dec16 Nov08 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  DRE ME LESS Dec14 Oct30 Sep29 Aug13   (arnold )DE CRUZ 117 10.00    
7  CASTELMOLA Jan04 Dec09 Oct09 Sep09   (gorostieta ciri)MOJICA JR 117 12.00    
8  SWEET BABY RAY Jan27 Nov18 Apr23     (horn jr)CANUTO THIAGO 123 30.00    
9  MISS MATCHMAKER Feb01 Jan05 Dec02 Oct24 Sep08 (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 123 8.00    
10  WORLD UNITE Jan23 Dec31 Nov15 Nov01 Oct24 (elliott michel)SANJUR SANTO 117 10.00    
SCR  JE SUIS RAPIDE Jan20 Dec21 Nov11 Sep22 Sep05 (king l)CANNON DECLAN 123 15.00    
12  HONEYCOMB Feb03 Dec15 Oct17 Sep16 Aug12 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 3.50 16% 5.40    
SCR  KARMA GHIA Jan12 Nov27 Oct24 Oct07 Sep15 (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 117 30.00    
14  CUPIDS PAYDAY Feb08 Nov03 Oct01     (tom)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 117 12.00 ★    
 
TP-5   02/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPERINEA Jan14 Jan04 Nov09 Oct02 Sep20 (ortiz jo)RODRIGUEZ A 115 10.00    
2  SHANNON'S GIRL Feb02 Jan19 Dec11 Nov30 Nov15 (andrade hugo)HALDAR J 120 20.00    
3  HOMEROOM ANGEL Jan13 Dec08 Sep20 Aug30 May27 (anderson )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 15.00    
SCR  NO NANNETTE NO Dec01 Nov04 Oct07 Sep10 Aug14 (d'angelo j)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50 ★    
5  WHERETHEMONEYWENT Feb02 Jan20 Nov21 Nov09 May26 (klopp randy)MOJICA O 120 8.00 8% 11.00    
6  REDHOT KATIE Dec30 Sep21 Sep06 Aug10 Jun29 (cannon ste)MOJICA JR 120 12.00    
7  MOONLIGHT RAIN Feb10 Jan14 Oct15 Sep15 Jun25 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
8  MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN Feb10 Jan04 Nov30 Aug30 Aug10 (grubbs )DE CRUZ 120 6.00    
9  SAN NICOLA STAR Feb10 Jan14 Dec01 Nov17 Nov03 (blake michael )AYALA ISAIAS 120 20.00    
10  MIDNIGHT FROST Feb02 Jan19 Dec30 Dec08 Sep29 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 120 10.00 ★    
SCR  HONEY BOURBON Jan13 Dec30 Oct20 Oct10 Sep21 (fletcher we)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 10.00    
12  YES I'S A MILLER Jan13 Dec29 Jul21 Jul07 Jun23 (jarvis kathy)BECKMAN ALICE 113 20.00    
13  DANCE THE DAY AWAY Feb10 Jan04 Dec08 Sep28 Sep13 (wong jon)RODRIGUEZ A 115 5.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  HERO OF THE BEST Feb10 Oct07 Aug17 Jun29 May20 (krummen monic)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00    
 
TP-6   02/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSIDE GIRL Jan05 Nov12       (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 20.00    
2  LILY'S HOME Feb11 Jan21 Dec15 Nov22 Nov10 (elliott michel)SANJUR SANTO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  JUBILANT JOANIE         (ortiz joh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 12.00    
4  ELEGANCE Dec07         (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00    
5  THREE SPORT COATS Feb09 Jan05 Nov20 Jul31   (hancock joh)PETERSON FERRIN 120 6.00 ★    
6  QUEEN TAPITURE Feb09 Jan18 Dec29 Dec03 Nov20 (andrade )RODRIGUEZ A 115 2.00 25% 3.10    
7  I'MHEREFORTHEPARTY Aug10         (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00 8% 11.70    
8  CAPTIVE STAR Feb08 Jan05 Dec07 Sep18   (cline robert)HALDAR J 118 30.00    
9  NIGHT KISS         (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 3.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  STORY CHANNEL Feb02 Jan18 Dec11 Nov16   (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 120 30.00    
11  DONT NEEDNO PRINCE         (raines lindsey )MUSARRO JOE 120 20.00    
SCR  SNOW CRANE Jan25         (hughes byron )MCENTEE GRACE 118 20.00    
13  CLASSIC FAREWELL Nov25 Oct27 Sep17     (schultz lindsa)SANJUR SANTO 120 20.00    
SCR  RAPPING WISH         (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 120 10.00    
 
