Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - December 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(1/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(1/3/6/2)-(3/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/6/2)-(3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/2)-(3/4/6)-(7/1/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(7/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(7/1/2/4)-(3/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (7/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/2/4)-(3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/4)-(3/1/5)-(2/4/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(2/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(2/4/7/1)-(3/1/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (2/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/7/1)-(3/1/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7/1)-(3/1/4/2)-(7/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (3/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/2)-(3/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/2)-(3/1/4/2)-(3/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/4/2)-(7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4/2)-(7/2/1)-(3/2/1/5/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-8   WIN (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/1)-(7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/1)-(3/2/1/5/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
AQU-9   WIN (3/2/1/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/5/9)-(3/2/1/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/5/9)-(3/2/1/5/9)-(3/2/1/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   12/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAY EVABODY Nov08 Sep26 Aug23     (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by MITOLE out of ROO'S VALENTINE by VRONSKY)
SCR  MORE THAN GRACE Nov08         (handal ra)VARGAS A 119 3.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TRACE OF GRACE by PETIONVILLE)
3  FAST MARKET         (terranova john )CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of BETTY DRAPER by STREET CRY)
4  MY SHERRONA Nov08         (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CLASS INCLUDED by INCLUDE)
5  LOVE YOU MORE         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of KEEN MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  RAMIFY         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of CHAMBER by TAPIT)
 
AQU-2   12/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACKIE THE JOKER Oct20 Sep29 Aug11 Jul17 Jun22 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 122 1.20 29% 2.40    
2  SISTER LINDA Nov08 May25 May10 Mar22 Mar08 (schetti)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 10.00 12% 7.20    
3  R FUNNY BIZNESS Nov21 Oct10 Sep15 Aug14 Jul25 (catalano m)RIVERA R 122 3.50 17% 4.90    
4  GRINGOTTS Nov21 Nov08 Oct10 Sep29 Sep15 (samsun)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00    
5  BAD CONNECTION Nov11 Oct30 Sep24 Aug05 Jul09 (potts wa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 10.00    
6  WILLFUL DESIRE Aug14 Jul07 Jun22 May16 Apr14 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 17% 4.90    
7  EVERLYS GIRL Nov21 Nov07 Oct20 Oct10 Sep15 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 15.00    
 
AQU-3   12/08/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 1:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALID CONNECTION Nov14 Sep28       (bernardi)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 20.00    
SCR  VAMONOS VAMONOS Nov14 Aug01 Jun20 May10   (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS KATIE 119 1.60    
3  STORMIN SAMMY Nov18 Oct28 Oct16     (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 119 2.00 65% 0.50    
4  PAPA'S NICO BOY Nov14 Nov07 Oct03 Sep15 Aug29 (barker edward)SILVERA RUBEN 119 6.00 13% 6.80    
5  RUN OF THE HOUSE Aug31         (handal )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 3.50    
6  BERNIE GOES BOOM Nov14 Oct11 Aug31     (miceli)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  REGAL ALLIANCE Nov15         (quiles john )HARKIE K 119 20.00    
 
AQU-4   12/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHORT SHIFT (IRE) Nov03 Jun11 Apr26 Jun25 Jun03 (clemen)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
2  DASHING DELLA Nov30 Nov01 Oct18 Aug10 Jul17 (arenas marcelo)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 13% 6.50    
3  ALLEY'S SONG Nov29 Nov10 Oct20 Sep22 Aug30 (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 118 15.00    
4  DAT DARES RIGHT Oct13 Apr05 Mar10 Nov11 Oct06 (keithan racha)OLVER MADISON 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  FOOLISH CHALLENGE Nov21 Sep15 Sep07 Aug16 Jul12 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 6.00    
6  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH Nov21 Nov03 Sep26 Sep15 Feb17 (keithan rachael)VIVES SOFIA 122 12.00    
7  ENFUEGA Sep27 Aug18 Jul28 Jun30 Nov05 (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.00 34% 1.90    
 
AQU-5   12/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BEACHWALKER Nov24 Oct17 Sep14 Jul25 Jun30 (rodrigue)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 4.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  KHAFRE Nov24 Oct10 Sep19 Jul26 Jun27 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00    
2  VALENZAN DAY Nov16 Nov02 Jul26 Jun29 May25 (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.60    
3  MONTEBELLO Nov14 Oct08 Sep14 Aug18 Apr12 (morey william)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.80 22% 3.60    
4  WILD BANKER Oct19 Sep28 Aug30 Aug15 Jul24 (metiv)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 15.00    
5  SCARAMANGA (IRE) Nov23 Oct11 Aug22 Jul28 Jun12 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00 17% 4.80    
6  HIGHER QUALITY Nov14 Oct19 Sep13 Jul11 Jun21 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 20.00    
SCR  PIPES AND DRUMS Nov01 Oct19 Sep14 Aug08 Jun29 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00    
 
