Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Thursday - November 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (1/10/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/10/2/6)-(1/10/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/10/2/6)-(1/10/2/6)-(1/10/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/10/2/6)-(9/10/4/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/10/2/6)-(9/10/4/2/6)-(3/4) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
DED-2   WIN (9/10/4/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/4/2/6)-(9/10/4/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/4/2/6)-(9/10/4/2/6)-(9/10/4/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/10/4/2/6)-(3/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (9/10/4/2/6)-(3/4)-(9/3/1/6) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
DED-3   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/1/8/10/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/1/8/10/4)-(3/1/8/10/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4)-(9/3/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(9/3/1/6)-(6/3/2/1/5) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
DED-4   WIN (9/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/1/6)-(9/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/1/6)-(9/3/1/6)-(9/3/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/3/1/6)-(6/3/2/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/3/1/6)-(6/3/2/1/5)-(5/8/4/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-5   WIN (6/3/2/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/1/5)-(6/3/2/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/1/5)-(6/3/2/1/5)-(6/3/2/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/2/1/5)-(5/8/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/1/5)-(5/8/4/3)-(7/2/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-6   WIN (5/8/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/4/3)-(5/8/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/4/3)-(5/8/4/3)-(5/8/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/4/3)-(7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/4/3)-(7/2/3)-(4/9/7/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-7   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/3)-(4/9/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DED-8   WIN (4/9/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/7/5)-(4/9/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/7/5)-(4/9/7/5)-(4/9/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   11/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALABRIAN QUEEN Sep10 Aug27 Jul23 May19 Apr30 (evans justi)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 2.00 60% 0.70    
2  JANIS Nov02 Jun18       (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 3.50 7% 13.80    
SCR  VINCENT'S GEM         (broussard v)LEDET THEODRICK 119 10.00    
4  TENSAS CLEAR Oct27 Aug28 Jul31 Jul23   (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 119 20.00    
5  DREAMED I AM FAST Oct28 Oct06 Aug05 Jul01 Jun09 (jackson dwa)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 20.00    
6  TIME TO CLOSE Nov01 Jun23 Jun08 May05 Apr12 (celestine char)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  MORO DRAMA QUEEN Dec21 May20       (cezar je)VELAZQUEZ FERNANDO 123 20.00    
8  FLYING I Nov11 Oct19 Oct20 Aug12 Jul14 (west henry)STOKES A 123 8.00    
9  SWEET N SALTY Jul09 Jun11 May27 Apr21 Mar16 (villafranco mar)ROMAN KEVIN 123 8.00    
10  HIDDEN LOVE Nov02 Oct06 Sep02 Aug05 Jul21 (gelner scott)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.50 13% 6.70    
SCR  TALKABOUT Nov11 Sep05 Jul23     (broussard jarmo)POMPELL L 119 8.00    
SCR  CUPIE CUTIE Nov16 Jul29 Feb15 Aug25 Aug04 (silva walter)EDISON JOCELYN 115 15.00    
 
DED-2   11/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATCAKE Nov18 Oct19 Aug29 Aug04 Jun29 (magnon rylee)FUSILIER C 116 5.00    
2  DANCE LADY Nov04 Aug05 Jul02 Jun16 Jun03 (pierce mich)MELANCON JANSEN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  HARLANS WARRIOR Nov02 Jul14 Jun08 Apr21 Feb15 (latour nichol)VARGAS P 119 15.00    
4  SIMPLE PLEASURE Jul14 Jun18 Jun03 May05 Apr23 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 3.00 11% 8.30    
5  COLD AS YOU Oct29 Oct22 Sep11 Aug07 May19 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 119 10.00    
6  CYBER SNEAKER Oct14 Apr30 Mar17 Feb23 Jan14 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  PELLETIER Oct25 Sep20 Sep02 Aug20 Jul21 (alba-hernande)PANAIJO JORGE 119 8.00    
8  MISS BILLIE K Nov04 Feb28 Jan13 Dec28 Dec14 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 111 20.00    
9  AMERICAN REALITY Oct29 Oct22 Oct08 Oct01 Sep11 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 119 6.00 48% 1.10    
10  BLESSED ANNA Oct25 Sep09 Aug05 Jun10 May04 (gibson jona)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 4.00 13% 6.80    
 
