Handicappers' Racing Form

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Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - February 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TAM-1   Win (5/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TAM-2   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TAM-3   Win (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-4   Win (1/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TAM-5   Win (8/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TAM-6   Win (3/5/8/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TAM-7   Win (6/11/2/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TAM-8   Win (8/2/4/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TAM-9   Win (10/4/6/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TAM-10   Win (2/12) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TAM-1   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAXIMUM FACTOR         (ferraro anthon)COA J 122 8.00 8% 11.30    
NEW YORK STYLE Jan14 Nov20 Oct30 Oct15 Sep24 (gonzale)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 10.00    
SCR  DIAMOND LUCKIE         (gurrola t)HENRY WESLEY 122 30.00    
OLD TIME REVIVAL Sep11 Aug06 Jun30 Jun09 May13 (delgado jorge)SANTIAGO EDDIE 122 1.60    
ASK FOR BODE Jan14 Jan04 Dec07 Oct28 Oct01 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
LOUD N PROUD Aug13 Jul24 Jul15 Jun26 Jun09 (gatis chris)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
LORD OF LEGENDS Jan15 Nov10 May13 Feb06 Jan20 (robillard julie)FERRER C 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-2   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEEL LIKE GUESSING Dec30 Dec09 Nov26 Nov19 Oct23 (davis richar)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 4.50    
MY GIRL MELLY Jan11 Dec16 Nov26 Oct19 Oct04 (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 122 8.00    
MISS INEZ Jan11 Apr09 Mar20 Feb12   (cascallares nes)CARDOSO DAVID 120 6.00    
DIAMOND STARDUST         (gurrola t)HENRY WESLEY 122 20.00 8% 12.00    
FUNNY ENOUGH Dec28 Feb03       (hemingwa)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 1.40 68% 0.50    
TROUBLE IN RED Jan11 Dec09 Nov26 Oct21 Sep26 (arnett g)SOSA LAUREANO 113 15.00    
EXAGGERATED HUMOR Jan21 Jan05 Jun19     (russo anthon)ALONSO LUIS 122 20.00    
RAIN OF BLESSING Jan11 Dec23 Nov19 Sep16 Aug28 (negrete javier)BATISTA A 122 10.00    
REDZILLA Jan15 Jan04 Dec22 Dec10 Apr06 (paragallo jennif)MARIN SAMUEL 122 5.00    
 
TAM-3   02/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREATIVE CLOUD Jan07 Dec09 Oct16 Aug26 Jul22 (delgado )ROJAS EDUARDO 118 1.40 45% 1.20    
FULTON STREET Dec21 Nov26 Oct30 Sep24 Aug27 (d'angelo fran)LEON SONNY 118 4.00 17% 4.90    
ACTION WARRIOR Dec17 Nov26 Oct30 Oct21 Sep30 (dobber w)WALES GARY 118 15.00    
GABBYS BIG NOTION Dec12 Nov23 Oct21 Sep29 Sep08 (duffy sean)MARTIN MATTIE 111 15.00    
THAT'S MY BOI TOY Jan15 Jan07 Dec22 Oct12 Sep08 (posadas pedro)BATISTA A 118 6.00    
MO WINE PLEASE Oct13 Sep29 Sep07 Aug11 Jul28 (galvan baltazar)COA J 118 10.00    
TIZ TRIUMPHANT Sep17 Apr30 Apr09 Mar04 Feb16 (bennett s)MARIN SAMUEL 118 5.00 11% 8.40    
PUNX Oct19 Oct06 Sep21 Aug24 Jun28 (bowersock maria)ALLEN M 118 8.00    
 
