Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - January 29, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(6/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(6/3/1/5)-(1/5/2/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/1/5)-(1/5/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/5)-(1/5/2/9)-(6/5/2/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/5/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/9)-(1/5/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/9)-(1/5/2/9)-(1/5/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/2/9)-(6/5/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2/9)-(6/5/2/4)-(4/1/5/7/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/4)-(6/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/4)-(6/5/2/4)-(6/5/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/2/4)-(4/1/5/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2/4)-(4/1/5/7/3)-(6/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-5   WIN (4/1/5/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/7/3)-(4/1/5/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/7/3)-(4/1/5/7/3)-(4/1/5/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/5/7/3)-(6/5/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5/7/3)-(6/5/4)-(4/2/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-6   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(4/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(4/2/6/3)-(1/8/2/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-7   WIN (4/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/6/3)-(4/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6/3)-(4/2/6/3)-(4/2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/6/3)-(1/8/2/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MVR-8   WIN (1/8/2/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/7/9)-(1/8/2/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/7/9)-(1/8/2/7/9)-(1/8/2/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   01/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOCTOR WU Jan09 Dec16 Nov26 Oct22 Oct07 (zielinski richard)STOKES J 126 1.20 61% 0.60    
BLESS THE KITTEN Jan09 Nov06 Sep19 Aug29 Aug12 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 126 5.00    
CREDIT RIVER Jan09 Nov13 Oct23 Aug27 Aug06 (castro raq)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 3.00    
CUGINE Jan09 Nov19 Oct22 Sep10 Aug20 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00    
NAPA DUDE Jan09 Aug20 Jul22 Jul09 Jun13 (casalinova tina)VEGA L 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
DAVID'S GEM Dec16 Nov26 Oct27 Sep17 Aug12 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 4.00 15% 5.50    
 
MVR-2   01/29/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG POPPER Dec28 Dec09 Nov02 Oct22 Oct11 (r)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
MONEY ROOM Dec28 Dec09 Oct22 Sep27 Sep02 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00    
WASHINGTON'S UNION Dec28 Dec11 Nov29 Nov15 Oct31 (farrio)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 12% 7.10    
LAW OF THE JUNGLE Dec28 Oct23 Sep27 Aug31 Aug18 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 3.50    
BLUNDER Dec01 Nov04 Oct22 Oct08 Sep26 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
REINVEST Nov19 Nov06 Oct11 Aug20 Jul16 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 124 2.50 61% 0.70    
DELTA RIDGE Dec09 Nov18 Oct21 Oct08 Sep17 (pappada julie)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.00    
 
MVR-3   01/29/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMIGO'S AFFAIR Dec17 Nov19 Oct07 Sep16 Jul23 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 3.00 36% 1.80    
MONTAUK COVE Dec08 Oct22 Oct09 Sep16 Aug27 (schuster r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 15.00 5% 17.20    
NICHOLAS JAMES Dec26 Jul15 Jun25 May04 Apr02 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 126 12.00    
SCR  OVER THE HILLS Nov20 Nov05 Oct22 Oct06 May20 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 2.50    
JARETH Oct03 Aug29 Aug01 Jul19 Jun14 (smith larry)DIAZ I 126 4.00 31% 2.20    
UNCLE KEVIN Dec26 May13 Apr25 Apr01 Feb29 (reust megan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00    
SEEING RED Dec26 Dec02 Nov17 Oct24 Oct02 (musarro joseph)STOKES J 126 5.00    
C J ALL THE WAY Jan09 Oct08 Aug11 Jul09 May09 (johnson gar)BLANCHE RISHAWN 121 12.00    
CHARGER Aug13 Jul15 Jul01 May07 Apr21 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-4   01/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIMA PRINCESS Dec01 Nov18 Oct23 Oct13 Sep30 (bouali wajdi)GONZALEZ KEVIN 122 10.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of IDERATHERBLUCKY by IDE)
MISS LITTLE BIT Jan16 Dec05 Nov25 Oct30 Sep30 (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 8.00 12% 7.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of HIP NINETY THREE by HARLINGTON)
JOSIE'S GIRL Dec18 Nov06 Sep24     (kenneally eddie)AVILES YAN 122 0.80    
  (by BERNARDINI out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
ORGULLOSA PACIFICA         (flores christi)DIAZ I 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of PROUDLY PACIFIC by PROUD CITIZEN)
SOLO SURPRISE Dec05         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00 14% 6.20    
  (by SOLOMINI out of HALO'S SURPRISE by HALO'S IMAGE)
LOVEBUG Dec05 Oct30 Oct11 Aug10 Jul13 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of BEACON OF LIGHT by POINT OF ENTRY)
GUNNADIVA Jan08 Dec13 Nov23 Oct19   (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 122 15.00    
  (by GUNNEVERA out of FIRST PENNY by TALK IS MONEY)
 
