Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - May 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(7/6/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(7/6/3)-(3/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/3)-(3/6/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3)-(3/6/1)-(3/7/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-3   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(3/7/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(3/7/2)-(4/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-4   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/2)-(4/2/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2)-(4/2/3)-(2/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-5   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3/6/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3/6/10)-(4/2/3/6/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(2/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(2/7)-(3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-6   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/7)-(3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(3/2)-(3/6/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PID-7   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/2)-(3/6/1/9) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
PID-8   WIN (3/6/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/9)-(3/6/1/9/10) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/9)-(3/6/1/9/10)-(3/6/1/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   05/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED PIXIE Jan07 Dec22 Dec15 Nov10 Oct26 (connelly)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 11% 7.90    
2  HONEY BOURBON Mar17 Jan13 Dec30 Oct20 Oct10 (fletcher wes)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
3  TIZ PROMISING RVF Nov08 Nov02 Oct20 Oct12 Sep28 (valdez m)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
4  KEYPIT Mar01 Feb14 Jan30 Dec29 Dec07 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 4.00    
5  NO SNIVELING May09 Mar20 Feb28 Feb14 Jan30 (winters michelle)RIQUELME J 122 5.00    
6  REDHOT KATIE Mar17 Feb23 Dec30 Sep21 Sep06 (cannon ste)MOJICA JR 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
 
PID-2   05/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FULL OF LIFE Apr17 Mar06 Jan17 Jan05 Aug06 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00    
2  GENERALONAMISSION Feb15 Oct19 Oct03 Sep19 Sep08 (stokes lance)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00    
3  GYPSY KITTEN Mar08 Feb11 Jan25 Jan05 Dec03 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  HINDENBURG Dec24 Nov12 Oct26 Oct08 Sep23 (brooks g)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
5  JUST WATCH ME NOW Mar24 Mar03 Feb18 Jan20 Dec03 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 3.00    
6  T C GREELEY Mar24 Mar08 Dec13 Nov15 Jul27 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 112 2.50 17% 4.90    
7  AMERICAN CHAOS Oct12 Oct03 Sep19 Aug30 Aug16 (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 57% 0.80    
 
PID-3   05/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ SUSAN ANN Apr15 Mar23 Feb25 Jan25 Dec17 (maldonado jonath)AVILES YAN 122 3.00 20% 3.90    
2  BREEZY CONNECTION May15 May07 Mar16 Jan26 Jan06 (brooks geral)AYALA J 124 6.00    
3  CHEROKEE CHATTER Oct06 Sep26 Sep15 Aug16 Aug03 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 30% 2.40    
4  SAILOR'S SALUTE Oct10 Sep15 Aug31 Aug17   (carr-rozantz )ROJAS MARTINA 112 10.00    
5  SOUTH HOUSE May04 Mar31 Mar03 Feb09 Jan25 (stites w)MARTINEZ W 122 4.50    
6  PROPER MANNERS Apr19 Feb03 Jan04 Sep24 Aug13 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 26% 2.80    
 
PID-4   05/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATHMOR Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 Sep14 Aug01 (pappada michael)STANLEY O 122 5.00    
2  WORBOTHOR Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 Sep14 Sep05 (radosevich sh)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 10% 8.60    
3  MILITARY DRILL May15 Apr08 Mar11 Feb12 Jan15 (rice ada)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
4  UHAVETOBEKITTENME May09 Mar30 Mar01 Feb20 Feb01 (casalinova tina)RIQUELME J 122 8.00    
5  KIKKERLAND May07 Mar30 Mar03 Feb02 Dec19 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 12.00    
SCR  BIG CHICKEN MAN Oct25 Oct13 Sep27 Sep13 Sep05 (russell ra)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.50    
7  NO BANG NO BOOM (IRE) May05 Mar30 Oct04 Aug22 Jul28 (cannon ste)MOJICA JR 122 3.50 18% 4.60    
SCR  PALACE PRINCE May08 Apr01 Mar13 Mar04 Jan31 (silva pabl)LEON A 122 10.00    
 