AQU-6   12/08/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPREME BEING Nov27 Oct21 Sep25 Sep02 Jul23 (st lewis)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ZAPRUDER Oct18 Jun29 Jun01 Apr28 Apr07 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 35% 1.80    
3  BAD LARRY Nov19 Oct25 Sep29 Aug29 Jul31 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 5.00    
4  LIBERTY CENTRAL Nov23 Oct25 Sep29 Aug25 Aug16 (quick patrick )LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00 31% 2.30    
5  ROHAN Nov16 Oct24 Sep27 Sep13   (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00    
6  RCAPTIVATING Nov25 Jan08 Dec16 Nov07 Sep24 (keithan )DAVIS A 118 30.00    
7  KOLOMIO Nov23 Sep18 Aug23 Aug11 Aug03 (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 8% 11.50    
 
AQU-7   12/08/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOCUS POCUS Nov09 Oct20 Aug23 Jun16 May16 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 13% 6.40    
2  BALENCIAGA BETTY Nov17 Nov09 Oct12 Sep28 Sep05 (potts wa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  ENIGMATIC Nov14 Aug23 Jul21 Jun27 Apr06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
4  DUCKPHAT Nov14 Sep19 Aug29 Jul24 May24 (corrao james)LUZZI J 121 12.00 10% 8.70    
5  DAZZY Nov18 Oct23 Sep11 Aug23 Aug04 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 5.00    
6  BOBBY JEAN Nov14 Oct20 Sep19 Aug16 Jul17 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00    
7  STREET VIEW Nov16 Oct19 Aug08 Jul17 Jun16 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
8  LA VITA SOFIA Nov14 Aug07 Jul21 Jun14 May16 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.00    
 
AQU-8   12/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Garland Purse ($135K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARA'S TIME Oct27 Oct04 Aug31 Jul19 Jun15 (friedman mitc)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ZINDRA by MACHO UNO)
2  AIN'T BROKE May04 Apr06 Feb25 Jan27 Dec14 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00 19% 4.30    
  (by DIALED IN out of VOUSSOIR by ARCH)
SCR  ST. BENEDICTS PREP Nov22 Nov03 Sep01 Aug03 Jun30 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00    
  (by FLATTER out of LINE by MR. PROSPECTOR)
4  AUTUMN EVENING Nov10 Aug31 Jul04 May04 Mar09 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of LUCKY LONG by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
5  CAPTAINSDAUGHTER Nov22 Oct27 Oct06 Aug16 Jun23 (cash russe)RIVERA R 120 20.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of JOAN'S ROSE by SERVICE STRIPE)
SCR  ELLEN JAY Oct18 Aug10 Jul15 Jun08 May11 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of COVFEFE by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  MYSTIC PLEASURE Nov09 Oct13 Sep22 Aug11 Jul07 (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 49% 1.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of DISPOSABLEPLEASURE by GIACOMO)
8  KANT HURRY LOVE Jun23 Mar09 Feb17 Dec09 Nov05 (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SHE'S ALL LOVE by LANGFUHR)
 
AQU-9   12/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOKER ON FIRE Nov17 Oct26 Sep29 Aug21 Jul19 (levine bruce)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 14% 6.30    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of FIRE ASSAY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  PRINCE VALIANT         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of LIZZY'S FUN by D' FUNNYBONE)
3  VEKINDA Oct27 Sep29       (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 33% 2.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of VINDA by VINDICATION)
4  SAND DEVIL         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of MINERALOGIST by MINESHAFT)
5  ASKINGFORAFRIEND         (bernardini ju)SILVERA RUBEN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of EMOTIONAL WORDS by CURLIN)
6  PAZZ THE SOY SAUCE         (morley thomas)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of CHOW FUN by E DUBAI)
7  WHISKEY FRENS Oct26         (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of DREAMED TO DREAM by DEPUTY WILD CAT)
8  FREE DANCE Nov02 Oct06 Sep02     (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 6.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of PIROUETTE by TWIRLING CANDY)
9  DEAD AIM         (friedman mi)MARTINEZ R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of MY CARA MIA by COLONEL JOHN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.