TAM-4   02/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIKING IT TWISTED Jan18 Jul07 Mar25 Feb05   (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.80 29% 2.50    
C'EST PARTI Jan22 Jan07 Oct21 Sep28 Sep09 (werneth robe)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 118 30.00    
MARACAS BAY Dec16 Nov18 Oct14 Aug14 May04 (joseph saffie )MENESES MARCOS 118 3.50 17% 5.00    
STARSHIP PRECIOUS Sep12 Aug20 Jul11 Jun22 Jun06 (ferraro anthon)COA J 118 6.00 7% 12.60    
PRETTY DEVIL Jan15 Dec07 Oct25 Oct19 Aug27 (dobber arnou)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 20.00    
MORE MUCHO Jan15 Jul29 Jun30 May15 Apr15 (smith g)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 8.00    
RAW HONEY Jan18 Jan07 Dec14 Nov25 Nov13 (roque elis)MORALES PABLO 118 4.00 19% 4.30    
BELLA ROMANCE Jan15 Dec24 Dec14 Nov23 Sep11 (mcgoey m)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 6.00    
 
TAM-5   02/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($27K) 3 ALL PT- 2:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRUDENCIO Jan14 Nov27 Oct08 Sep24 Aug27 (gutierrez faustio)LEON SONNY 119 6.00    
PIKE PLACE Jan07 Dec03 Oct15 Sep17   (harty eoin)CENTENO E 123 5.00    
CLASSIC CREATION Jan07 Dec03 Sep03 Aug07   (terranova )GALLARDO A 123 2.50 11% 8.20    
SOUTHPAW MIKE Jan08 Sep30 Sep03     (mccarthy brend)BATISTA A 119 20.00    
BRAMBLE BLAZE Dec07 Oct02 Sep17 Aug14   (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 12.00    
LOVE ME NOT Jan08 Dec03 Nov04 Sep17 Sep03 (sacco d)MORALES PABLO 119 5.00    
TALK OF THE NATION Jan08 Nov11       (mcgaughey claude)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50    
ANAMNESTIC Jan06 Dec10 Nov19 Oct02 Sep10 (danner )DIAZ RAFAEL 119 4.00 66% 0.50    
 
TAM-6   02/04/2023 5400ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLOR THEORY Oct28         (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 113 20.00    
FROSTY O TOOLE Jan15 Dec18       (dini mike)GALLARDO A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
JUST MY OWN         (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 120 2.50 41% 1.50    
SCR  ABBY'S PLAID         (lorito mario)ALONSO LUIS 120 15.00    
WITS AND WAGERS Dec23 Nov26 Oct20 Sep18 Aug07 (oliver victoria)CENTENO E 120 3.50 14% 6.20    
JET CITY WOMAN         (dutrow w)FERRER C 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
PATIENCE WORTH Jan07 Dec03 Oct07     (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00    
VOLATILITY Jan04 Nov19       (terranova p)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 7% 12.50    
 
TAM-7   02/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC12 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($175K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEACHFRONT BID Jan14 Nov27 Oct15 Sep23 Aug19 (albertrani tho)BATISTA A 118 20.00    
SURPRISINGLY Dec26 Sep06 Jul23 Jun23   (mcgaughey clau)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 8.00 14% 6.20    
PANAMA RED (IRE)         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
OLIVIAOFTHEDESERT Dec26 Oct22 Sep13 Jul08 Jun10 (catalano wayne )MORALES PABLO 120 6.00    
OURAIKA (FR) May28 Apr09 Feb12     (walsh brendan)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 15.00    
MARKETSEGMENTATION Dec31 Sep30       (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 31% 2.20    
DAKOTA DANCER Jan11 Dec31 Dec14 Oct30 Oct17 (rice kevin)ALLEN D 118 30.00    
SPIRIT AND GLORY (IRE) Dec26 Nov13 Oct15 Sep06 Jul22 (falcone)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
OMIXOCHITL Dec26 Nov04 Oct13 Sep06 Jul23 (gutierrez faustio)LEON SONNY 118 15.00    
10  SHE'S GONE Nov25 Oct15 Sep10 Jul24 Jun22 (oliver vic)GALLARDO A 120 12.00    
11  SCOTISH STAR (ARG) Dec31 Oct21 Aug31     (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
 
