Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - March 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2/7/8)-(3/1/2/7/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(2/3)-(4/6/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/4/1)-(2/3/4/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(4/6/3)-(6/2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-3   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3/1/2)-(4/6/3/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(6/2/4)-(5/4/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4/3)-(6/2/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(5/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(5/4/6/7)-(8/5/6/1/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-5   WIN (5/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/6/7)-(8/5/6/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/7)-(8/5/6/1/3)-(10/1/8/4/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-6   WIN (8/5/6/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/6/1/3)-(8/5/6/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/6/1/3)-(8/5/6/1/3)-(8/5/6/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/5/6/1/3)-(10/1/8/4/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/5/6/1/3)-(10/1/8/4/3)-(1/4/5/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-7   WIN (10/1/8/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/8/4/3)-(1/10/8/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/1/8/4/3)-(1/10/8/4/3)-(1/10/8/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/1/8/4/3)-(1/4/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/1/8/4/3)-(1/4/5/7)-(3/2/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-8   WIN (1/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7/2)-(1/4/5/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/5/7)-(3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5/7)-(3/2/1)-(9/4/5/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-9   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1/4/6)-(3/2/1/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(9/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-10   WIN (9/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/5/8)-(9/4/5/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/4/5/8)-(9/4/5/8/7)-(9/4/5/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEERAGE Feb12 Jan01 Dec03 Nov11 Oct07 (thompson marcus)CANCEL ERIC 125 6.00 7% 13.20    
2  REUNION TOUR Feb26 Jan27 Jan05 Dec11 Dec01 (ferraro james)OLVER MADISON 118 4.00 6% 15.80    
3  WEST STAR Mar03 Jan29 Jan21 Dec30 Nov17 (skel)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 2.50 66% 0.50    
4  BOYS CODE Feb18 Feb09 Jan07 Sep21 Aug23 (miceli m)DAVIS A 118 8.00    
5  TIZA BROWN Mar05 Jan27 Jan21 Jan05 Dec17 (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 20.00    
6  SOMAMA BEACH Feb11 Jan08 Dec17 Sep22 Sep05 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 118 20.00    
7  M. C. DOUBLE R Feb11 Jan21 Dec17 Nov17 Oct22 (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 111 12.00 ★    
8  VOLCKER RULES Feb26 Jan27       (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.00 ★    
9  SORPRESO Feb18 Dec07 Nov06 Aug10 Jul17 (romero rafa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
 
AQU-2   03/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOT THE GOLD Feb19 Jan13 Dec29 Nov26 Nov12 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 ★    
2  THE COBBLER Mar10 Feb19 Jan15 Feb26 Jan14 (henry ne)DAVIS A 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
3  JET SPEED Mar03 Feb09 Dec31 Dec16 Oct23 (thomps)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 11% 8.00    
4  B C GLORY DAYS Mar05 Feb19 Feb12 Jan21 Jan01 (barrera osca)TORRES A 113 4.00 ★    
SCR  PATRICK THE GREAT Jan27 Jan21 Dec11 Aug11 Jul10 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
6  GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS Feb12 Jan27 Dec15 Dec01 Nov13 (barker edwa)MARTINEZ R 122 8.00    
7  PAPI ON ICE Mar05 Feb12 Jan29 Jan19 Jan08 (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 12.00    
 
AQU-3   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY MAMALUKE Feb15 Jan24 Oct19 Aug22 Jun27 (farro pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 ★    
2  HOT FUDGE Jan29         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 ★    
3  CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE Feb10 Jan08 Dec11 Nov26 Oct27 (rice)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 4.50 14% 6.20    
4  LEELOO Feb24 Jan27 Dec09 Oct30 Sep25 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 46% 1.20    
5  SWEET SOLARE Sep24 Aug14 Jul15 Jun12 May07 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00    
6  UNSOLVED MYSTERY Feb24 Jan26 Dec30 Nov13 Sep17 (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 14% 6.10    
 
