Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Thursday - June 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(6/2/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(6/2/9/7)-(5/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (6/2/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/9/7)-(6/2/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/9/7)-(6/2/9/7)-(6/2/9/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/2/9/7)-(5/6/2)-(3/5/1/4/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(3/5/1/4/10)-(2/3/4/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/5/1/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/4/10)-(3/5/1/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/4/10)-(3/5/1/4/10)-(3/5/1/4/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/4/10)-(2/3/4/6)-(5/7/4/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4/6)-(5/7/4/2)-(9/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/2)-(5/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/2)-(5/7/4/2)-(5/7/4/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/2)-(9/3)-(8/1/2/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TDN-7   WIN (9/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/3)-(9/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (9/3)-(8/1/2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TDN-8   WIN (8/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/2/7)-(8/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/2/7)-(8/1/2/7)-(8/1/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   06/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SECRETS UNTOLD May06 Oct06 Aug31 Aug15 Jul28 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 1.80 56% 0.80    
SCR  BETTER HALF May11 Apr05 Nov30 Oct29 Sep29 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 1.80    
ROARING GINGER May23 Mar09 Feb06 Dec27   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  WEEKENDING Apr06 Mar27 Mar09 Feb06 Dec27 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 2.00    
BEAUTIFUL LASS May06 Apr05 Mar20 Mar02 Feb16 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
STARLITESLEW May16 May06 Apr05 Mar20 Oct25 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00    
CHILLVILLE May06 Sep26 Sep07 Aug22 Aug03 (lopez jacint)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 4.00    
LADY ITCH May21 Jul18 Jun29 Jun06 Jan25 (blackh)ENRIQUEZ JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-2   06/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CATABOUT May13 May03 Mar06 Feb23 Jan28 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 15.00    
CAT'S RHYTHM May10 Apr26 Mar06 Feb08 Jan26 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.50 15% 5.70    
AUJARA May20 May10 Apr26 Mar16 Feb22 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.50    
TOTALLY OBSESSED May10 Apr11 Dec20 Nov28 Oct29 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00    
LEXY ANNA May03 Apr13 Feb23 Oct05 Sep07 (yoder d)TORREALBA JG 118 6.00    
PANAMANIAC May10 Oct05 Sep13 Aug29 Aug13 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50 52% 0.90    
CALI DREAM Apr11 Nov28 Oct29 Oct06 Aug13 (johnson gary)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
PENNY SHOTS May13 Apr26 Mar08 Feb16 Jan28 (faul)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 12.00    
BOX STEP May20 Feb14 Jan28 Dec30 Dec20 (yoder d)RIVERA R 119 10.00 6% 16.50    
 
TDN-3   06/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE COOKIE MAN May21 May08 Apr04 Mar13 Jan24 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00    
AUGER May01 Apr12 Mar22 Mar01 Feb01 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 3.50 10% 8.60    
TRAGICALLY QUEWICK May16 Apr25 Feb20 Jan23 Jan09 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 119 2.00    
MAS CHIKILIN Mar27 Mar02 Feb07 Jan09 Nov07 (murillo ro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00    
RIVERBOAT GAMBLER May16 Apr25 Mar28 Feb20 Jan09 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 116 4.50 44% 1.30    
AMIGO'S AFFAIR May16 May03 Apr25 Mar28 Feb20 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 2.50 16% 5.10    
 
TDN-4   06/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C MORE PRIDE         (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 119 10.00 12% 7.60    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of MOREREADYTHANEVER by MORE THAN READY)
MORNINGBEACHWALK Dec13 Nov30 Nov12     (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 20.00    
  (by KENNEDY out of RUSSIAN BRIDE by SARATOGA SIX)
DANCE DRAMA         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by KEEN ICE out of JOSSY DO IT by PROUD ACCOLADE)
EXTRA CRAFTY         (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 123 6.00 10% 9.10    
  (by PALACE out of CRAFTY TIGRESS by HOLD THAT TIGER)
SUGAR LOVES IT May15 Apr25 Oct05     (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 3.00 21% 3.70    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of VAN GOGO GIRL by VAN NISTELROOY)
ANGEL'S DESTINY Dec01 Nov15       (flores israel)DIAZ I 119 20.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of COMEFLYWITHANANGEL by EQUALITY (GB))
DEE'S KY WILDCAT May15 Apr25 Apr10 Mar30 Mar16 (rivera ne)BRICENO M 118 15.00    
  (by WILDCAT RED out of DEE'S RIB by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS)
SCR  OH EYE SEE May15 Apr25 Mar30 Jan24 Jan10 (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 123 20.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of OUR JEWEL by SOUVENIR COPY)
HERE COMES DOLLY May15 Dec30 Dec15 Dec01 Nov15 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of STARSHIP SPIRIT by GRAND SLAM)
10  PENNY'S TREASURE May15         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of WHYUGOTTABESOMEAN by POLLARD'S VISION)
 
