Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - June 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (2/9/7/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/7/8/3)-(2/9/7/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/7/8/3)-(2/9/7/8/3)-(2/9/7/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/9/7/8/3)-(6/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/9/7/8/3)-(6/1)-(2/1/3/7) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
CD-2   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/1)-(2/1/3/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(2/1/3/7)-(4/2/14/11) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CD-3   WIN (2/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/7)-(2/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/7)-(2/1/3/7)-(2/1/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/3/7)-(4/2/14/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/7)-(4/2/14/11)-(2/16/1/7/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-4   WIN (4/2/14/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/14/11)-(4/2/14/8/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/14/11)-(4/2/14/8/11)-(4/2/14/8/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/2/14/11)-(2/16/1/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/2/14/11)-(2/16/1/7/9)-(6/10/3/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-5   WIN (2/16/1/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/16/1/7/9)-(2/16/1/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/16/1/7/9)-(2/16/1/7/9)-(2/16/1/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/16/1/7/9)-(6/10/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/16/1/7/9)-(6/10/3/8)-(5/4/8/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-6   WIN (6/10/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/10/3/8)-(6/10/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/10/3/8)-(6/10/3/8)-(6/10/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/10/3/8)-(5/4/8/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/10/3/8)-(5/4/8/10)-(2/4/8/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CD-7   WIN (5/4/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/8/10)-(5/4/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/8/10)-(5/4/8/10)-(5/4/8/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/8/10)-(2/4/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/8/10)-(2/4/8/3)-(1/3/4/5/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-8   WIN (2/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/8/3)-(2/4/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/8/3)-(2/4/8/3)-(2/4/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/8/3)-(1/3/4/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CD-9   WIN (1/3/4/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/5/10)-(1/3/4/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/5/10)-(1/3/4/5/10)-(1/3/4/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   06/26/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILLERS BRO         (vance d)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00    
2  HERB ELIAS Jun08 May18       (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.50 26% 2.80    
3  EL DANDI Jun06 May19 Apr05     (acevedo isr)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  XAVI Jun08         (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 119 8.00    
5  CERTAIN VICTOR E         (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 116 15.00    
6  SWEET MO B Jun14 May19       (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.00    
7  LOOKATMYBUCKLE Apr26 Apr07       (gorostieta ci)CANNON DECLAN 116 4.50 11% 8.10    
8  FREDDY BOY         (gutierrez fa)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 10.00 9% 10.60    
9  JERSEY TURNPIKE Jun08         (west w)ACHARD ALEX 119 4.00 12% 7.20    
 
CD-2   06/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OFF RAMP May12 Apr28 Apr04 Sep02 Jul26 (rosin cot)TORRES A 118 3.50 8% 11.70    
2  ROSE PALACE Jun06 May17 Apr30 Mar02 Feb03 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 6.00    
3  CENTER STAGE Jun06 May23 Apr27 Feb24 Dec20 (stinson willi)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
SCR  MARGOINABUBBLEBATH Jun06 Apr30 Mar08 Dec30 Dec08 (tomlinson mich)ORTIZ L 118 2.00    
SCR  SWEETS MAKER May06 Feb29 Dec07 Nov03 Jul14 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
6  TITLED LADY May03 Apr06 Mar10 Dec01 Oct12 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 2.50 63% 0.60    
 
CD-3   06/26/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GREENER PASTURES May10 Jan13 Dec29 Oct01 Sep03 (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 118 5.00 9% 10.30    
2  LEBLON Jun07 Mar07 Feb16 Jan31 Dec09 (vanden br)CASTANON L 118 3.00 61% 0.60    
3  LEADER OF MEN Jun05 Apr27 Apr05 Mar23 Mar08 (newton troy)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  DOCTOR NASH Jun07 May12 Mar30 Feb01 Dec09 (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00    
5  MINISTERIAL Feb18 Jun18 Apr20 Feb24 Dec30 (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50    
6  ATKINS Jun07 May01 Apr07 Mar07 Jan12 (roberson de)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.50    
7  ROYAL ACT Jun07 May23 May05 Apr21 Mar22 (estvanko)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  IMPROBABLE STORY Jun13 Jun05 May10 Nov01 Sep27 (king l)RIQUELME J 118 20.00    
 
