Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Friday - November 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (4/10/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/3/5)-(4/10/3/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/10/3/5)-(4/10/3/5/6)-(4/10/3/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/10/3/5)-(4/7/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/10/3/5)-(4/7/8/5)-(1/4/7/3/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-2   WIN (4/7/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/8/5)-(4/7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/8/5)-(4/7/8/5)-(4/7/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/8/5)-(1/4/7/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/7/8/5)-(1/4/7/3/10)-(1/5/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-3   WIN (1/4/7/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/3/10)-(1/4/7/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/3/10)-(1/4/7/3/10)-(1/4/7/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/7/3/10)-(1/5/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7/3/10)-(1/5/3)-(2/9/8/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-4   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(2/9/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(2/9/8/4)-(1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-5   WIN (2/9/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/8/4)-(2/9/8/10/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/9/8/4)-(2/9/8/10/4)-(2/9/8/10/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/9/8/4)-(1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/9/8/4)-(1/4)-(2/4/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-6   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/4)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(2/4/3)-(4/9/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
DED-7   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(4/9/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(4/9/1)-(10/1/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-8   WIN (4/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/1)-(4/9/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/9/1)-(4/9/1)-(4/9/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
DED-9   WIN (10/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/1/5/7)-(10/1/5/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/1/5/7)-(10/1/5/2/7)-(10/1/5/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   11/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNSET WAR Oct27 Jan13 Dec27 Sep24 Aug30 (west henry)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 20.00    
2  COTTONCLUB SOLDIER Nov04 Oct11 Aug11 Jul28 Jul07 (zenon shelton)DELCID MARLON 115 20.00    
3  LOVE A FIGHTER Oct25 Aug27 Jul22     (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 16% 5.10    
4  MARKETBOOK Nov04 Sep12 Aug19 Jun04 May14 (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 6.00 40% 1.50    
5  CUSTOM CRESCENT Sep04 Aug13 May14 Jan12 Nov30 (tillis e)BURNINGHAM J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  WICKED TOUGH Oct19 Aug11 Jul13 Jun17 May13 (west henry)STOKES A 123 5.00 ★    
7  C C'S LEGACY Oct19 Sep21 Jun23 Jun02 May08 (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 122 6.00    
8  BIG RUSSSS Oct27 Dec27 Dec08 Nov17 Oct27 (robbins hanc)MAGNON H 120 15.00    
9  ALL OF US Jul29 Jul06 Jun04 Apr22 Apr12 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 114 10.00    
10  GOLDUSTER Oct20 Aug10 Jul13 Jun15 May19 (alberto anton)VARGAS P 123 3.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  JESUIT Nov04 Sep03 Aug26 Jun04 May06 (garza e)TORRES HUGO 123 15.00    
SCR  MORO FLASHBACK Jul31 Jun09 Jul02     (ortiz javier)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 8.00    
 
DED-2   11/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JULIO CHOICE Nov02 Oct12 Aug20 Jul20 Jun23 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 123 10.00    
2  REINA ACES Oct27 Oct12 Aug20 Jul30 Jun23 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00    
3  NOWNOWDANCER Nov02 Jul31 Jul10 Jun11 May30 (nelson r)DELCID MARLON 118 6.00    
4  MOR KISSES Oct12 Aug20 Jul06 May29 May11 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 122 4.00 51% 0.90    
5  LAKE BALI Nov02 Sep05 Aug10 Jul29 Jun23 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LIVVY LOU Aug27 Jan06 Sep25 Sep05 Aug07 (avant kelly)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 20.00    
7  JUST A WIN Nov08 Oct27 Sep05 Aug11 Jul28 (landry ray)STOKES A 123 3.00 21% 3.80    
8  WHO DAT GINGER Oct25 Jul29 Jun10 Apr26 Feb17 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
9  BYE BYE BIG BABY Oct12 Aug10 Jun24 May20 Feb22 (west henry)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 15.00    
10  SABERFIGHT Jul28 Jul08 Jun10 Jun01 May11 (averett ronnie)ROSIER R 123 10.00    
 
