Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Wednesday - February 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (1/13/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/13/9)-(1/13/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/13/9)-(1/13/9)-(1/13/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/13/9)-(3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/13/9)-(3)-(3/2/11) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
TP-2   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/8/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/8/4)-(3/8/4) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (3)-(3/2/11) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (3)-(3/2/11)-(13/6/8/14/7) 15 $0.50 $7.50 
TP-3   WIN (3/2/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/11)-(3/2/11/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/11)-(3/2/11/6/9)-(3/2/11/6/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/2/11)-(13/6/8/14/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/2/11)-(13/6/8/14/7)-(4/8/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TP-4   WIN (13/6/8/14/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (13/6/8/14/7)-(13/6/8/14/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (13/6/8/14/7)-(13/6/8/14/7)-(13/6/8/14/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (13/6/8/14/7)-(4/8/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (13/6/8/14/7)-(4/8/1)-(9/3/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-5   WIN (4/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/1)-(4/8/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/1)-(4/8/1/7/6)-(4/8/1/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/8/1)-(9/3/4/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/1)-(9/3/4/10)-(11/9/5/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-6   WIN (9/3/4/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/4/10)-(9/3/4/10/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/3/4/10)-(9/3/4/10/2)-(9/3/4/10/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/3/4/10)-(11/9/5/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/3/4/10)-(11/9/5/3/10)-(9/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-7   WIN (11/9/5/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/9/5/3/10)-(11/9/5/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/9/5/3/10)-(11/9/5/3/10)-(11/9/5/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/9/5/3/10)-(9/7/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TP-8   WIN (9/7/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/7/10)-(9/7/10/12/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/10)-(9/7/10/12/4)-(9/7/10/12/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   02/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3 ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINGERS         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 115 3.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  DANG IT CAIN Feb09         (delong ben)HALDAR J 120 15.00 6% 16.90    
3  TALKSCHEAP Jan11 Dec22 Nov25 Nov09 Oct03 (alessi james)HESS SARA 110 8.00    
SCR  RAMBLIN CHROME         (sherman alan)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00 5% 17.60    
5  CHOWMEIN Feb03 Jan20       (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00    
6  EL MUZN Jan21 Dec29       (mckeever andrew)ACHARD ALEX 120 5.00    
SCR  GIACOMETTI Oct07 Aug21       (ennis john)MCENTEE GRACE 120 4.00    
8  CRACK THE MOON Feb02 Jan19 Jan07 Dec09 Oct20 (davis jos)BERMUDEZ E 120 5.00    
9  CLAUDIA'S WILD CAT         (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00 5% 17.60    
10  UTOPIAN TREASURE Jan11 Dec22 Nov11     (calvo kelsie)AYALA ISAIAS 120 12.00    
11  PINEAPPLE JUICE         (west etha)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00    
SCR  PUG LIFE Feb09         (blair jordan)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 20.00    
13  SOUTHPOINT         (wong jo)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 6% 14.90    
14  DIPLOMATICMAGICIAN         (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 120 12.00    
 
TP-2   02/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIRLEY'S SHERMAN Jan11 Dec29 Nov13 Oct17 Oct03 (helmbrech)BETANCOURT RONNEY 123 10.00    
SCR  CATCHING MAGIC Feb16 Dec09 Dec01 Nov12 Oct29 (gotera ju)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 30.00    
3  TRIPLE CHROME Dec30 Dec07 Nov26 Oct23 Oct02 (vanden britt)FELIX E 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  SONGWRITER Jan19 Dec28 Dec07 Oct20 Oct02 (caramori caio)MCENTEE GRACE 123 10.00 ★    
SCR  HESTON Jan20 Dec29 Dec07 Jun02 Apr22 (engler jeff)LEZCANO ABEL 123 10.00 ★    
6  SHERLOCKED Feb09 Jan26 Jan05 Dec22 Dec08 (sturgeon c)OUZTS W 126 12.00    
7  BLACKSMITH STRONG Jan21 Jun17 May21 May12 Mar19 (green troy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 15.00    
8  THISPOINTINTIME Feb11 Feb03 Jan11 Dec19 Dec02 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 123 30.00 ★    
SCR  ETERNAL FLAME Jan15 Dec18 Nov27 Aug06 Jul24 (d'angelo j)CORRALES GERARDO 123 3.00 77% 0.30    
SCR  STEELE MONEY Dec17 Nov20 Oct29 Aug01 Jun22 (holsapple)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 117 5.00    
11  CONGRATS FOR GLORY Feb03 Jan19 Dec28 Dec07 Oct04 (short th)RODRIGUEZ A 118 10.00    
12  LAST ROO Jan28 May13 Apr08 Mar16 Feb05 (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 123 8.00    
SCR  PRESTONSBIRD Feb03 Jan11 Nov06 Oct12 Sep28 (richardson )MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 30.00    
14  KOBE BEACH Feb03 Jan11 Dec28 Oct04 Sep16 (rodriquez regul)MOJICA JR 123 10.00    
 
