Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - March 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (6/10/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/10/4/8)-(6/10/4/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/10/4/8)-(6/10/4/8/1)-(6/10/4/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/10/4/8)-(5/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/10/4/8)-(5/4/9)-(1/9/8/5/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-2   WIN (5/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/9)-(5/4/9/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/9)-(5/4/9/8/1)-(5/4/9/8/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/4/9)-(1/9/8/5/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/4/9)-(1/9/8/5/10)-(7/1/3/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-3   WIN (1/9/8/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/8/5/10)-(1/9/8/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/8/5/10)-(1/9/8/5/10)-(1/9/8/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/9/8/5/10)-(7/1/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/9/8/5/10)-(7/1/3/6)-(1/2/9/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PEN-4   WIN (7/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/3/6)-(1/2/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3/6)-(1/2/9/7)-(5/8/1/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/2/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/9/7)-(1/2/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/9/7)-(1/2/9/7)-(1/2/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/9/7)-(5/8/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/9/7)-(5/8/1/2)-(1/6/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-6   WIN (5/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/1/2)-(5/8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/1/2)-(5/8/1/2)-(5/8/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/1/2)-(1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/8)-(1/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/8)-(1/6/8)-(1/6/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   03/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) Mar01 Feb08 Jan18 Dec21 Dec07 (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 8.00 ★    
2  JACK SLYE Feb16 Jan26 Dec21 Dec07 Nov03 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00    
3  WAHOOWA WAHOOWA Dec13 Nov01 Sep13 Jul26 Jul05 (shuchman alla)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
4  MOON WARRIOR Feb21 Feb01 Dec21 Dec07 Nov15 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MOLIERE Jan29 Dec27 Dec11 Oct13 Sep27 (truehart jen)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 20.00    
6  SECRETARY AT WAR Feb21 Jan24 Dec29 Dec07 Nov15 (albright amy)AGUILAR M 124 3.00 65% 0.50    
7  CONTINENTAL DIVIDE Feb08 Jan26 Jan18 Dec29 Nov10 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00    
8  LAKE NAKURU Feb21 Jan18 Dec29 Nov01 Sep21 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
9  UNCLE YUDI Feb16 Jan24 Dec27 Dec01 Nov09 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 120 5.00    
10  TEMPESTUOUS Feb21 Feb06 Jan18 Dec29 Dec21 (salvaggio mark )BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-2   03/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHERN CARDINAL         (mcmahon demelza)CRUZ ANGEL 123 8.00 ★    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of K C'S SONGOFPRAYER by SONGANDAPRAYER)
2  FINAL OPPORTUNITY Feb07 Dec27 Oct28 Oct11   (lawrence jame)ROJAS MARTINA 118 5.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of DOUBLE DELTA by DOUBLE HONOR)
3  SAISIR LE JOUR Dec03 Sep02 Aug05 Jul15   (sanchez-pinero )RUIZ ELISEO 118 10.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of HIGH STYLE by KING PELLINORE)
4  TAKE THE PLEDGE Feb21         (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of JUDY IN DISGUISE by ELUSIVE CITY)
5  MAGIC PATH Feb07         (brion ker)CARRASCO R 123 3.50 40% 1.50    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of FAREENA by POINT GIVEN)
6  MAX BARLEY Dec27 Dec07 Nov24     (zalalas michael)CORA D 123 10.00    
  (by WELL SPELLED out of PINK ELEPHANT by ACTIVIST)
7  KUZ IT'S CHILLY Feb06 Dec12       (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 20.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of CHILLY START by JUMP START)
8  EAST AURORA Feb07 Dec27 Dec07 Nov24 Nov10 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 123 8.00 ★    
  (by YOSHIDA out of ANANDI by ANABAA)
9  DYNA POINT Jan27         (caiazzo c)RODRIGUEZ R 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
PEN-3   03/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAB THE GOLD Feb22 Feb09 Jan19 Dec22 Nov03 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
2  SKIMBLE SHANKS Feb16 Jan24 Dec27 Nov30 Nov02 (beattie san)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00    
3  EVENT PARTY Feb22 Jan19 Nov25 Oct14 Sep29 (mcmahon demel)ROJAS MARTINA 115 12.00    
4  COPPERHEAD CREEK Feb16 Feb01 Jan19 Dec28 Dec13 (stites f)DAVIS A 122 15.00    
5  KAZ SWEET HEIST Feb29 Feb09 Jan19 Dec21 Nov15 (synnefias dimi)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  YES IT'S ROO Feb23 Feb02 Dec07 Nov16 Sep21 (rideout ronald)FLORES E 120 12.00    
7  TWIXTER Mar06 Feb16 Jan31 Dec27 Dec15 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 122 15.00    
8  MY LAST MISSION Feb23 Dec17 Nov10 Oct15 Sep03 (ness jamie)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 3.50 12% 7.10    
9  ASHAAB Jan31 Dec28 Dec06 Nov10 Oct26 (o'callahan carl)BEATO INOEL 120 3.00 17% 4.80    
10  STRAWBERRY TREAT Feb22 Feb16 Jan31 Dec22 Nov22 (zalalas michael)CORA D 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUPER JOHN Jan29 Jan03 Sep07 Jul03 Jun13 (sanchez-pinero )RUIZ ELISEO 115 15.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT CAT Mar02 Feb20 Jan24 Dec06 Nov28 (flores-cob)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 8.00    
 
