Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - November 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 2 F PT-11:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRIKING MELODY Oct23 Sep26 Sep05     (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 119 10.00    
1A  OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS Oct23 Sep15 Aug24 Aug10 Jul20 (chichakl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 10.00 ★    
2  LUNA LOCA Oct08 Aug18 Jul27     (schosberg richa)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
3  BERNT AGAIN Oct08 Sep15 Aug18 Aug03   (sch)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 4.00 ★    
4  BRITNEY IS FREE Nov04         (donk davi)VARGAS A 119 8.00    
5  SILEX         (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 119 10.00 21% 3.90    
SCR  CARIBBEAN BREEZE Nov04 Sep22       (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 45% 1.20    
7  DENIECE OF DEGRACE Nov04         (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
8  AMANDA'S FOLLY Oct23 Sep15 Aug03 Jun25   (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00    
9  DARKNSTORMY Sep25 Sep02 Jul20     (rodriguez rud)CASTILLO AMIN 119 8.00 7% 13.90    
 
AQU-2   11/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  F F ROCKET Nov05 Oct16 Sep25 Aug14 Jul23 (shi)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 5.00 15% 5.60    
2  ROYAL TRYST Nov12 Oct21 Oct02 Jul30 Jul14 (arenas marce)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 4.50 7% 13.50    
3  PATIENT CAPITAL Oct02 Sep03 Aug05 Jul02 May07 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.00 ★    
4  HOLEY MATRIMONY Nov04 Oct15       (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 111 6.00 ★    
5  BREADMAN Nov19 Nov11 Nov05 Aug10 Jun24 (persaud rand)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00    
6  SELL SOMETHING Oct29 Oct07 Aug18 Jul29 Jun23 (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
7  RELATE Oct29 Aug14 Jun19 Feb24 Feb05 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 51% 1.00    
 
AQU-3   11/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT-12:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUXTAPOSE Oct20 Aug31 Aug03 Jul01 Jun01 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
2  HYDRA Nov08 Oct23 Apr23 Apr03 Feb10 (wilson faith)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 19% 4.40    
3  SHE'S A BLACK BELT Nov10 Oct14 Sep29 Aug08 Aug01 (jones )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00 6% 14.70    
4  SWEET MIA May13 Apr03 Mar26 Feb27 Jan16 (baker charlto)OLVER MADISON 110 8.00 16% 5.10    
5  HAPPY SOPHIA Nov20 Oct23 Sep29 Aug14 Aug06 (persaud randi)LUZZI J 120 6.00    
6  MON PETIT CHOU Sep02 Aug04 Jun10 May21 Mar03 (abreu fernando)ORTIZ L 120 4.50    
7  CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE Oct27 Oct06 Aug05 Jul15 Jun23 (englehart chris)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 ★    
8  BABA Nov13 Oct20 Aug21 Jul09 Jun10 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 4.00 32% 2.10    
 
AQU-4   11/26/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUNI SIMA Oct29 Sep25 Aug27 Jul03 Jun04 (walder peter)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00 ★    
2  LIFE CHANGER Nov05 Oct08 Aug27 Jul29 Jun05 (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 14% 6.20    
3  REGGAE MUSIC MAN Nov05 Aug12 Jul01 Jun10 Apr29 (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 3.00 ★    
4  UP TO THE MARK Sep29 Sep03 Jul21     (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 1.60 41% 1.40    
5  MANDATORY Mar27 Feb06       (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00    
6  CATCHYASOON Sep04 Aug15 Jul19 Jul05 Jun13 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 13% 6.60    
 
AQU-5   11/26/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALYCANTHUS Oct16 Aug13       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00    
2  BAT FLIP Oct23 Sep24 Aug20 Jul24   (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 120 4.50 10% 8.80    
3  LIAR'S POKER Oct16         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
4  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Oct29 Oct02 Aug31 Aug19 Jul27 (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00    
5  RAMBLIN' WRECK Oct02 Sep16 Aug11     (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 120 15.00    
SCR  SWEETLOU'SGOTACES Nov04 Oct08 Sep01     (handal ra)VARGAS A 115 8.00 ★    
7  DANDY HANDYMAN Oct29 Sep07       (brion keri)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 13% 6.50    
8  DR. SETTLE'S DREAM Sep23         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00    
9  LET'S GO BIG BLUE Oct29 Sep17 Aug19     (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00 26% 2.90    
10  GENERAL JIM Oct29 Sep03 Aug13     (mcgaughey c)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
 
AQU-6   11/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATHENRY Oct30 Sep04 Jul17 Jun17 Apr24 (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 19% 4.10    
2  BREAKING STONES Nov20 Oct18 Sep28 Sep04 Aug05 (barrera oscar)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 ★    
3  SANDRONE Oct30 Aug25 May21 Apr23   (bond harold )HARKIE K 120 8.00 7% 13.30    
4  CONSTANT KNIGHT Sep18 Aug29 Aug13 Jul23 Jul04 (black ma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 20.00    
5  GOT THE GOLD Nov12 Oct15 Sep01 Aug19 Jul24 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
6  GIRAMONTE Nov05 Oct06 Sep04 Aug13 Jul09 (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 120 12.00    
7  VICTORY BUILT Nov09 Nov01 Oct05 Sep12 Aug29 (wilson faith)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
8  AGILITY Oct30 Jul08 May30 Apr15 Mar13 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 ★    
 