DED-3   11/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 F PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUSTOM SUNSHINE Nov04 Oct07 Jul07 Jun16 Jun03 (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 2.50 ★    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of SYNAPSE by SYNASTRY)
2  IDO SOLEMNLY SWEAR Nov11 Oct14       (west henry)STOKES A 121 20.00    
  (by PUCK out of THE THINGS YOU DO by PARTNER'S HERO)
3  JET ROCKET Nov04         (roberts roy)ROMAN KEVIN 121 3.50 67% 0.50    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of HOT ROCKET by LEMON DROP KID)
4  RULED BY SPIRIT Nov04         (chatters ben)BARRERA J 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  F J'S CHAOS Nov04 Oct07       (maturin chad)STOKES J 121 20.00    
  (by BRETHREN out of MYSTIC BLUE by GOLD SAGA)
6  MONI DESIGN         (pomier chas)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 12.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of STRANGE DESIGN by GHOSTZAPPER)
7  BACK STREET BABY         (dixon tim)POMPELL L 121 15.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of BEAT THE STREET by WALTER WILLY (IRE))
8  PIP SQUEEK         (landry r)THORNTON G 121 5.00 ★    
  (by WHENCE out of LITTLE FACE by MAGNA GRADUATE)
9  MIGHTY FLYNN Nov04         (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 121 8.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of MS. CHARACTER by GHOSTZAPPER)
10  GUITAR SOLO         (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 5.00 ★    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of TORY'S TRIUMPH by GRAND APPOINTMENT)
SCR  MIDNIGHT CIGARETTE         (latour nich)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 12.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of MO MADDNES by UNCLE MO)
 
DED-4   11/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN THE ARCH Nov15 Nov03 Oct19 Aug20 Aug04 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 123 2.50 6% 16.80    
SCR  FULL IMPACT Sep12 Aug21 Aug13 Jul30 Jul13 (villafranco ma)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 15.00    
3  GOLDEN PALACE Nov10 Oct20 Aug04 Jun30 Jun09 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 118 4.50 20% 4.00    
4  EZ GUESS Sep11 Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 May02 (francis alvi)BARRERA J 114 20.00    
5  MISTER K Nov04 Oct19 Sep05 Jul30 Jun05 (villafranco mar)ROMAN KEVIN 119 12.00    
6  HIS GIANT Oct20 Jul04 Jun05 Mar04 Feb18 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  GERARD Oct19 Sep18 Aug21 Jul03 May29 (arnett g)NEGRON LUIS 118 10.00    
8  MY MAN LOUIE Nov03 Jun30 Jun03 May12 Apr15 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 116 20.00    
9  DOUBLE BARREL MAN Nov10 Oct07 Jul14 Jun09 May11 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 6.00 48% 1.10    
10  FIRE SWORD Oct13 Aug05 Jul12 Jun10 May25 (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 119 3.50    
SCR  MONGOLIAN BEE Nov09 Oct25 Oct13 Aug17 Aug02 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 6.00    
 
DED-5   11/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS CHARLIE GRAS Oct14 Sep04 Aug05 Jul27 Jun29 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 119 12.00 7% 12.90    
2  SERIOUSLY SAM Nov17 Oct19 Aug29 Jul06 Jun16 (broberg karl)ROMAN KEVIN 119 6.00 17% 4.70    
3  D'WILD MUFFIN Oct14 Sep11 Aug27 Jul17 May29 (hibdon n)BIRZER E 119 5.00 19% 4.40    
4  STORM BREACH Nov02 Jul27 Jun29 May27 May18 (courville ricky)NEGRON LUIS 119 20.00    
5  POINT OF VICTORY Nov17 Aug12 May29 May06 Mar23 (bruno j)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  NEW YEAR'S PARTY Nov04 Oct14 Jul01 May20 Mar23 (ramirez edua)BARRERA J 114 2.50 32% 2.10    
7  MILA'S KAT Nov10 May27 Feb28 Feb02 Jan20 (latour nicholas)STOKES J 123 10.00    
8  HEY MADALYN CLAIRE Nov17 Oct14 Sep04 Aug05 Jul15 (delahoussaye gle)ROSIER R 118 20.00    
9  ANGELA'S CELERITY Nov03 Aug05 Jul06 May18 May04 (delany sarah)DELCID MARLON 114 3.50    
10  BE A BANDIT Nov02 Aug05 Jul27 Jul04 Jun16 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 6.00    
 
