Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - November 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(1/2/4)-(6/3/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(6/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(6/3/7)-(1/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/7)-(6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/7)-(1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7)-(1/3/5)-(6/3/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(6/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(6/3/1/7)-(4/5/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (6/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/7)-(6/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/7)-(6/3/1/7)-(6/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/1/7)-(4/5/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/7)-(4/5/3/6)-(2/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (4/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/3/6)-(2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/6)-(2/5/3)-(5/6/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(5/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(5/6/7/1)-(8/1/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-8   WIN (5/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/7/1)-(8/1/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-9   WIN (8/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/2/5)-(8/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/2/5)-(8/1/2/5)-(8/1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONG WAVE         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.00 17% 4.70    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of CALM WATER by EMPIRE MAKER)
2  PRANCING SPIRIT         (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 1.60 42% 1.40    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of EL REBECCA by EL CORREDOR)
3  GRAND CROSSING         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of CRAYON by HARD SPUN)
4  FOUND GRACE Sep26 Aug31       (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MINESTORM by MINESHAFT)
5  I'M VERY SWEET         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SHE'S ROUGHIN IT by FOREST CAMP)
6  SECURITY DETAIL         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 7% 13.50    
  (by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of NIGHT OWL by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
 
AQU-2   11/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DILLINGER Nov01 Oct12 Aug30 Aug07 Jul12 (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.40 25% 3.10    
2  JAVA BUZZ Oct25 Sep15 Aug14 Jul21 Mar18 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00 20% 4.10    
3  FORWARD MOVE (IRE) Nov01 Oct12 Sep27 Aug18 Oct06 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.00    
4  HATCH (GB) Nov01 Sep29 Aug29 Jul31 Jun29 (jones e)RUIZ ELISEO 122 12.00 17% 4.90    
5  TOMMY TWO SOCKS Nov01 Oct12 Aug30 Aug18 Jul18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
6  LASER SHARP May19 Apr06 Mar07 Feb10 Dec14 (terranova )RIVERA R 120 5.00    
 
AQU-3   11/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LAGUARDIA Nov04 Oct16 Oct03     (sanchez)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 15.00    
2  DANCING DAKOTAH Nov03 Sep28 Sep02 Jul25   (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 119 4.00    
3  LOOKIN TO ROCK Nov02 Sep02 Aug21 Jul25 Jul05 (chichakl)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 8.00 8% 11.90    
4  VINO PAELLA Oct06 Aug25       (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 10.00    
5  BELLA LUNA MIA Nov09         (rodrig)GRISALES DANILO 119 12.00    
6  CHA CHA WREN Oct17 Aug21       (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 0.60 70% 0.40    
7  DEAR JOHN Nov09         (terranova john )DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-4   11/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BERNIEANDTHEROSE Nov03 Oct05       (schettino domin)DAVIS KATIE 120 0.60 59% 0.70    
2  PLAYFUL LASS Oct27 Sep08 Aug21 Jul31   (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50    
3  TIMIA Oct17 Sep13 Aug14     (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00 16% 5.40    
4  SELECTIVELY SWEET Oct16 Sep13 Aug28 Jul26 Jul11 (chichakly ami)PANAIJO JORGE 118 30.00    
5  MISSELIOFWAR Sep13         (ibrahi)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  GRACE AND GRIT Oct20 Oct06 Sep13     (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50    
 
AQU-5   11/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RALEIGH ST. CLAIR Sep23 Mar03 Feb02 Dec10 Nov02 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
1A  JUST BE HONEST Nov07 Sep25 Sep02 Aug24 Aug03 (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 3.50    
2  THIS TIME YES Nov15 Oct25 Feb11 Jan18 Oct20 (jimenez l)RUIZ ELISEO 122 15.00    
3  PRAIRIE DUNES Nov01 Sep28 Aug24 Aug15 Jun30 (sciacca gary)DAVIS KATIE 124 6.00 22% 3.50    
4  LIMITS OF POWER Oct01         (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.50    
5  AWESOME FORCE Oct17 Sep19 Jul05 Jun09 Jul01 (diprima gre)MARTINEZ R 124 12.00    
6  TRULLI WARRIOR Oct17 Sep14 Aug08 Jul14 Jun07 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.60 31% 2.20    
7  SHEAR MAGIC Nov01 Aug03 Jul15 Oct08   (kelly bl)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-6   11/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KHAFRE Oct10 Sep19 Jul26 Jun27 May18 (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.50    
1A  BEACHWALKER Oct17 Sep14 Jul25 Jun30 Apr19 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.50    
2  FIRST GLIMPSE Oct19 Oct03 Sep13 Jul19 Jun28 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00    
3  BOLD VICTORY Oct19 Sep13 Jul11 Jun21 May02 (rodriguez gu)CASTELLANO J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  RUNNIN' RAY Oct17 Sep29 Aug21 Jun28 May31 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.20 65% 0.50    
5  FLAT OUT FLYING Nov08 Oct17 Sep23 Aug27 Jul25 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Nov14 Oct19 Oct03 Sep14 Aug15 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  J J'S JOKER Oct31 Oct13 Sep21 Aug11 Jun29 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00    
 
AQU-7   11/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOLT OF AURUM Oct28 Sep28 Jul14 Jun08 Nov11 (duarte jorge )FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80    
2  SURVEILLANCE Oct26 Sep02 Aug10 Jul26 Jun22 (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
3  CELESTIAL GLAZE Oct18 Sep19 Aug04 Jul13 Jun22 (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 17% 4.90    
4  FULL MOON MADNESS Jan01 Nov24 Oct07 Dec30 Nov06 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00    
5  BRAMITO Oct19 Oct05 Aug30 Jul24 Apr12 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 20% 4.00    
6  RIDGEWOOD RUNNER Oct31 Jun23 Apr27 Apr06 Feb25 (martin car)RIVERA R 122 10.00    
 
AQU-8   11/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIN WHITE DUKE Nov09 Aug10 Jul28 Jul04 Jun08 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  INSTANT COFFEE Oct25 Sep26 Aug17 Apr20 Feb17 (summers chad)CASTELLANO J 121 6.00    
3  DISARMED Oct27 Sep19 Aug10 Jun09 May17 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 10.00    
4  COSTA TERRA Nov07 Oct19 Sep15 Aug24 Aug02 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50    
5  TABEGUACHE Oct25 Sep26 Aug15 May09 Mar21 (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 121 1.80 22% 3.60    
6  WINIT Oct26 Sep26 Aug23 May03 Apr07 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 22% 3.60    
7  SHERIFF BIANCO Oct27 Sep19 Aug18 Aug08 Jun29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 18% 4.40    
 
AQU-9   11/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUGUSTINE RED Jun21 Apr26 Apr06 Feb25 Feb19 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 27% 2.60    
2  NEUSCHWANSTEIN Oct25 Oct13 Sep14 Aug30 Aug07 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 11% 7.90    
3  HEARD ON THESTREET Nov15 Oct31 Oct13 Sep20 Sep02 (abreu fernand)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50    
4  SQUINTS Oct31 Aug11 Jul18 Jun28 Jun07 (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.00    
5  DADS GOOD RUNNER Nov08 Jun22 Apr07 Mar02 Feb11 (bhigroo)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SIN NOMBRE Nov09 Oct12 Sep14 Jul31 Jul06 (romero jesus)LUZZI J 122 15.00    
7  STEADY PROGRESS Nov16 Feb29 Jan28 Jan14 Jan01 (chatterpaul n)SILVERA RUBEN 122 20.00    
8  INDIANQUEST Oct19 Jul04 Jun07 May02 Mar14 (ibrahi)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 34% 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.