Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - April 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (3/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/6)-(3/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/6)-(3/7/1/6)-(3/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/1/6)-(1/3/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1/6)-(1/3/7/5)-(6/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-2   WIN (1/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/5)-(1/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/5)-(1/3/7/5)-(1/3/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/7/5)-(6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7/5)-(6/3/4)-(7/2/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-3   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(7/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(7/2/3/1)-(2/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (7/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/1)-(7/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/1)-(7/2/3/1)-(7/2/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/3/1)-(2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/1)-(2/5/6)-(8/9/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-5   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/3/6)-(2/5/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(8/9/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(8/9/1/7)-(1/4/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-6   WIN (8/9/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/1/7)-(8/9/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/1/7)-(8/9/1/7)-(8/9/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/9/1/7)-(1/4/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/9/1/7)-(1/4/2/7)-(2/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-7   WIN (1/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/7)-(1/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/7)-(1/4/2/7)-(1/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/2/7)-(2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2/7)-(2/5/3)-(7/3/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-8   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(7/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HAW-9   WIN (7/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/6)-(7/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/6)-(7/3/8/6)-(7/3/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   04/21/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY TENNIS SHOES Mar23 Mar02 Feb09 Dec10 Nov18 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 124 8.00 6% 16.50    
2  MONEY AGENT Apr06 Mar23 Sep29 Aug31 Aug16 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 124 3.50    
3  SOLOMON VANDY Apr06 Feb28 Feb01 Jan07 Dec15 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 1.80 55% 0.80    
4  GRAY MIKE Nov16 Nov01 Oct19 Sep19 Sep06 (ramirez carlos)LOPEZ A 124 15.00    
5  BUBBY BOY Apr06 Mar07 Feb25 Feb24   (lynch harry )GILES EMMANUEL 124 10.00    
6  EIGHT MAY Mar24 Jul27 Jul06 Jun10 May20 (watkins m)FELIX E 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  SHARPENYOURFAITH Apr06 Feb09 Jan24 Sep15 Jul30 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 12% 7.50    
 
HAW-2   04/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALDORA Mar31 Jan03 Dec06 Oct29 Sep16 (catalano m)MOJICA O 118 0.80 66% 0.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of WINTER DAWN by SKY MESA)
2  HATTIE BLOOM Mar24 Feb25 Feb04     (scherer gary)NAVAS YOEL 113 5.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of NAOMI RIDGE ESQ. by LAWYER RON)
3  COLLIER Mar06 Dec16 Nov01 Oct08 Sep14 (litfin vero)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of JUNGLE LANE by TALE OF THE CAT)
4  FLATHEAD FINALE Mar09 Jan19 Nov25     (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.50    
  (by MASTERY out of GOLDEN FINALE by ARCH)
5  SPICY DELIGHT Nov11         (fridley ste)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MAJESTICREFLECTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
6  CITY SHACK Mar31 Nov15 Oct25     (burdes)BAILON JADHIR 118 12.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of HAVANA STROLL by STROLL)
7  TILL Mar28         (wainwrigh)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of BOURBON KITTY by DISCREET CAT)
 
HAW-3   04/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKIN FOR BALA Mar30 Jul20 Jun25 May30 May07 (essenpreis e)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
2  FAITHFUL RULER Feb28 Jan05 Dec02 Oct12 Jul19 (watkins m)EMIGH A 122 5.00    
3  CORTESE Mar30 Dec03 Aug30 Aug09 Jul20 (hernandez armando)FELIX E 122 3.00 20% 3.90    
4  WENT WEST Feb17 Sep05 Jul27 Jun11 Oct02 (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.60 20% 3.90    
5  TRY TRY AGAIN Nov18 Nov11 Oct21 Sep30 Sep04 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
6  SHACKLEFORD STRONG Mar30 Feb16 Dec15 Oct11 Aug23 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
HAW-4   04/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RHODIUMS PRIDE Apr06 Nov07 Sep12 Jun06   (manley steve)FELIX E 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  JOE THE TAILOR Jan12 Nov07 Oct17     (catalano m)MOJICA O 116 2.50 21% 3.70    
3  WILDWOOD RUBEN Apr06 Jun10 May20 May06   (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.50 15% 5.50    
4  ANDTHETHUNDERROLLS Mar24 Jan12 Dec01 Nov18 Nov07 (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 122 6.00    
5  DASTARDLY DEEDS Apr06 Mar23 Sep04 Aug24 Aug13 (flores ped)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 20.00    
6  DEMAND RANSOM Apr06 Jun21 Jun04 May16 Apr30 (hughes earl )CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00    
7  CLYDE'S GREEN GO Apr06 Mar24 Nov11     (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 1.80 39% 1.60    
 