AQU-7   11/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAVARIAN CREME Oct29 Sep30 Aug11 Jun24 May30 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00 11% 8.10    
2  SHE'S A NATURAL Oct29 May30       (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 121 30.00    
3  SUMMER TAKEOVER         (abreu r)ORTIZ L 121 5.00 9% 10.40    
4  YOGI Aug31 Aug03       (bond jam)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00    
5  DREAM ROAD         (henry )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00 ★    
6  PHOTON Oct29 Sep30 Aug26 Jul31 Jul09 (breen j)ORTIZ JR 121 1.60 57% 0.70    
7  OAK LOVES A FIGHT Oct08 Sep24 Aug12 Jul17 Jun26 (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 111 15.00    
SCR  SUCCULENT Oct29 Sep30 Sep04 Aug11 Jul16 (donk david)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00 ★    
9  MENILY Apr10 Feb05       (handal ra)VARGAS A 121 20.00    
10  LEM ME DRINK Oct29 Sep30 Sep04 Aug11 Jun25 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 121 12.00    
11  DUCKPHAT May12 Apr23 Feb11     (henry neville)RICHARDS G 124 15.00    
 
AQU-8   11/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($175K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREELEY AND BEN Nov10 Oct29 Oct08 Sep04 Jul02 (wilson faith)FRANCO MANUEL 130 4.50 16% 5.30    
  (by GREELEY'S CONQUEST out of TRACI'S WILD by LANGFUHR)
2  JAXON TRAVELER Oct29 Sep10 Jul30 May21 Apr21 (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 131 6.00 26% 2.90    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LISTEN BOY by AFTER MARKET)
3  HAPPY FARM Sep30 Sep04 Jul20 Jun17 Jun03 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 128 5.00 7% 13.20    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of GOSPEL GIRL by HOLY BULL)
4  BEZOS Oct22 Sep16 Jun18 Jun05 Apr15 (gober)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 30.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of A P MINK by A.P. INDY)
5  SYNTHESIS Sep30 Sep14 Jun26 May13 Mar26 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 128 5.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of TRUST IN HOPE by BERNARDINI)
6  FACTOR IT IN Oct29 Oct01 Aug16 Jul10   (mancilla carl)ORTIZ JR 132 3.00 ★    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SPEIGHTLASS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  RUNNINSONOFAGUN Oct29 Sep24 Aug27 Jul31 Jul02 (toscano t)CARMOUCHE K 132 2.00 30% 2.30    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GOLDEN ARTEMIS by MALIBU MOON)
 
AQU-9   11/26/2022 7260ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGHEST HONORS Oct14 Sep10 Jul08 May21 Apr10 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 11% 7.90    
  (by TAPIT out of TAP YOUR FEET by DIXIELAND BAND)
2  DAUNT Oct21 Sep17 Aug25 Aug13 Jul16 (ribaudo robe)SAMUEL L 118 50.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of PROMOTIONAL by ARTIE SCHILLER)
3  BALTHUS (IRE) Oct14 Aug21 Jun30 May20 Apr23 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.50    
  (by GALILEO (ARG) out of FORCES OF DARKNESS by LAWMAN (FR))
4  ASTRONAUT Oct08 Sep03       (albertrani thom)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of ARMANDA by ACATENANGO)
5  SHAWDYSHAWDYSHAWDY Oct14 Sep23 Aug28 Jul30 Jul02 (abreu jor)VARGAS A 124 20.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of SHEA DARBY by STREET SENSE)
6  MOONEY LOVE (IRE) Jul27         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 124 12.00    
  (by AUSTRALIA out of MOONEY RIDGE by INDIAN RIDGE (IRE))
7  REIGNING SPIRIT Oct09 Sep10 Aug21 May21 Apr22 (stall alber)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 15.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of UPPERLINE by MARIA'S MON)
8  TEMPLE Oct14 Sep10 Jul23 Apr02 Mar05 (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 126 8.00 12% 7.70    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of DESANT by QUIET AMERICAN)
9  SOLDIER RISING (GB) Oct08 Aug27 Jul31 Jul08 Jun03 (clement christ)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 20% 3.90    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SAHRAWI by PIVOTAL (GB))
10  BEACON HILL Oct01 Aug16 Jul16 Jun14 May21 (matz r)DAVIS DYLAN 122 20.00 10% 8.60    
  (by BLAME out of MY MAMMY by CAME HOME)
11  DYNADRIVE Oct09 Sep05 Aug06 Jul01 Mar11 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 124 12.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of HARBINGEROFTHINGS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
12  COLD HARD CASH Nov10 Oct30 Sep24 Aug27 Jul28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of PERFECT LEGACY by TAMAYAZ)
SCR  KINETIC SKY Nov06 Oct14 Sep24 Aug10   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 16% 5.30    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SKY AMERICA by SKY MESA)
SCR  I AM THE LAW Oct02 Sep05 Aug12 Jul21 Jun12 (terranova p)RIDER TBA 122 15.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of FUNNY PEPPER by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
AQU-10   11/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARIACHI Oct27         (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.60 25% 2.90    
2  VICTORY MONEY         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 20% 4.00    
3  OCTOBER BLISS Nov13         (ryerson j)VARGAS A 119 30.00    
SCR  RING ME         (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00    
5  MAMA'S GOLD Aug11         (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 ★    
SCR  FERRIS MULER         (hosang olive)HARKIE K 119 30.00    
7  ITSALLCOMINTOGETHA Sep23 Aug10       (serpe phili)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 15% 5.70    
8  FACTUALLY CORRECT Oct21         (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 17% 4.70    
9  CLEVER FOREVER         (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00    
10  EAST COAST GIRL         (breen j)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
11  DR. KRAFT Oct09         (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
12  GENERAL BANKER Oct16 Sep29 Sep16 Aug26 Aug10 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.