Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - February 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/4/2/1/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/4/2/1/7)-(6/4/2/1/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6)-(5/6/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6)-(5/6/2/1)-(1/4/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/1)-(5/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/1)-(5/6/2/1)-(5/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/2/1)-(1/4/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2/1)-(1/4/3/6)-(6/3/5/1/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6/7)-(1/4/3/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/3/6)-(6/3/5/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3/6)-(6/3/5/1/2)-(5/3/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-4   WIN (6/3/5/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/1/2)-(6/3/5/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/1/2)-(6/3/5/1/2)-(6/3/5/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/5/1/2)-(5/3/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5/1/2)-(5/3/6)-(2/4/1/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-5   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6/2/7)-(5/3/6/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(2/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(2/4/1/6)-(2/3/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (2/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6/7)-(2/4/1/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/1/6)-(2/3/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1/6)-(2/3/5/4)-(1/7/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (2/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4/1)-(2/3/5/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/5/4)-(1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/4)-(1/7/8)-(3/8/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-8   WIN (1/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/8)-(1/7/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/8)-(1/7/8/5)-(1/7/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/8)-(3/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
AQU-9   WIN (3/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/7)-(3/8/7/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/7)-(3/8/7/9)-(3/8/7/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINE ALLEY Dec29 Nov22       (ryerson james )PENNINGTON F 120 10.00 ★    
2  WILL BE FAMOUS Jan12 Dec06 Oct22 Oct08 Sep22 (brown bruce )TORRES A 108 2.50 ★    
3  EL GRAN CUYAYA Jan13 Dec29       (arenas marcel)FUENTES ERICK 110 12.00    
4  THAT'S MY BUSINESS Jan20 Dec09       (pro)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00 ★    
5  STORMANDY Jan13 Oct22       (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.00    
6  WARRIOR RICHARD Jan13 Dec29 Dec02     (falcone robert )DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 66% 0.50    
7  UNCLE DAN Oct28 Sep24 Aug18     (mart)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00 ★    
 
AQU-2   02/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  R BOY BODE Aug08 Jul22 Jul10 Jul04 Jun17 (thompson marc)FUENTES ERICK 110 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EXXTOP Jan26 Jan12 Dec16 Nov20 Oct23 (tho)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
2  STANDUP Feb02 Jan13 Dec02 Oct21 Sep18 (ferraro jame)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 15.00 6% 16.70    
SCR  DEE BO Jan08 Dec10 Nov22 Oct24 Sep20 (lynch nat)VARGAS A 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
4  ICY STORM Jan07 Oct31 Oct11 Sep24 Aug03 (arriaga antonio)DAVIS KATIE 123 8.00    
5  ZERTZ Jan22 Jan13 Nov08 Sep28 Sep14 (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.50 33% 2.10    
6  POPPY'S PRIDE Jan21 Jan12 Dec10 Oct21 Jun17 (scia)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 7% 12.60    
7  WINNING DRIVE Jan19 Nov17 Nov10 Oct16 Aug17 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00    
 
AQU-3   02/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BEAN CHRISTINE Jan06 Dec01 Nov12 Oct13 Sep12 (handal ra)VARGAS A 123 2.50 43% 1.30    
2  GAME THEORY Jan28 Jan08 Dec16 Dec01 Nov04 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 12.00    
3  DIAMOND COLLECTOR Jan13 Dec31 Nov13 Jul03 Jun12 (martin carlos )LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 9% 9.60    
4  CUPIDS GIRL Jan28 Dec02 Oct06 Aug11 Jul16 (ryerson james )PENNINGTON F 120 4.50 15% 5.70    
5  PREPOSTEROUS Jan13 Sep22 Aug11 Jul27 Jun25 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00    
6  TRUE EMPRESS Jan28 Dec17 Dec02 Oct20 Sep18 (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 6% 16.90    
7  ALPINE QUEEN Jan13 Dec17 Oct14 Sep29 Aug04 (tosc)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 6.00 ★    
 
AQU-4   02/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LARZ Jan01 Dec02       (jacobson )VARGAS A 120 3.00 10% 9.40    
2  MSHINDI Nov25 Oct17 Oct04     (lynch na)DAVIS A 120 5.00 7% 12.60    
3  FIRE KING Jan08 Dec11 Nov02 Sep23 Aug04 (camejo m)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 18% 4.60    
SCR  FLASHY ALEX Jan01 Dec04 Nov25 Oct22 Oct07 (persaud rand)HYLTON EVERTON 120 20.00    
5  OUTLAW COUNTRY Jan14 Dec29 Dec01 Oct28 Sep18 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 11% 7.90    
6  ROL AGAIN DANCER Dec04 Oct31 Oct02 Aug27 Jul02 (nevin michelle)PENNINGTON F 120 2.50 32% 2.20    
7  BASIC TRUTH Jan05 Dec02       (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00    
 