AQU-4   03/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITSALITTLEBITFUNNY Mar10 Jan14 Dec11     (sells rachel)BROWN DALTON 120 30.00    
2  CUMBERLAND BLUES Feb19 Dec29 Nov13 Oct07 Aug31 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 11% 8.50    
3  OUR SON JAKE Jan08 Dec11 Oct20 Jul09 May29 (mice)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 12.00 ★    
4  CHEEKY TICO Mar03 Jan27 Jan08 Jul29 Jul01 (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 6% 15.60    
5  GHOSTLYPRINCE Mar03 Jan29 Jan01 Dec15 Dec02 (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 113 8.00    
6  FRENCHBORO Feb21 Feb06 Jan16 Dec29 Oct29 (bedard alan)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  LOOSE GOOSE Feb11 Dec23 Jul30 Jul10 Apr09 (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.80 ★    
 
AQU-5   03/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VODKATINI Jan20 Dec03 Nov04 Sep10 Aug24 (gorham michael )CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00 ★    
2  DUCKPHAT Feb20 Jan22 Dec30 Nov26 May12 (henry nevill)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 12.00    
3  GAME THEORY Mar11 Feb20 Feb09 Jan28 Jan08 (jones eduard)HARKIE K 120 15.00    
4  RUN DEVIL Feb19 Jan13 Dec18 Nov27   (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 20% 4.00    
5  SAVE GRACE Feb24 Nov23 Oct19 Jul30   (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
6  REIGNING CHICK Feb20 Jan28 Jan15 Dec10 Nov27 (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 16% 5.30    
7  DIAMOND COLLECTOR Feb09 Jan13 Dec31 Nov13 Jul03 (martin carlos )LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 6% 15.00    
 
AQU-6   03/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICHIBAN Jan21         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 5% 18.80    
  (by STREET SENSE out of COVER GIRL ELLE by OUT OF PLACE)
2  GOOD ACCELEBRATE Feb20 Jan27 Jan01     (deiter kelly)TORRES A 113 10.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of ACCELEBRATE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
3  KRYSTALHEIR Feb11         (coffey m)DAVIS A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of ARELLA PRINCESS by LIMEHOUSE)
4  BANDULU QUEEN Feb20 Jan27 Dec03     (sells rachel)HARKIE K 120 30.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of CURRENCY CHAOS by EXCHANGE RATE)
5  NORTHWAY Feb20         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 26% 2.90    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SHINE UPON by CONGAREE)
6  DREAM ON CARA Jan19 Dec17 Nov20 Oct30 Aug18 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00 16% 5.40    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of DREAMING OF CARA by NORTH LIGHT)
7  MY ANGEL Feb11 Jan14       (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of TAINTED ANGEL by YES IT'S TRUE)
8  CLOVER STREET Feb20 Dec17 Nov04 Oct01   (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 27% 2.60    
  (by TEUFLESBERG out of FORTUNE STREET by BELLAMY ROAD)
9  BELLA SONADORA         (figueroa carlos)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of QUIXSAND by SAY FLORIDA SANDY)
 
AQU-7   03/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KUMAR Mar05 Feb19 Jan29 Jan07 Nov18 (bar)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 6.00 15% 5.70    
1A  CRYPTO CASH Feb26 Feb11 Jan21 Jan15 Oct21 (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 120 6.00 ★    
2  ICY STORM Feb09 Jan07 Oct31 Oct11 Sep24 (arriaga ant)MARTINEZ R 123 8.00    
3  MARCO ISLAND Dec21 Nov23 Oct26 Sep14 Aug03 (romero rafa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  VINTAGE HOLLYWOOD Feb26 Jan22 Dec18 Oct27 Oct08 (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 2.50 9% 10.10    
5  AMERICAN LINCOLN Feb19 Feb10 Jan22 Oct01 Sep03 (romero jesus)HARKIE K 120 30.00    
6  SCOTTY Feb19 Jan22 Jan07 Dec04 Nov18 (diprima )DAVIS A 123 10.00    
7  FOREVER WICKED Mar10 Feb26 Jan07 Dec29 Dec18 (jacobson dav)TORRES A 116 6.00    
8  THE REVENGER Jan26 Dec29 Nov15 Oct24 Oct05 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 11% 8.40    
9  EXXTOP Mar05 Feb10 Jan26 Jan12 Dec16 (thomps)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00    
10  SWIFT TAP Feb11 Jan07 Dec10 Nov19 Oct22 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.50 41% 1.50    
 