DED-3   11/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 2 ALL PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN CYCLONE Oct28 Oct13 Aug05 Jul20 Jul08 (courville ri)BARRERA J 114 5.00 35% 1.90    
2  SMOKEY G         (gelner scott)NEGRON LUIS 121 10.00    
3  HANGIN' TUFF         (castille ca)MELANCON JANSEN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  TOP PRIORITY Oct21         (thomas lee)THORNTON G 121 5.00 18% 4.60    
5  HYMN FOR CARLOS Oct21 Oct06 Jul08 Jun15 Jun03 (pomier chasey)VARGAS P 121 4.00    
6  GLAMORDINI Oct26 Oct12       (landry allen)MAGNON H 121 8.00    
7  GATSBY'S FORTUNE Oct21 Oct06       (landry ray)STOKES A 121 3.00 14% 6.10    
8  MAGNOLIA SPEED Oct21         (blanchet chris)POMPELL L 121 15.00    
9  CUSTOM STAR         (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 121 8.00    
10  B D PRIMARY OURS         (garcia jose )EDISON JOCELYN 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LUCKY IS MY NAME Aug19         (milligan all)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 15.00    
 
DED-4   11/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARPE HORSESHOE Nov03 Oct19 Oct07 Aug12 Jul29 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 1.20 41% 1.40    
2  BITSY C C LIL GIRL Oct14 Jul27 Jun17 May27 Feb22 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 116 12.00    
3  JAZZ BRUNCH Oct21 Sep17 Aug12 Jul21 Jun30 (arnett jon )MELANCON JANSEN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHESAHEATWAVE Sep17 Sep03 Aug05 Jul03 Jun16 (bullene michael)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00    
5  GLANCE Oct28 Oct13 Aug03 Jun16 May13 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 119 6.00 30% 2.30    
6  JULIARD HONOR Oct21 Oct11 Sep11 Aug27 Aug05 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 119 3.50    
7  ROYAL BONUS Oct28 Oct11 Sep13 Sep04 Aug03 (espinoza e)MEDRANO T 119 12.00    
 
DED-5   11/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SENSE OF FLURRY Oct28 Oct14 Aug13 Jul26 Jul01 (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 8.00    
2  TENNESSEE MOON Oct21 Sep17 Aug26 Aug12 Jul08 (arnett g)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
3  SARA'S SAPPHIRE Oct14 Sep04 Aug07 Jul20 Jul05 (dixon tim)POMPELL L 115 15.00    
4  SASSY EMMA Oct28 Jul27 Jun29 May27 Apr20 (chatters benard)ROMAN KEVIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  CUSTOM GUITAR Oct28 Sep04 Aug21 Jul27 Jun30 (melancon dona)LOZADA CARLOS 116 20.00    
6  HEY MADALYN CLAIRE Oct14 Sep04 Aug05 Jul15 Jun29 (delahoussaye gle)ROSIER R 115 12.00    
7  LIL ADEAU Oct19 Apr20 Mar11 Feb24 Feb11 (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 120 8.00    
8  IRON LOTUS Oct20 Sep23 Sep10 Aug25 Aug13 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 6.00 12% 7.50    
9  SERIOUSLY SAM Oct19 Aug29 Jul06 Jun16 May25 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 116 3.50 14% 5.90    
10  LA TRESS GRAY Jun29 Jun01 Apr20 Dec29 Sep06 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 119 6.00 ★    
11  KNIGHTS SWORD Oct28 Aug05 Jun08 Apr15 Jan18 (toups brent)POMPELL L 116 12.00    
 
DED-6   11/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARKS PROMISE Oct18 Mar10 Feb24 Feb04 Jan12 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 3.50 67% 0.50    
2  WISE ANCHOR Sep09 Aug05 Jun25 Jun11 May20 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 5.00 ★    
3  GEORGE ALLEN Oct14 Mar25 Mar01 Feb02 Jan07 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 12.00    
4  HAIL STATE Oct19 Sep12 Jun30 May20 Mar25 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RELENTLESS DANCER Aug07 Jun11 May06 Mar25 Feb16 (bourgeois keith)BIRZER E 119 2.50    
6  HEZA SEXY ZONG Nov02 Oct18 Aug10 Jul15 Jun24 (dison m)TORRES HUGO 123 12.00    
SCR  SPEAKTOMEOFLOVE Jun23 May19 Apr13 Feb25 Dec10 (chatters ben)BARRERA J 114 4.50    
8  GUITAR DOCTOR Oct14 Jan20 Dec10 Nov16 Apr13 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 119 10.00    
9  SCARLETTSBLACKJACK Nov03 Jul28 Jun17 May06 Apr20 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 119 15.00    
 