TP-7   02/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROOKERY Dec17 Nov20 Sep24 Aug07 Jul23 (catalano way)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 30.00    
2  RIDE THE PLAN Jan26 Dec15 Oct26 Sep13 Jul27 (correas ignaci)MACHADO LUAN 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  ROC'S PRINCESS Jan11 Dec14 Nov03 Oct02 Sep18 (gowan w)DE CRUZ 123 15.00    
4  YOUR SO SILLEA Jan26 Dec30 Nov21 Oct15 Oct01 (sims matthew )GILLIGAN JACK 123 5.00    
5  QUARIA COMET Jan26 Dec29 Oct19 Sep14 Apr28 (lobo h)RAMOS D 123 3.50 18% 4.50    
6  MAOTAI Feb01 Jan12 Dec01 Oct07 Sep19 (peach chadwick )MOJICA JR 123 15.00    
7  SAVE THE FLAG Dec15 Dec01 Nov22 Oct22 Sep23 (fernandez edwa)ELLIOTT JANE 123 50.00    
8  AWESOME TREAT Jan28 Dec30 Dec04 Nov12 Oct29 (wojczynski )FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 3.00 36% 1.80    
9  INTRIGUE Jan26 Dec30 Nov30 Oct13 Sep14 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 123 4.50 13% 6.40    
10  HERMANA Jan26 Dec08 Nov10 Oct17 Aug29 (deegan c)MCKEE J 123 15.00    
11  VACCINE OF HOPE Jan26 Dec21 May06 Mar31 Jan14 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00    
12  PROMISES TO DANCE Dec01 Oct13 Sep25 Mar26 Feb10 (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 8.00 8% 12.20    
 
TP-8   02/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRICTION Jan25 Jan01       (cox bra)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WALL OF COMPASSION by JIMMY CREED)
2  VARSITY BLONDE Jan21 Jan01 Nov23     (maker michae)RAMOS D 120 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MARILYN MONROAN by TAPIT)
3  BEST PERFORMER Jan16 Dec09 Oct16     (sharp joe)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 3.50 6% 14.70    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of KINSLEY by PULPIT)
4  ROLO BOLO Feb01 Jan01       (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 120 20.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  SPRING LILACS Jan11         (dev)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 12.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of LILACS AND LILIES by BODEMEISTER)
6  RED LEMONADE Dec21         (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 120 30.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of LEMON LIQUEUR by EXCHANGE RATE)
7  JENNY LIND Feb01 Nov18       (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SZOLNOK by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
8  LA VILLAGE LUMIERE         (correas ignaci)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of INDIVAR by INDIAN CHARLIE)
9  PITTORE D'ORO Feb01         (michael brian)ORM CORY 120 30.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of WAYNETTA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
10  GOLDEN RUNNER Jan25         (hamilton sara)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GOLD SERENADE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
11  OPENING ACT (ARG) Jan21         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.00 58% 0.70    
  (by PERFECT PARADE out of EXALSA by EXALTE (FR))
12  BAMBEROOSKI Jan25 Dec15       (foster eric)BECKMAN ALICE 113 15.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of FREE AS A BIRD (GB) by ROBELLINO)
SCR  THESTRAL Feb08 Jan13 Nov17 Oct16 Sep07 (caramori c)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of HARBOUR ISLAND by MY PAL CHARLIE)
SCR  TIME TO RACE Jan11 Dec14 Sep23     (nihei mi)RODRIGUEZ A 115 8.00 6% 14.80    
  (by RACE DAY out of TIME FOR HARLAN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.