AQU-8   03/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL MOON FEVER Feb20 Jan06 Dec09 Nov16 Oct10 (hennig mark)CANCEL ERIC 123 1.00    
1A  OUSTER Feb19 Jan05 Nov20 Oct21 Sep25 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.00 51% 1.00    
2  SUNDAESWITHSANDY Feb11 Jan06 Dec08 Nov11 Oct07 (begg b)TORRES A 113 6.00 ★    
SCR  LISTENTOYOURHEART Feb17 Jan21 Aug26 Jul10 May14 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00    
4  HUSH OF A STORM Feb19 Apr16 Mar06 Feb10   (morey willi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 12% 7.00    
5  WHITTINGTON PARK Feb19 Dec29 Nov14 Oct18 Sep18 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 9% 10.00    
SCR  DOIN'ITTHERIGHTWAY Mar11 Feb25 May20 Mar25 Feb12 (rice)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 20.00    
7  LATE NIGHT LARRY Feb12 Jan14 Nov24 Sep24 Jun25 (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 123 10.00 6% 14.60    
8  SON OF AN EX Mar10 Feb18 Feb12 Jan26 Jan05 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
 
AQU-9   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Cicada Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPPIN JOSIE Mar06 Feb11 Jan20 Dec30 Nov14 (de horacio)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 6.00 12% 7.20    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of HOMEMAKER by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
2  HOT LITTLE THING Oct05 Sep07 Aug06 Jul19   (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 120 2.50 31% 2.30    
  (by ARMY MULE out of BOUFFANT by UNCLE MO)
3  DOWNTOWN MISCHIEF Feb17 Jan14       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.00 35% 1.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DOWNTOWN MAMA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  FABULOUSLY FUNNY Feb17 Jan07       (dutrow anthony )CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 ★    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of JUST FABULOUS by INCLUDE)
5  MUSICMANSANDY Mar12 Mar03 Feb17 Jan28 Jan07 (cash l)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of FULL MOON FROLIC by VINDICATION)
6  FANCY AZTECA Feb02 Jan22 Nov20     (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 ★    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of BABA'S MANDATE by FULL MANDATE)
 
AQU-10   03/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 6:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  Z DANCER         (rom)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of STARSHIP FLARE by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
2  WHO ME Feb25 Feb09 Jan28 Dec30 Nov27 (thompson mar)TORRES A 113 15.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of YOU GO TO MY HEAD by SUPER SAVER)
3  ART OF COURAGE Feb09         (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of ART OF BOURBON by ARTIE SCHILLER)
4  RUNANDSCORE Mar04 Feb17       (wohlers laura)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.00 24% 3.20    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of FINDING AURUM by SEEKING THE GOLD)
5  MUDVILLE NINE Feb24         (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 10% 9.30    
  (by HARD SPUN out of FANFIRE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
6  OCTOBER BLISS Feb09 Dec30 Nov26 Nov13   (brown r)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
  (by DESTIN out of LITTLE BRAVE by BRIGHT LAUNCH)
7  I'M JUST         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 ★    
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of JE T'AIME by GOLD TOKEN)
8  ZEALOUS LEGACY Feb02         (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HERE'S ZEALOUS out of PENNYMINE by MINESHAFT)
9  LIFETIME OF CHANCE Feb09 Jan06 Dec17 Nov12 Oct27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
  (by THE LIEUTENANT out of JANETSTICKETTOCATS by STORM CAT)
10  TUNNEL VISION Feb26 Jan27 Dec31     (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of R Y SQUADRON by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.