Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - October 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (5/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/6)-(5/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/6)-(5/2/3/6)-(5/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/3/6)-(3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3/6)-(3/4/5)-(5/7/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(5/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(5/7/1/2)-(8/6/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (5/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/2)-(5/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/2)-(5/7/1/2)-(5/7/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/2)-(8/6/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/2)-(8/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/5/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-4   WIN (8/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/7/2)-(8/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/7/2)-(8/6/7/2)-(8/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/5/4)-(4/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-5   WIN (1/6/7/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/5/4)-(1/6/7/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/5/4)-(1/6/7/5/4)-(1/6/7/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/7/5/4)-(4/2/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/5/4)-(4/2/6)-(5/2/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-6   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(5/2/1)-(9/6/5/4/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-7   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(9/6/5/4/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
MVR-8   WIN (9/6/5/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/5/4/8)-(9/6/5/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/5/4/8)-(9/6/5/4/8)-(9/6/5/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   10/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESERT HIGHWAY Oct07 Sep05 Aug16 Aug01 Jul12 (aguirre r)TAPARA LUIS 124 10.00    
2  PEPPER PIKE Sep18 Sep05 Jul03 Jun19 Aug22 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 3.00 19% 4.10    
3  ONLY GET'N BETTER Oct10 Aug31 Aug16 Jul19 Jun29 (farrior )MARTINEZ A 124 3.50 11% 8.50    
4  ROYAL AIR FORCE Oct08 Sep16 Sep02 Jul30 Jul02 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
5  HAMMERIN AAMER Oct03 Sep10 Aug13 Jul24 Jun24 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 4.00 35% 1.90    
6  BOSS BEAR Sep19 Aug27 Jul15 Jun13 May18 (skerrett jeff)TOLEDO S 124 8.00 7% 13.30    
7  SERVE REVENGE COLD Oct21 Oct11 Sep12 Aug26 Jul16 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 126 5.00    
SCR  WAR NOVEL Aug03 Jun08 May18 Apr24 Apr06 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
 
MVR-2   10/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE MOJITO Oct01 Jul29 Jul01 May27   (crumley jevon)BOWEN ROCCO 123 20.00    
2  COWGIRLS HUMOR Oct01 Sep05 Aug15 Jul29 Jul22 (schuster robi)ZONETT KEYNER 123 5.00    
3  SUPER SCAMP Sep27 Sep13 Aug21 Jul03 Jun05 (cline c)HERMAN NOEL 121 2.00 36% 1.70    
4  APPALACHIAN SPIRIT Oct07 Sep27 Sep13 Aug28 Jun18 (overholt g)DIAZ R 126 3.00 26% 2.80    
5  RIVERS RUN RED Oct01 Sep05 Aug26 Aug07 Nov14 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 123 15.00 7% 13.60    
6  JUSTWORTHASHOT Oct07 Sep23 Aug28 Aug10 Jul23 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 123 1.60    
 
MVR-3   10/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEEKEND BUZZ Oct11 Sep19 Aug26 Aug06 Jun25 (calder)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 15% 5.70    
2  BUCKEYE RED Sep26 Apr02 Mar06 Jan15 Dec26 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  GIV'EM THE BIZ Oct08 Sep19 Aug12 May30 May01 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 126 10.00    
4  JOSH'N Sep25 Sep07 Aug01 Jul25 Jul04 (murillo-rodriguez)PEREZ A 124 15.00    
5  NICK CAN FIX Oct11 Sep19 Aug29 Aug12 Jul18 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 3.00 43% 1.30    
6  SWEET LEMON DROP Oct19 Oct08 Sep18 Aug29 Aug06 (haehn r)REYES FRANK 124 6.00    
7  OAKEN Sep25 Aug30 Aug12 Jul18 Jul04 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 1.80 15% 5.50    
8  UNBRIDLED CAUSE Oct02 Sep10 Aug26 Aug12 Jul18 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00    
 
MVR-4   10/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REASON TO BELIEVE Oct08 Sep30 Aug09 Jul04   (urieta jo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 6.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of ALBEIT by MINESHAFT)
2  FAST LUCK Oct02 Sep19 Aug29 Aug02   (sh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONNECT out of FAIRWAY LUCK by UNION RAGS)
3  LUKE'S LASSO Oct02 Sep19 Aug29 Aug02   (short travis)TERRAZA GERMAN 122 12.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of QUEEN PRISCILLA by FLATTER)
4  STAROFTHEGAME Sep30         (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 122 10.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of STARSHIP SPIRIT by GRAND SLAM)
5  MISS LITTLE BIT Sep30 Sep09       (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of HIP NINETY THREE by HARLINGTON)
6  VESTAL'S GAP         (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
  (by BULLSBAY out of RANSOM PAST DUE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
7  IMPROBABLE FIRST         (rone mik)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 24% 3.10    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of FIREWATER ROCKET by MACHO ROCKET)
8  PICARO Sep30         (schuster robin)PEREZ A 122 1.80 26% 2.80    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SUDDEN HEAT by CONGRATS)
 