DED-6   11/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GILDERSLEEVE Oct18 Aug29 May21 Apr29 Mar08 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 119 20.00    
2  CPRIORITY Oct13 Mar26 Feb25 Feb10 Jan11 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 119 12.00    
3  GOLDENLUTE Nov01 Jul22 Jun24 Apr28 Apr12 (evans justin)VARGAS P 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  COPTER Nov04 May12 Apr08 Mar10 Feb24 (landry r)THORNTON G 118 4.50 14% 6.00    
5  BETTABE BOURBON Nov04 Oct14 Aug27 Dec21 Nov25 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 2.00 44% 1.30    
6  GOTMY MO JO WORKIN Nov04 Oct14 Jun24 Apr08 Feb18 (roberts roy)ROMAN KEVIN 119 6.00    
7  REAL ACTION Feb25 Jan21 Oct08 Jun04 May19 (briley lonnie)BIRZER E 118 6.00    
8  MO CREDO Nov15 Oct14 Aug10 Jul23 Jun30 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
 
DED-7   11/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMY VALENTINE Nov01 Aug03 Jul14     (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 118 12.00    
2  MADISON'S SCREEN Oct12 Aug28 Jul14 Jun29 May25 (turner patti)ROMAN KEVIN 118 5.00 13% 6.90    
3  SUZY DOLL'S READY Oct26 Jul27 May21 Feb23 Dec09 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 118 5.00 12% 7.40    
SCR  BRIDLED UP Nov16 Aug10 Apr27 Dec22 Jun03 (magnon ryle)LEDET THEODRICK 119 15.00    
5  EVERLYN'S ANGEL Nov01 Feb23 Feb04 Jan13 Dec31 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 10.00    
6  DEBBIES PASSAGE Nov11 Oct28 Oct11 Aug06 Jul20 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 6.00    
7  XTRAFRIESWITHAT Nov16 Oct25 Feb18 Jan12   (magnon rylee)FUSILIER C 118 3.50 38% 1.60    
8  COMMERCIAL FLASH Oct21 Jul01 May20 Mar23 Mar04 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 2.00    
 
DED-8   11/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3 ALL PT- 9:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINNING DANCE Nov08 Oct11 Sep11 Aug26 Jul24 (melancon do)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 8.00    
2  WINDTAPPER WIN Nov04 Oct11 Aug19 Jul24 Jul04 (dixon tim)POMPELL L 122 8.00    
3  WHISKEY RED Nov21 Oct11 Aug03 Jun24 May13 (brinkman brett)TORRES HUGO 119 10.00    
4  SOUTH COAST ROUTE Oct27 Sep23 Sep04 Aug26 Oct23 (evans justin)BIRZER E 122 2.00 38% 1.70    
5  DOCE DE LA NOCHE Oct27 Aug12 Jun24 Jun10 Jan14 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  RED OCTOBER Nov17 Sep11 Aug26 Jul13 May20 (escobar ali)MORALES ROBERTO 122 15.00    
7  JUST BECAUSE Nov04 Aug27 Aug12 Jul30 Jul22 (litfin nevada)THORNTON G 122 4.00 12% 7.30    
8  ROCKY BOY Nov17 Oct21 Sep09 Aug27   (escobar alis)BARRERA J 117 5.00    
9  PARTY GRAS         (gelner scott)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00 25% 2.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.