CD-4   06/26/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMPIRICAL MISCHIEF         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of STARLUNA by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  RELIABLE SOURCE         (asmussen )TORRES A 119 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by VOLATILE out of REPETA by BROKEN VOW)
3  ANAKARINA May17         (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of TACIT APPROVAL by STOP THE MUSIC)
4  FLEET STREET May24 Apr24       (hernandez rey)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 30% 2.40    
  (by STREET BOSS out of SUMMERS HOPE by SUMMER FRONT)
5  TEQUILAANDTHERAPY         (o'neill doug)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00    
  (by MRAZEK out of CHEXCESS by IN EXCESS (IRE))
6  ALL STAR TOUT         (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of CHARMING LADY by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  LOVE'S THE ANSWER         (fletcher kevin)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
  (by CUPID out of SHE'SA TOUGH TIGER by TIGER RIDGE)
8  AND ONE MORE TIME         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 ★    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of COMPLICATED by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  BURIANA         (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SUPER SAKS by SKY MESA)
SCR  CHATTER         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of FLUTTERBY by CONGRATS)
11  GIVE HER ANOTHER         (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of DALSAROS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
12  LUCY MCGEE         (lovell miche)TORRES A 119 12.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TIZANILLUSION by TIZWAY)
SCR  QUINN'S PROMISE         (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of TIZ CECILE by TIZNOW)
14  EMPRESS JULIA May16         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00 18% 4.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of PRINCESINHA JULIA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
CD-5   06/26/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIYAKO Jun02 Apr25       (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 16% 5.20    
  (by YOSHIDA out of PERFECT STEP by IFFRAAJ)
2  SATIN BLUE Jun02 Apr26 Oct19 Sep13   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 24% 3.10    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MACKENZIE CAPRI by ESKENDEREYA)
3  SANG Jun05         (begley greg)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
  (by KLIMT out of CAPRI SONG by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  BARBTOURAGE Apr26 Apr26       (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of VELVET MOOD by LONHRO (AUS))
SCR  WHERE'S THE WINE Jun08 Feb28       (catalano)SANTANA JR 118 10.00    
  (by MITOLE out of AMARONE by QUALITY ROAD)
6  WHATSRIGHTISRIGHT Jan03         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of DORIA ROAD by QUALITY ROAD)
7  ZEN MOMENT May25 Apr20 Mar28     (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 11% 8.30    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of A P'S HIDDEN HONEY by A.P. INDY)
SCR  JUS EVELYN Jun02 Mar02       (lovell miche)TORRES A 124 15.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of JUS WOW by DUNKIRK)
9  SHEZTHEFACTOR Nov19 Oct21 Sep27     (hamilton sara)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MY LUCKY SPELL by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
10  HUE         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SUNSET GLOW by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  FUN LOVING May25 Apr18 Nov25 Nov03 Oct11 (oliver victori)CHUAN MARTIN 118 30.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FRIVOLOUS by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
12  HARPER'S RIDE Jun08         (taylor brent)CASTANON L 118 20.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of GOLDBUD by BUDDHA)
13  INNOCENT NYGHT May25 Sep28 Aug23     (michael brian)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of INNOCENT LOVE by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  WINE AND WAVES Jun12 May18 Apr13 Mar03   (hancock jo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of MALIBU PIER by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  BARSTOOL BABE Jun05 May03 Mar29 Mar08 Apr22 (bogle fergu)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 20.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of AS I PLEASE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
16  MIA MARCELA Nov17 Sep27 Aug09     (asmussen )TORRES A 118 6.00 18% 4.60    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
CD-6   06/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREETS OF PARIS Jun12         (desormeaux)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 8.00    
2  TAN PAM Jun15         (cast)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 15.00    
3  PRISON BOUND May31         (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 11% 8.20    
4  TIZ SALTY         (thompson mich)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
5  SKY RULES         (burton roger)MOJICA JR 124 15.00    
6  VINO VERITAS Apr27 Apr07       (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 39% 1.50    
SCR  E B ZOOM BABY May19         (gutierre)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
8  CHAMPAGNE SURPRISE Nov24 Oct25 Aug18     (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CORRI FELICE Jun02 May16 Apr26 May05 Apr21 (puhich mike)ELLIOTT JANE 124 3.00    
10  OH MY MIA Jun04 Apr20 Mar16 Feb13 Jan20 (amoss m)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 12% 7.40    
 