DED-7   11/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POINT OF VICTORY Aug12 May29 May06 Mar23 Mar02 (bruno j)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 12.00    
2  OURPERFECTPRINCESS Oct21 Aug06 Jul24 Jul01 May29 (gibson jonas)BARRERA J 115 3.00 35% 1.90    
3  LIL MISS DE BUY Oct14 Sep11 Sep03 Aug21 Aug07 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 123 8.00 8% 11.80    
4  HURRICANE TIZWAY Oct14 Sep10 Aug26 Aug06 Jul03 (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 123 5.00 13% 6.50    
5  BUILDING HOME Oct28 Oct12 Jul20 Jun17 Jun01 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 4.00    
SCR  DONNAS FINAL WORD Oct27 Oct21 Oct01 Sep11 Aug21 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 123 6.00 20% 4.00    
7  BIND ON EARTH Oct28 Aug12 Jul27 Jun29 Jun08 (west henry)FUSILIER C 120 6.00    
8  ITSNOTMYJOB Oct28 Oct14 Aug12 Jul27 Jul04 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 10.00    
9  STELLA'S SURPRISE Oct28 Feb02 Dec17 Dec03 Jun23 (richard russell )STOKES A 120 12.00    
 
DED-8   11/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ DONEGAL Oct26 Sep02 Jul22     (noel dane)POMPELL L 118 4.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  MOSQUITO FLEET Oct26 Sep16 Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 (evans justin)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00    
SCR  MONGOLIAN BEE Nov09 Oct25 Oct13 Aug17 Aug02 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 118 8.00    
4  SEIZE THE TREASURE Nov04 Oct14 Sep09 Aug07 Jun17 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 119 6.00 36% 1.80    
5  MIDNIGHT RULES Oct14 Sep29 Sep16 Sep01 Aug20 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 121 20.00    
6  AFFIRM CHIEF Nov03 Aug19 Jul28 Jul02 May29 (robbins ray)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 12.00    
SCR  HEIR TO GREATNESS Nov09 Jan28 Jan13 Oct19 Sep01 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 3.00    
8  FAR BEYOND Oct28 Oct12 Aug28 Jun17 May22 (evans justin)ROMAN KEVIN 119 10.00    
9  JOLLY TOMMY Oct28 Aug12 Jul27 Jul07 May05 (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 119 6.00 14% 5.90    
10  SPHEROID Oct19 Jul23 Jun29 Jun02 May03 (alberto anton)VARGAS P 119 20.00    
 
DED-9   11/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASTERN BANKER Oct27 Aug27 Aug06 Jul27 Jul14 (alberto anto)MAGNON H 123 3.50 15% 5.50    
2  RED OCTOBER Sep11 Aug26 Jul13 May20 Apr28 (escobar ali)MORALES ROBERTO 122 5.00 ★    
3  HOLIDAY RUN Oct18 Aug11 Jul27 Jul08 Jun04 (gelner j)ROMAN KEVIN 122 8.00    
4  STRIKE A BARGAIN Oct28 Oct07 Sep02 Jul24 Jun24 (ward ronnie)ROSIER R 122 15.00    
5  COMPUTERIZED May27 Apr27 Feb05 Jan15   (delahoussaye br)POMPELL L 119 12.00 13% 6.50    
6  MOON TIME Oct27 Aug27 Jul03 Jun24 Apr28 (pierce mich)MELANCON JANSEN 122 4.00    
7  TOAST TO THE GIRLS Jun02         (silva walte)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  ROCKY BOY Oct21 Sep09 Aug27     (escobar alis)BARRERA J 117 12.00    
9  CALL ME FIREY Oct27 Aug03 Jul13 Jun09 May03 (dison ma)STOKES A 122 8.00    
10  MORO BEARD Jul16 Jun18 Jul22     (ortiz javier)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 4.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  STEAUXLIT Nov02 Jun17 Jun08 May04 Apr14 (landry r)THORNTON G 119 2.50    
SCR  KILO KEY Nov04 Oct11 Aug27 Aug12 Apr02 (melancon dona)LOZADA CARLOS 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.