Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Wednesday - May 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(2/1)-(2/3) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
BTP-3   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
BTP-4   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
BTP-5   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
BTP-6   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(4/7/5)-(3/1/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-7   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/5)-(4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/5)-(3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-8   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/4/6)-(3/1/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   05/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGADOR SPARTACUS Apr27 Mar29 Mar16 Feb28 Feb10 (adams l)COLON H 125 6.00    
2  NO HANG CHARLIE Apr25 Nov01 Oct03 Sep08 Aug23 (woodbury judy)CANUTO THIAGO 125 8.00    
SCR  TAPAGE Jul30 Jul02 Jun18 May13 Mar04 (esquivel jesu)LEBRON VICTOR 125 1.80    
4  JAHEZ Apr26 Mar27 Mar02 Feb17 Feb08 (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  GOLDEN TEXT Apr25 Mar20 Feb29 Jan31 Dec22 (clark lee)MURGIA A 125 4.50 17% 4.80    
6  TONALTALITARIAN Apr27 Oct29 Oct11 Sep28 Sep07 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 3.50 47% 1.10    
 
BTP-2   05/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($18.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATTA BOY ANTHONY May03 Nov24 Sep13 Aug22 Aug15 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  NEED TO KNOW BASIS Dec04 Nov15 Sep20 Aug29 Jul13 (hamm timothy)TERRAZA GERMAN 116 3.00 ★    
3  RAISON KARTER Dec18 Nov10 Sep20 Sep13 Aug16 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 2.50 61% 0.60    
4  AZURE SKY Apr20 Dec22 Nov22 Oct13 Oct04 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 6.00    
5  SILENCE Nov14 Oct28 Sep13 Aug12 Jul05 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 121 2.00    
 
BTP-3   05/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAN'S CHOICE Apr27 Nov27 Oct25 Oct03 Sep21 (fernandez edward)OUZTS W 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  GRAY DAY Apr27 Aug18 Jul22 Jul13 Jun29 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 3.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  LEMON DROP HERO Apr25         (drury jr)MCKEE J 117 2.00    
4  WHISKEY HELPS Mar28 Jan24 Dec28 Dec11 Nov27 (salcedo ramon)CANUTO THIAGO 123 8.00    
5  RADIO SILENT May01 Oct28 Sep22 Aug15 Jul26 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 117 4.00    
SCR  MR. BALI Feb14 Jan25 Jan12 Aug18 Jun29 (evans michael)LEBRON VICTOR 123 6.00    
 
BTP-4   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATCHING MY WIND Mar25 Feb29       (smith larry)OUZTS W 119 8.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of CHEERING FOR AL by BLUEGRASS CAT)
2  SCHOOL'S OUT May04         (navarrete anna)MCKEE J 119 2.50 69% 0.40    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of SCHOOL LASS by PRIVATE SCHOOL)
3  MY TICKET Apr08 Mar25 Mar07 Feb21 Feb07 (silva ferna)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
4  CARSON N SPENCE May04         (cline robert )LEBRON VICTOR 119 3.00 ★    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of SWEET ANGEL ROAN by STREET HERO)
5  DISCO MUSIC Oct06 Sep29 Sep07 Aug19 Jul22 (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 125 4.50    
  (by MUSIC CITY out of MENE by HOLY BULL)
6  PLAYFULASITGETS Dec18 Oct28 Sep13     (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 4.00    
  (by TENKOZ out of BE PLAYFUL by PURE PRIZE)
 
BTP-5   05/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PERFECT PAINTING Mar20 Mar09 Feb22 Feb08 Jan04 (beck rowena)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 6.00    
2  P K WOOD Mar21 Mar09 Feb08 Jan04 Dec01 (bahena ismael)LEBRON VICTOR 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  CALLOWAY PEAK May02 Mar20 Feb22 Feb01 Dec07 (adams l)HESS SARA 117 20.00    
4  FAVORITE HAUNT Mar21 Feb23 Feb09 Dec29 Dec09 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
SCR  STEP ON IT Apr27 Mar27 Feb23 Jan25 Dec28 (bush s)MURGIA A 123 15.00    
SCR  THISPOINTINTIME May02 Apr25 Mar27 Mar09 Feb07 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 124 12.00    
7  LIAMS LAD May03 Apr11 Mar21 Mar06 Feb17 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 126 4.50 10% 8.70    
SCR  JURA Feb03 Dec20 Dec07 Oct24 Oct11 (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 119 3.50    
SCR  DAWN WEST Feb28 Feb11 Jul27 Jun16 May20 (ocasio osvald)PANAIJO JORGE 124 20.00    
10  GULLANE Jul14 Jun16 May20 Mar28 Jan23 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 119 8.00    
 
BTP-6   05/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARRING THUNDER Mar16 Feb23       (alessi james)MURGIA A 123 10.00    
  (by TROJAN NATION out of ESTHER RISING by CONCORD POINT)
SCR  TEN BITS Apr25 Mar07 Feb23 Jan18 Dec21 (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 6.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of NOT JAVA by NOT BOURBON)
3  NATIVE SHAMAN         (arnold george)LEBRON VICTOR 123 3.50 21% 3.90    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of NATIVE TALENT by A.P. INDY)
4  EL GUNNER Apr25         (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 123 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of COZZETTE by COZZENE)
5  FULL ARMOR Apr16 Nov25       (drury jr)MCKEE J 123 4.50    
  (by BLAME out of MISS TATTLE TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
6  D' PISTOL Apr16         (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of D' ELEGANCE by EL CORREDOR)
7  PEACEAFTERTHUNDER Apr28         (chain pear)BATISTA X 123 12.00    
  (by PEACE WINS out of CORAL LACE by TALC)
 
BTP-7   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CENTENARY Nov30 Nov18 Oct21 Sep22 Aug26 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 123 5.00    
2  AADYA Apr27 Feb29 Dec21 Oct07 Sep16 (estvanko richa)ELLIOTT JANE 125 2.50    
SCR  SUFFICE Mar15 Nov13 Aug27 Aug02 Jul09 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 6.00    
4  CRYSTAL SNOW Apr23 Mar20 Mar06 Feb07 Jan03 (cristel j)COLON H 123 3.50 37% 1.70    
5  KERLO'S CAUSE Mar01 Jan26 Dec23 Nov27   (short thomas)MURGIA A 117 8.00 7% 13.40    
SCR  LOVE MY CANDY Apr04 Feb18 Dec19 Nov19 Oct31 (reed r)MCKEE J 123 4.50    
7  RONNIE'S DEAL Apr28 Apr14 Aug05 Jul17 Jun25 (chain pear)BATISTA X 117 12.00 27% 2.70    
 
BTP-8   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($26.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANZANITEAWAY May02 Feb07 Jan22 Jan04 Nov30 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 117 4.50 33% 2.10    
2  EMERALD EYES Dec05 Nov06 Oct23 Sep28 Sep06 (salcedo ramon)CANUTO THIAGO 123 10.00    
3  PRINCESS ELLIE Dec14 Sep27       (greenhill jeff)MCKEE J 117 2.50 43% 1.30    
4  ARTISTIC LANEY Apr13 Mar06 Feb08 Jan09 Nov14 (fernandez e)BLANCHE RISHAWN 112 3.50 ★    
5  SHADY BABY Mar27 Mar12 Feb20 Jan17 Dec16 (ramos francis)ZONETT KEYNER 123 12.00    
6  TOTAL SMOKESHOW May02 Jan02 Dec06 Nov21 Nov07 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  DESDEMONA KAY May02 Feb01 Jan05 Dec15 Oct21 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 123 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.