TP-3   02/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETTER DASHER Feb09 Jan20 Sep13 Aug25 Aug10 (danner doug)ELLIOTT JANE 126 15.00    
2  WEATHER PRAYER Feb08 Jan19 Jun08 Jan15   (correas ignaci)MACHADO LUAN 126 6.00 31% 2.30    
3  ROUND OF APPLAUSE Jan28 Jan12 Dec09 Oct19   (hughes g)SANJUR SANTO 126 2.50 36% 1.80    
4  ADMIRAL TIM Feb04 Jan04 Nov30     (newton troy)FELIX E 126 15.00    
5  DORMIR Jan26 Dec22 Oct26     (matthews randy)ACHARD ALEX 126 10.00    
6  TEXAS RED PEPPER Jan26 Dec29       (tomlinson m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 12.00 ★    
7  TIGERITO Jan05 Dec07 Sep07 Aug19 Jul19 (reed r)MCKEE J 126 12.00    
8  DEMANDED Jan28 Dec09       (mur)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 126 15.00    
9  TIMEHASCOME Jan12 Nov19 May07 Mar05 Jan22 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 4.00 ★    
10  NEOKING Jan19         (elliott m)BERMUDEZ E 118 15.00    
11  GUS GUS Feb08 Jan26 Jan12 Dec29 Dec09 (garcia genaro)MOJICA O 126 5.00 9% 10.30    
12  BAD JOKE WOKE FOLK Feb08 Jan26 Jan05 Dec22 Sep21 (short t)DE CRUZ 126 12.00    
SCR  MIDWAY MIRACLE Feb09 Jan26 Jan12 Dec30 May30 (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 126 12.00    
SCR  SHEA D CAPTURE Feb16 Jan23 Jan04 Dec21 Nov29 (gotera juan)LAGUNES GABRIEL 126 12.00    
 
TP-4   02/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRAND VENUS Feb01 Dec11 Nov28 Nov06 Oct25 (gotera juan )HALDAR J 123 30.00    
2  XTRASAUCEWELLDONE Jan26 Jan01 Dec07 Nov11 Oct21 (nihei mi)RODRIGUEZ A 115 10.00    
3  LUCKY US Jan27 Jan05 Dec09 Nov30 Nov05 (adams l)FELIX E 123 15.00    
SCR  VAVITE Jan27 Jan06 Dec09 Nov28 Nov11 (fle)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 8.00    
5  LA CUMPARSITA Jan27 Jan13 Dec28 Oct06 Sep22 (hester haley)BECKMAN ALICE 116 30.00    
6  RIBALDRY (IRE) Jan12 Oct30 Aug20 Jul08 Jun18 (delacour arnau)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.00 13% 6.90    
7  SEA MONSTER Jan27 Jan06 Oct08 Sep05 Aug22 (d'angelo )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  QUEEN OF CHILL Jan11 Dec29 Nov11 Sep30   (wong jonatha)LANDEROS CHRIS 117 4.00 7% 12.90    
9  WARIS Jan27 Jan06 Dec28 Sep27 Aug31 (beck ro)DE CRUZ 123 8.00    
10  BROOKLYNN'S DABOMB Jan25 Jan05 Nov18 Feb12 Jan09 (anderson l)MOJICA O 123 6.00    
SCR  EASY IS GOOD Feb01 Jan13 Dec28 Oct11 Sep22 (mcvickers lam)CANUTO THIAGO 123 30.00    
SCR  GREEN BANANAS Jan25 Dec09 Nov11 Oct23 Sep30 (manley steve)SANJUR SANTO 123 6.00    
13  SPARE A DIME Jan12 Dec16 Nov09 Oct11 Jul01 (morey william )LEZCANO ABEL 123 3.00 50% 1.00    
14  BIA BOLT RUNNER Feb09 Jan14 Jan06 Dec21 Dec03 (gonzalez lilia)SANJUR SANTO 123 6.00 6% 16.40    
 
