Handicappers' Racing Form
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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - March 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-1   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-2   Win (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-3   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-4   Win (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00
TUP-5   Win (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-6   Win (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-7   Win (2/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-8   Win (7/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TUP-1   03/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RENEGADE PRINCESS Feb19 Jan10 Nov16 May01 Mar25 (chambers mike)CORBETT W 122 2.50 ★    
2  MANDONA Mar14 Feb15 Jan17 Jan02 Dec15 (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  CHARMANT E Mar04 Feb12 Feb07 Jan24 Feb11 (mccartney jack)LEON A 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
4  BOISTEROUSLY IRISH Mar14 Feb20 Jan26 Jan07 Dec20 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 1.60 20% 3.90    
5  MICKEY DOBBS Mar05 Jan17 Dec22 Nov08 Aug17 (martinez esteban)VERGARA P 124 5.00 10% 8.70    
 
TUP-2   03/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNSINKABLE MOLLY B Mar06 Feb20 Jan25 Sep18 Aug27 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.50 ★    
2  WILD ARCH Mar14 Feb28 Feb16 Feb07 Jan25 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 4.00 44% 1.30    
3  LOTSA LACE Feb20 Jan17 Dec20 Nov23 Jul11 (cuccia susan)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00    
4  AKASI Mar13 Feb02 Jan12 Dec22 Nov12 (troiani nicco)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 13% 6.50    
5  TAKING CHARGE DESI Mar11 Feb16 Jan26 Jan09 Dec14 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 2.50 ★    
6  ENSLEYS DREAM Mar03 Dec17 Oct28 Sep24 Jul10 (brown jared)CORBETT W 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
 
TUP-3   03/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASTLE DOCTRINE Jan02 Aug14       (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 122 2.00 ★    
2  ACE AND KINGS         (rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 8% 11.60    
3  IMISSBAYMEADOWS Feb28 Feb11 Jan18 Dec08 Nov04 (fearon jo)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  IRISH KNIGHT Mar01 Jan10 Dec19 Nov29 Sep18 (lucarelli fran)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 3.00    
SCR  SILVER KING BAIN Mar06 Feb11 Jan19 Jan10 Dec20 (mcca)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 12% 7.30    
6  TRINNI VALANTINE Mar07 Feb11 Sep02 Aug20 May07 (fearon johnatho)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 8.00    
SCR  INDIAN GAMBLER Jan24 Dec22 Sep14 Aug26 Aug13 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00 50% 1.00    
 
TUP-4   03/28/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($22.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SMILING GOODBYE Mar14 Feb28 Jan07 Dec14 Aug14 (peery debbie)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 4.00 42% 1.40    
2  TERRACOTTA SOLDIER Mar06 Feb19 Apr20 Apr01 Mar10 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 3.50 29% 2.50    
3  ARRABIATA Feb08 Jan07 Nov19 Sep12 Apr16 (peery debbie)ZUNINO L 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  LIGHT CRUISER Mar07 Feb25 Feb09 Jan30 Jan07 (eids)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 ★    
5  HEIR (FR) Feb26 Feb11 Jan25 Dec01 Mar28 (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 ★    
6  FALSELY ACCUSED Jan23 Dec27 Dec01 Nov08 Sep09 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00    
 
TUP-5   03/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  T BONES TRICK Mar05 Jan23 Dec27 Nov15 Sep17 (rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 39% 1.60    
2  LOOKIN FOR EIGHT Mar11 Feb15 Jan23 Dec22 Nov08 (silva rodriguez)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00 ★    
3  THIRTY SECONDS OUT Feb28 Feb09 Jan19 Nov28 Nov12 (brown jared)CORBETT W 122 6.00    
4  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Jan25 Dec27 Oct29 Oct15 Sep24 (silva jr)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00    
SCR  GOLD CRUSHER Mar14 Jan26 Dec13 Nov14 Sep17 (ortiz l)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 8.00    
6  STEAL HOME Mar20 Mar11 Feb15 Jan26 Jan09 (evans justin)VERGARA P 124 4.00 14% 6.30    
7  MR. WHO Feb25 Feb09 Jan23 Dec08 Nov07 (chambers mike)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
8  ASTRONOMICAL Feb27 Nov15 Sep24 Aug21 Jun04 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 6.00 ★    
 
TUP-6   03/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUNTER JUMPER Mar13 Feb01 Nov30 Nov12 Sep27 (eidschun greg)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 ★    
2  ALEX'S DREAM Mar13 Feb19 Jan24 Dec16 Nov16 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 10.00 ★    
3  BUSTER BURNS Mar19 Feb19 Feb01 Jan24 Dec17 (williams oman)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 8.00    
4  AMADMADWORLD Mar19 Mar04 Feb20 Feb08 Jan24 (torres-casas al)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  ROBIN'S EMPIRE Mar05 Feb20 Jan24 Dec26 Dec01 (axmaker w)VALDES ALEXIS 124 12.00    
6  IMPASSIONED CLAIM Mar19 Feb18 Jan03     (barraza sos)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 8% 11.50    
7  CLASS COMPOUNDS         (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.00 10% 8.60    
8  GABE'S MONSTER Mar13 Jan24 Jan07 Nov30 Nov12 (ybarra ru)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00    
 
TUP-7   03/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDACTION Feb13 Feb04 Sep17 Aug29 Aug22 (ortiz frank)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50    
2  PARLEY STREET Mar04 Feb09 Jan30 Jan10 Dec20 (rycroft riley)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 5.00 21% 3.70    
3  SIR DEPUTY Mar04 Feb19 Jan31 Jan07 Dec20 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
4  BIG ENDEAVOR Mar04 Feb13 Jan12 Dec13 Nov14 (brown jared)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 ★    
5  MOJAVE (GB) Feb26 Feb09 Jan26 Sep17 Sep04 (garcia valentin )ANAYA V 124 6.00    
6  ROUSING RUBBLE Mar08 Feb06 Jan18 Jan07 Dec13 (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 15% 5.70    
7  MAD LUTHER Mar04 Feb19 Jan18 Jan07 Dec01 (matt l)CORBETT W 124 8.00    
8  UPPER ROOM Mar04 Feb04 Dec27 Nov28 Nov14 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
 
TUP-8   03/28/2023 4950ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU'RE THE CAUSE Feb26 Feb11 Jan30 Oct16 Sep09 (van debbie)ZUNINO L 122 8.00    
SCR  GIANT PAYDAY Mar12 Feb08 Jan09 Dec27 Dec01 (eids)DA FAUSTO 122 4.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  MOVE OVER (GB) Mar04 Feb09 Jan25 Dec20 Dec08 (hernandez mig)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 5.00 ★    
4  PLAYOFF BOUND Mar12 Feb26 Aug03 Jul15 Jun23 (toye joe)ANAYA V 122 8.00 7% 13.40    
5  SILVERBULLITBADGER Mar14 Feb28 Jan28 Sep14 Aug20 (lewis kevin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 10.00    
6  SENSEMAKER Mar04 Feb11 Dec20 Nov08 Oct01 (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 124 6.00    
7  THE GREEN CRUSADER Mar12 Feb02 Jan09 Dec17 Nov19 (troiani nicco)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 44% 1.30    
8  NEW EAGLE Mar11 Feb21 Feb09 Jan23 Dec11 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.