PID-5   05/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAIPIROSKA Dec05         (caramori)MARTINEZ A 124 20.00    
2  FLOAT AWAY Oct03 Sep15 Aug30 Aug15 Jul20 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 124 3.00 15% 5.50    
3  SOME KIND OF CRAZY         (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  I'M HEADING EAST Apr06 Mar10 Feb23 Jan20   (rojas e)FLORES E 118 4.50 52% 0.90    
5  AIR ONE Aug30 Aug17 Jul26     (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 118 15.00    
6  BETHPAGE May07 Oct07 Aug16 Jul16   (cheeks katy)ALLEN D 124 8.00 ★    
7  JESSICA BLAH BLAH Oct17 Sep27 Sep12 Jun02 May12 (vitali m)GALLARDO A 124 10.00    
8  SHADY DAISY May03 Apr12       (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00    
9  OUT OF PAYNT         (judd cassa)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 10.00    
10  YOU LOOKING AT ME Apr29 Apr02 Oct13 Oct03   (fennessy john)ALLEN M 118 5.00 ★    
SCR  AFTER NOON KISSES May03 Apr21 Mar31 Mar10 Mar01 (spanabel r)WALES GARY 118 15.00    
 
PID-6   05/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DO YOU LOVE ME Apr23 Dec14 Oct06 Sep08 Jan26 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 4.00 ★    
2  AMERICAN HEIGHTS Mar31 Mar11 Jan21 Dec08 Apr27 (morey william)MORALES PABLO 122 1.40 68% 0.50    
3  INDIAN SPIDEROO Mar18 Sep01 Aug10 Jul26   (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 116 10.00    
SCR  IMMORTALLOVE Apr12 Mar26       (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 116 2.50    
5  WILD IRISH Oct17 Sep26 Aug29 Aug08 Jul20 (reed r)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00    
6  KRISPY RICE Feb18 Jan25 Mar03 Feb18 Jan14 (walsh d)BECKMAN ALICE 115 8.00    
7  QUARTERFLASH Apr20 Mar31 Feb16 Feb03 Jan20 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 10.00 8% 11.60    
 
PID-7   05/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TACTICAL PAJAMAS Apr22 Feb18 Oct19 Sep19 Aug15 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.50    
2  I RECALL Oct29 Oct19 Sep19 Aug13 Jul15 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 1.60 34% 2.00    
3  FORGOTTEN PEACE Dec09 Oct26 Oct12 Aug17 Aug03 (girten tim)SPIETH S 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
4  SHE'S DANCING Oct26 Oct12 Sep22 Sep05 Aug15 (stites w)MARTINEZ W 122 12.00 ★    
5  SHEISTHEHERO Apr13 Mar27 Feb28 Jan31 Jan07 (loudin-smith)KEISER CHELSEY 122 10.00    
6  DANA'S BEAUTY Oct26 Oct10 Sep19 Aug03 Jul06 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 6.00    
 
PID-8   05/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAINAS ROLLIN Oct13 Sep29 Sep07 Aug08 Jul20 (rogers r)MARTINEZ A 124 5.00 6% 16.40    
  (by TALENT SEARCH out of FREEZING FAST by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
2  HOPE SHE COMES Oct18 Sep29       (morrell justi)WALKER M 118 12.00    
  (by GOT THE LAST LAUGH out of DELILAH'S SEVEN by SKY MESA)
3  JAYLEE         (brion keri)MARTINEZ W 118 4.00 40% 1.50    
  (by PALACE out of GIANNA'S REPRIZED by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
4  SPARKLING WATER Oct05 Sep07 Aug10 Jul30 Jun14 (fletcher kevin)ALLEN D 124 8.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of OCEAN ROAD (IRE) by AUSTRALIA (GB))
SCR  SHORTY MAC Aug17         (rogers ronal)ALENCAR WALBER 124 15.00    
  (by TALENT SEARCH out of NO SEE UM by GREATNESS)
6  SO STEADY Apr20         (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 3.00 27% 2.60    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SUCH SPIRIT by MONTBROOK)
7  LILLI ROSE Feb08         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 15.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of CADILLAC DESERT by DESERT CODE)
SCR  SAINT FOXY         (brooks geral)AYALA J 118 12.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SAINT JACKIE by YOUR EMINENCE)
9  NATURE TRAIL Sep22 Aug26 Aug05 Jul01 Jun16 (judd cassa)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PETIONVILLE out of TAHITIAN PEARL by EL PRADO (IRE))
10  ZORA Oct24 Sep29 Aug31 Aug10 Jul26 (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 4.50 ★    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of LADY LINDY by A.P. INDY)
11  GEARED UP Sep29 Sep07 Aug23 Aug10 Jul11 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 124 6.00    
  (by CUPID out of SHUSH UP by SILENT NAME (JPN))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.