PEN-4   03/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARY'S REWARD Dec27 Dec13 Nov22 Aug23   (crane clovis)CORA D 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
2  DEWEY DOIT Jan10 Nov22 Oct16 Sep19 Aug21 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 119 3.50    
3  LEO'S PISCES Feb09         (simoff andrew)ROJAS MARTINA 116 8.00 5% 18.00    
SCR  WILD CREATION Jan10 Nov09 Oct16 Sep14 Aug23 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 119 50.00    
5  NORMANDY LIFE Feb21 Jan24 Jan10 Nov22 Oct16 (albright r)AGUILAR M 119 8.00    
6  GLOWING HUMOR Mar06         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  BACK FORTY Feb08 Jan19 Dec13 Nov22 Oct25 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
8  CHUBLIN Jan14 Dec17 Nov22 Oct28 Oct07 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 119 4.50    
 
PEN-5   03/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJOR THOMAS Feb08 May26 May10 Dec07 Oct21 (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.00 28% 2.60    
2  WARRIOR'S CAUSE Feb09 Jan18 Dec28 Nov16 Oct17 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 26% 2.80    
3  MR SANDMAN Feb27 Jan24 Dec05 Sep13 Aug24 (castillo mi)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 6.00    
4  TIZ SPEEDY Jan11 Nov24 Nov01 Oct10 Sep20 (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 6.00    
5  ON THE RIM Dec13 Nov30 Aug30 May26 Apr28 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 50.00    
SCR  CAPITAL CONQUEST Mar01 Feb08 Jan30 Jan01 Nov15 (lake scot)VARGAS L 120 8.00    
7  DANCE CODE Feb23 Jan01 Oct24 Sep21 Jun10 (sanchez-pinero )RUIZ ELISEO 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  LILTONYTWOPHONES Feb23 Feb08 Dec15 Nov24 Nov02 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00    
9  KINGDOM Feb10 Dec17 Dec01 Nov11 Oct24 (jacob)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  YO NESSROUNDONKERN Mar06 Feb08 Jan11 Jan01 Dec15 (ramirez silvi)OCASIO M 120 50.00    
 
PEN-6   03/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR ETHAN CHARLES Mar07 Jan25 Dec14     (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 6.00 13% 6.80    
2  JAKE BRAKE ALLEY Mar07         (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  LANIE'S FIRST DUDE Feb07 Jan27 Dec27 Dec19 Nov30 (penaloza m)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 15.00    
4  TWENTYEIGHTTOTHREE Feb23 Dec04 Nov07 Oct07 Aug10 (kravets b)HERNANDEZ A 123 5.00    
5  STEWIE Nov20 Oct18 Sep06     (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.50 37% 1.70    
6  POPS HARPER Feb11 Jan13 Nov14 Oct05   (lynch cathal)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 8.00    
SCR  MAT MATTERS Feb21         (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 4.00    
8  NIGHTSCAPE Feb21 Jan25 Aug16     (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
PEN-7   03/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE TRUTH Feb08 Nov09 Oct20 Oct01 Sep09 (dimitriou e)CORA D 122 8.00 29% 2.50    
2  CHUCKA MOON Dec06 Feb10 Jan20 Nov18 Oct29 (beattie c)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00    
SCR  GOODTIMETOBEIRISH Dec31 Dec01 Oct26 Sep22   (russell brittany)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.40    
SCR  BANJO Jan25 Jan11 Dec07 Oct27 Sep22 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 8.00    
SCR  SUNSHINE HARRY Mar01 Jan31 Nov24 Nov08 Aug30 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00    
6  NORTHWOODS Feb22 Jan25 Jan12 Dec13 Nov08 (stites f)DAVIS A 122 6.00 20% 4.10    
7  NAZARENO Feb15 Dec13 Nov23 Oct26 Oct04 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 122 12.00    
8  FAST FREEZE KAZ Feb22 Jan12 Dec01 Nov01 Sep20 (sinnefia pauli)TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.