MVR-5   10/30/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BATTLE TESTED Oct02 Aug24 Aug01 Jun23 Mar16 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.00 45% 1.20    
2  ELKO Sep11 Aug14 Jul24 Jul02 Apr04 (vecchio caryn)FELICIANO R 124 6.00    
3  LAST CHANCE DANCE Oct05 Sep26 Sep11 Aug28 Aug16 (morelos mateo)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00    
4  ZIPPY ZINNY Oct01 Sep12 Aug15 Jul04 Jun13 (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  LUBU Oct05 Sep13 Aug17 Jul20 Jul04 (hill j)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 4.50 6% 16.80    
6  MIRO MOGO Oct05 Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 Jul26 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 121 15.00 12% 7.10    
7  FLATTERING HEART Sep03 Aug15 Jul29 Jun19 Jun04 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 121 8.00 12% 7.20    
8  COMIC BOOK Sep21 Aug28 Jun01 May18 Apr26 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 121 20.00    
SCR  LA VILLAGE LUMIERE Oct09 Sep17 Sep04 Aug27 Jul11 (meyers shane)HOUGHTON D 124 2.00    
10  MO RISSA Sep03 Aug19 Jul23 Jul04 Jun24 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 124 12.00    
 
MVR-6   10/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOING IN STYLE Oct22 Oct02 Sep18 Aug27 Aug06 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 3.50    
2  RAINBOW'S PRIDE Oct02 Aug20 May23 May07 Apr03 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  MIGHTY LES Aug19 Aug07 Jul11 Jun22 Jun08 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 4.50    
4  FIVEFIVE SIX CHAMP Sep08 Aug26 Jul03 May21 May06 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  LIBERATE Oct06 Jun13 May15 Mar11 Dec26 (hamm timothy)BRACHO A 124 5.00    
6  INSIDE STUNT Sep24 Jun11 May20 Apr22 Mar28 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 6.00 17% 4.80    
 
MVR-7   10/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HITSVILLE Oct03 Sep09 Aug19 Jul30 Jul08 (brown gl)FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  MORE LOVE Oct03 Sep18 Oct24 Oct02 Sep13 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.00 25% 2.90    
3  PACE Oct03 Sep22 Jul29 Jun13 May14 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 124 8.00    
4  GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD Oct03 Sep09 Aug19 Jul30 Jul08 (skerrett je)NUNEZ Y 124 10.00    
5  NOTSO MISCHIEVOUS Oct03 Sep19 Aug12 Jul16 Jun17 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 1.60 49% 1.00    
6  NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO Oct19 Sep23 Aug31 Aug22 Jul13 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 123 2.50    
 
MVR-8   10/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMPLY VALID Oct10 Sep19 Aug29 Aug06 Jul16 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00    
2  BLAZING BURROUGHS Sep07 Aug17 Aug08 Jul18 Jun28 (smith larry)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
SCR  GAPPER Oct02 Sep07 Aug09 Jul18 Jun28 (galloway)MARTINEZ A 121 20.00    
4  WILDCAT EXPRESS Oct07 Sep17 Aug29 Jul16 Jun18 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 8.00 8% 11.60    
5  GOLDEN FLAG Oct03 Sep14 Aug20 Aug01 Jul15 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 123 3.50 17% 4.80    
6  BIG FIG Oct13 Sep25 Sep03 Jul16 Jun19 (rivera xavie)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 4.50 23% 3.30    
7  FACT NOT FICTION Oct10 Sep03 Aug19 Jun22 Jun07 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 6.00    
8  KELLEHER Sep26 Aug30 Jul19 Jul04 May30 (tooley jennife)DOYLE SOPHIE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  RECKLESS L J Oct07 Sep17 Aug29 Jul16 Jun22 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 29% 2.40    
10  RED HEAD KID Oct08 Sep17 Aug30 Jul30 Jun22 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
11  CHAMPAGNE MIKE Oct10 Sep19 Aug29 Aug11 Jun29 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 121 15.00    
12  CLASS ACTOR Oct09 Sep16 Aug27 Aug05 Jul11 (castillo ja)NUNEZ Y 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.