MVR-5   01/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTY PATTY Jan13 Dec18 May18 May04 Apr25 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 15% 5.70    
NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT Jan13 Jun11 May04 Apr02 Mar13 (huffman can)NUNEZ Y 124 15.00    
JETTIN PEGASUS Sep03 Aug14 Aug01 Jul09 Jun11 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
CHLOES ANGEL Jan15 Dec03 Nov18 Sep03 Aug07 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 6.00 49% 1.00    
SUSHI Q Jan13 Nov18 Oct29 Aug20 Jan18 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 2.50 11% 7.90    
TWERK Dec16 Nov18 Nov04 Apr11 Feb29 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 5.00    
BOSSY LADY Jan07 Dec19 Jul03 Jun19 May18 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
LADY FORTUNE Dec16 Nov18 Nov04 Sep04 Aug01 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 124 4.00    
TWENTY FOUR KARAT Sep03 Aug14 Jul17 Jul04 Jun11 (johnson ga)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   01/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OKLAHOMA JOE Nov25 Nov04 Sep26 Aug30 Aug06 (radosevich justin)STOKES J 124 4.00    
SCR  RED HURRICANE Jan09 Dec17 Dec05 Nov04 Oct13 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00    
TAP EM Dec30 Nov17 Oct24 Oct16 Sep25 (inirio carlo)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
CLASS ACTOR Jan09 Dec23 Nov26 Nov12 Oct30 (castillo )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
RECKLESS L J Jan09 Dec18 Nov26 Oct30 Oct07 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 3.00 17% 5.00    
BLUE MAX Dec23 Dec04 Nov14 Oct08 Sep17 (buttigieg kevi)DIAZ I 124 3.50 57% 0.70    
MATTHEW'S PATRIOT Dec30 Dec19 Dec04 Oct29 Oct08 (juarez-mendoza re)PEREZ A 124 8.00    
 
MVR-7   01/29/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEENIE ROSE Jan09 Dec18 Oct29 Oct09 Sep17 (cline c)PEREZ E 126 15.00    
STARLIGHT LOVE Nov29 Oct29 Sep25 Aug09 Jun21 (lobo h)TAPARA BRANDON 124 2.00 14% 6.00    
LUCKY PENNY ROSE Dec19 Nov14 Nov02 Sep11 Jul31 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
NO BODY LIKES ME Jan18 Dec14 Nov21 Oct10 Aug22 (haynes ern)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 3.00 60% 0.70    
SCR  MOBIL LADY Jan07 Dec28 Dec04 Nov14 Sep23 (meyers shane)STOKES J 126 10.00    
MY SUZIE Q Dec23 Nov27 Nov05 Sep11 Aug21 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHE'S SO BEARRISH Nov24 Oct15 Oct02 Sep10 Sep02 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 6.00    
MOBIL CHIC Dec19 Nov14 Sep20 Aug27 Apr30 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 124 15.00    
LITERARY Dec27 Nov16 Sep25 Sep05 Aug01 (eggleston tim)AVILES YAN 124 5.00    
 
MVR-8   01/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANANA PUDDING Jan07 Dec27 Nov21 Nov06 Oct01 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 126 1.00 30% 2.40    
AZ WE SPEAK Dec23 Nov19 Nov04 Oct08 Sep02 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 22% 3.60    
DERBY DAY KISS Nov27 Nov13 Oct28 Sep03 Aug12 (cline c)PEREZ E 124 15.00    
CALI CRUISER Nov13 Oct28 Aug30 Aug12 Jul04 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 12.00    
NATIONAL DIAMOND Dec16 Nov13 Oct28 Oct02 Sep11 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 124 20.00    
EXTRA CRAFTY Dec16 Dec02 Nov20 Oct19 Sep12 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
BIG FACTS Dec04 Nov04 Oct21 Sep03 Aug10 (farrio)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
OFFICIALLY YOURS Jul11 Jun07 May06 Mar12 Dec14 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 27% 2.70    
WHISKEY DIAMOND Dec02 Nov06 Oct02 Sep04 Aug14 (bush georg)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.