TAM-8   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAR FROM HOME Dec22         (cascallares nes)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 10.00    
REINVEST         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
GRAPHENE CASSOCK Jan07 Dec10 Oct18 Sep10   (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
CITY HUMOR Jan14 Sep07 Aug17     (ochoa gerard)CENTENO E 120 2.00 12% 7.40    
BOLD MAJESTIC Dec03 Oct29 Oct15 Jul16   (dye steven)FUENTES MARIO 120 15.00    
ROSES BY LIAM Sep10 Aug18       (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 12.00 11% 8.10    
STAR KANOO         (cascallares nes)ALICEA JEREMY 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
FIRE BARON Jan21 Jan07 Dec24 Nov06 Oct16 (paragallo jennifer)FERRER C 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
TAM-9   02/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC12 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($175K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARBERINI Dec17 Oct23 Sep25 Apr24 Mar18 (delacour arnaud)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 30.00    
KENTUCKY GHOST Dec31 Nov26 Oct15 Sep10 Jul23 (oliver vict)WILSON JAYNE 120 5.00    
MIGHTY HEART Jan06 Nov06 Sep17 Jul30 Jul01 (county patrick)NICHOLLS KEVEH 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
WINFROMWITHIN Dec31 Oct15 Sep05 Aug14 Jul29 (delgado jorge)BATISTA A 120 6.00 29% 2.50    
STARTING OVER Nov13 Sep29 Aug15 Jul02 Jun03 (falcone )ROJAS EDUARDO 118 30.00    
EMMANUEL Aug06 Jun04 Apr09 Mar05 Jan30 (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 122 4.00 6% 16.70    
FIELD PASS Dec17 Oct09 Sep14 Sep10 Aug13 (maker j)LEON SONNY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
VERBAL Apr08         (brown c)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 5.00    
DRAMA CHORUS Jan08 Dec17 Sep07 Jun22 May25 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 15.00    
10  CHEZ PIERRE (FR) Apr23 Mar09       (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  DAKOTA GOLD Dec26 Nov19 Aug17 Jul21 Jun19 (gargan dan)GALLARDO A 120 30.00    
12  HE'SPUREGOLD Jan01 Oct13 Sep19 Aug28 Jul23 (breen j)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 15.00    
13  GOLDEN ALCHEMIST Nov20 Sep29 Aug23 Jul29 Jun26 (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 10.00    
SCR  CREED Dec30 Oct21 Sep05 Aug20 Jul23 (mcgaughey claud)MORALES PABLO 118 15.00    
 
TAM-10   02/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRULY MISCHIEF Dec02 Oct20 Sep28 Sep03 Jul22 (beckman whi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 10.00    
JUSTINTIMEFORWINE Jan21 Dec24 Nov25 Sep30 Sep16 (delgado h)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.00 72% 0.40    
KING RAMOS Jan21 Dec18 Nov27 Jul08 Jun24 (rodriguez ange)MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00    
DAMIR Dec28 Dec10 Sep14 Sep03 Aug20 (galvan baltazar)LOPEZ E 119 10.00    
SCR  ROCK THE STARS Dec24 Nov25 Oct21 Aug19 Jul31 (rodriguez )GALLARDO A 119 6.00    
CONSTANT KNIGHT Dec29 Dec11 Nov26 Sep18 Aug29 (pimental i)MARIN SAMUEL 119 30.00    
TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE Dec23 Sep05 Aug07 Jul02 Jun04 (joseph a)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50    
MOMS MOON Dec29 Oct12 Mar05 Jan15   (arnold r)FERRER C 119 8.00    
BATTLE SCARS Dec30 Nov11 Aug10     (gulick m)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00    
10  RAISING MOON Dec24 Nov25 Oct21 Sep24 Aug15 (delgado jorge)BATISTA A 119 3.00    
SCR  GHOST STALKER Jan14 Dec24 Dec07 Oct28 Oct09 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 4.00    
12  CALL BROS Jan06 Dec14 Sep30 Aug13 Jul23 (mccarthy bre)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.