HAW-5   04/21/2024 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED SUPRISE Jan28 Dec30 Dec08 Oct14 Aug30 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 8.00    
2  GUN RUSH Mar21 Jan04 Dec16 Aug06 Jul12 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 1.60 55% 0.80    
3  COUSVINNYSACANUCK Mar31 Jan27 Dec28 Nov29 Nov15 (berndt joe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 5.00 ★    
4  GLOBAL EMPIRE Mar31 Nov29 Nov04 Oct17 Oct03 (spagnola ida)GILES EMMANUEL 122 6.00    
5  AVIANO Nov18 Nov04 Oct07 Sep15 Sep03 (randazzo )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 4.00 19% 4.20    
6  BEEALEA Mar31 Feb15 Jan15 Nov04 Oct19 (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MILLARD'S SMILE Apr13 Mar24 Feb18 Jan21 Dec29 (rodriguez e)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 15.00    
8  HOT DAME Apr07 Dec30 Dec02 Oct10 Sep20 (lynch harry)ARRIETA REYNIER 119 15.00    
 
HAW-6   04/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON TEDDY Mar31 Mar23 Nov13 Nov01 Sep04 (reyes mar)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00 6% 14.60    
2  GREENSFELDER Mar23 Jan02 Dec10 Nov19 Nov06 (ramos francisc)COLON H 122 8.00    
SCR  READTHETRANSCRIPT Mar24 Nov04 Sep19 Aug29 Aug08 (zawitz joel)HERNANDEZ K 124 5.00    
4  GALLANT BUCK Mar31 Feb13 Jan12 Dec21 Nov24 (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 117 10.00    
5  HINK'S PALADIN Mar23 Feb14 Dec30 Dec15 Nov22 (johnston rebecca)ORM CORY 122 12.00    
6  REMEMBER THE MAINE Apr06 Mar24 Nov11 Oct28 Oct14 (castro is)ULLOA JOAN 122 15.00    
7  RISKY BOY Mar31 Mar23 Nov01 Oct09 Sep23 (spagnola id)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 6.00 6% 16.50    
8  TIME HEIST Mar31 Nov20 Oct21 Oct06 Sep15 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
9  ROBUST Mar30 Mar23 Feb16 Dec15 Nov04 (hernandez ar)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 3.50 18% 4.50    
 
HAW-7   04/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RICHIESONAROLL Apr06 Dec02 Nov07 Aug30 Aug09 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 1.80 33% 2.10    
2  TWIRLING ROSES Mar31 Feb12 Jan15 Dec21 Dec02 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 122 6.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  PHILIPSBURG (IRE) Apr13 Feb28 Jan26 Mar18 Jan05 (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 117 10.00    
4  BASEBALL POLITICS Mar23 Aug26 Aug01 May09 Apr22 (manley st)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 10.00 23% 3.40    
5  BEEASY Nov11 Oct24 Aug30 Aug09 Jul04 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
6  SILENT SUNDAY Mar30 Feb11 Jan12 Nov11 Sep24 (morey e)FELIX E 122 4.50    
7  VALIANT WEST Mar31 Jan17 Dec23 Sep17   (clay pat)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  BALADINE Mar24 Aug30 Jul13 Jun15 May31 (poulos dee)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 8.00    
9  MY CRAZY NEIGHBOR Mar31 Jan19 Dec30 Nov21 Oct11 (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00    
 
HAW-8   04/21/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Illinois Derby Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAL MEN VIOLIN Mar23 Feb17 Nov25 Oct29 Oct12 (mcpeek kenn)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MEG FITZ by TAPIT)
2  PATRIOT SPIRIT Mar16 Feb10 Dec02 Oct28 Sep16 (campbell michael)FELIX E 122 4.00 41% 1.40    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MISTICAL PLAN by GAME PLAN)
3  RAGUEL Mar01 Jan05 Nov25 Oct28 Aug31 (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of ALLEGHENY ANGEL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  WOODCOURT Mar23 Feb24 Jan28 Dec22 Dec01 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 2.50    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of WARRIORESS by POWERFUL VENUE)
5  LE GRIS Mar23 Feb03 Dec23 Nov25 Sep15 (stall albe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 19% 4.40    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CHICA BOOM CHIC by TAPIT)
SCR  RAVIN'S TOWN Apr14 Jul09       (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 122 6.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of DANCE PLAY by MALIBU MOON)
 
HAW-9   04/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LARRY THE POET Mar31 Oct15 Aug27 Jul30 Jul12 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 6.00    
2  JET FLIGHT Apr06 Sep28 Sep03 Aug27   (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 116 10.00    
3  ALIBI IKE Apr07 Mar22 Mar01 Feb17 Nov25 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 5.00 21% 3.90    
4  T LAW Aug30 Aug20 Jul30 May29 May15 (moreno irv)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.50    
SCR  GIMME THE CANDY Mar24 Jan12 Jul23     (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00    
6  SILVER CHILLER Mar24 Jul20 Jul13 Jun18 May28 (spagnola id)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  LITTLE STEVEN Mar14 Feb10 Jan11 Dec16 Dec02 (winebaugh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
8  PURPLE OCTOPUS Mar24 Feb25 Jan12 Dec22 Dec01 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 116 5.00 15% 5.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.