AQU-5   02/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON THE LEDGE Dec31         (nevin )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of BILEAPS AND BOUNDS by DISCO RICO)
2  RADIO RED Jan07 Sep05       (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 ★    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of PERFECT REMARK by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
3  MIRACLE MIKE Jul17 Jun03       (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of KISS THE FLAG by QUIET AMERICAN)
4  POP COYER Aug11         (duggan d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00    
  (by FORTY TALES out of LINDSAY'S TREASURE by MINESHAFT)
5  LIFETIME OF CHANCE Jan06 Dec17 Nov12 Oct27   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.20 38% 1.60    
  (by THE LIEUTENANT out of JANETSTICKETTOCATS by STORM CAT)
6  DISARMED Jan07 Dec11 Nov12 Oct21 Sep04 (rod)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 16% 5.20    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SARAVATI by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  ART OF COURAGE         (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 ★    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of ART OF BOURBON by ARTIE SCHILLER)
 
AQU-6   02/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIVE BIEN Sep02 Jun17 Apr21 Mar19 Feb12 (scia)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 3.00 16% 5.20    
2  JET SPEED Dec31 Dec16 Oct23 Oct02 Aug27 (baker charlt)TORRES A 113 3.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  LORD BROWNIE Jan21 Dec31 Oct15 Sep01 Jul24 (sciacca )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 20.00    
4  EMINENCY Dec31 Dec04 Nov12 Oct02 Aug19 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 24% 3.10    
5  NAKED AND FAMOUS Jan29 Jan08 Aug25 Jul20 Jun26 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50    
6  GINNSU WARRIOR Jan15 Dec31 Dec04 Nov05 Oct07 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 11% 8.50    
7  RAW COURAGE Jan29 Dec31 Nov11 Oct15 Sep16 (toscano john )FUENTES ERICK 110 15.00 ★    
8  CAN'T BEAT ME Dec31 Dec04 Nov11 Oct06 Sep03 (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00    
 
AQU-7   02/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S MANDATORY Jan15 Jan07 Dec18 Nov12 Oct24 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 15.00 ★    
2  TWO THIRTY FIVE Jan20 Dec15 Nov12 Oct14 Sep30 (toscano t)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00 26% 2.80    
3  O'TROUBLE Jan21 Jan01 Dec08 Oct08 Aug17 (jacobson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50 22% 3.50    
4  RISK PROFILE Jan14 Dec04 Oct07 Aug24 Aug20 (giangiuli)VARGAS A 123 6.00 15% 5.70    
5  GLORY ROAD Jan01 May27 Apr30 Mar27 Mar05 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 15% 5.60    
6  SUPER GARNER Nov18 Oct20       (dunham g)HO WESLEY 123 10.00    
SCR  BLAKE B. Jan15 Dec18 Nov19 Oct22 Jul21 (romero jesus)TORRES A 116 20.00    
8  LOST IN ROME Jan21 Jan06 Dec08 Nov05 Oct15 (younghans wi)HARKIE K 123 15.00    
 
AQU-8   02/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STONE CREATOR May27 Apr29 Mar27 Feb21 Jan16 (baker charlton)PENNINGTON F 123 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  YOGI Dec29 Nov26 Aug31 Aug03   (bond jam)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00    
3  TEMPERMENTAL Jan06 Dec09 Nov27 Nov06 Sep26 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00    
4  SHADOLAMO Jan22 Jan13 Dec30 Dec15 Dec04 (jone)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 6.00    
5  KEEN DANCER Jan22 Jan15 Jan06 Dec15 Dec02 (per)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00 ★    
SCR  BIG TONY'S GIRL Jan29 Nov17 Nov04 Jul27 Jun03 (ryerson jame)TORRES A 113 20.00 ★    
7  CARBON Jan06 Dec15 Nov18 Oct01 Mar20 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 21% 3.70    
8  JULIANA'S ROSE Dec30 Dec04 Oct22 Sep05 Feb11 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 9% 9.60    
 
AQU-9   02/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOBBO'S BOY Jan06         (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 113 20.00    
2  IN MY SHADOW Jan06 Dec11       (fisher linda)HARKIE K 120 30.00    
3  OCTOBER BLISS Dec30 Nov26 Nov13     (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.60 46% 1.20    
SCR  CONNECT THE BROCKS Jan08 Dec10 Nov02     (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 12.00    
5  BOYS CODE Jan07 Sep21 Aug23 Jul26   (miceli m)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
SCR  TWO CHUCKLES Jan08 Dec17 Dec02 Oct27   (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 ★    
7  AMMAN         (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 12.00 9% 10.00    
8  WHO ME Jan28 Dec30 Nov27 Oct22 Sep23 (tho)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 4.00 17% 4.80    
9  EMPIRE RIDE Dec30 Nov11       (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.