CD-7   06/26/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BORN FLAWLESS Apr18 Feb16 Jan05 Dec15 Nov22 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50    
2  FLAGS UP May25 May10 Apr19 Mar24 Dec29 (salas felipe)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
SCR  CIRCLE BACK JACK May16 May03 Mar24 Mar02 Jan28 (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
4  FAN THE FIRE Jun06 May18 May01 Apr11 Mar09 (cano mu)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 12% 7.50    
5  SOARING BIRD Jun12 May10 Apr07 Mar16 Nov03 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 4.00 49% 1.00    
6  DIVINE ARMOR May25 Apr20 Mar30 Feb25 Feb03 (vance d)LANERIE J 118 6.00    
SCR  METALLIC MAN May29 Apr23 Nov17 Nov08 Oct04 (matthews r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
8  THE QUEENS JULES May10 Jan31 Oct19 Aug16 Jul03 (van tho)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 12.00 8% 12.30    
9  PAPA ROCKET May25 May04 Apr19 Mar09 Nov14 (becker sc)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00    
10  NULLARBOR Mar14 Feb09 Jan13 Oct31 Oct14 (manley st)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-8   06/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOLO CHARLOTTE Mar01 Feb09 Jan12 Dec14 Jun30 (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 121 15.00    
2  INTO LOVE May18 Apr01 Mar11 Feb11 Jan21 (littlefield )BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 2.00 26% 2.90    
3  CHARRIERE May17 Mar23 Feb03 Dec22 Nov08 (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  PISTOL May26 Apr30 Apr06 Sep21 Aug26 (van t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 22% 3.50    
5  AMARETTI May17 Apr24 Feb24 May20 Apr12 (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 2.50    
6  WILLOW BEND May23 Jan11 Nov22 Oct14 Jul22 (atras ro)SANTANA JR 121 10.00    
7  BACKYARD MONEY Jun09 May17 Apr27 Apr04 Mar16 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 10.00    
8  CONNIE K Jun07 Apr28 Mar02 Feb04 Jan13 (morse ran)TORRES A 121 12.00 16% 5.30    
 
CD-9   06/26/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUNTRESS FOR HIRE May18 Sep21 Jul22 May05 Feb18 (stall m)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
2  SABRA TUFF May26 Dec09 Nov17 Sep23 Aug19 (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 124 8.00    
3  LET'S DUET Mar30 Mar10 Feb11 Dec29 Nov16 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00 14% 6.10    
4  HARBOR SPRINGS May26 May03 Apr07 Feb17 Jan20 (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 13% 6.70    
5  STUNNINGLY Jun05 May01 Aug18 Jul20 Jun23 (asmussen )TORRES A 124 3.50 7% 14.10    
6  UNDER ADVISEMENT May26 Apr26 Mar28 Feb22 Jan04 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 124 5.00    
7  EDGE OF TOWN May16 Dec23 Nov13 Oct25 Oct12 (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
8  FANCY May26 May03 Aug03 Jul01 May18 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 10.00    
9  AMBER CASCADE Nov01 Sep23 Jan21 Dec31 Nov20 (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 6.00    
10  COZEE RAGS May18 Apr05 Mar01 Feb10 Jan05 (michael brian)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.