TP-5   02/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPOOKY SPICE Dec10 Oct29 Sep01 Jan26   (reed r)MCKEE J 123 8.00 14% 6.00    
2  FREDERICIA Jan05 Oct30 Aug28 Jul23 Jun25 (klopp randy)SANJUR SANTO 123 10.00    
3  CAUMSETT         (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 123 12.00    
4  CASA DE GOAT Jan25 Nov16 May21 Apr23   (med)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 3.00 35% 1.90    
5  BOLD AND BOSSY Sep13 Aug08 Jul05     (ewing micha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 15.00    
6  RENAISSANCE (IRE) Jan26 Oct27 Aug29 Jul19 Apr14 (wong jonathan)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 5.00 ★    
7  HIDEKI Dec14 Oct17 Sep22 Sep07 Feb26 (walsh rya)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 8.00 ★    
8  KLIMT'S MUSE Jan26 Dec15 Nov11 Oct13 Aug25 (humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 126 4.00 26% 2.80    
9  SOCIAL MANDATE Jan18 Dec29 Nov27 Nov10 Oct20 (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 123 20.00    
10  JUDY'S MS. OFFICER Jan20 Dec21 Nov27 Oct28 Sep23 (cristel)DE CRUZ 122 15.00    
11  HOT ANNA Aug04 Jun29 May20 Apr21 Feb23 (baker james)MOJICA JR 123 10.00    
12  STORM RATE Jan04 Dec09 Oct05 Sep05 Aug20 (hamilton sara)CANNON DECLAN 117 30.00    
SCR  SWEET BABY RAY Jan27 Nov18 Apr23     (horn jr)CANUTO THIAGO 123 30.00    
SCR  DRE ME LESS Dec14 Oct30 Sep29 Aug13   (arnold )DE CRUZ 117 12.00    
 
TP-6   02/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLICKED BACK Feb04 Jan07 Dec11 Nov11 Oct03 (glyshaw tim)MOJICA O 124 20.00    
2  VIVAR Jan21 Oct21 Sep05 Jan29 Jan01 (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 3.00 ★    
3  COOL RAGS Jan21 Jan06 Dec14 Nov06 Oct27 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.50 23% 3.30    
4  LEGIONNAIRE Nov09 Oct12 Aug13 Jul16 Jun05 (dru)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
5  HILLIARD Nov20 Nov05 Oct21 Sep24 Sep05 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 124 12.00    
SCR  BLOODLINE Apr29 Mar05 Jan30     (cox bra)DE CRUZ 124 8.00    
SCR  KISSALOT Jan13 Dec23 Oct22 Aug23 Jul30 (wong jonathan)CANNON DECLAN 124 20.00    
SCR  EMPIRE BUILDER Jan21 Dec30 Oct27 Sep07 Jul09 (hernande)RODRIGUEZ A 119 15.00    
9  TWO BIRDS Feb03 Jan20 Dec15 Nov06 Oct12 (hiles a)MCKEE J 124 4.50 24% 3.10    
10  BULLSEYE BUN Jan21 Dec28 Dec01 Nov18 Oct21 (green troy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 15.00 10% 8.60    
11  JOHNY'S FIREBALL Jan14 Feb25       (bauer philip )TALAMO JOSEPH 124 15.00    
 
