Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - September 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (3/1/5/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/2/6)-(3/1/5/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/2/6)-(3/1/5/2/6)-(3/1/5/2/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (3/1/5/2/6)-(1/7/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/2/6)-(1/7/2/6)-(2/3/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/2/6)-(2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2/6)-(2/3/7)-(2/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-3   WIN (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/7)-(2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/3/7)-(2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7)-(2/6/3)-(6/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(6/3/5)-(1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(1/5)-(5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-6   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (1/5)-(5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(5/1)-(6/5/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(6/5/7/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/3)-(6/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/3)-(6/5/7/3)-(6/5/7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANDOLIN BREEZE Aug12 Jul10 Jun17 May29 May13 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 5.00 13% 6.40    
2  OUR LAST SONG Jul31 Jun19 May28 Oct02 Sep21 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 6% 14.60    
3  TIERNEY Aug03 Jul18 Jun28 Jun12 May22 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 115 3.50 51% 1.00    
4  HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ Jul30 Jul10 Feb20 Jan10 Dec05 (sweeting craig)NEGRON LUIS 119 15.00    
5  SPUNKY ONE Aug22 Jul31 Jul18 Jun17 May29 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 3.00 9% 10.30    
6  LIGHTENING LOTTIE Aug22 Jul30 Jul18 Jul09 Jun18 (dacosta jason)PEREZ A 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK Jul17 Jun12 May27 May07 Apr22 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 117 6.00    
8  MAC'S CAILIN Aug07 Jun12 May27 May08 Nov28 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 115 8.00    
9  A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA Aug15 Aug07 Jul17 Jul01 Jun17 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 12.00    
 
TDN-2   09/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANCO (MEX) Jul22 Jul02 Jun13 May23 Apr30 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 44% 1.30    
2  VAIL OF HONOR Aug15 Jul15 Jul01 Mar20 Feb13 (higham nicole)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.00 15% 5.50    
3  CUMBER Aug05 Jun22 Jun08 May27 May06 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 123 4.50    
4  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Aug15 Aug05 Jul24 Jul15 Jun25 (vecchio cary)HALDAR J 119 4.00    
5  VENETIAN DREAM Aug15 Aug05 Jul22 Jul09 Jun19 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 121 15.00    
6  APACHE Aug13 Jul22 Jul02 Jun13 May06 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  SUDDEN SHIFT Jul22 Jun24 May27 Mar17 Feb19 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.00 15% 5.50    
 
TDN-3   09/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUNNER BAY Jun28 Jun02 Apr14 Mar22 Feb25 (margolis stephe)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00    
2  FLIPPING FISH Aug12 Jul02 Jun22 May29 May08 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 47% 1.10    
3  ROCKSTAR RO Aug20 Aug05 Jul23 Jul10 Jun26 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 121 2.50 24% 3.10    
4  LEMON DROP SHOT Aug07 Dec30 Oct06 Sep18 Aug20 (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 119 10.00    
SCR  SMOKIN' HOT Jul23 Jul02 Jun03 May14 Apr27 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00    
SCR  HIP HIP HOORAY Aug10 Jul16 Jun07 May15 Aug18 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
7  SCRIMPER Aug12 Jul18 Jun22 Jun05 May15 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-4   09/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANGORITA Sep20 Aug08 Jul20 May06 Mar29 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 2.50    
2  BLUEBIRD SING Aug14 Jul18 Jun24 May29 Sep09 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 119 3.50 49% 1.00    
3  CITRINA Jul25 Jun24 Jun03 May15 Apr22 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 115 5.00 11% 8.20    
4  KRISTIN Aug19 Jun24 Jun13 May27 May06 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 15.00    
SCR  TAYYARA Aug19 Jul25 Mar06 Jan28 Jan12 (lopez enrique )GONZALEZ A 119 1.60    
6  PINK PARTY PANTS Aug19 Jul23 Jun17 May06 Mar29 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 12% 7.60    
 
TDN-5   09/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZULLY BELLA Jun10 May20 Apr25 Feb28 Feb18 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 123 12.00    
2  SO TEMPTING Aug12 Jul22 May23     (sweeting craig)PEREZ A 119 3.00    
3  LIBERTALIA Aug12 Jul22 Mar15 Aug15 Jul04 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 13% 6.90    
4  IN AMERICAN Apr25 Feb10 Jan21 Dec01 Nov04 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 2.00    
5  LIME TREE Aug12 Jul22 Jul11 Jun10 May15 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  LADY LOVE ME Aug12 Mar30 Apr02     (poole m)BRACHO A 123 4.00 59% 0.70    
 
TDN-6   09/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALE OF THE LYON Aug14 Jun10 Mar17 Feb20 Jan01 (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 3.50 50% 1.00    
2  OUT FOR FUN Aug21 Aug07 Jun10 May30 May18 (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 4.00    
3  COWCHI Aug07 Jul17 Jun10 Apr29 Mar17 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 119 4.50    
4  GAIL'S DANCER Aug05 Jul17 Jun27 Jun08 Oct10 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 2.50 ★    
5  CATABOUT Aug07 Jul17 Jun25 May18 May04 (murillo-rodr)HALDAR J 121 1.80 11% 8.10    
 
TDN-7   09/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPITE LITE Aug14 Feb04 Nov24 Nov01   (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 5% 17.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of PATIENCE LOVE by PADDY O'PRADO)
SCR  NO PAY NO HAY Jul24 Jul02 Jun11 May20 Apr28 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of BIDE A WEE ISLAND by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
SCR  MISS TARISANSOL Aug04 Jul07 Jun09 Apr24 Feb25 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of MOON PHILLY by MALIBU MOON)
4  CATCHMENOW Aug14 Jul24 Oct05 Sep13 Aug23 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00    
  (by TRUE MARCO out of SAINT BARBARA by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
5  REVENUE TRAIN Aug14 Jul29 Jul11 Jun26 Nov20 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 3.00 44% 1.30    
  (by LORD NELSON out of CAPE MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  WINE AND WAVES Aug05 Jul20 Jun12 May18 Apr13 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 2.50    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of MALIBU PIER by MALIBU MOON)
 
TDN-8   09/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AZ WE SPEAK Aug10 Jun18 Jun03 May18 Mar20 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 6.00    
2  CLOUD PRINCESS Aug10 Jul23 Jul02 Jan09 Dec21 (szczepanski emil)BAEZ M 121 15.00    
3  SHE'S A SOLDIER Aug10 Jul22 Jun18 May24 Apr24 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  MY DANIELA Aug07 Jul14 Jan11 Dec13 Nov28 (blackhurst ra)BRACHO A 119 5.00    
5  QUICK RENDEZVOUS Aug07 Jun17 May27 Nov28   (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 115 3.50 13% 6.60    
6  SILENT RULE Aug10         (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 119 2.00 54% 0.90    
7  COMMISSIONER D Aug07 Feb07 Jan22 Dec13 Sep04 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 115 3.00 9% 10.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.