TDN-5   06/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU ARE AWESOME May09 Mar22 Mar09 Feb27 Sep13 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 119 4.50    
KING ANDRES May16 May03 Apr10 Mar22 Mar07 (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 119 3.00 32% 2.10    
BLAME IT ON EDDIE May17 May09 Apr04 Mar14 Mar02 (vecchio caryn)TORREALBA JG 114 2.50 29% 2.50    
OPEN OUT May17 May06 Mar16 Dec29 Dec05 (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 11% 7.90    
KLAATU May17 Apr03 Mar14 Feb21 Jan18 (sondej amy)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 8.00    
SAY HEY KID May17 Apr13 Mar22 Feb21 Feb01 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
VALHALLA AIR BASE May15 Apr27 Mar30 Mar06 Feb07 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00    
 
TDN-6   06/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAN MAMIBELLA May02 Apr10 Mar22 Feb27 Feb14 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 6.00    
MIRACLE DRUG (IRE) May16 Apr26 Mar28 Jan21 Jan06 (la)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
BACKSPLASH May22 May06 Mar28 Mar14 Jan28 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 3.50    
QUEENOFCATNIPHILL May22 Dec08 Nov03 Oct25 Sep20 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 19% 4.40    
RADIANTRITHYM May22 May06 Apr24 Mar02 Feb08 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 2.50 34% 1.90    
MISS OVER THERE May06 Apr11 Mar22 Mar01 Feb06 (manning richar)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00    
MAMBO DANCER (CHI) May15 Mar29 Feb03 Jan11 Dec28 (canegata j)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
TDN-7   06/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD APPEAL Sep01 Aug01 Jul07 Jun22   (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 15.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of OHIO GOLD by WILBURN)
SCR  Z B READY         (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 119 15.00 11% 8.30    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of MAMA ZEE by J BE K)
COUNTRY STYLE         (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 11% 8.50    
  (by TOURIST out of SWEET AND CLEVER by MR. GREELEY)
DOMINUS O'S ME May15 Apr25 Nov15 Oct29 Oct13 (urieta johanna)TORREALBA JG 114 2.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of NEIGH O ME by HALF OURS)
CANELA FINA May11 Apr24 Feb06 Dec27 Dec13 (dubie k)PILARES P 119 4.50    
  (by CORFU out of BEAUTIFUL LATINA by SPRING AT LAST)
JUPITER ECLIPSE May15 Apr25 Aug13 Aug01 Jul05 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00    
  (by PADDY O'PRADO out of FASTEEL by MAGNA GRADUATE)
SCR  ONE MORE TANGO         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 12% 7.20    
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of TANGUERAY MISS by COWBOY CAL)
SCR  AUGMENTING ASSETS May15 Apr12 Mar30 Jan24 Dec08 (romero jose )TERRAZA GERMAN 123 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SWINKEY by DIALED IN)
SWEET UNIQUE         (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 119 2.50 39% 1.50    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of GREAT GOIN ROSE by ALBERT THE GREAT)
 
TDN-8   06/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELLIOT THE DRAGON Apr26 Jan28 Jan11 Dec06 Nov01 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
MR LOOOCH Oct03 Aug30 Jul28 Jul05 Jun25 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 10.00 5% 18.70    
PLATE IT UP May24 May15 May08 Apr11 Mar23 (tumblin )FERNANDEZ R 119 20.00    
GONE IN A FLASH Apr13 Jan28 Jan11 Dec29 Nov12 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00    
SUSIE'S KID May23 Nov12 Oct25 Oct10 Sep21 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00    
DERBY INCLUDED Apr13 Mar21 Mar06 Jan31 Dec19 (cline r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00    
VICTORY DIVISION May23 May03 Apr06 Mar14 Mar02 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SAMMY'S SMILE Nov12 Oct29 Sep15 Sep01 Aug13 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.00 43% 1.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.