TP-7   02/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAJAN RUM Feb09 Nov03 Sep23 Sep01 Aug12 (spicer ja)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 8.00    
2  TOMAHAWK KITTEN Feb09 Jan25 Jan14 Jan01 Jun23 (jarvis )DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
3  ESTILO PELIGROSO Jan27 Jan14 Dec15 May05 Mar17 (kordenbrock)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 20.00 6% 15.20    
4  ORAZIO Feb10 Jan25 Dec16 Oct13 Sep27 (smith larry)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00    
5  BOOM FIVE THOUSAND Dec18 Nov18 Oct21 Oct07 Jul19 (rodriquez regulo )HESS SARA 110 30.00 14% 6.20    
6  HIGH POWERED Feb04 Oct11 Sep16 Aug26 Aug04 (anderson l)FELIX E 120 6.00    
7  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Feb09 Dec29 Dec16 Nov22 Nov08 (howard d)CANUTO THIAGO 120 10.00    
8  LUCKYINKENTUCKY Dec01 Sep14 Aug22 Jul22 Jun17 (brafford mi)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 15.00    
9  KENTUCKY COOL Dec14 Oct11 Sep30 Sep14 Aug19 (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 120 5.00 19% 4.30    
10  SUBDUED Jan11 Nov30 Nov16 Oct24 Oct12 (ger)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  MARKITOFF Jan11 Jan01 Dec16 Dec03 Sep28 (wong jonathan)CANNON DECLAN 120 2.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  EVEN MONEY Feb03 Dec28 Nov23 Nov16 Oct06 (sanchez emma)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 50.00    
SCR  HIDING THE BRICK Feb03 Jan02 Dec14 Dec05 Nov07 (short travis)RAMOS D 118 8.00    
SCR  C C'S KITTEN Feb11 Dec21 Nov12 Sep28 Sep12 (meah ann)RODRIGUEZ A 115 5.00    
 
TP-8   02/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RECEIVE A GIFT         (maker michae)RAMOS D 120 12.00    
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of MYRIAD by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  ROBIN SAGE Jan13         (medina r)RODRIGUEZ A 115 20.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of GAME FAIR by QUIET AMERICAN)
SCR  LADAN Jan25 Dec07 Nov17 Nov10 Oct20 (bogle fergus)HEARD TYLER 120 20.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of JILL'S FIREBIRD by BIRDSTONE)
4  LUNA MOTH Jan25 Dec29 Nov26     (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50 ★    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of PALADIN BAY by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
5  YARN (IRE) Dec11         (arnold george)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00    
  (by DON'T FORGET ME (IRE) out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  MOONLIT MAGIC         (vaughan edwar)CANNON DECLAN 120 30.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of TOY MOON by MALIBU MOON)
7  KATE'S CONCERTO Dec01 Nov02 Sep14     (cox bra)DE CRUZ 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ALLUDE by ORIENTATE (GB))
8  KISS IT GOODBYE Jan11 Dec11       (romans dale)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 12.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of LOOKOUT LADY by SMART STRIKE)
9  SWISS FRANC Jan25 Dec21       (dev)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 4.00 30% 2.30    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of ZERMATT by TIZNOW)
10  SHEWILLGHOSTU Jan21 Dec11 Jun22     (reed r)MCKEE J 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
  (by GIRVIN out of GHOSTIE by GHOSTZAPPER)
11  CHICA CHULA Jan05 Dec14 Dec03 Oct29 Oct05 (calvo kelsie)BECKMAN ALICE 113 30.00    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of RAIN FOREST by EXCHANGE RATE)
12  SILENT STORY Jan13 Oct27 Sep28 Aug27   (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 ★    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of PATOU by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  BAMBEROOSKI Jan25 Dec15       (foster eric)BECKMAN ALICE 113 12.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of FREE AS A BIRD (GB) by ROBELLINO)
SCR  LA VILLAGE LUMIERE         (correas ignac)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of INDIVAR by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.